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2022 Drinmore Novice Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis (Winter Festival)

Published: Nov 18, 2:23pm Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:08pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 29 Views

2022 Drinmore Novice Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Fairyhouse Racecourse is the Drinmore Novice Chase, a race that is included on the Sunday of the Winter Festival, this Grade 1 is run over a distance of two miles and four furlongs in which a total of sixteen will be faced by these novice chasers. It's a race that has had some very good to be chasers win it with the likes of Don Cossack, Valseur Lido, Delta Work, Fakir D'oudairies and Envoi Allen all previously winning the race!

If you are interested in other predictions at Fairyhouse then head over to the Fairyhouse Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Gordon Elliott trained Don Cossack ridden by Davy Russell who has set the fastest winning time in the Drinmore Novice Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 4:53.10 that was set when winning the race in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer E J O'Grady and jockey Andrew J McNamara with Skys The Limit who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:43.40 in the 2007 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2013 - Don Cossack (4:53.10)
  • 2021 - Beacon Edge (4:56.70)
  • 2018 - Delta Work (5:00.00)

How competitive is the Drinmore Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Drinmore Novice Chase, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Drinmore Novice Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.25. Ahead of the 2022 Drinmore Novice Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Drinmore Novice Chase Past Winners

Here are the Drinmore Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Drinmore Novice Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
4:56.70
Beacon Edge (IRE)
7yo 11-12 7/2
Denis O'Regan
Noel Meade (IRE)
2020
5:29.10
Envoi Allen (FR)
6yo 11-12 2/11F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
5:14.30
Fakir Doudairies (FR)
4yo 11-2 6/4F
Mark Walsh
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2018
5:00.00
Delta Work (FR)
5yo 11-10 100/30
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:20.40
Death Duty (IRE)
6yo 11-10 8/11F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2016
5:04.70
Coney Island (IRE)
5yo 11-10 8/1
Mark Walsh
Edward P Harty (IRE)
2015
5:22.50
No More Heroes (IRE)
6yo 11-10 13/8F
B J Cooper
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2014
5:05.20
Valseur Lido (FR)
5yo 11-9 7/2
B J Cooper
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
4:53.10
Don Cossack (GER)
6yo 11-10 13/8F
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2012
5:12.20
Arvika Ligeonniere (FR)
7yo 11-10 2/1
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Drinmore Novice Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Jessies Dream (2010), Don Cossack (2013), No More Heroes (2015), Death Duty (2017), Delta Work (2018) & Envoi Allen (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Drinmore Novice Chase are Noel Meade (3 wins) & W P Mullins (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Drinmore Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Gordon Elliott 19-6-7 -2.00 -4.05
Noel Meade 17-3-8 -7.45 -4.78
W P Mullins 16-2-4 -8.50 -7.68
Paul Nolan 6-1-3 -2.50 -1.04
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 6-1-2 -3.50 -1.29
E J O'Grady 5-1-1 -1.75 -2.65
A J Martin 4-1-3 -1.12 -0.26
E Sheehy 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.50
Edward P Harty 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
C Byrnes 1-1-1 +6.00 +3.60

Drinmore Novice Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Davy Russell who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Cailin Alainn (2006), Don Cossack (2013), Death Duty (2017) & Delta Work (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Drinmore Novice Chase are B J Cooper (2 wins) & Mark Walsh (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Drinmore Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 13-4-8 +2.69 +3.55
B J Cooper 6-2-3 +1.13 +0.47
Mark Walsh 5-2-2 +6.50 +3.94
Jack Kennedy 5-1-1 -3.82 -4.00
Denis O'Regan 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Paul Townend 7-0-1 -7.00 -6.13
Robbie Power 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.54
Sean Flanagan 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.06
Rachael Blackmore 3-0-0 -3.00 -2.00
Jonathan Burke 2-0-0 -2.00 -2.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,PU,1,(1,3),PU,1,5,1,F,PU,2,1,5,1,5,1,2,1,1,4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 8/1
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 7/2 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Within first 5 of market
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Made 0-2 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Made 1-3 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more 3½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest ran 2m2½f - 3m
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Never won off bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 1-3 placings (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Never ran over bigger than 40/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 1-8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1-4 wins (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Won within last 3 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Drinmore Novice Chase. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Drinmore Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Drinmore Novice Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.47 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 4th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Drinmore Novice Chase is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Down Royal and Navan, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 142 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Drinmore Novice Chase:

  • Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
  • Presenting (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Drinmore Novice Chase, that stallion is Kings Theatre who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Coney Island in 2016 when winning for Edward P Harty at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of Mark Walsh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Drinmore Novice Chase see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Fairyhouse racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in November

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