You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Norfolk Stakes Preview
A Group 2 race run at Royal Ascot in June of each year, the Norfolk Stakes is a race open to two-year-olds only and is run over five furlongs.
Established in 1843, it had the original title of the New Stakes; it was changed to its current title in 1973 and was upgraded to Group 2 status in 2006.
The race serves as a 'Win and You're In' race for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint race, meaning the winner gets an automatic place in the race at the Breeders' Cup.
Norfolk Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot, then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Norfolk Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Norfolk Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Norfolk Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Norfolk Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Norfolk Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- No Nay Never (58.80) in 2013
- Charles Darwin (58.87) in 2025
- Valiant Force (59.75) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Norfolk Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.35. Ahead of the 2026 Norfolk Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was No Nay Never, trained by Wesley A Ward and ridden by Joel Rosario, who set the fastest winning time in the Norfolk Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 58.80 in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Kevin Ryan and jockey Phillip Makin with Bapak Chinta who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:03.03 in the 2011 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Norfolk Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Norfolk Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Norfolk Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 58.87 | Charles Darwin (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (15 of 15) 8/13F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 59.77 | Shareholder (USA) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 13) 12/1 | James Doyle K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 59.75 | Valiant Force (USA) 2yo 9-3 (5 of 14) 150/1 | Rossa Ryan Adrian Murray (IRE) |
| 2022 1:00.50 | The Ridler (GB) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 10) 50/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2021 1:00.44 | Perfect Power (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 15) 14/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2020 1:01.55 | The Lir Jet (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 12) 9/2 | Oisin Murphy Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2019 1:01.90 | AAli (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 14) 5/1 | Frankie Dettori Simon Crisford (GB) |
| 2018 59.83 | Shang Shang Shang (USA) 2yo 8-12 (4 of 10) 5/1 | Joel Rosario Wesley A Ward (USA) |
| 2017 1:00.88 | Sioux Nation (USA) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 17) 14/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:01.17 | Prince Of Lir (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 11) 8/1 | Luke Morris Robert Cowell (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Norfolk Stakes have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 33 placings from 198 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 29 runners
- USA: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 14 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
2025 Norfolk Stakes Replay
Norfolk Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Waterloo Bridge (2015), Sioux Nation (2017) and Charles Darwin (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Norfolk Stakes are Richard Fahey (2 wins), Wesley A Ward (2 wins) and Peter Chapple-Hyam (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 17-3-6 | +12.62 | +3.79 |
| Richard Fahey | 12-2-4 | +54.00 | +37.60 |
| Wesley A Ward | 12-2-3 | -1.00 | -2.90 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 6-2-3 | +0.75 | +1.85 |
| K R Burke | 12-1-4 | +1.00 | +4.27 |
| Richard Hannon | 9-1-3 | +0.00 | -1.90 |
| William Haggas | 6-1-1 | +11.00 | +4.60 |
| Robert Cowell | 6-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.30 |
| Brian Meehan | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.00 |
| Kevin Ryan | 5-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.40 |
Norfolk Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Waterloo Bridge (2015), Sioux Nation (2017) and Charles Darwin (2025). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Norfolk Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Joel Rosario (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Norfolk Stakes; Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 20-3-7 | +9.62 | +5.47 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-2-5 | +4.00 | +2.74 |
| Joel Rosario | 4-2-2 | +7.00 | +3.40 |
| James Doyle | 9-1-4 | +4.00 | +1.80 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-1-5 | +4.00 | +7.70 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.30 |
| Adam Kirby | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Rossa Ryan | 2-1-2 | +149.00 | +89.67 |
| Luke Morris | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -7.70 |
2026 Norfolk Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 1, 5, 6, 8, 6, 2, 5, 3, 5, (2, 7), 9, 8, 9, 4, 2, 3, 4, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Sex is not Gelding
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 118 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 8 - 62 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 2 wins (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 8 - 62 days
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (80%) - Not in FRA/WAL (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - In a field of 4 - 18 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Carried 118 - 134lbs (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not G3
- 17 / 20 (50%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 16 / 20 (63%) - Achieved an RPR of 85+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Norfolk Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Norfolk Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
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Norfolk Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +165.62, is when runners had 1 career place over the trip.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Geldings, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-34.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 15 (3,7) [15 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (2,14) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (6,4) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (6,4) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 10 (5,16) [15 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Norfolk Stakes is Beverley; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Beverley last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 237 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Norfolk Stakes; that stallion, Scat Daddy, has produced 2 winners (2017,2013).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Norfolk Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 12 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Mehmas (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Camacho (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Valiant Force in 2023, winning for Adrian Murray at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Rossa Ryan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Norfolk Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Norfolk Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Norfolk Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Charles Darwin Naas - 1st of 4 (1/14) | Coolmore Stud The Antarctic Race |
| 2024 - Shareholder Beverley - 1st of 5 (6/4) | bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
| 2023 - Valiant Force Curragh - 5th of 6 (25/1) | GAIN Marble Hill Stakes |
| 2022 - The Ridler Beverley - 3rd of 7 (9/1) | bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
| 2021 - Perfect Power Hamilton - 1st of 5 (4/11) | Book Our On-Site Hotel EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2020 - The Lir Jet Yarmouth - 1st of 10 (9/2) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Auction Stakes |
| 2019 - AAli Ripon - 2nd of 7 (5/4) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2018 - Shang Shang Shang Keeneland - 1st of 12 (22/5) | Maiden Special Weight |
| 2017 - Sioux Nation Curragh - 6th of 7 (9/2) | Cold Move Irish EBF Marble Hill Stakes |
| 2016 - Prince Of Lir Beverley - 1st of 6 (6/1) | Brian Yeardley Continental Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Docklands (GB) 5yo - 14/1 | Harry Eustace Mark Zahra |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 7/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | American Affair (GB) 5yo - 11/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Field Of Gold (IRE) 3yo - 8/11 | John & Thady Gosden Colin Keane |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Ascending (IRE) 6yo - 20/1 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 4yo - 8/1 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | French Master (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | True Love (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Carmers (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | P Twomey W J Lee |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Crimson Advocate (USA) 4yo - 13/2 | John & Thady Gosden James McDonald |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | My Cloud (IRE) 4yo - 3/1 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Miss Information (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Havana Hurricane (GB) 2yo - 7/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Charles Darwin (IRE) 2yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Garden Of Eden (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo - 85/40 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Arabian Story (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Trinity College (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Venetian Sun (IRE) 2yo - 7/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Time For Sandals (IRE) 3yo - 25/1 | Harry Eustace Richard Kingscote |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Cercene (IRE) 3yo - 33/1 | Joseph G Murphy Gary Carroll |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Never Let Go (GB) 3yo - 22/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Amiloc (GB) 3yo - 11/8 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Adrestia (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Humidity (GB) 2yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Lazzat (FR) 4yo - 9/2 | J Reynier James Doyle |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Noble Champion (IRE) 3yo - 25/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Get It (GB) 7yo - 28/1 | George Baker Seamie Heffernan |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Quai De Bethune (FR) 3yo - 12/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Sober (FR) 6yo - 4/5 | W P Mullins Ryan Moore |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Norfolk Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
