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2022 Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis - November Meeting

Published: Oct 21, 7:39pm Last Updated: Nov 15, 12:09pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 46 Views

2022 Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Preview

This Grade 2 Novices' Hurdle is registered as the Sharp Novices Hurdle but for sponsorship purposes, it is currently run under the title of Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices' Hurdle. The race is open to novices who are aged four or older and is run over a distance of two miles and half a furlong, it is run during the November Meeting at Cheltenham.

Our dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle but will also have predictions for each meeting at Cheltenham throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Colin Tizzard trained Elixir De Nutz ridden by Harry Cobden who has set the fastest winning time in the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:51.20 that was set when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Paul Nicholls and jockey R Walsh with Dodging Bullets who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:27.00 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Elixir De Nutz (3:51.20)
  • 2010 - Cue Card (3:56.40)
  • 2011 - Steps To Freedom (3:57.70)

How competitive is the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 112% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.05. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
3:59.96
I Like To Move It (GB)
4yo 11-3 4/6F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2020
4:13.96
For Pleasure (IRE)
5yo 11-0 14/1
Harry Bannister
Alex Hales (GB)
2019
4:10.60
Hang In There (IRE)
5yo 11-0 6/1
Adam Wedge
Emma Lavelle (GB)
2018
3:51.20
Elixir De Nutz (FR)
4yo 11-0 5/1
Harry Cobden
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2017
4:07.40
Slate House (IRE)
5yo 11-0 5/2
Harry Cobden
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2016
4:06.60
Moon Racer (IRE)
7yo 11-4 9/4
Tom Scudamore
David Pipe (GB)
2015
4:07.50
Altior (IRE)
5yo 11-7 2/1F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2014
4:04.60
Vyta Du Roc (FR)
5yo 11-7 3/1
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2013
4:01.52
The Liquidator (GB)
5yo 11-4 6/4
Tom Scudamore
David Pipe (GB)
2012
4:27.00
Dodging Bullets (GB)
4yo 11-7 5/4F
R Walsh
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 23 placings from 109 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 31 runners
  • UAE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Colin Tizzard who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Cue Card (2010), Slate House (2017) & Elixir De Nutz (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle are Paul Nicholls (2 wins), Nicky Henderson (2 wins), David Pipe (2 wins) & Emma Lavelle (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Colin Tizzard 4-3-3 +7.12 +4.08
Paul Nicholls 16-2-7 +1.25 +0.36
Nicky Henderson 7-2-4 +0.00 -0.17
David Pipe 5-2-2 +0.75 -1.59
Emma Lavelle 2-2-2 +8.00 +5.00
Nigel Twiston-Davies 9-1-2 -7.33 -7.00
Philip Hobbs 5-1-3 +4.00 +2.73
Charlie Mann 2-1-1 +15.00 +8.60
Alex Hales 2-1-1 +13.00 +8.75
D K Weld 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.65

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with both Tom Scudamore & Harry Cobden who have both won the race 2 times. Tom Scudamore winners have been with The Liquidator (2013) & Moon Racer (2016). Harry Cobden winners have been with Slate House (2017) & Elixir De Nutz (2018).

Here are some of the top Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Scudamore 5-2-2 +0.75 -1.59
Harry Cobden 4-2-2 +5.50 +2.69
Sam Twiston-Davies 5-1-2 -3.33 -3.36
Robbie Power 3-1-1 -0.62 -1.17
Harry Bannister 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.75
Adam Wedge 1-1-1 +6.00 +3.75
Nico de Boinville 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.25
Paddy Brennan 5-0-0 -5.00 -4.00
Aidan Coleman 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.19
Harry Skelton 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.38

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,PU,1,4,2,6,9,3,2,1,1,1,2,2,1,3,5,3,3,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - 1-9 starts (Hurdles)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Had placed over hurdles
  • 19 / 20 (68%) - Placed in at least a Class 3
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Field fewer than 15 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Beaten no more 5l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - 1-5 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Finished first 4 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Carried 151lbs+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Ran over hurdles (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Either a 4yo or 5yo
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - 1-8 placings (Career)
  • 17 / 20 (76%) - Ran over 1m7½f - 2m1f (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.63 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £5,000 on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 135 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 7 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle, that stallion is Sadlers Wells who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Moon Over Miami in 2006 when winning for Charlie Mann at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Noel Fehily. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle.

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