Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 King George VI Chase Preview
Boxing Day is a racing spectacular with numerous meetings but the one race everyone looks out for is the top class, King George VI Chase! A race that is rich in the history of top-class winners, Kauto Star won the race five times, Desert Orchid won the race three times and other class winners like Best Mate, Kicking King and Long Run.
This is a Grade 1 Chase which is run over three miles at this right-handed Kempton track and only the Cheltenham Gold Cup is more prestigious than the King George VI Chase.
King George VI Chase Information:
- King George VI Chase Past Winners
- King George VI Chase Trainer Statistics
- King George VI Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Kempton then head over to the Kempton tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Kempton Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the King George VI Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the King George VI Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
King George VI Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the King George VI Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.77. Before placing your bet on the 2024 King George VI Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:53.50 was set by Thistlecrack in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Colin Tizzard and ridden by Tom Scudamore. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Long Run won in a time of 6:28.70, booked to ride was Mr Sam Waley-Cohen on this Nicky Henderson trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run King George VI Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Thistlecrack (5:53.50) in 2016
- Kicking King (5:54.20) in 2004
- Hewick (5:55.75) in 2023
King George VI Chase Past Winners
Here are the King George VI Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the King George VI Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 5:55.75 | Hewick (IRE) 8yo 11-10 12/1 | Gavin Sheehan John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
| 2022 5:58.35 | Bravemansgame (FR) 7yo 11-10 11/4 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2021 6:15.50 | Tornado Flyer (IRE) 8yo 11-10 28/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2020 6:01.30 | Frodon (FR) 8yo 11-10 20/1 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2019 6:10.13 | Clan Des Obeaux (FR) 7yo 11-10 11/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 5:59.60 | Clan Des Obeaux (FR) 6yo 11-10 12/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 6:06.60 | Might Bite (IRE) 8yo 11-10 6/4F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2016 5:53.50 | Thistlecrack (GB) 8yo 11-10 11/10F | Tom Scudamore Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2015 6:03.50 | Cue Card (GB) 9yo 11-10 9/2 | Paddy Brennan Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2014 6:03.30 | Silviniaco Conti (FR) 8yo 11-10 15/8F | Noel Fehily Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the King George VI Chase have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 34 placings from 156 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 1 placing from 17 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
King George VI Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the King George VI Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race eleven times with those eleven winners coming from Kauto Star (2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 & 2011), Silviniaco Conti (2013 & 2014), Clan Des Obeaux (2018 & 2019), Frodon (2020) and Bravemansgame (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the King George VI Chase are Nicky Henderson (3 wins) and T J Taaffe (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the King George VI Chase, David Pipe has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top King George VI Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 36-11-21 | +26.45 | +18.07 |
| Nicky Henderson | 19-3-6 | -8.12 | -7.25 |
| T J Taaffe | 2-2-2 | +4.38 | +2.63 |
| W P Mullins | 7-1-2 | +22.00 | +11.60 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| David Pipe | 13-0-4 | -13.00 | -7.10 |
| Philip Hobbs | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -3.20 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
| Tom George | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -1.50 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -1.60 |
King George VI Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the King George VI Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Clan Des Obeaux (2018) and Bravemansgame (2022).
Here are some of the top King George VI Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 6-2-5 | +10.75 | +7.14 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-1-3 | +0.50 | +0.35 |
| Paddy Brennan | 6-1-2 | -0.50 | -1.64 |
| Nico de Boinville | 5-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.10 |
| Bryony Frost | 4-1-2 | +17.00 | +11.30 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 3-1-2 | +10.00 | +8.50 |
| Danny Mullins | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +15.80 |
| Daryl Jacob | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.00 |
| Graham Lee | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.30 |
2024 King George VI Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, (2, 5), 1, F, 1, 1, 7, 2, 3, PU, UR, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Achieved an RPR of 165+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - In a field of 2 - 14 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Achieved an RPR of 162+ (Class)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 21 - 283 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Off a break of 21 - 146 days
- 20 / 20 (77%) - In a field of 4 - 10 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 157+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 6/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 3 - 22 starts (Class)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest ran 2m7f - 4m2f
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 146+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 13 - 39 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m2f (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Kempton racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the King George VI Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the King George VI Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
King George VI Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +31.17 is when runners ran on Soft ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds placed of 14/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.
The course which has produced the most winners of the King George VI Chase is Haydock, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 174 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the King George VI Chase:
- Village Star (5 Wins)
- Cadoudal (2 Wins)
- Dom Alco (2 Wins)
- Kapgarde (2 Wins)
- Old Vic (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Tornado Flyer in 2021, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 King George VI Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Kempton racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Kempton racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in December
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this King George VI Chase Preview, Tips, Runners and Trends are at hand, Darren and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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