Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Brown Advisory Novices Chase Preview
The Brown Advisory Novices Chase is a Grade 1 run over three miles and one-hundred and ten yards at Cheltenham, previously known as the RSA Chase for sponsorship reasons over many years is the Gold Cup for novice chasers and plenty of future stars will make the lineup.
The 2012 winner of this race Bobs Worth and the 2013 winner Lord Windermere both went on to Gold Cup glory the following season. 2017 winner Might Bite went on to win the Boxing Day showpiece King George VI Chase at Kempton before finishing runner-up in the 2018 Gold Cup. Santini and Delta Work chased home Topofthegame in 2020 and yet again the form looks rock solid with Delta Work now a multiple Grade 1 chase winner.
With plenty of new rules from each bookie regarding BOG, familiarise yourself with which bookie offers what in the Best Odds Guaranteed article. Read on below for our preview including the race trends and form discussion to help you to find the winner of the Festival Novices Chase. Closer to the race, you can head over to the best bets for Cheltenham page to see what our expert racing tipsters are backing to win the race.
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Information:
- Brown Advisory Novices Chase Past Winners
- Brown Advisory Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Brown Advisory Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Cheltenham then head over to the Cheltenham tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at the Cheltenham Festival and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday.
How competitive is the Brown Advisory Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.12. Ahead of the 2025 Brown Advisory Novices Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2024 renewal when Fact To File from W P Mullins under the guidance of Mark Walsh, won in a time of 6:41.82, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, OFaolains Boy, trained by Rebecca Curtis and ridden by Barry Geraghty set the quickest time of 6:00.32 in the 2014 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Brown Advisory Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- OFaolains Boy (6:00.32) in 2014
- Blaklion (6:06.20) in 2016
- Denman (6:06.80) in 2007
What the expert says...
Winners of this race have tended to struggle next time out, from the sixteen winners between 2008 & 2023 only three of those went on to win next time out with the last being Presenting Percy in 2018 who went on to win the Galmoy Hurdle when next seen.Brown Advisory Novices Chase 22 Oct @ 03:18 - AntePost | ||
---|---|---|
Ballyburn | 7.00 | |
Majborough | 11.00 | |
Dancing City | 11.00 | |
Quai De Bourbon | 15.00 | |
Slade Steel | 15.00 |
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Brown Advisory Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Brown Advisory Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2024 6:41.82 | Fact To File (FR) 7yo 11-7 8/13F | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
2023 6:18.47 | The Real Whacker (IRE) 7yo 11-7 8/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Patrick Neville (IRE) |
2022 6:34.86 | LHomme Presse (FR) 7yo 11-4 9/4F | Charlie Deutsch Venetia Williams (GB) |
2021 6:11.08 | Monkfish (IRE) 7yo 11-4 1/4F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
2020 6:28.67 | Champ (IRE) 8yo 11-4 4/1 | Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2019 6:17.26 | Topofthegame (IRE) 7yo 11-4 4/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
2018 6:32.40 | Presenting Percy (GB) 7yo 11-4 5/2F | Davy Russell Patrick G Kelly (IRE) |
2017 6:08.80 | Might Bite (IRE) 8yo 11-4 7/2F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2016 6:06.20 | Blaklion (GB) 7yo 11-4 8/1 | Ryan Hatch Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
2015 6:09.20 | Don Poli (IRE) 6yo 11-4 13/8F | B J Cooper W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 11 winners with an additional 20 placings from 130 runners
- IRE: 9 winners with an additional 18 placings from 81 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins and Nicky Henderson who have both won the race four times. W P Mullins winners have been with Cooldine (2009), Don Poli (2015), Monkfish (2021) and Fact To File (2024). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Trabolgan (2005), Bobs Worth (2012), Might Bite (2017) and Champ (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase is Paul Nicholls (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Brown Advisory Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
W P Mullins | 31-4-11 | -22.25 | -10.17 |
Nicky Henderson | 18-4-9 | +3.00 | +1.32 |
Paul Nicholls | 18-3-5 | +4.20 | -1.50 |
Nigel Twiston-Davies | 8-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.80 |
Mrs John Harrington | 4-1-2 | +13.00 | +13.70 |
Rebecca Curtis | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.20 |
Jonjo O'Neill | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.05 |
Venetia Williams | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.65 |
C Byrnes | 2-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.00 |
Patrick Neville | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Brown Advisory Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Paul Townend | 9-1-5 | -7.75 | -0.89 |
Robbie Power | 7-1-3 | +10.00 | +16.20 |
Sam Twiston-Davies | 5-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.95 |
Harry Cobden | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.20 |
Nico de Boinville | 4-1-2 | +0.50 | -0.10 |
Mark Walsh | 3-1-1 | -1.38 | -1.61 |
Charlie Deutsch | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
Paddy Brennan | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -2.95 |
Aidan Coleman | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
Daryl Jacob | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | +1.50 |
2025 Brown Advisory Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, PU, 1, 1, 1, 5, 5, 4, 4, (2, 4), 1, 3, 1, 1, 3, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 6 - 16 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran over 2m3f - 3m (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Off a break of 24 - 77 days
