Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Our preview of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle, a race contested over 1m7½f at Ascot, outlines the most significant winning records, details the accomplishments of leading trainers and jockeys and digs into the historical trends.
Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Preview

The Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle is scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Ascot racecourse. The race is Grade 3 and open to runners aged four years old or older and is run over one mile, seven and a half furlongs, with runners facing a total of eight hurdles.

Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot, then head over to the Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 142%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle, the over-round has been 129%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ129 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Brain Power (3:39.90) in 2016
  2. Jack The Giant (3:42.90) in 2007
  3. Fiercely Proud (3:44.10) in 2024

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 21 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.09. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2002 renewal when Chauvinist from Nicky Henderson under the guidance of Norman Williamson, won in a time of 4:24.40, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Brain Power, trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by David Mullins set the quickest time of 3:39.90 in the 2016 renewal.

What the expert says...
The last three winners have all come from the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham, Mohaayed (2018) and Cause Of Causes (2012) also both came here to win after running in that race.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: Abandoned in 2022 due to a frozen track.

YearHorseInfo
2024
3:44.10
Fiercely Proud (IRE)
5yo 10-13 12/1
Kielan Woods
Ben Pauling (GB)
2023
3:44.60
Luccia (GB)
5yo 11-8 9/2
Paul O'Brien
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2021
3:46.25
Tritonic (GB)
4yo 11-0 8/1
A P Heskin
Alan King (GB)
2020
3:51.90
Not So Sleepy (GB)
8yo 11-6 20/1
Tom O'Brien
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2019
3:50.75
Not So Sleepy (GB)
7yo 10-3 9/2F
Jonathan Burke
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2018
3:47.90
Mohaayed (GB)
6yo 11-10 16/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2017
3:49.40
Hunters Call (IRE)
7yo 10-3 9/1
Jack Kennedy
Olly Murphy (GB)
2016
3:39.90
Brain Power (IRE)
5yo 11-11 12/1
David Mullins
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2015
3:47.00
Jollys Cracked It (FR)
6yo 11-3 7/1F
Noel Fehily
Harry Fry (GB)
2015
3:47.00
Sternrubin (GER)
4yo 10-10 9/1
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 50 placings from 311 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 43 runners

Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nicky Henderson, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Chauvinist (2002), Jack The Giant (2007), Sentry Duty (2008), Brain Power (2016) and Luccia (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle are Alan King (2 wins), Dan Skelton (2 wins), Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Hughie Morrison (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle. Paul Nicholls (0-25), Gary Moore (0-16) and W P Mullins (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Nicky Henderson32-5-12+11.25+8.29
Alan King17-2-4+5.00+3.44
Dan Skelton12-2-4+16.00+8.32
Gordon Elliott5-2-3+36.00+23.88
Hughie Morrison4-2-2+22.50+13.31
David Pipe18-1-2-10.00-8.99
Philip Hobbs17-1-3-7.00-3.99
Venetia Williams9-1-2+25.00+15.13
Harry Fry9-1-4-1.00+1.87
Olly Murphy3-1-1+7.00+3.63

Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Harry Skelton, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Willows Saviour (2013) and Mohaayed (2018).

Here are some of the top Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Harry Skelton10-2-4+18.00+10.32
Jonathan Burke3-1-2+2.50+1.67
Kielan Woods2-1-1+11.00+6.50
Jack Kennedy2-1-1+8.00+4.63
Paul O'Brien1-1-1+4.50+2.70
Sam Twiston-Davies6-0-4-6.00+2.50
Harry Cobden6-0-1-6.00-4.44
Nico de Boinville5-0-3-5.00+1.07
Tom Cannon5-0-0-5.00-5.00
Tom Bellamy4-0-0-4.00-4.00

Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +67.25, is when runners ran on Good ground last time out.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when a runner's last win was 4 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-43.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Newbury and Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 343 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle; that stallion, Beat Hollow, has produced 2 winners (2020,2019).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Thesis in 2003, winning for Venetia Williams at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of B J Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle.

Route to the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Fiercely Proud
Cheltenham - 6th of 15 (16/1)
Greatwood Hurdle
2023 - Luccia
Cheltenham - 3rd of 15 (6/1)
Greatwood Hurdle
2021 - Tritonic
Cheltenham - 5th of 19 (10/1)
Greatwood Hurdle
2020 - Not So Sleepy
Newcastle - UR of 6 (23/1)
Fighting Fifth Hurdle
2019 - Not So Sleepy
Ascot - 1st of 9 (6/1)
Rewarding Ownership With The ROA Handicap Hurdle
2018 - Mohaayed
Cheltenham - 7th of 18 (25/1)
Greatwood Hurdle
2017 - Hunters Call
Sligo - 3rd of 10 (9/1)
BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle
2016 - Brain Power
Sandown - 1st of 10 (9/2)
Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle
2015 - Jollys Cracked It
Ascot - 3rd of 11 (5/1)
William Hill Handicap Hurdle
2015 - Sternrubin
Newbury - 1st of 7 (4/1)
Gerry Feilden Hurdle

Article Authors

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Ascot Festive Handicap Hurdle Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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