Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Norfolk Stakes Preview
A Group 2 race run at Royal Ascot in June of each year, the Norfolk Stakes is a race open to two-year-olds only and is run over five furlongs.
Established in 1843, it had the original title of the New Stakes; it was changed to its current title in 1973 and was upgraded to Group 2 status in 2006.
The race serves as a 'Win and You're In' race for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint race, meaning the winner gets an automatic place in the race at the Breeders' Cup.
Norfolk Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Royal Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Norfolk Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Norfolk Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Norfolk Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Norfolk Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Norfolk Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Norfolk Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Masta Plasta (57.56) in 2005
- No Nay Never (58.80) in 2013
- Valiant Force (59.75) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Norfolk Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.35. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 57.56 was set by Masta Plasta in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Howard Johnson and ridden by Robert Winston. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Bapak Chinta won in a time of 1:03.03, booked to ride was Phillip Makin by the trainer Kevin Ryan.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Norfolk Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Norfolk Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Norfolk Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 (150k) 59.77 | Shareholder (USA) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 13) 12/1 | James Doyle K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 (110k) 59.75 | Valiant Force (USA) 2yo 9-3 (5 of 14) 150/1 | Rossa Ryan Adrian Murray (IRE) |
| 2022 (110k) 1:00.50 | The Ridler (GB) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 10) 50/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2021 (80k) 1:00.44 | Perfect Power (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 15) 14/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2020 (50k) 1:01.55 | The Lir Jet (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 12) 9/2 | Oisin Murphy Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2019 (100k) 1:01.90 | AAli (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 14) 5/1 | Frankie Dettori Simon Crisford (GB) |
| 2018 (100k) 59.83 | Shang Shang Shang (USA) 2yo 8-12 (4 of 10) 5/1 | Joel Rosario Wesley A Ward (USA) |
| 2017 (100k) 1:00.88 | Sioux Nation (USA) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 17) 14/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 (100k) 1:01.17 | Prince Of Lir (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 11) 8/1 | Luke Morris Robert Cowell (GB) |
| 2015 (80k) 59.98 | Waterloo Bridge (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 12/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Norfolk Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 34 placings from 199 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 5 placings from 28 runners
- USA: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
2024 Norfolk Stakes Replay
Norfolk Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with A P O'Brien, Richard Fahey, Wesley A Ward, and Peter Chapple-Hyam having all won the race two times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Waterloo Bridge (2015) and Sioux Nation (2017). Richard Fahey winners have been with Perfect Power (2021) and The Ridler (2022). Wesley A Ward winners have been with No Nay Never (2013) and Shang Shang Shang (2018). Peter Chapple-Hyam winners have been with Dutch Art (2006) and Winker Watson (2007).
Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 16-2-5 | +12.00 | +3.42 |
| Richard Fahey | 12-2-4 | +54.00 | +37.60 |
| Wesley A Ward | 12-2-3 | -1.00 | -2.90 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 6-2-3 | +0.75 | +1.85 |
| K R Burke | 10-1-4 | +3.00 | +6.27 |
| Richard Hannon | 8-1-3 | +1.00 | -0.90 |
| William Haggas | 6-1-1 | +11.00 | +4.60 |
| Robert Cowell | 6-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.30 |
| Brian Meehan | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.00 |
| Clive Cox | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
Norfolk Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori, and Joel Rosario having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Waterloo Bridge (2015) and Sioux Nation (2017). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Baitha Alga (2014) and AAli (2019). Joel Rosario winners have been with No Nay Never (2013) and Shang Shang Shang (2018).
Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 20-2-6 | +8.00 | +4.10 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-2-5 | +4.00 | +2.74 |
| Joel Rosario | 4-2-2 | +7.00 | +3.40 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-4 | +5.00 | +2.80 |
| Jamie Spencer | 8-1-5 | +3.00 | +6.70 |
| Adam Kirby | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.30 |
| Rossa Ryan | 2-1-2 | +149.00 | +89.67 |
| Luke Morris | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -6.70 |
2025 Norfolk Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 1, 1, 5, 6, 8, 6, 2, 5, 3, 5, (2, 7), 9, 8, 9, 4, 2, 3, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Sex is not Gelding
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 8 - 62 days
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/FM/SLW/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Not in FRA/WAL (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - In a field of 4 - 18 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Carried 118 - 133lbs (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Won by at least a short head (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not G3
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G3 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Furthest Won 4½f - 6f
- 17 / 20 (51%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 16 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 6/1 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Norfolk Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Norfolk Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Norfolk Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +171.50, is when runners had 1 career place over the trip.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Geldings, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-37.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (2,14) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (6,4) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (6,4) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 10 (5,16) [15 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (6,2) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Norfolk Stakes is Beverley; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Beverley last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 234 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Norfolk Stakes; that stallion, Scat Daddy, has produced 2 winners (2017,2013).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Norfolk Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Camacho (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Valiant Force in 2023, winning for Adrian Murray at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Rossa Ryan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Norfolk Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Norfolk Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Norfolk Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Shareholder Beverley - 1st of 5 (6/4) | bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
| 2023 - Valiant Force Curragh - 5th of 6 (25/1) | GAIN Marble Hill Stakes |
| 2022 - The Ridler Beverley - 3rd of 7 (9/1) | bet365 Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
| 2021 - Perfect Power Hamilton - 1st of 5 (4/11) | Book Our On-Site Hotel EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2020 - The Lir Jet Yarmouth - 1st of 10 (9/2) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Auction Stakes |
| 2019 - AAli Ripon - 2nd of 7 (5/4) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2018 - Shang Shang Shang Keeneland - 1st of 12 (22/5) | Maiden Special Weight |
| 2017 - Sioux Nation Curragh - 6th of 7 (9/2) | Cold Move Irish EBF Marble Hill Stakes |
| 2016 - Prince Of Lir Beverley - 1st of 6 (6/1) | Brian Yeardley Continental Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes |
| 2015 - Waterloo Bridge Tipperary - 1st of 7 (19/10) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Charyn (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Rashabar (IRE) 2yo - 80/1 | Brian Meehan Billy Loughnane |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 5yo - 5/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Rosallion (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo - 20/1 | Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Israr (GB) 5yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden Jim Crowley |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Belloccio (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Leovanni (IRE) 2yo - 22/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Illinois (IRE) 3yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Running Lion (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 4yo - 13/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Wild Tiger (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Doha (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Aint Nobody (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Shareholder (USA) 2yo - 12/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Going The Distance (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Port Fairy (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Mickley (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Jayarebe (FR) 3yo - 7/1 | Brian Meehan Sean Levey |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | English Oak (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | Ed Walker James Doyle |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Fairy Godmother (IRE) 2yo - 15/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Inisherin (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Crystal Black (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | Gerard Keane Colin Keane |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Tom Marquand |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Soprano (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Calandagan (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | F-H Graffard Stephane Pasquier |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Pilgrim (GB) 3yo - 18/1 | David & Nicola Barron Joe Fanning |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Bedtime Story (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Khaadem (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Charles Hills Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Unequal Love (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Hand Of God (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Harry Charlton William Buick |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Uxmal (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Norfolk Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