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 129+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 2 - 5 starts (Season)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not BB/BL/BR/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 1m7½f - 2m5½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -9l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 3 - 7 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 141+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 141 - 168lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Brown Advisory Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-34.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 205 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase:
- Oscar (2 Wins)
- Poliglote (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Shantou (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bostons Angel in 2011, winning for Mrs John Harrington at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Robbie Power. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Brown Advisory Novices Chase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Schedule for Tuesday at the Cheltenham Festival
Prepare for the ROAR of the Cheltenham Festival on the opening day when the tape goes up for the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the feature on Tuesday is the Champion Hurdle.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:30 Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle | Slade Steel (IRE) 6yo - 7/2 | Henry De Bromhead Rachael Blackmore |
14:10 Cheltenham Arkle Challenge Trophy | Gaelic Warrior (GER) 6yo - 2/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
14:50 Cheltenham Ultima Handicap Chase | Chianti Classico (IRE) 7yo - 6/1 | Kim Bailey David Bass |
15:30 Cheltenham Champion Hurdle | State Man (FR) 7yo - 2/5 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
16:10 Cheltenham Close Brothers Mares Hurdle | Lossiemouth (FR) 5yo - 8/13 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
16:50 Cheltenham Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle | Lark In The Mornin (GER) 4yo - 9/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
17:30 Cheltenham National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup | Corbetts Cross (IRE) 7yo - 15/8 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Cheltenham Festival
The dust has settled on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival and now on to day two. The feature on the second day is the Queen Mother Champion Chase. We also have the cross country scheduled on Wednesday, a race like Marmite, some love it and some don't!
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:30 Cheltenham Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle | Ballyburn (IRE) 6yo - 1/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
14:10 Cheltenham Brown Advisory Novices Chase | Fact To File (FR) 7yo - 8/13 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
14:50 Cheltenham Coral Cup | Langer Dan (IRE) 8yo - 13/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
15:30 Cheltenham Queen Mother Champion Chase | Captain Guinness (IRE) 9yo - 17/2 | Henry De Bromhead Rachael Blackmore |
16:10 Cheltenham Cross Country Chase | Delta Work (FR) 10yo - 11/10 | Gordon Elliott Keith Donoghue |
16:50 Cheltenham Johnny Henderson Grand Annual | Unexpected Party (FR) 9yo - 12/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
17:30 Cheltenham Champion Bumper | Jasmin De Vaux (FR) 5yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
Schedule for Thursday at the Cheltenham Festival
Halfway through the festival and onto day three where the Stayers Hurdle is the feature race. A hurdle race to test the stamina and see how can last best up the Cheltenham hill.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:30 Cheltenham Turners Novices Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 7yo - 5/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
14:10 Cheltenham Pertemps Network Final | Monmiral (FR) 7yo - 25/1 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
14:50 Cheltenham Ryanair Chase | Protektorat (FR) 9yo - 17/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
15:30 Cheltenham Stayers Hurdle | Teahupoo (FR) 7yo - 5/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
16:10 Cheltenham Festival Plate | Shakem UpArry (IRE) 10yo - 8/1 | Ben Pauling Ben Jones |
16:50 Cheltenham Mares Novices Hurdle | Golden Ace (GB) 6yo - 10/1 | Jeremy Scott Lorcan Williams |
17:30 Cheltenham Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 13/8 | Gavin Cromwell Mr Derek O'Connor |
Schedule for Friday at the Cheltenham Festival
The final day of the festival and feature race that we have all been waiting for, the Cheltenham Gold Cup in which the Irish have been fairly dominant in recent years.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:30 Cheltenham Triumph Hurdle | Majborough (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
14:10 Cheltenham County Handicap Hurdle | Absurde (FR) 6yo - 12/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
14:50 Cheltenham Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle | Stellar Story (IRE) 7yo - 33/1 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
15:30 Cheltenham Cheltenham Gold Cup | Galopin Des Champs (FR) 8yo - 10/11 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
16:10 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup | Sine Nomine (GB) 8yo - 8/1 | Fiona Needham Mr John Dawson |
16:50 Cheltenham Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase | Limerick Lace (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Gavin Cromwell Keith Donoghue |
17:30 Cheltenham Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle | Better Days Ahead (IRE) 6yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Danny Gilligan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Brown Advisory Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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