Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Mildmay Novices Chase Preview
The Mildmay Novices Chase is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse.
The race is open to runners aged five who started the season without a win over fences, it is run over a trip of three miles and one furlong in which these novices will have to jump a total of nineteen fences.
Mildmay Novices Chase Information:
- Mildmay Novices Chase Past Winners
- Mildmay Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Mildmay Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Aintree tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
How competitive is the Mildmay Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Mildmay Novices Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Mildmay Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Mildmay Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.90. Ahead of the 2025 Mildmay Novices Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Terrefort from Nicky Henderson under the guidance of Daryl Jacob, won in a time of 6:49.90, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Holywell, trained by Jonjo O'Neill and ridden by A P McCoy set the quickest time of 6:14.80 in the 2014 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Holywell (6:14.80) in 2014
- Saphir Du Rheu (6:18.90) in 2015
- Might Bite (6:19.70) in 2017
What the expert says...
We are now on a streak of eleven winning renewals where the runner ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out, all eleven of those winners finished in the first two at Cheltenham with four of them winning, the last to do so being Inothewayurthinkin in 2024 who won the Kim Muir before coming here to win the Mildmay Novices Chase.Mildmay Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Mildmay Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Mildmay Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:42.41 | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo 11-7 6/4F | Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:21.33 | Gerri Colombe (FR) 7yo 11-7 4/6F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:21.92 | Ahoy Senor (IRE) 7yo 11-4 4/1 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2021 6:29.31 | Chantry House (IRE) 7yo 11-4 11/8F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 6:31.50 | Lostintranslation (IRE) 7yo 11-4 3/1 | Robbie Power Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2018 6:49.90 | Terrefort (FR) 5yo 11-4 3/1F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 6:19.70 | Might Bite (IRE) 8yo 11-4 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2016 6:27.60 | Native River (IRE) 6yo 11-4 11/2 | Richard Johnson Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2015 6:18.90 | Saphir Du Rheu (FR) 6yo 11-4 13/8F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2014 6:14.80 | Holywell (IRE) 7yo 11-4 7/2 | A P McCoy Jonjo O'Neill (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Mildmay Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 27 placings from 135 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 2 placings from 21 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
Mildmay Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson who have both won the race four times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Star De Mohaison (2006), Big Bucks (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2012) and Saphir Du Rheu (2015). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Burton Port (2010), Might Bite (2017), Terrefort (2018) and Chantry House (2021).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 21-4-9 | -8.12 | -4.02 |
| Nicky Henderson | 14-4-6 | -0.50 | -2.17 |
| David Pipe | 5-1-2 | -1.75 | -0.49 |
| Sue Smith | 3-1-1 | +4.50 | +1.90 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.84 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.33 | +0.42 |
| Lucinda Russell | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.00 |
| C A Murphy | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.60 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Philip Hobbs | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.60 |
Mildmay Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Might Bite (2017) and Chantry House (2021).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 3-2-2 | +1.00 | +0.25 |
| Daryl Jacob | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.20 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 3-1-1 | -0.37 | -1.02 |
| Graham Lee | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.50 |
| Derek Fox | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-0-3 | -5.00 | -0.99 |
| Harry Skelton | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.94 |
| Paddy Brennan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.95 |
| David Bass | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2025 Mildmay Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): F, 3, 1, 1, 3, PU, 8, 4, 1, (1, 3), 5, 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (44%) - No bigger than 7/1
- 20 / 20 (63%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Not on GD/GF/FM (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -14l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Made 8 - 18 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Highest Run is G1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Made 4 - 8 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 145+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran over 1m7f - 2m4½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a Cl3-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Is not GB/GER/NZ/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 5 - 13 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 3 - 6 starts (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 3 - 7 starts (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Mildmay Novices Chase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mildmay Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Mildmay Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.05 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Mildmay Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 16 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 153 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 5 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Mildmay Novices Chase, that stallion Martaline has produced 2 winners (2018,2013).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Killyglen in 2009, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Denis O'Regan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Mildmay Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Il Etait Temps (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Sir Gino (FR) 4yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gerri Colombe (FR) 8yo - 9/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 6yo - 1/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Its On The Line (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 6yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Diva Luna (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Ben Pauling Kielan Woods |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 6/4 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| 14:20 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Hurdle | Kateira (GB) 7yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Mystical Power (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 8yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo - 20/1 | Stuart Edmunds Ciaran Gethings |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Dancing City (FR) 7yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:15 Aintree Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle | El Jefe (IRE) 7yo - 40/1 | Andrew Hamilton Ben Smith |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree Bridle Road Handicap Hurdle | Gwennie May Boy (IRE) 6yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Charlie Todd |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 6/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:30 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 7yo - 9/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Strong Leader (GB) 7yo - 8/1 | Olly Murphy Sean Bowen |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 8yo - 7/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo - 11/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Horaces Pearl (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Connor Brace |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Mildmay Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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