Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Champions Day)

Updated: 2347 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, a race run over 1m at Ascot during the Champions Day.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Champions Day)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview

When looking back over the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes' previous winners, there are some great horses who have won this race. These include the likes of Brigadier Gerard, George Washington, Rip Van Winkle and of course, the legend that is Frankel. The Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is a Group 1 race and the highlight on Champions Day at Ascot. It is run over a mile and is open to three-year-olds or older with the 3yo runners getting a 3lb allowance. Willie Carson loved this race, he rode the winner on eight occasions making him the leading all-time jockey.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered on Champions Day section for links to these.

How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 15 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 15 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 15 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.74. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 15 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2014 renewal when Charm Spirit from F Head under the guidance of Olivier Peslier, won in a time of 1:46.28, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Minding, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:38.53 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 15 renewals:

  • 2016 - Minding (1:38.53)
  • 2009 - Rip Van Winkle (1:38.82)
  • 2011 - Frankel (1:39.45)

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:44.58
Big Rock (FR)
3yo 9-3 (6 of 11) 5/1
Aurelien Lemaitre
Christopher Head (FR)
2022
1:45.53
Bayside Boy (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (7 of 9) 33/1
Tom Marquand
Roger Varian (GB)
2021
1:42.57
Baaeed (GB)
3yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 2/1
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2020
1:45.13
The Revenant (GB)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 14) 5/1
Pierre-Charles Boudot
F-H Graffard (FR)
2019
1:44.88
King Of Change (GB)
3yo 9-1 (12 of 16) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:42.48
Roaring Lion (USA)
3yo 9-1 (15 of 13) 2/1F
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden (GB)
2017
1:46.13
Persuasive (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (6 of 15) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
1:38.53
Minding (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (8 of 13) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:41.92
Solow (GB)
5yo 9-4 (2 of 9) 11/10F
Maxime Guyon
F Head (FR)
2014
1:46.28
Charm Spirit (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (7 of 11) 5/1
Olivier Peslier
F Head (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 20 placings from 115 runners
  • FR: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 14 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 5 placings from 30 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 15 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Rip Van Winkle (2009), Excelebration (2012) and Minding (2016). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is John Gosden (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, Andrew Balding has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes trainer statistics over the last 15 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien20-3-7-13.72-7.98
John Gosden9-2-4+3.00+0.62
William Haggas8-1-1-5.00-4.80
Roger Varian6-1-3+28.00+21.90
Saeed bin Suroor6-1-1-0.50-1.30
F-H Graffard4-1-2+2.00+0.50
Richard Hannon3-1-3+10.00+7.70
Christopher Head1-1-1+5.00+3.00
Andrew Balding10-0-0-10.00-10.00
David Simcock7-0-1-7.00-5.60

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over the last 15 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Poets Voice (2010) and Persuasive (2017). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 15 renewals in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, James Doyle has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst William Buick has ridden 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Stakes jockey statistics over the last 15 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Frankie Dettori13-2-4+1.50-1.28
Ryan Moore12-1-2-9.25-8.00
Oisin Murphy6-1-2-3.00-2.40
Jim Crowley6-1-1-3.00-3.80
Tom Marquand4-1-1+30.00+16.80
Olivier Peslier3-1-1+3.00+1.00
Tom Queally3-1-1-1.64-1.78
Sean Levey2-1-1+11.00+5.00
Aurelien Lemaitre1-1-1+5.00+3.00
Maxime Guyon1-1-1+1.10+0.66

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 16, 3, 2, 6, 9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 15 / 15 (55%) - Placed within last 1 start
  • 15 / 15 (65%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 15 / 15 (68%) - No bigger than 11/2 (LTO)
  • 15 / 15 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (LTO)
  • 15 / 15 (69%) - Made 5 - 16 starts (Career)
  • 15 / 15 (70%) - Had 1 - 2 placings (90 Days)
  • 15 / 15 (71%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 15 / 15 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Last 3)
  • 15 / 15 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Class)
  • 15 / 15 (73%) - Break of 14 - 80 days (Last Place)
  • 15 / 15 (73%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (LTO)
  • 15 / 15 (73%) - Beaten no more -5l (LTO)
  • 15 / 15 (76%) - Made 2 - 10 starts (Trip)
  • 15 / 15 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 5)
  • 15 / 15 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Class)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 8+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.49 is when runners last win was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (8,10) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 7 (8,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 10 (5,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (10,5) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (10,8) [16 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes is Longchamp, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 13 winners from a total of 138 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 23 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes:

  • Galileo (3 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kingman (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Whipper (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 15 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bayside Boy in 2022, winning for Roger Varian at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tom Marquand. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 15 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered on Champions Day

Champions Day races for Saturday 19th October 2024

Here are the races at the Ascot racecourse which take place on Champions Day, all of which we have blogs for.

Race2023 WinnerInfo
13:15 Ascot
British Champions Long Distance Cup
Trawlerman (IRE)
5yo - 9/1
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
13:50 Ascot
British Champions Sprint Stakes
Art Power (IRE)
6yo - 40/1
Tim Easterby
David Allan
14:25 Ascot
British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
Poptronic (GB)
4yo - 22/1
K R Burke
Sam James
15:05 Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Big Rock (FR)
3yo - 5/1
Christopher Head
Aurelien Lemaitre
15:45 Ascot
British Champion Stakes
King Of Steel (USA)
3yo - 3/1
Roger Varian
Frankie Dettori
16:25 Ascot
Balmoral Handicap
The Gatekeeper (IRE)
4yo - 25/1
Charlie Johnston
Joe Fanning

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