2023 Maghull Novices Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

The Grade 1 Maghull Novices Chase is open to runners aged five or older who came into the season having not won over fences making them a novice and is run over a distance of just shy of two miles.

2023 Maghull Novices Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Maghull Novices Chase Preview

The Maghull Novices Chase is open to runners aged five or older who came into the season having not won over fences making them a novice, it is run at the Aintree racecourse in April during the Grand National meeting. This Grade 1 is run over a distance of just shy of two miles with runners having to contend with twelve fences, runners who competed in the Arkle at Cheltenham tend to come to this race with Douvan winning both in 2016.

Maghull Novices Chase Content:

Our dedicated Aintree Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Maghull Novices Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Aintree throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Alan King trained Balder Succes ridden by Wayne Hutchinson who has set the fastest winning time in the Maghull Novices Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 3:48.40 that was set when winning the race in 2014. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer T Doumen and jockey A P McCoy with Foreman who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:12.30 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Maghull Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Balder Succes (3:48.40)
  • 2015 - Sizing Granite (3:50.20)
  • 2019 - Ornua (3:50.90)

How competitive is the Maghull Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Maghull Novices Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Maghull Novices Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.71. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Maghull Novices Chase Past Winners

Here are the Maghull Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Maghull Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
3:53.57
Gentleman De Mee (FR)
6yo 11-4 7/2
Mark Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
3:55.69
Shishkin (IRE)
7yo 11-4 1/8F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2019
3:50.90
Ornua (IRE)
8yo 11-4 3/1F
Davy Russell
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2018
4:08.20
Diego Du Charmil (FR)
6yo 11-4 5/1
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2017
3:56.60
San Benedeto (FR)
6yo 11-4 4/1
Nick Scholfield
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2016
3:56.80
Douvan (FR)
6yo 11-4 2/13F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
3:50.20
Sizing Granite (IRE)
7yo 11-4 9/2
Jonathan Burke
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2014
3:48.40
Balder Succes (FR)
6yo 11-4 7/2
Wayne Hutchinson
Alan King (GB)
2013
4:01.10
Special Tiara (GB)
6yo 11-4 28/1
B J Cooper
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2012
3:55.30
Sprinter Sacre (FR)
6yo 11-4 1/7F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Maghull Novices Chase have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 17 placings from 102 runners
  • IRE: 5 winners with an additional 6 placings from 26 runners
  • FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Maghull Novices Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Maghull Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Armaturk (2002), Le Roi Miguel (2003), Twist Magic (2007), Tataniano (2010), San Benedeto (2017) & Diego Du Charmil (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Maghull Novices Chase are Nicky Henderson (3 wins), Henry De Bromhead (3 wins) & W P Mullins (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Maghull Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 22-6-11 +3.33 +0.95
Nicky Henderson 8-3-3 -3.82 -4.35
Henry De Bromhead 6-3-4 +32.50 +19.79
W P Mullins 2-2-2 +3.65 +2.28
Alan King 3-1-3 +1.50 +1.37
Kevin Bishop 1-1-1 +3.00 +1.80
Nicky Richards 4-0-2 -4.00 +2.50
Philip Hobbs 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.06
Dan Skelton 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Gary Moore 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

Maghull Novices Chase Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Maghull Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 5-1-3 -1.00 +0.18
Paddy Brennan 5-1-2 -1.00 -1.47
Graham Lee 3-1-1 +0.25 -0.59
B J Cooper 2-1-2 +27.00 +18.00
Harry Cobden 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.13
Nick Scholfield 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.50
Denis O'Regan 2-1-1 +0.50 +0.90
Jonathan Burke 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81
Mark Walsh 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.19
Paul Townend 1-1-1 +0.15 +0.09

