2022 Fighting Fifth Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 11, 10:51am Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:01pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 371 Views

2022 Fighting Fifth Hurdle Preview

Established in 1969, the Fighting Fifth Hurdle is scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Newcastle racecourse, the Grade 1 hurdle is open to runners who are aged four or older with the runners facing a total of nine hurdles during the race over a trip or two miles and half a furlong. Originally a Grade 2, it was upgraded to a Grade 1 in 2004 and is the first G1 hurdle race of the NH season.

If you are interested in other predictions at Newcastle then head over to the Newcastle Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Noel Meade trained Harchibald ridden by Paul Carberry who has set the fastest winning time in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:50.20 that was set when winning the race in 2004. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John Quinn and jockey Denis O'Regan with Countrywide Flame who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:10.50 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Fighting Fifth Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Harchibald (3:50.20)
  • 2020 - Epatante (3:50.79)
  • 2021 - Not So Sleepy (3:51.40)

How competitive is the Fighting Fifth Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle, the over-round has been 113% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.04. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Fighting Fifth Hurdle see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Fighting Fifth Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

*2021 was a dead-heat between Not So Sleepy & Epatante.

Year Horse Info
2021
3:51.40
Not So Sleepy (GB)
9yo 11-7 18/1
Jonathan Burke
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2021
3:51.40
Epatante (FR)
7yo 11-0 11/8F
Aidan Coleman
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2020
3:50.79
Epatante (FR)
6yo 11-0 8/11F
Aidan Coleman
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2019
4:05.70
Cornerstone Lad (GB)
5yo 11-7 16/1
Henry Brooke
Micky Hammond (GB)
2018
3:57.30
Buveur DAir (FR)
7yo 11-7 11/8
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2017
4:10.10
Buveur DAir (FR)
6yo 11-7 1/6F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2016
3:56.30
Irving (GB)
8yo 11-7 6/1
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2015
3:57.80
Identity Thief (IRE)
5yo 11-7 6/1
B J Cooper
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2014
4:00.10
Irving (GB)
6yo 11-7 6/4F
Nick Scholfield
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2013
3:51.70
My Tent Or Yours (IRE)
6yo 11-7 8/11F
A P McCoy
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 18 placings from 108 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 6 placings from 21 runners

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nicky Henderson who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Punjabi (2008), My Tent Or Yours (2013), Buveur DAir (2017), Buveur DAir (2018), Epatante (2020) & Epatante (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle are Noel Meade (3 wins), Paul Nicholls (2 wins) & Donald McCain (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Fighting Fifth Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Nicky Henderson 12-6-10 -0.88 +0.73
Noel Meade 3-3-3 +31.25 +19.38
Paul Nicholls 9-2-3 +0.50 -1.25
Donald McCain 3-2-2 +3.00 +2.50
Nicky Richards 9-1-4 +17.00 +19.53
John Quinn 5-1-3 -1.25 -2.03
Jonjo O'Neill 5-1-2 -2.90 -2.76
Hughie Morrison 3-1-1 +16.00 +9.25
Micky Hammond 2-1-1 +15.00 +9.00
Henry De Bromhead 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Aidan Coleman who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Epatante (2020) & Epatante (2021).

Here are some of the top Fighting Fifth Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Aidan Coleman 2-2-2 +2.11 +1.32
Nick Scholfield 3-1-1 -0.50 -1.06
Henry Brooke 2-1-1 +15.00 +9.00
B J Cooper 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75
Denis O'Regan 2-1-1 +1.75 -1.00
Jonathan Burke 1-1-1 +18.00 +11.25
Harry Cobden 1-1-1 +6.00 +3.75
Daryl Jacob 5-0-2 -5.00 -3.07
Graham Lee 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.28
Brian Hughes 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.90

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,3,(1,2),1,1,3,1,5,3,2,2,1,1,(3,6),2,1,2,2,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (74%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 21 (71%) - Won at least a Grade 3
  • 20 / 21 (74%) - Beaten no more 13l (LTO)
  • 19 / 21 (70%) - Fewer than 16 hurdle starts
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Never has fallen
  • 19 / 21 (78%) - Last win came over 2m+
  • 19 / 21 (81%) - Fewer than 37 career starts
  • 18 / 21 (50%) - Finished first two (LTO)
  • 18 / 21 (62%) - Won within last 3 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newcastle racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Fighting Fifth Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +67.47 is when runners last place was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle are Punchestown, Aintree and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 121 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Fighting Fifth Hurdle:

  • Crillon (2 Wins)
  • No Risk At All (2 Wins)
  • Perugino (2 Wins)
  • Singspiel (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was The French Furze in 2003 when winning for Nicky Richards at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Brian Harding. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Fighting Fifth Hurdle why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races at Newcastle racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newcastle racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in July

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