Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Porterstown Handicap Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year during the Winter Festival at the Fairyhouse racecourse is the Porterstown Handicap Chase. This race, a Grade B Handicap Chase is contested over a gruelling three miles and five furlongs on what is usually testing ground given the time of year in which these runners will face a total of twenty-two fences on their way to victory.
Porterstown Handicap Chase Information:
- Porterstown Handicap Chase Past Winners
- Porterstown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
- Porterstown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Fairyhouse tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Fairyhouse Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Porterstown Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 117%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 152%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Porterstown Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.
Porterstown Handicap Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Porterstown Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.50. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Porterstown Handicap Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2015 renewal when Bless The Wings from Gordon Elliott under the guidance of Jack Kennedy, won in a time of 8:39.60, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Smoking Gun, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Denis O'Regan set the quickest time of 7:37.10 in the 2021 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Smoking Gun (7:37.10) in 2021
- Thelobstercatcher (7:44.50) in 2013
- Dinnies Vinnie (7:45.50) in 2018
Porterstown Handicap Chase Past Winners
Here are the Porterstown Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Porterstown Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 8:12.70 | Street Value (IRE) 8yo 10-6 22/1 | Danny Mullins J P Flavin (IRE) |
| 2022 8:20.60 | Punitive (IRE) 8yo 10-9 9/2 | Jordan Gainford Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2021 7:37.10 | Smoking Gun (IRE) 8yo 10-4 10/1 | Denis O'Regan Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2020 8:04.80 | Court Maid (IRE) 7yo 11-1 17/2 | David Mullins Thomas Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 7:52.00 | Killer Miller (IRE) 10yo 10-3 10/1 | Sean Flanagan Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2018 7:45.50 | Dinnies Vinnie (IRE) 10yo 10-1 16/1 | L P Dempsey J P Dempsey (IRE) |
| 2017 7:56.40 | Presenting Percy (GB) 6yo 11-10 7/2F | Davy Russell Patrick G Kelly (IRE) |
| 2016 7:52.90 | Forever Gold (IRE) 9yo 10-2 5/2F | Chris Timmons (5lbs) Edward Cawley (IRE) |
| 2015 8:39.60 | Bless The Wings (IRE) 10yo 11-4 11/2 | Jack Kennedy (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2014 8:04.70 | Embracing Change (IRE) 9yo 10-0 7/2F | Phillip Enright Robert Tyner (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Porterstown Handicap Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 46 placings from 276 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Porterstown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Bless The Wings (2015), Smoking Gun (2021) and Punitive (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Porterstown Handicap Chase is Noel Meade (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Porterstown Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 32-3-6 | -9.00 | -13.08 |
| Noel Meade | 24-2-7 | -8.50 | -5.54 |
| W P Mullins | 9-1-1 | -2.50 | -4.56 |
| A J Martin | 5-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.81 |
| Thomas Mullins | 4-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.31 |
| P A Fahy | 4-1-2 | +4.00 | +5.01 |
| Edward Cawley | 4-1-3 | -0.50 | +1.51 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| Donal Hassett | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.25 |
| Robert Tyner | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.19 |
Porterstown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Porterstown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Arbor Supreme (2008) and Droim Toll (2010).
Here are some of the top Porterstown Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend | 6-2-2 | +11.50 | +5.69 |
| Sean Flanagan | 9-1-5 | +2.00 | +5.80 |
| Danny Mullins | 8-1-2 | +15.00 | +8.45 |
| Phillip Enright | 8-1-5 | -3.50 | +3.83 |
| Denis O'Regan | 7-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.00 |
| Jack Kennedy | 7-1-2 | -0.50 | -1.70 |
| Mark Walsh | 7-1-1 | -2.00 | -3.50 |
| Robbie Colgan | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | +0.44 |
| L P Dempsey | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| Mark Enright | 2-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.50 |
2024 Porterstown Handicap Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (2, UR, UR), 1, 14, PU, 1, 6, (4, UR), 1, PU, 5, 1, (4, 5, PU), 1, (1, 5), 4, 5, 2, PU, 2, (PU, PU)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Fewer than 12 starts (Going)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Higher Class)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Made 3 - 10 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not BB/BL/CH in colour
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Placed is not G1/Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Dam is not FR/GER/JPN/NZ/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 22/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 6 - 25 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 12 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest ran 3mf - 4m½f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 151 - 168lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Fairyhouse racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Porterstown Handicap Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Porterstown Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Porterstown Handicap Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.50 is when runners ran over 3m last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins in Jumps (Chase) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-47.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Porterstown Handicap Chase is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Navan and Thurles, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 244 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 33 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Porterstown Handicap Chase:
- Gold Well (2 Wins)
- Old Vic (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Porterstown Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Presenting (0 Wins from 17 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Saddlers Hall (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Westerner (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Mahler (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Street Value in 2023, winning for J P Flavin at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Porterstown Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races at Fairyhouse racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Fairyhouse racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April
Races in November (Winter Festival)
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