2022 Norfolk Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jul 15, 2:12pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:30pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 502 Views

2022 Norfolk Stakes Preview

A Group 2 race run at Royal Ascot in June of each year, the Norfolk Stakes is a race open to two-year-olds only which is run over five furlongs. Established in 1843, it had the original title of the New Stakes, it was changed to its current title in 1973 and was upgraded to Group 2 status in 2006. The race serves as a 'Win and You're In' race for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint race, meaning the winner gets an automatic place in the race at the Breeders' Cup.

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2011 renewal when Bapak Chinta from Kevin Ryan who under the guidance of Phillip Makin, won in a time of 1:03.03, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Masta Plasta, trained by Howard Johnson and ridden by Robert Winston set the quickest time of 57.56 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Masta Plasta (57.56)
  • 2013 - No Nay Never (58.80)
  • 2014 - Baitha Alga (59.81)

How competitive is the Norfolk Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Norfolk Stakes, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Norfolk Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.35. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Norfolk Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Norfolk Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Norfolk Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Norfolk Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:00.44
Perfect Power
2yo 9-1 (10 of 15) 14/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey
2020
1:01.55
The Lir Jet
2yo 9-1 (1 of 12) 9/2
Oisin Murphy
Michael Bell
2019
1:01.90
AAli
2yo 9-1 (9 of 14) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
Simon Crisford
2018
59.83
Shang Shang Shang
2yo 8-12 (4 of 10) 5/1
Joel Rosario
Wesley A Ward
2017
1:00.88
Sioux Nation
2yo 9-1 (2 of 17) 14/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2016
1:01.17
Prince Of Lir
2yo 9-1 (10 of 11) 8/1
Luke Morris
Robert Cowell
2015
59.98
Waterloo Bridge
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 12/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2014
59.81
Baitha Alga
2yo 9-1 (7 of 9) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
Richard Hannon
2013
58.80
No Nay Never
2yo 9-1 (8 of 14) 4/1
Joel Rosario
Wesley A Ward
2012
1:01.41
Reckless Abandon
2yo 9-1 (12 of 11) 4/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Norfolk Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 35 placings from 199 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 24 runners
  • USA: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Norfolk Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of A P O'Brien, Wesley A Ward & Peter Chapple-Hyam having all won the race 2 times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Waterloo Bridge (2015) & Sioux Nation (2017). Wesley A Ward winners have been with No Nay Never (2013) & Shang Shang Shang (2018). Peter Chapple-Hyam winners have been with Dutch Art (2006) & Winker Watson (2007). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Norfolk Stakes, Mick Channon has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 17-2-6 +11.00 +2.98
Wesley A Ward 10-2-3 +1.00 -0.90
Peter Chapple-Hyam 6-2-3 +0.75 +1.85
Mark Johnston 14-1-4 -9.00 -6.10
Richard Fahey 8-1-2 +7.00 +3.50
Richard Hannon 8-1-3 +1.00 -0.90
William Haggas 6-1-1 +11.00 +4.60
Brian Meehan 6-1-1 +5.00 +1.00
Robert Cowell 6-1-2 +3.00 +2.30
Clive Cox 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.60

Norfolk Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Norfolk Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori & Joel Rosario having all won the race 2 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Waterloo Bridge (2015) & Sioux Nation (2017). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Baitha Alga (2014) & AAli (2019). Joel Rosario winners have been with No Nay Never (2013) & Shang Shang Shang (2018).

Here are some of the top Norfolk Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 17-2-6 +11.00 +7.10
Frankie Dettori 13-2-7 +2.00 +2.20
Joel Rosario 2-2-2 +9.00 +5.40
Jamie Spencer 9-1-5 +2.00 +5.70
Paul Hanagan 6-1-2 +9.00 +5.50
Adam Kirby 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.60
Oisin Murphy 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.70
Luke Morris 2-1-1 +7.00 +3.80
Silvestre De Sousa 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.90
James Doyle 6-0-3 -6.00 -3.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,2,1,2,2,1,1,5,6,8,6,2,5,3,5,(2,7),9,8,9,4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (60%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Avoid geldings
  • 19 / 20 (54%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Won with last 2 Starts
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more than 3l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - First 3 on debut

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Norfolk Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Norfolk Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Norfolk Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.00 is when runners had 1 career win with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Geldings, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 10 (5,16) [15 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (6,2) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 9 (11,3) [14 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 4 (2,7) [10 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 2 (16,15) [17 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Norfolk Stakes is Windsor, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Windsor last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 227 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winners from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Norfolk Stakes, that stallion is Scat Daddy who has produced 2 winners (2017,2013).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Norfolk Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Camacho (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kyllachy (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Approve in 2010 when winning for William Haggas at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Eddie Ahern. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Norfolk Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please Register / Login to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.