Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Champions Day)

Preview the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot, exploring past winners, top trainers, and jockeys. Discover key trends shaping this prestigious race, part of British Champions Day, as we analyze what to expect this year.
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Champions Day)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview

When looking back over the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes' previous winners, some great horses have won this race. These include the likes of Brigadier Gerard, George Washington, Rip Van Winkle and of course, the legend that is Frankel.

The Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is a Group 1 race and the highlight on Champions Day at Ascot, It is run over a mile and is open to three-year-olds or older with the 3-year-old runners getting a 3lb allowance.

Willie Carson loved this race, he rode the winner on eight occasions making him the leading all-time jockey.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot then head over to the Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule for British Champions Day at Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 16 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 16 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 16 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 11 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.74. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 16 renewals, a time of 1:38.53 was set by Minding in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Charm Spirit won in a time of 1:46.28, booked to ride was Olivier Peslier by the trainer F Head.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 16 renewals:

  1. Minding (1:38.53) in 2016
  2. Rip Van Winkle (1:38.82) in 2009
  3. Frankel (1:39.45) in 2011

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:45.98
Charyn (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (8 of 12) 13/8F
Silvestre De Sousa
Roger Varian (GB)
2023
1:44.58
Big Rock (FR)
3yo 9-3 (6 of 11) 5/1
Aurelien Lemaitre
Christopher Head (FR)
2022
1:45.53
Bayside Boy (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (7 of 9) 33/1
Tom Marquand
Roger Varian (GB)
2021
1:42.57
Baaeed (GB)
3yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 2/1
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2020
1:45.13
The Revenant (GB)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 14) 5/1
Pierre-Charles Boudot
F-H Graffard (FR)
2019
1:44.88
King Of Change (GB)
3yo 9-1 (12 of 16) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:42.48
Roaring Lion (USA)
3yo 9-1 (15 of 13) 2/1F
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden (GB)
2017
1:46.13
Persuasive (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (6 of 15) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
1:38.53
Minding (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (8 of 13) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:41.92
Solow (GB)
5yo 9-4 (2 of 9) 11/10F
Maxime Guyon
F Head (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 9 winners with an additional 21 placings from 123 runners
  • FR: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 16 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 5 placings from 32 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 16 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Rip Van Winkle (2009), Excelebration (2012) and Minding (2016). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes are John Gosden (2 wins) and Roger Varian (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, Andrew Balding has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes trainer statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien21-3-7-14.72-8.98
John Gosden9-2-4+3.00+0.62
Roger Varian7-2-4+29.63+22.88
William Haggas8-1-1-5.00-4.80
Saeed bin Suroor6-1-1-0.50-1.30
F-H Graffard4-1-2+2.00+0.50
Richard Hannon3-1-3+10.00+7.70
Christopher Head1-1-1+5.00+3.00
Andrew Balding10-0-0-10.00-10.00
David Simcock7-0-1-7.00-5.60

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 16 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Poets Voice (2010) and Persuasive (2017). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 16 renewals in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, William Buick has ridden 11 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst James Doyle has ridden 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes jockey statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Frankie Dettori13-2-4+1.50-1.28
Ryan Moore13-1-2-10.25-9.00
Oisin Murphy7-1-3-4.00-2.55
Jim Crowley6-1-1-3.00-3.80
Tom Marquand5-1-1+29.00+15.80
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-1-0.37-1.02
Tom Queally3-1-1-1.64-1.78
Sean Levey2-1-1+11.00+5.00
Maxime Guyon2-1-2+0.10+0.71
Aurelien Lemaitre1-1-1+5.00+3.00

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 8+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.49 is when the runners' last win was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 8 (3,9) [12 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 6 (8,10) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 7 (8,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 10 (5,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (10,5) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is Longchamp, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 14 winners from a total of 149 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 24 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes:

  • Galileo (3 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kingman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Whipper (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 16 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bayside Boy in 2022, winning for Roger Varian at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tom Marquand. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 16 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule for British Champions Day at Ascot

Here is the schedule for the British Champions Day at Ascot, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
British Champions Long Distance CupKyprios (IRE)
6yo - 8/11
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
British Champions Sprint StakesKind Of Blue (GB)
3yo - 10/1
James Fanshawe
James Doyle
British Champions Fillies Mares StakesKalpana (GB)
3yo - 100/30
Andrew Balding
William Buick
Queen Elizabeth II StakesCharyn (IRE)
4yo - 13/8
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa
British Champion StakesAnmaat (IRE)
6yo - 40/1
Owen Burrows
Jim Crowley
Balmoral HandicapCarrytheone (GB)
7yo - 14/1
Michael Bell
Christophe Soumillon

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster Competition Manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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