Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Maghull Novices Chase Preview
The Maghull Novices Chase is open to runners aged five or older who came into the season having not won over fences making them a novice, it is run at the Aintree racecourse in April during the Grand National meeting.
This Grade 1 is run over a distance of just shy of two miles with runners having to contend with twelve fences, runners who competed in the Arkle at Cheltenham tend to come to this race with Douvan winning both in 2016.
Maghull Novices Chase Information:
- Maghull Novices Chase Past Winners
- Maghull Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Maghull Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Aintree tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
How competitive is the Maghull Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Maghull Novices Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Maghull Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Maghull Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.82. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Maghull Novices Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Foreman from T Doumen under the guidance of A P McCoy, won in a time of 4:12.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Jonbon, trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Aidan Coleman set the quickest time of 3:47.89 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Maghull Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Jonbon (3:47.89) in 2023
- Balder Succes (3:48.40) in 2014
- Sizing Granite (3:50.20) in 2015
What the expert says...
Thirteen of the last twenty renewals have been won by a runner who ran in the Arkle at the Cheltenham Festival last time out, five of those won the Arkle before winning this and ten of the thirteen finished in the top two of the Arkle.Maghull Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Maghull Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Maghull Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 4:00.48 | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo 11-7 11/8F | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2023 3:47.89 | Jonbon (FR) 7yo 11-7 2/11F | Aidan Coleman Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 3:53.57 | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 6yo 11-4 7/2 | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 3:55.69 | Shishkin (IRE) 7yo 11-4 1/8F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 3:50.90 | Ornua (IRE) 8yo 11-4 3/1F | Davy Russell Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 4:08.20 | Diego Du Charmil (FR) 6yo 11-4 5/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 3:56.60 | San Benedeto (FR) 6yo 11-4 4/1 | Nick Scholfield Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2016 3:56.80 | Douvan (FR) 6yo 11-4 2/13F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 3:50.20 | Sizing Granite (IRE) 7yo 11-4 9/2 | Jonathan Burke Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2014 3:48.40 | Balder Succes (FR) 6yo 11-4 7/2 | Wayne Hutchinson Alan King (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Maghull Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 12 winners with an additional 17 placings from 101 runners
- IRE: 6 winners with an additional 6 placings from 31 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Maghull Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Maghull Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson who have both won the race four times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Twist Magic (2007), Tataniano (2010), San Benedeto (2017) and Diego Du Charmil (2018). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Finians Rainbow (2011), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Shishkin (2021) and Jonbon (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Maghull Novices Chase are Henry De Bromhead (3 wins) and W P Mullins (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Maghull Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 18-4-8 | +0.58 | -0.94 |
| Nicky Henderson | 7-4-4 | -1.64 | -2.35 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 8-3-4 | +30.50 | +18.79 |
| W P Mullins | 3-2-2 | +2.65 | +1.28 |
| Alan King | 3-1-3 | +1.50 | +1.37 |
| Gordon Elliott | 2-1-2 | +0.38 | +1.33 |
| Kevin Bishop | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| Dan Skelton | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -5.00 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.50 |
| Nicky Richards | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +2.50 |
Maghull Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Maghull Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Brennan | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -1.47 |
| Harry Cobden | 3-1-2 | +3.00 | +4.93 |
| Graham Lee | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.59 |
| Nick Scholfield | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.19 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.81 |
| Jack Kennedy | 1-1-1 | +1.38 | +0.83 |
| Paul Townend | 1-1-1 | +0.15 | +0.09 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1-1-1 | +0.13 | +0.08 |
| Harry Skelton | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -5.00 |
2025 Maghull Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 2, (1, 2), 1, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl3-4/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Made 1 - 7 starts (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 2m - 2m5f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 4 - 15 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 99+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a LST/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/GF (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on GF/FM/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 120+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 132+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 155 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 1 - 3 starts (90 Days)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Maghull Novices Chase. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Maghull Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Maghull Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.77 is when runners ran on Soft ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 3, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Maghull Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 13 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 131 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Maghull Novices Chase, that stallion Walk In The Park has produced 2 winners (2023,2016).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Special Tiara in 2013, winning for Henry De Bromhead at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of B J Cooper. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Maghull Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Il Etait Temps (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Sir Gino (FR) 4yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gerri Colombe (FR) 8yo - 9/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 6yo - 1/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Its On The Line (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 6yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Diva Luna (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Ben Pauling Kielan Woods |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 6/4 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| 14:20 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Hurdle | Kateira (GB) 7yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Mystical Power (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 8yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo - 20/1 | Stuart Edmunds Ciaran Gethings |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Dancing City (FR) 7yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:15 Aintree Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle | El Jefe (IRE) 7yo - 40/1 | Andrew Hamilton Ben Smith |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree Bridle Road Handicap Hurdle | Gwennie May Boy (IRE) 6yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Charlie Todd |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 6/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:30 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 7yo - 9/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Strong Leader (GB) 7yo - 8/1 | Olly Murphy Sean Bowen |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 8yo - 7/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo - 11/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Horaces Pearl (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Connor Brace |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Maghull Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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