Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Tingle Creek Preview
The Grade 1 Tingle Creek is scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sandown racecourse, first run in 1979 this race was originally a handicap but in 1994 was upgraded to a Grade 1 race which is open to runners aged four or older and is run over a trip of just shy of two miles in which there are thirteen obstacles to be jumped.
There have been plenty of top-class runners who have won this race including the likes of Desert Orchid, Moscow Flyer (Twice), Kauto Star (Twice), Master Minded (Twice) Sprinter Sacre, Sire de Grugy (Twice), Un de Sceaux and Flagship Uberalles who won the race a record three times!
Tingle Creek Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Sandown then head over to the Sandown tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Tingle Creek market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Tingle Creek, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Tingle Creek Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Tingle Creek next time out then you would have backed a total of 13 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +7.86. Ahead of the 2024 Tingle Creek why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:51.35 was set by Un De Sceaux in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2005 when Kauto Star won in a time of 4:06.80, booked to ride was Mick Fitzgerald on this Paul Nicholls trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Tingle Creek over the last 20 renewals:
- Un De Sceaux (3:51.35) in 2016
- Sire De Grugy (3:51.40) in 2013
- Moscow Flyer (3:52.20) in 2004
Tingle Creek Past Winners
Here are the Tingle Creek past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Tingle Creek as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:05.19 | Jonbon (FR) 7yo 11-10 30/100F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 3:58.20 | Edwardstone (GB) 8yo 11-10 5/1 | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2021 4:02.40 | Greaneteen (FR) 7yo 11-7 12/1 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2020 3:58.14 | Politologue (FR) 9yo 11-7 11/8F | Harry Skelton Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.00 | Defi Du Seuil (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/1F | Barry Geraghty Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2018 4:03.20 | Altior (IRE) 8yo 11-7 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 3:54.30 | Politologue (FR) 6yo 11-7 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2016 3:51.35 | Un De Sceaux (FR) 8yo 11-7 5/4F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 3:53.90 | Sire De Grugy (FR) 9yo 11-7 100/30 | Jamie Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2014 4:00.40 | Dodging Bullets (GB) 6yo 11-7 9/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Tingle Creek have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 20 placings from 114 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Tingle Creek Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Tingle Creek over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race ten times with those ten winners coming from Kauto Star (2005 & 2006), Twist Magic (2007 & 2009), Master Minded (2008 & 2010), Dodging Bullets (2014), Politologue (2017 & 2020) and Greaneteen (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Tingle Creek are Nicky Henderson (3 wins) and Gary Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tingle Creek trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 31-10-16 | +16.55 | +8.91 |
| Nicky Henderson | 9-3-5 | -4.72 | -4.00 |
| Gary Moore | 7-2-3 | +0.08 | +0.26 |
| Alan King | 8-1-4 | -2.00 | +3.36 |
| W P Mullins | 5-1-2 | -2.75 | -1.42 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 4-1-2 | -1.62 | -1.27 |
| Philip Hobbs | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | -0.80 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| David Pipe | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Tingle Creek Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Tingle Creek over the last 20 renewals with both Jamie Moore and Nico de Boinville who have both won the race two times. Jamie Moore winners have been with Sire De Grugy (2013 & 2015). Nico de Boinville winners have been with Altior (2018) and Jonbon (2023).
Here are some of the top Tingle Creek jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Moore | 5-2-3 | +2.08 | +1.26 |
| Nico de Boinville | 4-2-2 | -1.08 | -2.00 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-4 | -0.50 | +1.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.40 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-1-1 | -0.62 | -1.14 |
| Tom Cannon | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +3.13 |
| Bryony Frost | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Daryl Jacob | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -4.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Paddy Brennan | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
2024 Tingle Creek Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (1, 2), 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, 1, (1, 3), (4, 7), 3, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 159+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Achieved a TS of 138+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 140+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Break of 14 - 344 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 4 - 22 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 13/2 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 12 - 36 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Dam is not EG/GB/NZ bred
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 152+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Won by at least 1¼l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sandown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Tingle Creek. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Tingle Creek by adding a tip on the race here.
Tingle Creek Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.46 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Tingle Creek is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Exeter, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Exeter last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 132 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Tingle Creek:
- My Risk (2 Wins)
- Nikos (2 Wins)
- Poliglote (2 Wins)
- Village Star (2 Wins)
- Winged Love (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Tingle Creek, that stallion is Oscar who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Greaneteen in 2021, winning for Paul Nicholls at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Bryony Frost. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races at Sandown racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Sandown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Jump Finale)
Races in April (Classic Trial Day)
Races in July
Races in December
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