Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Winter Festival)

Updated: 687 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. This is a race that is hosted at Fairyhouse during the Winter Festival with the race being run over a distance of 2m, see which trends the past winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle have set for this year.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Winter Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview

The Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is one of three Grade 1 races run on the Sunday of the Fairyhouse Winter Festival which takes place either last November or early December. This race, open to runners aged four or older is run over a distance of two miles where these novice hurdlers will have a total of ten hurdles. The race is named in honour of the Arthur Moore trained Royal Bond who had a successful jumps career in the 1980s.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Fairyhouse tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Fairyhouse Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.07. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the W P Mullins trained Airlie Beach ridden by Danny Mullins who set the fastest winning time in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:53.10 when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer W P Mullins and jockey Paul Townend with Hurricane Fly who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:19.00 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Airlie Beach (3:53.10) in 2016
  2. The Tullow Tank (3:53.60) in 2013
  3. Statuaire (3:56.50) in 2021

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2023
4:09.00
Farren Glory (IRE)
6yo 11-12 11/2
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2022
4:09.80
Marine Nationale (IRE)
5yo 11-12 11/2
Michael O'Sullivan
Barry Connell (IRE)
2021
3:56.50
Statuaire (FR)
6yo 11-5 12/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
4:12.30
Ballyadam (IRE)
5yo 11-12 8/15F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:01.40
Envoi Allen (FR)
5yo 11-10 8/11F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
3:56.70
Quick Grabim (IRE)
6yo 11-10 1/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:00.50
Mengli Khan (IRE)
4yo 11-7 1/1F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
3:53.10
Airlie Beach (IRE)
6yo 11-3 4/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
4:03.60
Long Dog (GB)
5yo 11-10 1/2F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:57.30
Nichols Canyon (GB)
4yo 11-7 7/2
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 146 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010), Sous Les Cieux (2011), Nichols Canyon (2014), Long Dog (2015), Airlie Beach (2016), Quick Grabim (2018) and Statuaire (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Gordon Elliott (4 wins), Noel Meade (3 wins), Mrs John Harrington (2 wins) and Philip Fenton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
W P Mullins37-8-15-3.93-4.06
Gordon Elliott15-4-7-3.24-0.45
Noel Meade17-3-7+3.00+5.20
Mrs John Harrington6-2-3+8.25+4.21
Philip Fenton3-2-3+4.30+4.44
Barry Connell1-1-1+5.50+3.30
Joseph Patrick O'Brien7-0-1-7.00-4.62
Henry De Bromhead5-0-1-5.00-4.25
Gavin Cromwell4-0-2-4.00-0.84
Thomas Mullins4-0-1-4.00-2.75

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with Paul Townend, Danny Mullins and Jack Kennedy having all won the race three times. Paul Townend winners have been with Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010) and Nichols Canyon (2014). Danny Mullins winners have been with The Tullow Tank (2013), Airlie Beach (2016) and Statuaire (2021). Jack Kennedy winners have been with Mengli Khan (2017), Ballyadam (2020) and Farren Glory (2023).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Paul Townend14-3-6-4.93-2.13
Danny Mullins5-3-3+19.00+11.00
Jack Kennedy5-3-5+5.03+5.41
Michael O'Sullivan2-1-1+4.50+2.30
Mark Walsh6-0-1-6.00-3.62
Rachael Blackmore4-0-1-4.00-3.25
Keith Donoghue4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Robbie Power4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Sean Flanagan3-0-1-3.00-1.50
Mr P W Mullins2-0-2-2.00+0.05

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, PU, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (69%) - Within the first 5 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 125+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Off a break of 18 - 165 days
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G2/LST/Cl2/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl2/Cl5 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 4/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -4½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (Hurdle)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 4/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not BB/BL/BR/GR in colour
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 5 - 22 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 60+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 1 - 7 starts (1 Year)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 155lbs last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is Down Royal, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Down Royal last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Naas, Navan and Punchestown, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 131 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle:

  • Fame And Glory (2 Wins)
  • Muhtathir (2 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Statuaire in 2021, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle.

Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Fairyhouse racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in November (Winter Festival)

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