King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 2482 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Ascot with the race being run over a distance of 1m4f, see which trends the past winners of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes have set for this year.

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Preview

Run at Ascot racecourse, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes was established in 1951 and is one of Britain's most prestigious open-age flat races on the calendar. The race takes place in July of each year and is open to runners aged three years old or older and is run over one mile and four furlongs, three-year-old runners get an 11lb allowance on their older runners with fillies and mares receive a 3lb allowance and four-year-old runners from the southern hemisphere getting a 4lb allowance.

Plenty of the winners go on to succeed in top-class races, both the 2012 (Danedream) and 2013 (Novellist) winners went on to win the Grosser Preis von Baden next time out, a top-class group 1 race in Germany, and the 2015 winner (Postponed) went on to win the Prix Foy at Longchamp next time out and of course, Enable who won the race in 2017, 2019 & 2020 went on to Prix de L'arc so the future form is something to keep on eye on.

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot then head over to the Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.29. Whilst we wait for the 2024 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Novellist, trained by A Wohler and ridden by Johnny Murtagh who set the fastest winning time in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:24.60 when winning the race in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori with Enable who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:36.22 in the 2017 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Novellist (2:24.60) in 2013
  2. Poets Word (2:25.84) in 2018
  3. Adayar (2:26.54) in 2021

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Past Winners

Here are the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
2:33.95
Hukum (IRE)
6yo 9-9 (4 of 10) 13/2
Jim Crowley
Owen Burrows (GB)
2022
2:29.49
Pyledriver (GB)
5yo 9-9 (4 of 6) 18/1
P J McDonald
William Muir & Chris Grassick (GB)
2021
2:26.54
Adayar (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (4 of 5) 9/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
2:28.92
Enable (GB)
6yo 9-4 (3 of 3) 4/9F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2019
2:32.42
Enable (GB)
5yo 9-4 (11 of 11) 8/15F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:25.84
Poets Word (IRE)
5yo 9-7 (8 of 7) 7/4
James Doyle
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
2:36.22
Enable (GB)
3yo 8-7 (7 of 10) 5/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
2:28.97
Highland Reel (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (3 of 7) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:31.25
Postponed (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (9 of 7) 6/1
Andrea Atzeni
Luca Cumani (GB)
2014
2:28.13
Taghrooda (GB)
3yo 8-6 (7 of 8) 7/2
Paul Hanagan
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 21 placings from 96 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 39 runners
  • GER: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 10 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Dylan Thomas (2007), Duke Of Marmalade (2008) and Highland Reel (2016).

Here are the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien34-3-6-27.45-23.44
Charlie Appleby1-1-1+2.25+1.41
John & Thady Gosden4-0-1-4.00-2.69
Ralph Beckett3-0-1-3.00-1.80
William Haggas1-0-1-1.00+0.70
F-H Graffard1-0-0-1.00-1.00

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and William Buick who have both won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Conduit (2009) and Highland Reel (2016). William Buick winners have been with Nathaniel (2011) and Adayar (2021).

Here are the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore16-2-5-10.74-8.60
William Buick8-2-4+1.75+1.29
James Doyle3-1-2-0.25-0.06
Christophe Soumillon2-1-1-0.17-0.48
Oisin Murphy3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Sean Levey2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Wayne Lordan2-0-0-2.00-2.00

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.81 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 3rd in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 4 (10,3) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 [3 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 11 (9,4) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Sandown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 140 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes:

  • Nathaniel (3 Wins)
  • Danehill (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, that stallion is Halling who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Pyledriver in 2022, winning for William Muir & Chris Grassick at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trend Shortlist

Ascot will host the 2024 renewal of the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes which will be run at 3:40 pm on Saturday 27th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Bluestocking (5/1)
    • Ralph Beckett (3-0-1 -3.00 / -1.80)
    • Rossa Ryan (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Auguste Rodin (14/15), Luxembourg (14/15), Rebels Romance (14/15), Sunway (13/15), Dubai Honour (12/15), Goliath (8/15), Middle Earth (8/15) and Hans Andersen (6/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:59 am Thursday 25th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

Auguste Rodin won the Prince of Wales's Stakes last time out and a total of 6 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -1.40.

Dubai Honour won the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud last time out and a total of 9 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +6.57.

Luxembourg won the Coronation Cup last time out and a total of 8 previous winners of that race from a total of 17 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +8.34.

Rebels Romance won the Champions and Chater Cup last time out and a total of 1 previous winner of that race from a total of 9 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -1.80.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (11:59 am Thursday 25th July 2024):

  • 🥇 Rebels Romance (4/1)
    • Charlie Appleby (1-1-1 +2.25 / +1.41)
    • William Buick (8-2-4 +1.75 / +1.29)
  • 🥈 Auguste Rodin (6/5)
    • A P O'Brien (34-3-6 -27.45 / -23.44)
    • Ryan Moore (16-2-5 -10.74 / -8.60)
  • 🥉 Dubai Honour (20/1)
    • William Haggas (1-0-1 -1.00 / +0.70)
    • Tom Marquand (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Luxembourg, Bluestocking, Goliath, Hans Andersen, Middle Earth and Sunway.

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!