You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Mildmay Novices' Chase Preview
The Mildmay Novices Chase is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse. The race is open to runners aged five who started the season without a win over fences. It is run over a trip of three miles and one furlong, in which these novices will have to jump a total of nineteen fences.
Mildmay Novices' Chase Information:
- Mildmay Novices' Chase Past Winners
- Mildmay Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
- Mildmay Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Aintree tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Mildmay Novices' Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022, when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Mildmay Novices' Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Mildmay Novices' Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Mildmay Novices' Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Mildmay Novices' Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Gold Dancer (6:14.66) in 2026
- Holywell (6:14.80) in 2014
- Caldwell Potter (6:18.11) in 2025
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Mildmay Novices' Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.90. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Mildmay Novices' Chase, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Gold Dancer, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Paul Townend, who set the fastest winning time in the Mildmay Novices' Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 6:14.66 in 2026. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Daryl Jacob with Terrefort who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 6:49.90 in the 2018 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Mildmay Novices' Chase Past Winners
Here are the Mildmay Novices' Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Mildmay Novices' Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 6:14.66 | Gold Dancer (FR) 7yo 11-7 100/30F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2025 6:18.11 | Caldwell Potter (FR) 7yo 11-7 11/4F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2024 6:42.41 | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo 11-7 6/4F | Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:21.33 | Gerri Colombe (FR) 7yo 11-7 4/6F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:21.92 | Ahoy Senor (IRE) 7yo 11-4 4/1 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2021 6:29.31 | Chantry House (IRE) 7yo 11-4 11/8F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 6:31.50 | Lostintranslation (IRE) 7yo 11-4 3/1 | Robbie Power Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2018 6:49.90 | Terrefort (FR) 5yo 11-4 3/1F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 6:19.70 | Might Bite (IRE) 8yo 11-4 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2016 6:27.60 | Native River (IRE) 6yo 11-4 11/2 | Richard Johnson Colin Tizzard (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Mildmay Novices' Chase have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 26 placings from 129 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Mildmay Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Mildmay Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Star De Mohaison (2006), Big Bucks (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2012), Saphir Du Rheu (2015) and Caldwell Potter (2025). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Mildmay Novices' Chase is Nicky Henderson (4 wins).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices' Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 20-5-10 | -3.37 | -1.40 |
| Nicky Henderson | 12-4-6 | +1.50 | -0.17 |
| W P Mullins | 5-1-1 | -0.67 | -2.00 |
| David Pipe | 5-1-2 | -1.75 | -0.49 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.84 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.33 | +0.42 |
| Lucinda Russell | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.00 |
| C A Murphy | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.60 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Dan Skelton | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.94 |
Mildmay Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Mildmay Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Might Bite (2017) and Chantry House (2021).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices' Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 3-2-2 | +1.00 | +0.25 |
| Harry Cobden | 7-1-5 | -3.25 | +0.73 |
| Paul Townend | 4-1-1 | +0.33 | -1.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-1-1 | -1.37 | -2.02 |
| Derek Fox | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Harry Skelton | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.94 |
| David Bass | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.50 |
| Nick Scholfield | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.90 |
2027 Mildmay Novices' Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 3, PU, 8, 4, 1, (1, 3), 5, 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, (1, PU), (1, 3)
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 7/1
- 20 / 20 (59%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (66%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Not on GD/GF/FM (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Beaten no more -14l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Run is G1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran in 8 - 18 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran over 1m7f - 2m4½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 4 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 5 - 11 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a Cl3-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 21 - 54 days
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 138+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Is not GB/GER/NZ/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Aintree racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Mildmay Novices' Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mildmay Novices' Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Mildmay Novices' Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.13, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-29.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Mildmay Novices' Chase is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 18 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 149 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 3 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Mildmay Novices' Chase; that stallion, Martaline, has produced 3 winners (2025,2018,2013).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Killyglen in 2009, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Denis O'Regan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Mildmay Novices' Chase, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Mildmay Novices' Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Mildmay Novices' Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Gold Dancer Cheltenham - 2nd of 18 (25/1) | Novices' Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2025 - Caldwell Potter Cheltenham - 1st of 19 (7/1) | Novices' Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2024 - Inothewayurthinkin Cheltenham - 1st of 22 (13/8) | Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup |
| 2023 - Gerri Colombe Cheltenham - 2nd of 10 (5/4) | Brown Advisory Novices' Chase |
| 2022 - Ahoy Senor Cheltenham - 2nd of 9 (4/1) | Brown Advisory Novices' Chase |
| 2021 - Chantry House Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (9/1) | Discontinued Golden Miller |
| 2019 - Lostintranslation Cheltenham - 2nd of 10 (4/1) | Discontinued Golden Miller |
| 2018 - Terrefort Cheltenham - 2nd of 9 (3/1) | Discontinued Golden Miller |
| 2017 - Might Bite Cheltenham - 1st of 12 (7/2) | Brown Advisory Novices' Chase |
| 2016 - Native River Cheltenham - 2nd of 20 (7/1) | National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card, which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Mange Tout (FR) 4yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:20 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Koktail Divin (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Jango Baie (FR) 7yo - 1/1 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 15:30 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Barton Snow (IRE) 9yo - 7/4 | J J O'Shea Mr Henry Crow |
| 16:05 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 7yo - 13/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Ryans Rocket (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Jonathan Burke |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Nans Choice (IRE) 5yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase, plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 7yo - 6/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:20 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Gold Dancer (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Storming George (IRE) 6yo - 16/1 | Neil King Jack Quinlan |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 9yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Will The Wise (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Gavin Cromwell Conor Stone-Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Zeus Power (GER) 5yo - 3/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Laafi (FR) 6yo - 20/1 | William Durkan Patrick M O'Brien |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting, and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 12:45 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Mirabad (FR) 7yo - 50/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Wade Out (IRE) 7yo - 18/1 | Olly Murphy Gavin Sheehan |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Bossman Jack (GB) 6yo - 11/4 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Mr Hope Street (IRE) 8yo - 4/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 11yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 10yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Forthfactor (IRE) 5yo - 10/1 | Dan Skelton Miss Heidi Palin |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Mildmay Novices' Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at the Aintree Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Aintree racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
