Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Winter Festival)

Get ready for the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, run at Fairyhouse during the Winter Festival over 2m½f. Here we look back through the race's history, showcasing the most successful trainers and jockeys, and identifying the statistical trends that could help you find the next winner.
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Winter Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview

The Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is one of three Grade 1 races run on the Sunday of the Fairyhouse Winter Festival, which takes place either last November or early December.

This race, open to runners aged four or older, is run over a distance of two miles and a half furlong, where these novice hurdlers will have a total of ten hurdles.

The race is named in honour of the Arthur Moore-trained Royal Bond, who had a successful jumps career in the 1980s.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Information:

We also have a dedicated Fairyhouse tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Fairyhouse Winter Festival section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
ALSO READ

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025

How competitive is the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ117 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Royal Bond Novice Hurdle races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Airlie Beach (3:53.10) in 2016
  2. The Tullow Tank (3:53.60) in 2013
  3. Statuaire (3:56.50) in 2021

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.07. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Hurricane Fly from W P Mullins under the guidance of Paul Townend, won in a time of 4:19.00, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Airlie Beach, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Danny Mullins set the quickest time of 3:53.10 in the 2016 renewal.

What the expert says...
You don't usually need to go too far down the market to find the winner; seventeen of the last nineteen winners have come from the first three in the market.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2025
4:00.50
Koktail Brut (FR)
5yo 11-4 8/13F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2024
3:57.00
Tounsivator (FR)
5yo 11-4 12/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2023
4:09.00
Farren Glory (IRE)
6yo 11-12 11/2
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2022
4:09.80
Marine Nationale (IRE)
5yo 11-12 11/2
Michael O'Sullivan
Barry Connell (IRE)
2021
3:56.50
Statuaire (FR)
6yo 11-5 12/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
4:12.30
Ballyadam (IRE)
5yo 11-12 8/15F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:01.40
Envoi Allen (FR)
5yo 11-10 8/11F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
3:56.70
Quick Grabim (IRE)
6yo 11-10 1/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:00.50
Mengli Khan (IRE)
4yo 11-7 1/1F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
3:53.10
Airlie Beach (IRE)
6yo 11-3 4/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 145 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Replay


Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race nine times, with those nine winners coming from Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010), Sous Les Cieux (2011), Nichols Canyon (2014), Long Dog (2015), Airlie Beach (2016), Quick Grabim (2018), Statuaire (2021) and Tounsivator (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Gordon Elliott (5 wins), Mrs John Harrington (2 wins) and Philip Fenton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
W P Mullins39-9-17+7.07+3.74
Gordon Elliott17-5-9-3.62-0.53
Mrs John Harrington6-2-3+8.25+4.21
Philip Fenton3-2-3+4.30+4.44
Noel Meade15-1-5-10.00-3.40
Barry Connell2-1-1+4.50+2.30
Joseph Patrick O'Brien7-0-1-7.00-4.62
Henry De Bromhead7-0-1-7.00-6.25
Gavin Cromwell5-0-3-5.00+0.26
Thomas Mullins4-0-1-4.00-2.75

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals, with both Danny Mullins and Jack Kennedy having won the race four times. Danny Mullins' winners have been with The Tullow Tank (2013), Airlie Beach (2016), Statuaire (2021) and Tounsivator (2024). Jack Kennedy winners have been with Mengli Khan (2017), Ballyadam (2020), Farren Glory (2023) and Koktail Brut (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is Paul Townend (3 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Danny Mullins6-4-4+31.00+18.20
Jack Kennedy6-4-6+5.65+5.78
Paul Townend15-3-6-5.93-3.13
Michael O'Sullivan2-1-1+4.50+2.30
Mark Walsh6-0-1-6.00-3.62
Keith Donoghue5-0-1-5.00-2.90
Sean Flanagan4-0-1-4.00-2.50
Rachael Blackmore4-0-1-4.00-3.25
Mr P W Mullins3-0-3-3.00+0.65
Sean O'Keeffe3-0-0-3.00-3.00

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 places in the past 180 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Punchestown and Down Royal; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 130 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle:

  • Fame And Glory (2 Wins)
  • Muhtathir (2 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Statuaire in 2021, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Koktail Brut
Punchestown - 1st of 21 (10/11)
Matchbook Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle
2024 - Tounsivator
Listowel - 5th of 15 (7/2)
MCG Handicap Hurdle
2023 - Farren Glory
Clonmel - 1st of 17 (13/8)
I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle
2022 - Marine Nationale
Punchestown - 1st of 12 (4/9)
Festival 2023 On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle
2021 - Statuaire
Wexford - 1st of 8 (8/11)
BoyleSports Novice Hurdle
2020 - Ballyadam
Down Royal - 1st of 18 (4/6)
Tayto Group Maiden Hurdle
2019 - Envoi Allen
Down Royal - 1st of 17 (1/4)
Tayto Group Maiden Hurdle
2018 - Quick Grabim
Navan - 4th of 7 (7/4)
For Auction Novice Hurdle
2017 - Mengli Khan
Navan - 1st of 6 (5/4)
For Auction Novice Hurdle
2016 - Airlie Beach
Down Royal - 1st of 7 (4/6)
European Breeders Fund Lough Construction Ltd. Mares Novice Hurdle

Races Covered during the Fairyhouse Winter Festival

Remember to head to the Fairyhouse predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Fairyhouse Winter Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Saturday
Fairyhouse Winter Festival Listed Handicap Chase
Drumgill (IRE)
6yo - 11/1
John Patrick Ryan
Michael Kenneally
Sunday
Porterstown Handicap Chase
Better Times Ahead (IRE)
8yo - 3/1
Robert Tyner
Mark Walsh
Sunday
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle
Koktail Brut (FR)
5yo - 8/13
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
Sunday
Drinmore Novice Chase
Romeo Coolio (GB)
6yo - 8/15
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
Sunday
Hatton's Grace Hurdle
Teahupoo (FR)
8yo - 1/1
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
Sunday
Fairyhouse Winter Festival Listed Handicap Hurdle
Zillow (GB)
5yo - 7/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this news article
KEEP READING
Peterborough Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Peterborough Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

The Peterborough Chase, held annually at Huntingdon over a distance of 2m4f, is a race rich with history. In this preview, we uncover winning formulas by highlighting notable records and the key trends formed across past renewals.
Continue Reading
Scottish Borders National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Scottish Borders National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Get ready for the Scottish Borders National, run at Kelso over 4m½f. Here we look back through the race's history, showcasing the most successful trainers and jockeys, and identifying the statistical trends that could help you find the next winner.
Continue Reading
Tingle Creek Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Tingle Creek Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Our preview of the Tingle Creek, a race contested over 1m7½f at Sandown, outlines the most significant winning records, details the accomplishments of leading trainers and jockeys and digs into the historical trends.
Continue Reading