Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Liverpool Hurdle Preview
The Grade 1 Liverpool Hurdle is run during the Grand National meeting in April of each year at the Aintree racecourse.
The race is open to runners aged four or older competing over a trip of three miles and half a furlongs where thirteen hurdles are to be jumped.
Thistlecrack won the Stayers Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in 2016 before coming to land this race.
Liverpool Hurdle Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Aintree tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
How competitive is the Liverpool Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Liverpool Hurdle, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Liverpool Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Liverpool Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.91. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Liverpool Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:58.20 was set by If The Cap Fits in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Harry Fry and ridden by Sean Bowen. The slowest winning time was set in 2016 when Thistlecrack won in a time of 6:33.40, booked to ride was Tom Scudamore on this Colin Tizzard trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Liverpool Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:
- If The Cap Fits (5:58.20) in 2019
- Whisper (5:58.50) in 2015
- Sire Du Berlais (5:59.82) in 2023
What the expert says...
It is no surprise that the Stayer Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival is a perfect prep run for the Liverpool Hurdle given their similarities. Twelve of the last twenty renewals have been won by a Stayers Hurdle runner although only one of the last seven.Liverpool Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Liverpool Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Liverpool Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:15.71 | Strong Leader (GB) 7yo 11-10 8/1 | Sean Bowen Olly Murphy (GB) |
| 2023 5:59.82 | Sire Du Berlais (FR) 11yo 11-10 8/1 | Mark Walsh Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:09.21 | Sire Du Berlais (FR) 10yo 11-7 16/1 | Mark Walsh Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2021 6:12.13 | Thyme Hill (GB) 7yo 11-7 5/2F | Tom O'Brien Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2019 5:58.20 | If The Cap Fits (IRE) 7yo 11-7 7/1 | Sean Bowen Harry Fry (GB) |
| 2018 6:20.70 | Identity Thief (IRE) 8yo 11-7 14/1 | Sean Flanagan Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2017 6:03.40 | Yanworth (GB) 7yo 11-7 9/4F | Barry Geraghty Alan King (GB) |
| 2016 6:33.40 | Thistlecrack (GB) 8yo 11-7 2/7F | Tom Scudamore Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2015 5:58.50 | Whisper (FR) 7yo 11-7 5/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2014 6:06.80 | Whisper (FR) 6yo 11-7 4/1 | Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Liverpool Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 25 placings from 160 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 11 placings from 32 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
Liverpool Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Liverpool Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Big Bucks (2009, 2010, 2011 & 2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Liverpool Hurdle are Nicky Henderson (2 wins), Alan King (2 wins), Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Henry Daly (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Liverpool Hurdle, Nigel Twiston-Davies has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Liverpool Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 16-4-4 | -9.98 | -10.78 |
| Nicky Henderson | 18-2-4 | -7.00 | -8.70 |
| Alan King | 9-2-4 | +0.25 | -1.00 |
| Gordon Elliott | 5-2-3 | +21.00 | +11.98 |
| Henry Daly | 5-2-3 | +1.63 | +0.78 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 8-1-3 | -6.43 | -4.54 |
| Olly Murphy | 4-1-2 | +5.00 | +5.10 |
| Harry Fry | 4-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.20 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-1-2 | +3.50 | +3.80 |
| Philip Hobbs | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.00 |
Liverpool Hurdle Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Liverpool Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with both Sean Bowen and Mark Walsh who have both won the race two times. Sean Bowen's winners have been with If The Cap Fits (2019) and Strong Leader (2024). Mark Walsh winners have been with Sire Du Berlais (2022 & 2023).
Here are some of the top Liverpool Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bowen | 4-2-2 | +13.00 | +7.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 3-2-2 | +23.00 | +13.40 |
| Nico de Boinville | 7-1-2 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 3-1-2 | +12.00 | +7.80 |
| Paddy Brennan | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.65 |
| Daryl Jacob | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -4.15 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Graham Lee | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +0.70 |
| Paul Townend | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.50 |
2025 Liverpool Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, UR, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 1, 2, 3, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (44%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (58%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Beaten no more -12½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Held an OR of 147+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 120+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Made 2 - 5 starts (Season)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 147+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Held an OR of 147+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Break of 13 - 152 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Made 9 - 36 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No more than -4lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 156 - 166lbs (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Liverpool Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Liverpool Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Liverpool Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.90 is when runners were French bred. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Liverpool Hurdle is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 17 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 188 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Liverpool Hurdle:
- Cadoudal (4 Wins)
- Kayf Tara (3 Wins)
- Astarabad (2 Wins)
- Poliglote (2 Wins)
- Sir Harry Lewis (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Liverpool Hurdle despite multiple attempts:
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- In The Wings (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sire Du Berlais in 2022, winning for Gordon Elliott at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Mark Walsh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Il Etait Temps (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Sir Gino (FR) 4yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gerri Colombe (FR) 8yo - 9/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 6yo - 1/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Its On The Line (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 6yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Diva Luna (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Ben Pauling Kielan Woods |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 6/4 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| 14:20 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Hurdle | Kateira (GB) 7yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Mystical Power (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 8yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo - 20/1 | Stuart Edmunds Ciaran Gethings |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Dancing City (FR) 7yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:15 Aintree Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle | El Jefe (IRE) 7yo - 40/1 | Andrew Hamilton Ben Smith |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree Bridle Road Handicap Hurdle | Gwennie May Boy (IRE) 6yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Charlie Todd |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 6/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:30 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 7yo - 9/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Strong Leader (GB) 7yo - 8/1 | Olly Murphy Sean Bowen |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 8yo - 7/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo - 11/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Horaces Pearl (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Connor Brace |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Liverpool Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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