Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview
The Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is one of three Grade 1 races run on the Sunday of the Fairyhouse Winter Festival which takes place either last November or early December.
This race, open to runners aged four or older is run over a distance of two miles where these novice hurdlers will have a total of ten hurdles.
The race is named in honour of the Arthur Moore trained Royal Bond who had a successful jumps career in the 1980s.
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Information:
- Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Past Winners
- Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Fairyhouse tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Fairyhouse Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:
- Airlie Beach (3:53.10) in 2016
- The Tullow Tank (3:53.60) in 2013
- Statuaire (3:56.50) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.07. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:53.10 was set by Airlie Beach in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Danny Mullins. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Hurricane Fly won in a time of 4:19.00, booked to ride was Paul Townend by the trainer W P Mullins.
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:57.00 | Tounsivator (FR) 5yo 11-4 12/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 4:09.00 | Farren Glory (IRE) 6yo 11-12 11/2 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 4:09.80 | Marine Nationale (IRE) 5yo 11-12 11/2 | Michael O'Sullivan Barry Connell (IRE) |
| 2021 3:56.50 | Statuaire (FR) 6yo 11-5 12/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2020 4:12.30 | Ballyadam (IRE) 5yo 11-12 8/15F | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2019 4:01.40 | Envoi Allen (FR) 5yo 11-10 8/11F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2018 3:56.70 | Quick Grabim (IRE) 6yo 11-10 1/1F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 4:00.50 | Mengli Khan (IRE) 4yo 11-7 1/1F | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 3:53.10 | Airlie Beach (IRE) 6yo 11-3 4/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 4:03.60 | Long Dog (GB) 5yo 11-10 1/2F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 145 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race nine times with those nine winners coming from Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010), Sous Les Cieux (2011), Nichols Canyon (2014), Long Dog (2015), Airlie Beach (2016), Quick Grabim (2018), Statuaire (2021) and Tounsivator (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Gordon Elliott (4 wins), Noel Meade (2 wins), Mrs John Harrington (2 wins) and Philip Fenton (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 40-9-17 | +6.07 | +2.74 |
| Gordon Elliott | 16-4-8 | -4.24 | -0.90 |
| Noel Meade | 15-2-5 | -2.00 | +0.50 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 6-2-3 | +8.25 | +4.21 |
| Philip Fenton | 3-2-3 | +4.30 | +4.44 |
| Barry Connell | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.30 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -4.62 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -4.25 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -0.84 |
| Thomas Mullins | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.75 |
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Danny Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from The Tullow Tank (2013), Airlie Beach (2016), Statuaire (2021) and Tounsivator (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Paul Townend (3 wins) and Jack Kennedy (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Mullins | 6-4-4 | +31.00 | +18.20 |
| Paul Townend | 15-3-6 | -5.93 | -3.13 |
| Jack Kennedy | 5-3-5 | +5.03 | +5.41 |
| Michael O'Sullivan | 2-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.30 |
| Mark Walsh | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.62 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -3.25 |
| Keith Donoghue | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 3-0-3 | -3.00 | +0.65 |
| Sean Flanagan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.50 |
| Sam Ewing | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -1.45 |
2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, PU, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 3, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not G2/LST/Cl2/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 125+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 4/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Off a break of 18 - 165 days
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl2/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 4/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not BB/BL/BR/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (Hurdle)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 5 - 22 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -8½l (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 155lbs last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is Down Royal, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Down Royal last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Naas and Punchestown, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 130 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 16 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle:
- Fame And Glory (2 Wins)
- Muhtathir (2 Wins)
- Oscar (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Statuaire in 2021, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
