Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Betfair Exchange Trophy Preview
The Betfair Exchange Trophy is scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Ascot racecourse, the race is Grade 3 and open to runners aged four years old or older and is run over one mile, seven and a half furlongs. Before 2001, the race was run in Ireland at Leopardstown under the name 'The Ladbroke'.
Betfair Exchange Trophy Information:
- Betfair Exchange Trophy Past Winners
- Betfair Exchange Trophy Trainer Statistics
- Betfair Exchange Trophy Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Betfair Exchange Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 142%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Betfair Exchange Trophy, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.
Betfair Exchange Trophy Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Betfair Exchange Trophy next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.09. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Betfair Exchange Trophy remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Nicky Henderson trained Brain Power ridden by David Mullins who set the fastest winning time in the Betfair Exchange Trophy, the runner won the race in a time of 3:39.90 was set when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Norman Williamson with Chauvinist who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:24.40 in the 2002 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Betfair Exchange Trophy over the last 20 renewals:
- Brain Power (3:39.90) in 2016
- Jack The Giant (3:42.90) in 2007
- Luccia (3:44.60) in 2023
Betfair Exchange Trophy Past Winners
Here are the Betfair Exchange Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Betfair Exchange Trophy as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: Abandoned in 2022 due to a frozen track.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 3:44.60 | Luccia (GB) 5yo 11-8 9/2 | Paul O'Brien Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2021 3:46.25 | Tritonic (GB) 4yo 11-0 8/1 | A P Heskin Alan King (GB) |
2020 3:51.90 | Not So Sleepy (GB) 8yo 11-6 20/1 | Tom O'Brien Hughie Morrison (GB) |
2019 3:50.75 | Not So Sleepy (GB) 7yo 10-3 9/2F | Jonathan Burke Hughie Morrison (GB) |
2018 3:47.90 | Mohaayed (GB) 6yo 11-10 16/1 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
2017 3:49.40 | Hunters Call (IRE) 7yo 10-3 9/1 | Jack Kennedy Olly Murphy (GB) |
2016 3:39.90 | Brain Power (IRE) 5yo 11-11 12/1 | David Mullins Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2015 3:47.00 | Jollys Cracked It (FR) 6yo 11-3 7/1F | Noel Fehily Harry Fry (GB) |
2015 3:47.00 | Sternrubin (GER) 4yo 10-10 9/1 | Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB) |
2014 3:48.60 | Bayan (IRE) 5yo 11-5 14/1 | Davy Condon Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Betfair Exchange Trophy have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 50 placings from 315 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 43 runners
Betfair Exchange Trophy Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Betfair Exchange Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Nicky Henderson who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Chauvinist (2002), Jack The Giant (2007), Sentry Duty (2008), Brain Power (2016) and Luccia (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Betfair Exchange Trophy are Hughie Morrison (3 wins), Alan King (2 wins), Dan Skelton (2 wins) and Gordon Elliott (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Betfair Exchange Trophy, Paul Nicholls (0-24), Gary Moore (0-17) and W P Mullins (0-12) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Betfair Exchange Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Nicky Henderson | 34-5-12 | +9.25 | +6.29 |
Hughie Morrison | 4-3-3 | +30.50 | +18.69 |
Alan King | 15-2-4 | +7.00 | +5.44 |
Dan Skelton | 11-2-3 | +17.00 | +8.38 |
Gordon Elliott | 5-2-3 | +36.00 | +23.88 |
Philip Hobbs | 19-1-4 | -9.00 | -2.99 |
David Pipe | 18-1-2 | -10.00 | -8.99 |
Venetia Williams | 9-1-2 | +25.00 | +15.13 |
Harry Fry | 9-1-4 | -1.00 | +1.87 |
Olly Murphy | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
Betfair Exchange Trophy Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Betfair Exchange Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Harry Skelton who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Willows Saviour (2013) and Mohaayed (2018).
Here are some of the top Betfair Exchange Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Harry Skelton | 9-2-3 | +19.00 | +10.38 |
Jack Kennedy | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
Jonathan Burke | 2-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.67 |
A P Heskin | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
Paul O'Brien | 1-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.70 |
Jamie Moore | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -6.00 |
Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-0-4 | -6.00 | +2.50 |
Paddy Brennan | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.00 |
Nico de Boinville | 5-0-3 | -5.00 | +1.07 |
Harry Cobden | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
2024 Betfair Exchange Trophy Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 9, (7, F), 10, 8, 5, 1, 17, 4, UR, 13, (4, 7), (1, 15), 4, 3, 14, (1, 6), (4, 11), PU, 7
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (71%) - Made 4 - 13 starts (Further)
- 21 / 21 (72%) - Avoid claimers
- 21 / 21 (78%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 21 / 21 (81%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Higher Class)
- 21 / 21 (82%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (Hurdle)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Not on HY/GF/STD (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Made 4 - 15 starts (Hurdle)
- 21 / 21 (86%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Made 3 - 11 starts (1 Year)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Had 2 - 9 placings (Further)
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (Hurdle)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Betfair Exchange Trophy. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Betfair Exchange Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.
Betfair Exchange Trophy Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +55.25 is when runners ran on Good ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners' last win was 4 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Betfair Exchange Trophy is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 348 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Betfair Exchange Trophy, that stallion Beat Hollow has produced 2 winners (2020,2019).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Betfair Exchange Trophy despite multiple attempts:
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Pistolet Bleu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Thesis in 2003, winning for Venetia Williams at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of B J Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Betfair Exchange Trophy head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races at Ascot racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in June (Royal Ascot)
- Ascot Stakes
- Copper Horse Stakes
- Coventry Stakes
- Kings Stand Stakes
- Queen Anne Stakes
- St James's Palace Stakes
- Wolferton Stakes
- Duke of Cambridge Stakes
- Kensington Palace Stakes
- Prince of Wales's Stakes
- Queen Mary Stakes
- Queen's Vase
- Royal Hunt Cup
- Windsor Castle Stakes
- Ascot Gold Cup
- Britannia Stakes
- Buckingham Palace Stakes
- Hampton Court Stakes
- King George V Stakes
- Norfolk Stakes
- Ribblesdale Stakes
- Albany Stakes
- Commonwealth Cup
- Coronation Stakes
- Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
- King Edward VII Stakes
- Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
- Sandringham Stakes
- Chesham Stakes
- Golden Gates Stakes
- Hardwicke Stakes
- Jersey Stakes
- Queen Alexandra Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- Wokingham Stakes
Races in July
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Races in November
Races in December
Article Authors
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Betfair Exchange Trophy Preview, Tips, Runners and Trends are at hand, Darren and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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