
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Maghull Novices' Chase Preview
The Maghull Novices Chase is open to runners aged five or older who came into the season having not won over fences, making them novices. It is run at the Aintree racecourse in April during the Grand National meeting.
This Grade 1 is run over a distance of just shy of two miles, with runners having to contend with twelve fences. Runners who competed in the Arkle at Cheltenham tend to come to this race.
Maghull Novices' Chase Information:
- Maghull Novices' Chase Past Winners
- Maghull Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
- Maghull Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Aintree tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.

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How competitive is the Maghull Novices' Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Maghull Novices' Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Maghull Novices' Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Maghull Novices' Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Maghull Novices' Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Jonbon (3:47.89) in 2023
- Balder Succes (3:48.40) in 2014
- Sizing Granite (3:50.20) in 2015
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Maghull Novices' Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -8.72. Ahead of the 2027 Maghull Novices' Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Jonbon, trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Aidan Coleman, who set the fastest winning time in the Maghull Novices' Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 3:47.89 in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer T Doumen and jockey A P McCoy with Foreman who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 4:12.30 in the 2006 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Maghull Novices' Chase Past Winners
Here are the Maghull Novices' Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Maghull Novices' Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 3:54.16 | Mirabad (FR) 7yo 11-7 50/1 | Tristan Durrell Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2025 3:51.68 | Kalif Du Berlais (FR) 5yo 11-7 15/8 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2024 4:00.48 | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo 11-7 11/8F | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2023 3:47.89 | Jonbon (FR) 7yo 11-7 2/11F | Aidan Coleman Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 3:53.57 | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 6yo 11-4 7/2 | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 3:55.69 | Shishkin (IRE) 7yo 11-4 1/8F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 3:50.90 | Ornua (IRE) 8yo 11-4 3/1F | Davy Russell Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 4:08.20 | Diego Du Charmil (FR) 6yo 11-4 5/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 3:56.60 | San Benedeto (FR) 6yo 11-4 4/1 | Nick Scholfield Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2016 3:56.80 | Douvan (FR) 6yo 11-4 2/13F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Maghull Novices' Chase have been based:
- GB: 12 winners with an additional 16 placings from 91 runners
- IRE: 6 winners with an additional 6 placings from 34 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
2026 Maghull Novices' Chase Replay
Maghull Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Maghull Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Twist Magic (2007), Tataniano (2010), San Benedeto (2017), Diego Du Charmil (2018) and Kalif Du Berlais (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Maghull Novices' Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins), Henry De Bromhead (3 wins) and W P Mullins (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Maghull Novices' Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 17-5-8 | +4.46 | +1.54 |
| Nicky Henderson | 5-4-4 | +0.36 | -0.35 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 9-3-4 | +29.50 | +17.79 |
| W P Mullins | 4-2-3 | +1.65 | +0.85 |
| Dan Skelton | 9-1-2 | +42.00 | +24.50 |
| Gordon Elliott | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -1.67 |
| Alan King | 3-1-3 | +1.50 | +1.37 |
| Nicky Richards | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +2.50 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.50 |
| Gary Moore | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Maghull Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Maghull Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Diego Du Charmil (2018) and Kalif Du Berlais (2025).
Here are some of the top Maghull Novices' Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 4-2-3 | +4.88 | +6.11 |
| Nick Scholfield | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.19 |
| Jack Kennedy | 2-1-1 | +0.38 | -0.17 |
| Paul Townend | 2-1-2 | -0.85 | -0.34 |
| Tristan Durrell | 1-1-1 | +50.00 | +30.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.81 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1-1-1 | +0.13 | +0.08 |
| Harry Skelton | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -5.50 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -2.37 |
2027 Maghull Novices' Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 2, (1, 2), 1, 2, 1, 1, 3, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 99+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 2m - 2m4½f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 120+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 155 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/GF (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not GR in colour
- 18 / 20 (48%) - Within the first 3 of the market
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (51%) - Achieved an RPR of 152+ (Season)
- 17 / 20 (80%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 16 / 20 (31%) - No bigger than 4/1
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Aintree racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Maghull Novices' Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Maghull Novices' Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

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Maghull Novices' Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +68.77, is when runners ran on Soft ground last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Maghull Novices' Chase is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 5 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Maghull Novices' Chase; that stallion, Walk In The Park, has produced 2 winners (2023,2016).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Mirabad in 2026, winning for Dan Skelton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Tristan Durrell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Maghull Novices' Chase.
Route to the Maghull Novices' Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Maghull Novices' Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Mirabad Bangor - 2nd of 3 (1/4) | Wrexham Lager "Chasing Excellence" Novices Chase |
| 2025 - Kalif Du Berlais Sandown - 4th of 4 (11/4) | Scilly Isles Novices' Chase |
| 2024 - Found A Fifty Cheltenham - 2nd of 10 (13/2) | Arkle Challenge Trophy |
| 2023 - Jonbon Cheltenham - 2nd of 9 (2/1) | Arkle Challenge Trophy |
| 2022 - Gentleman De Mee Navan - 1st of 5 (1/5) | Flyingbolt Novice Chase |
| 2021 - Shishkin Cheltenham - 1st of 5 (4/9) | Arkle Challenge Trophy |
| 2019 - Ornua Cheltenham - F of 12 (14/1) | Arkle Challenge Trophy |
| 2018 - Diego Du Charmil Ascot - F of 6 (5/4) | Ascot Spring Garden Show Novices Handicap Chase |
| 2017 - San Benedeto Ascot - 1st of 5 (11/4) | Ascot United FC Novices Handicap Chase |
| 2016 - Douvan Cheltenham - 1st of 7 (1/4) | Arkle Challenge Trophy |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card, which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Mange Tout (FR) 4yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:20 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Koktail Divin (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Jango Baie (FR) 7yo - 1/1 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 15:30 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Barton Snow (IRE) 9yo - 7/4 | J J O'Shea Mr Henry Crow |
| 16:05 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 7yo - 13/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Ryans Rocket (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Jonathan Burke |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Nans Choice (IRE) 5yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase, plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 7yo - 6/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:20 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Gold Dancer (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Storming George (IRE) 6yo - 16/1 | Neil King Jack Quinlan |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 9yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Will The Wise (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Gavin Cromwell Conor Stone-Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Zeus Power (GER) 5yo - 3/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Laafi (FR) 6yo - 20/1 | William Durkan Patrick M O'Brien |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting, and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 12:45 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Mirabad (FR) 7yo - 50/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Wade Out (IRE) 7yo - 18/1 | Olly Murphy Gavin Sheehan |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Bossman Jack (GB) 6yo - 11/4 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Mr Hope Street (IRE) 8yo - 4/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 11yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 10yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Forthfactor (IRE) 5yo - 10/1 | Dan Skelton Miss Heidi Palin |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Maghull Novices' Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Other Principal Races at the Aintree Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Aintree racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.




