2022 Balmoral Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 17, 2:27pm Last Updated: Oct 18, 2:28pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 3084 Views

2022 Balmoral Handicap Preview

The Balmoral Handicap is the only handicap on Champions Day at Ascot which takes place in October. Established in 2014, the 2019 renewal will be just the sixth time this race has been staged. The race is a Class 2 which is open to 3yo+ and is run over a straight mile with a maximum field of 20.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Ascot Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 8 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2017 renewal when Lord Glitters from David O'Meara who under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope, won in a time of 1:45.91, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Yuften, trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by Andrea Atzeni set the quickest time of 1:39.70 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Balmoral Handicap over the last 8 renewals:

  • 2016 - Yuften (1:39.70)
  • 2015 - Musaddas (1:40.84)
  • 2021 - Aldaary (1:42.64)

How competitive is the Balmoral Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 8 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 144%, whilst on average over the last 8 renewals of the Balmoral Handicap, the over-round has been 135% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 8 if you had followed the winner of the Balmoral Handicap next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 7 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.38. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Balmoral Handicap.

Balmoral Handicap Past Winners

Here are the past 8 winners of the Balmoral Handicap. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Balmoral Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
3yo 9-6 (11 of 20) 7/2
Jim Crowley
William Haggas
4yo 9-5 (4 of 18) 15/2
Tom Marquand
Mrs John Harrington
5yo 9-6 (21 of 20) 16/1
Adam Kirby
David O'Meara
Sharja Bridge
4yo 9-5 (8 of 20) 8/1
James Doyle
Roger Varian
Lord Glitters
4yo 9-3 (3 of 20) 3/1F
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara
5yo 9-1 (1 of 19) 12/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Charlton
5yo 8-2 (4 of 20) 7/1
Edward Greatrex (5lbs)
Saeed bin Suroor
Bronze Angel
5yo 9-2 (10 of 27) 20/1
Louis Steward (3lbs)
Marcus Tregoning

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Balmoral Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 7 winners with an additional 24 placings from 155 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners

Balmoral Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Balmoral Handicap over the last 8 renewals is David O'Meara who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Lord Glitters (2017) & Escobar (2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Balmoral Handicap, John Gosden has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Balmoral Handicap trainer statistics over the last 8 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
David O'Meara 15-2-4 +6.00 +4.89
Roger Varian 5-1-1 +4.00 +1.00
William Haggas 4-1-2 +0.50 +0.69
Marcus Tregoning 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.50
Roger Charlton 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50
Saeed bin Suroor 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.38
Mrs John Harrington 1-1-1 +7.50 +4.69
John Gosden 11-0-5 -11.00 +0.25
Andrew Balding 9-0-1 -9.00 -3.50
Richard Fahey 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00

Balmoral Handicap Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Balmoral Handicap jockey statistics over the last 8 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
James Doyle 6-1-1 +3.00 +0.00
Jim Crowley 6-1-1 -1.50 -2.81
Daniel Tudhope 6-1-2 -2.00 -1.74
Andrea Atzeni 5-1-2 +8.00 +6.50
Adam Kirby 4-1-2 +13.00 +11.63
Louis Steward 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.50
Tom Marquand 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
Edward Greatrex 1-1-1 +7.00 +4.38
Jamie Spencer 8-0-1 -8.00 +0.75
Frankie Dettori 8-0-2 -8.00 -5.63

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,(12,13),11,7,1,7,2,5,14

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 8 / 8 (53%) - Just 1 start in the past 30 days
  • 8 / 8 (54%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 8 / 8 (69%) - First 4 finish within last 3 starts
  • 7 / 8 (48%) - Coming from a 14-21 day break
  • 7 / 8 (53%) - Either 4yo-5yo
  • 7 / 8 (71%) - Ran in a Cl2 LTO
  • 7 / 8 (75%) - Ran in a Hcp LTO

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Balmoral Handicap. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Balmoral Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Balmoral Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 4+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.00 is when runners were aged 5yo. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 starts in the past 30 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-44.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 11 (15,12,7) [20 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (7,2,10) [18 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 21 (20,4,7) [20 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 8 (15,7,17) [20 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 3 (18,17,15) [20 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Balmoral Handicap is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 161 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 3 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Balmoral Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 8 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Bronze Angel in 2014 when winning for Marcus Tregoning at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Louis Steward. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 8 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favourite in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Balmoral Handicap see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

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