2023 Maghull Novices Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,3,1,2,2,1,1,2,2,1,1,3,3,2,1,3,2,(1,2),1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - 1-8 Starts over 2m
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 4-15 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not Lst/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Had placed over 2m1f+
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 2m1f - 2m5½f
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest won 2m½f - 2m5f
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 1-3 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had won over further
  • 19 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 6/1
  • 19 / 20 (61%) - Within first four of market
  • 19 / 20 (63%) - Had placed in a Graded race
  • 19 / 20 (64%) - First 3 or Fell (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - 6-15 starts in Non-Handicaps
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Contested at least a Grade 2
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Not G3/Lst/Cl4/Cl5 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Carried 156 lbs or more (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Maghull Novices Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Maghull Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Maghull Novices Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.16 is when runners had recorded 0 career non-finishes. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 3, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Maghull Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 13 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 128 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 3 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Special Tiara in 2013 when winning for Henry De Bromhead at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of B J Cooper. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Maghull Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Schedule at The Aintree Grand National Meeting

Remember to head over to the Aintree predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Maghull Novices Chase and don't forget that we also have a dedicated site for the 2023 Aintree Grand National. Below is the schedule for the 2023 Aintree Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Aintree Festival races for Thursday 13th April 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:45 Cheltenham
Manifesto Novices Chase
Millers Bank (GB)
8yo - 7/1
Alex Hales
Kielan Woods
14:20 Cheltenham
Anniversary 4YO Juveniles Hurdle
Knight Salute (GB)
4yo - 14/1
Milton Harris
Paddy Brennan
14:55 Cheltenham
Bowl Chase
Clan Des Obeaux (FR)
10yo - 13/2
Paul Nicholls
Harry Cobden
15:30 Cheltenham
Aintree Hurdle
Epatante (FR)
8yo - 2/1
Nicky Henderson
Aidan Coleman
16:05 Cheltenham
Foxhunters Chase
Latenightpass (GB)
9yo - 7/2
T Ellis
Miss Gina Andrews
16:40 Cheltenham
Red Rum Handicap Chase
The Last Day (IRE)
10yo - 12/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
17:15 Cheltenham
Nickel Coin Mares Bumper
Ashroe Diamond (IRE)
5yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Aintree Festival races for Friday 14th April 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:45 Cheltenham
20 Years Together Handicap Hurdle
Langer Dan (IRE)
6yo - 4/1
Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton
14:20 Cheltenham
Top Novices Hurdle
Jonbon (FR)
6yo - 1/1
Nicky Henderson
Aidan Coleman
14:55 Cheltenham
Mildmay Novices Chase
Ahoy Senor (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Marsh Chase
Fakir Doudairies (FR)
7yo - 10/11
Joseph Patrick OBrien
Mark Walsh
16:05 Cheltenham
Topham Chase
Mac Tottie (GB)
9yo - 8/1
Peter Bowen
Sean Bowen
16:40 Cheltenham
Sefton Novices Hurdle
Gelino Bello (FR)
6yo - 7/2
Paul Nicholls
Harry Cobden
17:15 Cheltenham
Park Palace Ponies Handicap Hurdle
Hacker Des Places (FR)
5yo - 10/1
Paul Nicholls
Angus Cheleda

Aintree Festival races for Saturday 15th April 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:45 Cheltenham
EFT Construction Handicap Hurdle
Party Business (IRE)
6yo - 11/2
Ian Williams
Charlie Todd
14:25 Cheltenham
Mersey Novices Hurdle
Three Stripe Life (IRE)
6yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Davy Russell
15:00 Cheltenham
Maghull Novices Chase
Gentleman De Mee (FR)
6yo - 7/2
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
15:35 Cheltenham
Liverpool Hurdle
Sire Du Berlais (FR)
10yo - 16/1
Gordon Elliott
Mark Walsh
16:15 Cheltenham
Bway Handicap Chase
Sam Brown (GB)
10yo - 28/1
Anthony Honeyball
Aidan Coleman
17:15 Cheltenham
Grand National
Noble Yeats (IRE)
7yo - 50/1
Emmet Mullins
Mr Sam Waley-Cohen
18:20 Cheltenham
Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race
Lookaway (IRE)
5yo - 28/1
Neil King
Jack Quinlan

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