2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

Get ready for the Cheltenham roar, the opening race of the Festival is a 2m1/2 furlong hurdle race on the old course. The race is restricted to novices and often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival.

2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle Preview

Get ready for the Cheltenham roar, the opening race of the Festival is the Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle, a 2m½f race on the old course at Cheltenham racecourse. The race is restricted to novices and often produces winners who continue to shine at the Festival in future years.

Be sure to head over to the Best Bookies for Cheltenham article before the festival and also have a look at the Best Bookies for Best Odds Guaranteed to get the most out of your betting at the festival. Below we highlight some ways to find winners of this race, looking at trends and discussing the form to help you to find the winner of the Supreme Novices Hurdle. For all Supreme Novice Hurdle tips from the OLBG racing tipsters, head over to the best bets for Cheltenham page.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at Cheltenham then head over to the Cheltenham Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Nicky Henderson trained Constitution Hill ridden by Nico de Boinville who has set the fastest winning time in the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:44.35 that was set when winning the race in 2022. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Nico de Boinville with Shishkin who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:08.20 in the 2020 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2022 - Constitution Hill (3:44.35)
  • 2016 - Altior (3:46.00)
  • 2014 - Vautour (3:46.40)

How competitive is the Supreme Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Supreme Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.50. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Supreme Novices Hurdle 07 Jul @ 05:44 - AntePost
Facile Vega 3.50
Redemption Day 9.00
Hunters Yarn 15.00
Impulsive Dancer 17.00
American Mike 17.00
Deeply Superficial 21.00
Jet Powered 21.00
Gaelic Warrior 21.00
The Model Kingdom 26.00
Mercurey 26.00

Supreme Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Supreme Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Supreme Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
3:44.35
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo 11-7 9/4F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2021
3:56.32
Appreciate It (IRE)
7yo 11-7 8/11F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
4:08.20
Shishkin (IRE)
6yo 11-7 6/1
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2019
3:59.56
Klassical Dream (FR)
5yo 11-7 6/1
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2018
4:05.00
Summerville Boy (IRE)
6yo 11-7 9/1
Noel Fehily
Tom George (GB)
2017
3:53.20
Labaik (FR)
6yo 11-7 25/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
3:46.00
Altior (IRE)
6yo 11-7 4/1
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2015
3:47.50
Douvan (FR)
5yo 11-7 2/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:46.40
Vautour (FR)
5yo 11-7 7/2F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
3:55.60
Champagne Fever (IRE)
6yo 11-7 5/1
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Supreme Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 11 winners with an additional 14 placings from 123 runners
  • GB: 9 winners with an additional 26 placings from 206 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Supreme Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Ebaziyan (2007), Champagne Fever (2013), Vautour (2014), Douvan (2015), Klassical Dream (2019) & Appreciate It (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Supreme Novices Hurdle are Nicky Henderson (3 wins) & Paul Nicholls (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Supreme Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 43-6-10 +20.23 -3.62
Nicky Henderson 32-3-17 -16.75 -9.81
Paul Nicholls 16-2-3 +2.00 -4.50
Noel Meade 9-1-2 +4.00 -1.50
Philip Hobbs 9-1-2 +4.00 -1.50
Gordon Elliott 8-1-3 +18.00 +9.27
E J O'Grady 4-1-1 +0.00 -1.50
Tom George 3-1-1 +7.00 +2.50
Donald McCain 2-1-1 +9.00 +4.00
Edward P Harty 1-1-1 +8.50 +4.25

Supreme Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Supreme Novices Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Altior (2016), Shishkin (2020) & Constitution Hill (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Supreme Novices Hurdle, Davy Russell has had a total of 11 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Supreme Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Nico de Boinville 6-3-4 +9.25 +5.65
Paul Townend 13-1-2 -11.27 -10.16
Jack Kennedy 5-1-3 +21.00 +12.60
Graham Lee 4-1-1 +17.00 +7.00
Davy Russell 11-0-2 -11.00 -9.73
Tom Scudamore 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00
Paddy Brennan 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00
Robbie Power 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.00
Aidan Coleman 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.00
Jamie Moore 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.50

2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,13,5,3,(2,11,12),5,3,4,7,2,(1,9),1,2,(2,4),11,(4,10),4,1,(1,F)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 40/1
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in at least a Cl3 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Carried 154-166lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 2-4 placings (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Won within past 16-121 days
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Over 2m - 2m4f (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 2-5 placings (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Within first 14 of market
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest ran not Cl3-5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 2-6 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Wearing no headgear or TT
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 2-9 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Did not run in a Hcp (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Avoid Chestnut (CH) runners
  • 19 / 20 (61%) - Had 2-4 wins (Season)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Ran within the past 70 days
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 18 / 20 (41%) - Won at least a Class 1
  • 18 / 20 (67%) - Made 3-7 starts (Hurdles)
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Fewer than 13 runners (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Supreme Novices Hurdle. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Supreme Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.25 is when runners had 1 career start in the class. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-75.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Supreme Novices Hurdle is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 322 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Supreme Novices Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Ebaziyan in 2007 when winning for W P Mullins at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Davy Condon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Supreme Novices Hurdle. Next up is the Arkle Challenge Trophy, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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