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2022 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 17, 2:03pm Last Updated: Oct 18, 2:38pm Horse Racing 1 Comment 1524 Views

2022 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview

When looking back over the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes previous winners, there are some great horses who have won this race. These include the likes of Brigadier Gerard, George Washington, Rip Van Winkle and of course the legend that is Frankel. The Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is a Group 1 race and the highlight on Champions Day at Ascot. It is run over a mile and is open to three-year-olds or older with the 3yo runners getting a 3lb allowance. Willie Carson loved this race, he rode the winner on eight occasions making him the leading all-time jockey.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Ascot Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 13 renewals, it was the A P O'Brien trained Minding ridden by Ryan Moore who has set the fastest winning time in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:38.53 that was set when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer F Head and jockey Olivier Peslier with Charm Spirit who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:46.28 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 13 renewals:

  • 2016 - Minding (1:38.53)
  • 2009 - Rip Van Winkle (1:38.82)
  • 2011 - Frankel (1:39.45)

How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 13 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 13 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 13 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.18. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Past Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:42.57
Baaeed
3yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 2/1
Jim Crowley
William Haggas
2020
1:45.13
The Revenant
5yo 9-4 (6 of 14) 5/1
Pierre-Charles Boudot
F-H Graffard
2019
1:44.88
King Of Change
3yo 9-1 (12 of 16) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon
2018
1:42.48
Roaring Lion
3yo 9-1 (15 of 13) 2/1F
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden
2017
1:46.13
Persuasive
4yo 9-1 (6 of 15) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2016
1:38.53
Minding
3yo 8-12 (8 of 13) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2015
1:41.92
Solow
5yo 9-4 (2 of 9) 11/10F
Maxime Guyon
F Head
2014
1:46.28
Charm Spirit
3yo 9-1 (7 of 11) 5/1
Olivier Peslier
F Head
2013
1:44.18
Olympic Glory
3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 11/2
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:42.33
Excelebration
4yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 10/11F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 7 winners with an additional 18 placings from 101 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 27 runners
  • FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 11 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 13 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Rip Van Winkle (2009), Excelebration (2012) & Minding (2016). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is John Gosden (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes trainer statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 19-3-7 -12.72 -6.98
John Gosden 9-2-4 +3.00 +0.62
William Haggas 8-1-1 -5.00 -4.80
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 -0.50 -1.30
Richard Hannon 3-1-3 +10.00 +7.70
F-H Graffard 3-1-2 +3.00 +1.50
Andrew Balding 9-0-0 -9.00 -9.00
David Simcock 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.60
Sir Michael Stoute 6-0-0 -6.00 -5.00
David O'Meara 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 13 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Poets Voice (2010) & Persuasive (2017).

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes jockey statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 11-2-4 +3.50 +0.72
Ryan Moore 10-1-2 -7.25 -6.00
Oisin Murphy 6-1-2 -3.00 -2.40
Jim Crowley 5-1-1 -2.00 -2.80
Olivier Peslier 3-1-1 +3.00 +1.00
Tom Queally 3-1-1 -1.64 -1.78
Sean Levey 2-1-1 +11.00 +5.00
Maxime Guyon 1-1-1 +1.10 +0.66
William Buick 8-0-4 -8.00 -2.40
James Doyle 8-0-2 -8.00 -3.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,5,1,1,4,2,1,1,2,1,16,3,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 13 / 13 (60%) - In First 3 LTO
  • 13 / 13 (68%) - No bigger than 11/2 LTO
  • 13 / 13 (75%) - Placed within last 80 days
  • 12 / 13 (35%) - Sent off no bigger than 8/1
  • 12 / 13 (45%) - Within the first 5 of the market
  • 12 / 13 (70%) - Had previously placed in a G1 (Ideally won)
  • 11 / 13 (61%) - 7-16 Career Starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.46 is when runners ran over 1m on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 131lbs on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-49.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 10 (5,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (10,5) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (10,8) [16 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 15 (5,4) [13 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 6 (13,1) [15 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes are Longchamp and Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 122 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 19 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes:

  • Galileo (3 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Whipper (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 13 renewals, the biggest priced winner was King Of Change in 2019 when winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Sean Levey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 13 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races at Ascot racecourse

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