Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Troytown Handicap Chase Preview
The Troytown Handicap Chase is scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Navan racecourse, this Grade 3 Chase is run over a trip of three miles and is open to runners who are aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences.
Troytown Handicap Chase Information:
- Troytown Handicap Chase Past Winners
- Troytown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
- Troytown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Navan then head over to the Navan tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
How competitive is the Troytown Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 157%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Troytown Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 140%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £140 which is bet.
Troytown Handicap Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Troytown Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +21.53. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Troytown Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Notre Pere from J T R Dreaper under the guidance of A E Lynch, won in a time of 6:53.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Royal County Star, trained by A J Martin and ridden by Robbie Colgan set the quickest time of 6:10.00 in the 2007 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Troytown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- 2007 - Royal County Star (6:10.00)
- 2018 - Tout Est Permis (6:10.90)
- 2013 - Cootamundra (6:13.40)
Troytown Handicap Chase Past Winners
Here are the Troytown Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Troytown Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 6:48.40 | Coko Beach (FR) 8yo 11-5 20/1 | Danny Gilligan (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:22.30 | The Big Dog (IRE) 9yo 11-10 11/1 | Keith Donoghue Peter Fahey (IRE) |
| 2021 6:16.30 | Run Wild Fred (IRE) 7yo 11-6 4/1F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2020 6:31.40 | The Jam Man (IRE) 7yo 10-6 5/2F | Paul Townend Ronan M P McNally (IRE) |
| 2019 6:34.50 | Chriss Dream (IRE) 7yo 11-7 9/2F | Robbie Power Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 6:10.90 | Tout Est Permis (FR) 5yo 10-12 9/1 | Sean Flanagan Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2017 6:35.60 | Mala Beach (IRE) 9yo 11-9 12/1 | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2016 6:24.60 | Empire Of Dirt (IRE) 9yo 11-8 12/1 | B J Cooper Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2015 6:29.70 | Riverside City (IRE) 6yo 9-8 8/1 | Jack Kennedy (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2014 6:30.80 | Balbriggan (IRE) 7yo 9-13 4/1F | Kevin Sexton (3lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Troytown Handicap Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 383 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Troytown Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Troytown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Balbriggan (2014), Riverside City (2015), Empire Of Dirt (2016), Mala Beach (2017), Run Wild Fred (2021) and Coko Beach (2023). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Troytown Handicap Chase, Mrs John Harrington has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Troytown Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 82-6-15 | -16.00 | -8.24 |
| Noel Meade | 35-1-4 | -25.00 | -21.87 |
| W P Mullins | 21-1-3 | -13.00 | -12.49 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 10-1-1 | -4.50 | -6.19 |
| A J Martin | 9-1-3 | -4.67 | -1.67 |
| T J Taaffe | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
| J T R Dreaper | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.75 |
| S J Mahon | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.44 |
| T M Walsh | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.88 |
| Peter Fahey | 3-1-2 | +9.00 | +6.88 |
Troytown Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Troytown Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Beroni (2009) and The Jam Man (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Troytown Handicap Chase, Mark Walsh has ridden a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Troytown Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend | 12-2-4 | -0.50 | -0.93 |
| Robbie Power | 10-1-2 | -4.50 | -3.19 |
| Robbie Colgan | 10-1-2 | -5.67 | -4.67 |
| Sean Flanagan | 9-1-4 | +1.00 | +4.13 |
| Keith Donoghue | 7-1-2 | +5.00 | +9.63 |
| Jack Kennedy | 5-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.00 |
| Kevin Sexton | 4-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Danny Gilligan | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| Mark Walsh | 13-0-1 | -13.00 | -11.50 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -5.50 |
2024 Troytown Handicap Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 5, 1, CO, (6, F, UR), 10, 5, 9, 5, 1, PU, 4, F, PU, 1, 1, 1, 5, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (66%) - Break of 12 - 280 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 6 - 22 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 16 of the market
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 2m½f - 3m4f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 2mf - 2m4f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Won 2m4f - 3m4f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 5 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 10 - 39 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl4-5
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Higher Class)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - Ran within last 67 days
- 18 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - No more than -22lbs (Vs Max Weight)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Navan racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Troytown Handicap Chase. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Troytown Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Troytown Handicap Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +38.50 is when runners had 1 season place. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Troytown Handicap Chase is Cork, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cork last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Galway, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 369 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Troytown Handicap Chase, that stallion Mahler has produced 2 winners (2022,2019).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Troytown Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 16 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Stowaway (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Gold Well (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Cootamundra in 2013, winning for J A Berry at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Robbie Moran. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
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