OLBG App 5K+ Tips Search Members Logout Login Register

2023 Clarence House Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jan 23, 12:28pm Last Updated: Jan 23, 11:43am Horse Racing 0 Comments 299 Views

2023 Clarence House Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Ascot racecourse is the Clarence House Chase, a Grade 1 Chase which is run over a trip of two miles and one furlong in which there will be a total of thirteen fences to be jumped during the race with the race being open to runners aged five or older.

The race was sponsored for a long time by Victor Chandler and is sometimes still called by its sponsored name, it can be a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, Viking Flagship (1994), Call Equiname (1999), Master Minded (2009), Sprinter Sacre (2013), Sire de Grugy (2014), Dodging Bullets (2015) and Altior (2019) have all won both races in the same year.

Clarence House Chase Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot then head over to the Ascot Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:49.90 was set by Tysou in 2006, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Mick Fitzgerald. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Sprinter Sacre won in a time of 4:32.68, booked to ride was Barry Geraghty on this Nicky Henderson trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Clarence House Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Tysou (3:49.90)
  • 2004 - Isio (3:51.90)
  • 2003 - Young Devereaux (3:52.50)

How competitive is the Clarence House Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Clarence House Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Clarence House Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.47. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Clarence House Chase see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Clarence House Chase Past Winners

Here are the Clarence House Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Clarence House Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: Race Abandoned 2007, moved in 2003 (Kempton), 2005 (Cheltenham), 2006 (Sandown), 2013 (Cheltenham) & 2017 (Cheltenham). Ran as a handicap race until 2007 when promoted to Grade 1 status.

Year Horse Info
2022
4:16.17
Shishkin (IRE)
8yo 11-7 5/6F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2021
4:18.48
First Flow (IRE)
9yo 11-7 14/1
David Bass
Kim Bailey (GB)
2020
4:17.72
Defi Du Seuil (FR)
7yo 11-7 11/10F
Barry Geraghty
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2019
4:06.30
Altior (IRE)
9yo 11-7 1/10F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2018
4:26.40
Un De Sceaux (FR)
10yo 11-7 4/9F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:11.70
Un De Sceaux (FR)
9yo 11-7 1/2F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
4:14.70
Un De Sceaux (FR)
8yo 11-7 1/2F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
4:08.70
Dodging Bullets (GB)
7yo 11-7 7/2
Noel Fehily
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2014
4:19.10
Sire De Grugy (FR)
8yo 11-7 5/4F
Jamie Moore
Gary Moore (GB)
2013
4:32.68
Sprinter Sacre (FR)
7yo 11-7 1/5F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Clarence House Chase have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 24 placings from 123 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 17 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Clarence House Chase Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Clarence House Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls & Nicky Henderson who have both won the race 5 times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Young Devereaux (2003), Master Minded (2009), Twist Magic (2010), Master Minded (2011) & Dodging Bullets (2015). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Isio (2004), Tysou (2006), Sprinter Sacre (2013), Altior (2019) & Shishkin (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Clarence House Chase is W P Mullins (3 wins).

Here are some of the top Clarence House Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 26-5-11 -10.80 -8.52
Nicky Henderson 18-5-11 +2.13 +4.87
W P Mullins 8-3-4 -3.56 -2.46
Philip Hobbs 8-1-3 -5.90 -0.81
David Pipe 5-1-1 +8.00 +3.50
Gary Moore 4-1-2 -1.75 -1.38
Tim Easterby 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.70
Kim Bailey 2-1-1 +13.00 +8.40
Venetia Williams 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.85
Colin Tizzard 4-0-0 -4.00 -3.00

Clarence House Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Clarence House Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Altior (2019) & Shishkin (2022).

Here are some of the top Clarence House Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Nico de Boinville 3-2-2 -0.07 -1.00
Tom Scudamore 6-1-1 +7.00 +2.50
David Bass 3-1-2 +12.00 +8.70
Jamie Moore 3-1-2 -0.75 -0.38
Paul Townend 3-1-2 -1.56 -0.08
Daryl Jacob 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Harry Cobden 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.36
Paddy Brennan 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.40
Sam Twiston-Davies 2-0-1 -2.00 +4.75
Sean Bowen 2-0-1 -2.00 +0.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,8,(3,F),2,2,5,2,1,1,1,(2,3),1,1,2,1,1,1,1,(1,2),2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Had 1-5 wins (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Placed within last 4 starts
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 1-12 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 1-8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more than 19l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Never off bigger than 50/1
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more than 15.5l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - Within first 5 of market
  • 17 / 20 (67%) - Off a break of 16-42 days

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Clarence House Chase. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Clarence House Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Clarence House Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.12 is when runners last win was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Clarence House Chase is Sandown, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Clarence House Chase:

  • Denham Red (3 Wins)
  • Nikos (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was First Flow in 2021 when winning for Kim Bailey at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of David Bass. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Clarence House Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races at Ascot racecourse

Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please Register / Login to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.