2022 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis (Winter Festival)

Published: Nov 18, 2:30pm Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:11pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 31 Views

2022 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Preview

The Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is one of three Grade 1 races run on the Sunday of the Fairyhouse Winter Festival which takes place either last November or early December. This race, open to runners aged four or older is run over a distance of two miles where these novice hurdlers will have a total of ten hurdles. The race is named in honour of the Arthur Moore trained Royal Bond who had a successful jumps career in the 1980s.

If you are interested in other predictions at Fairyhouse then head over to the Fairyhouse Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:51.70 was set by Newmill in 2003, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Thomas Gerard O'Leary and ridden by G Cotter. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Hurricane Fly won in a time of 4:19.00, booked to ride was Paul Townend on this W P Mullins trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2003 - Newmill (3:51.70)
  • 2016 - Airlie Beach (3:53.10)
  • 2013 - The Tullow Tank (3:53.60)

How competitive is the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 119% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.17. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
3:56.50
Statuaire (FR)
6yo 11-5 12/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
4:12.30
Ballyadam (IRE)
5yo 11-12 8/15F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:01.40
Envoi Allen (FR)
5yo 11-10 8/11F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
3:56.70
Quick Grabim (IRE)
6yo 11-10 1/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:00.50
Mengli Khan (IRE)
4yo 11-7 1/1F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
3:53.10
Airlie Beach (IRE)
6yo 11-3 4/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
4:03.60
Long Dog (GB)
5yo 11-10 1/2F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:57.30
Nichols Canyon (GB)
4yo 11-7 7/2
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
3:53.60
The Tullow Tank (IRE)
5yo 11-10 5/1
Danny Mullins
Philip Fenton (IRE)
2012
4:02.50
Jezki (IRE)
4yo 11-7 9/4
Barry Geraghty
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 151 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 8 times. Those 8 winners came from Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010), Sous Les Cieux (2011), Nichols Canyon (2014), Long Dog (2015), Airlie Beach (2016), Quick Grabim (2018) & Statuaire (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Noel Meade (3 wins), Gordon Elliott (3 wins), Mrs John Harrington (2 wins) & Philip Fenton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 35-8-15 -1.93 -1.91
Noel Meade 19-3-7 +1.00 +3.20
Gordon Elliott 11-3-4 -5.74 -4.75
Mrs John Harrington 7-2-4 +7.25 +4.01
Philip Fenton 3-2-3 +4.30 +4.44
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.62
E J O'Grady 5-0-3 -5.00 -2.95
D K Weld 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.13
Henry De Bromhead 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Thomas Mullins 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.75

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Townend & Danny Mullins who have both won the race 3 times. Paul Townend winners have been with Hurricane Fly (2008), Zaidpour (2010) & Nichols Canyon (2014). Danny Mullins winners have been with The Tullow Tank (2013), Airlie Beach (2016) & Statuaire (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle is Jack Kennedy (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Bond Novice Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 12-3-6 -2.93 -0.13
Danny Mullins 3-3-3 +21.00 +13.00
Jack Kennedy 3-2-3 +0.53 +0.81
Davy Russell 14-1-3 -12.27 -9.31
B J Cooper 7-0-1 -7.00 -3.00
Mark Walsh 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.62
Robbie Power 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00
Niall P Madden 3-0-2 -3.00 +3.60
Sean Flanagan 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.50
Rachael Blackmore 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,6,3,6,2,2,2,1,1,1,1,2,4,PU,1,F,1,1,1,1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 4/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Made 1-5 starts (Hurdles)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 1-5 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 1-8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 2-13 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Had 1-8 placings (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (54%) - Within first 4 of market
  • 19 / 20 (58%) - No bigger than 10/1
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Beaten no more 2l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Never placed off bigger than 12/1
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Had won over hurdles
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Finished in first 2 (LTO)
  • 16 / 20 (59%) - Beaten no more 4l (Debut)
  • 16 / 20 (75%) - Ran over 2m or ext (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 places in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle are Navan and Down Royal, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 135 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 18 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle:

  • Muhtathir (2 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, that stallion is Bob Back who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Statuaire in 2021 when winning for W P Mullins at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle.

Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Fairyhouse racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in November

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