Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Drinmore Novice Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Fairyhouse Racecourse is the Drinmore Novice Chase, a race that is included on the Sunday of the Winter Festival, this Grade 1 is run over a distance of two miles and four furlongs in which a total of sixteen will be faced by these novice chasers.
It's a race that has had some very good to-be chasers win it with the likes of Don Cossack, Valseur Lido, Delta Work, Fakir D'oudairies and Envoi Allen all previously winning the race!
For sponsorship purposes, the race in 2024 renewal of the Drinmore Novice Chase will hold the title of 'Bar One Racing Drinmore Novice Chase'.
Drinmore Novice Chase Information:
- Drinmore Novice Chase Past Winners
- Drinmore Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
- Drinmore Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Fairyhouse then head over to the Fairyhouse tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Fairyhouse Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Drinmore Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Drinmore Novice Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Drinmore Novice Chase Trends:
- 2024 Drinmore Novice Chase Trends
- Drinmore Novice Chase Trend Analysis
- Drinmore Novice Chase Trend Shortlist
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Drinmore Novice Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.37. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Drinmore Novice Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Skys The Limit from E J O'Grady under the guidance of Andrew J McNamara, won in a time of 5:43.40, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Don Cossack, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Davy Russell set the quickest time of 4:53.10 in the 2013 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Don Cossack (4:53.10) in 2013
- Beacon Edge (4:56.70) in 2021
- Delta Work (5:00.00) in 2018
Drinmore Novice Chase Past Winners
Here are the Drinmore Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Drinmore Novice Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 5:23.70 | I Am Maximus (FR) 7yo 11-12 11/1 | Jody McGarvey W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 5:31.40 | Mighty Potter (FR) 5yo 11-12 3/1 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2021 4:56.70 | Beacon Edge (IRE) 7yo 11-12 7/2 | Denis O'Regan Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2020 5:29.10 | Envoi Allen (FR) 6yo 11-12 2/11F | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2019 5:14.30 | Fakir Doudairies (FR) 4yo 11-2 6/4F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 5:00.00 | Delta Work (FR) 5yo 11-10 100/30 | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2017 5:20.40 | Death Duty (IRE) 6yo 11-10 8/11F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 5:04.70 | Coney Island (IRE) 5yo 11-10 8/1 | Mark Walsh Edward P Harty (IRE) |
| 2015 5:22.50 | No More Heroes (IRE) 6yo 11-10 13/8F | B J Cooper Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2014 5:05.20 | Valseur Lido (FR) 5yo 11-9 7/2 | B J Cooper W P Mullins (IRE) |
Drinmore Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Jessies Dream (2010), Don Cossack (2013), No More Heroes (2015), Death Duty (2017), Delta Work (2018), Envoi Allen (2020) and Mighty Potter (2022).
Here are the Drinmore Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 22-7-9 | -1.00 | -3.41 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Drinmore Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Drinmore Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Jack Kennedy and Mark Walsh who have both won the race two times. Jack Kennedy winners have been with Envoi Allen (2020) and Mighty Potter (2022). Mark Walsh winners have been with Coney Island (2016) and Fakir Doudairies (2019).
Here are the Drinmore Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kennedy | 7-2-3 | -1.82 | -2.36 |
| Mark Walsh | 6-2-2 | +5.50 | +2.94 |
| Keith Donoghue | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
2024 Drinmore Novice Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, (1, 3), PU, 1, 5, 1, F, PU, 2, 1, 5, 1, 5, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, PU, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 11/1
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Fewer than 3 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Fewer than 3 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 107+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST/Cl2
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -3½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 1 - 3 placings (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 8/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No older than a 7yo
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Drinmore Novice Chase. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Drinmore Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Drinmore Novice Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.87 is when runners had a highest class place of Class 1 (G1).
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-34.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Drinmore Novice Chase is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Down Royal, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Down Royal last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 139 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Drinmore Novice Chase:
- Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Drinmore Novice Chase, that stallion Kings Theatre has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was I Am Maximus in 2023, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 11/1 under the guidance of Jody McGarvey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Drinmore Novice Chase.
Drinmore Novice Chase Trend Shortlist
Fairyhouse will host the 2024 renewal of the Drinmore Novice Chase which will be run at 2:05 pm on Sunday 1st December 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Firefox (6/5)
- Gordon Elliott (22-7-9 -1.00 / -3.41)
- Jack Kennedy (7-2-3 -1.82 / -2.36)
- 13/15 Croke Park (14/1)
- Gordon Elliott (22-7-9 -1.00 / -3.41)
- Sam Ewing (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 13/15 Heart Wood (7/4)
- Henry De Bromhead (4-0-0 -4.00 / -4.00)
- Darragh O'Keeffe (1-0-1 -1.00 / +0.00)
- 13/15 Stellar Story (12/1)
- Gordon Elliott (22-7-9 -1.00 / -3.41)
- Keith Donoghue (2-0-0 -2.00 / -2.00)
- 12/15 Gorgeous Tom (6/1)
- Henry De Bromhead (4-0-0 -4.00 / -4.00)
- Mark Walsh (6-2-2 +5.50 / +2.94)
- 7/15 Shecouldbeanything (20/1)
- Gordon Elliott (22-7-9 -1.00 / -3.41)
- Jordan Gainford (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (2:29 pm Friday 29th November 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Heart Wood won the Michael Hickey Memorial Chase last time out and a total of 3 previous winners of that race from a total of 15 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -5.82.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Drinmore Novice Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
