Punchestown Festival Tuesday Preview & Trends

2024 Punchestown Festival Tuesday Highlights

An excellent Tuesday card kicks off the five-day Punchestown Festival, featuring three Grade 1's headlined by the Champion Chase over two miles.

The other two Grade 1's are for the Novice division, the first of those is the Champion Novices Hurdle over two miles 100 yards and the Dooley Insurance Group Champion Novice Chase over three miles 120 yards.

We have also taken a look at the past trends for the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle over two miles 100 yards, a Grade B event worth 50,000 euros and the Haier Bumper over the same distance worth 100,000 euros.

We hope you enjoy reading our Punchestown Festival trends preview which will hopefully pinpoint some winners over the five days, good luck!

• 15:40 - Champion Novice Hurdle
• 16:15 - Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle
• 17:25 - Punchestown Champion Chase
• 18:00 - Punchestown Champion Novice Chase
• 18:35 - Haier Bumper

2024 Champion Novice Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

The opening Grade 1 race of the Punchestown Festival is the Champion Novice Hurdle, a race that is run over a trip of two miles and half a furlong where the runners will face nine hurdles, the race is open to novice hurdlers who are aged five or older.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:45.40 was set by Clopf in 2007, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by E J O'Grady and ridden by Barry Geraghty. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Jezki won in a time of 4:10.60, booked to ride was Barry Geraghty on this Mrs John Harrington trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

• 2007 - Clopf (3:45.40)
• 2008 - Jered (3:47.20)
• 2004 - Brave Inca (3:47.80)

How competitive is the Champion Novice Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2003 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Champion Novice Hurdle, the over-round has been 116% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Champion Novice Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.96.

Champion Novice Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the past five winners of the Champion Novice Hurdle:

Leading Trainers in the Champion Novice Hurdle

• W P Mullins - 9 wins and 8 places from 35 runners (+15.25)
• Noel Meade - 3 wins and 0 places from 14 runners (+0.50)
• E J O'Grady - 3 wins and 0 places from 3 runners (+7.61)

The leading trainer in the Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 9 times. Those 9 winners came from Hurricane Fly (2009), Blackstairmountain (2010), Faugheen (2014), Douvan (2015), Cilaos Emery (2017), Draconien (2018), Klassical Dream (2019), Echoes In Rain (2021) & Facile Vega (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Champion Novice Hurdle are Noel Meade (3 wins), E J O'Grady (3 wins) & Mrs John Harrington (2 wins).

Leading Jockeys in the Champion Novice Hurdle

• Paul Townend - 2 wins and 1 place from 9 rides (-1.33)
• Jack Kennedy - 1 win and 2 places from 4 rides (+17.00)
• Mr P W Mullins - 1 win and 0 places from 4 rides (-2.38)

The leading jockey in the Champion Novice Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Blackstairmountain (2010) & Facile Vega (2023).

Champion Novice Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,2,1,1,1,4,2,2,3,1,1,4,2,7,1,1,3,1

• 20 / 20 (64%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2/Cl5 (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (65%) - Achieved an RPR of 131+ (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (68%) - Made 4 - 9 starts (Non-Hcps)
• 20 / 20 (68%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl2-5
• 20 / 20 (72%) - Achieved an RPR of 136+ (Career)
• 20 / 20 (77%) - Made 2 - 5 starts (180 Days)
• 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (180 Days)
• 20 / 20 (79%) - Break of 12 - 148 days (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Trip)
• 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 25/1
• 20 / 20 (83%) - Is not GB/ITY/NZ/USA bred
• 20 / 20 (84%) - Placed within last 2 starts
• 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -16½l (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)

2024 Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

Sandwiched between two Grade 1 races on the opening day of the Punchestown Festival is his handicap hurdle which is run over two miles and half a furlong (100yds) where a total of nine hurdles are to be jumped in a Grade B race which is open to runners who are aged four or older.

Over the last 21 renewals, it was the Mrs John Harrington trained The Last Hurrah ridden by Andrew Leigh who set the fastest winning time in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:41.30 which was set when winning the race in 2006. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Noel Meade and jockey Paul Carberry with Il Fenomeno who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:14.90 in the 2013 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle over the last 21 renewals:

• 2006 - The Last Hurrah (3:41.30)
• 2008 - Bambootcha (3:44.30)
• 2007 - Window Of Hope (3:49.40)

How competitive is the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 21 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 122%. The race in 2007 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 170%, whilst on average over the last 21 renewals of the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle, the over-round has been 144% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £144 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 21 if you had followed the winner of the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 21 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.00.

Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the past five winners of the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle:

Leading Trainers in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle

• W P Mullins - 5 wins and 11 places from 51 runners (+20.00)
• Gordon Elliott - 2 wins and 2 places from 23 runners (+15.00)
• Mrs John Harrington - 1 win and 6 places from 26 runners (-9.00)

The leading trainer in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle over the last 21 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Kellys Craft (2004), Johnny McGeeney (2011), True Self (2018), Jazzaway (2021) & Bialystok (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle is Gordon Elliott (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 21 renewals in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle, Henry De Bromhead has sent a total of 18 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst A J Martin has sent out 13 without a winner.

Leading Jockeys in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle

• Paul Townend - 1 win and 3 places from 11 rides (+0.00)
• Danny Mullins - 1 win and 0 places from 9 rides (+6.00)
• L P Dempsey - 1 win and 0 places from 7 rides (+19.00)

There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle, Mark Walsh has sent a total of 15 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,16,5,18,4,2,(2,6,14),3,2,2,(7,SU),5,13,15,8,10,8,7,10,PU,3

• 21 / 21 (79%) - Within the first 15 of the market
• 21 / 21 (83%) - Beaten no more -23l (Debut)
• 21 / 21 (84%) - Not BB/BG/BL/BR/GR/RO in colour
• 21 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 25/1
• 21 / 21 (85%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
• 21 / 21 (86%) - Made 1 - 10 starts (1 Year)
• 21 / 21 (88%) - In a field of 5 - 22 (Last Win)
• 21 / 21 (89%) - Made 5 - 36 starts (Career)
• 21 / 21 (89%) - Had 2 - 14 placings (Career)
• 21 / 21 (89%) - Ran over 1m2f - 2m2½f (Last Win)
• 20 / 21 (81%) - Furthest Won 1m7½f - 2m2½f
• 20 / 21 (84%) - Highest Placed is not Cl3/Cl5
• 20 / 21 (86%) - No more than -5yrs (Vs Max Age)
• 19 / 21 (75%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
• 19 / 21 (83%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)

2024 Punchestown Champion Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

The Punchestown Champion Chase is a Grade 1 chase that is open to runners aged five or older and is run over a trip of two miles where a total of eleven fences will be faced. Look out for runners who ran in the Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival who then come here, Sprinter Sacre in 2013 was the last runner to win both races.

The runner which holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Sizing Europe from Henry De Bromhead under the guidance of A E Lynch, won in a time of 4:31.70, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Twist Magic, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 4:04.50 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Punchestown Champion Chase over the last 20 renewals:

• 2008 - Twist Magic (4:04.50)
• 2017 - Fox Norton (4:05.60)
• 2014 - Sizing Europe (4:05.90)

How competitive is the Punchestown Champion Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2010 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Punchestown Champion Chase, the over-round has been 116% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Punchestown Champion Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.24.

Punchestown Champion Chase Past Winners

Here are the past five winners of the Punchestown Champion Chase:

Leading Trainers in the Punchestown Champion Chase

• W P Mullins - 7 wins and 7 places from 33 runners (+0.31)
• Henry De Bromhead - 2 wins and 3 places from 13 runners (-3.38)
• Paul Nicholls - 2 wins and 1 place from 4 runners (-0.20)

The leading trainer in the Punchestown Champion Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Golden Silver (2010), Felix Yonger (2015), Un De Sceaux (2018), Un De Sceaux (2019), Chacun Pour Soi (2021), Energumene (2022) & Energumene (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Punchestown Champion Chase are Henry De Bromhead (2 wins) & Paul Nicholls (2 wins).

Leading Jockeys in the Punchestown Champion Chase

• Paul Townend - 5 wins and 1 place from 10 rides (+11.81)
• Danny Mullins - 1 win and 1 place from 3 rides (+3.00)
• Paddy Brennan - 1 win and 0 places from 2 rides (+8.00)

The leading jockey in the Punchestown Champion Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Golden Silver (2010), Un De Sceaux (2019), Chacun Pour Soi (2021), Energumene (2022) & Energumene (2023).

Punchestown Champion Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,UR,1,2,1,5,1,1,3,2,1,1,F,5,2,2,2,2,1,1,1

• 20 / 20 (58%) - No bigger than 12/1
• 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved a TS of 130+ (Last 3)
• 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved a TS of 134+ (Trip)
• 20 / 20 (71%) - Within the first 5 of the market
• 20 / 20 (75%) - Carried 159 - 168lbs (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (76%) - Won within last 5 starts
• 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 6 - 22 wins (Career)
• 20 / 20 (81%) - In a field of 11 - 29 (Debut)
• 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl2-4
• 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 2m - 2m4½f (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 3 - 12 (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (86%) - Placed within last 4 starts
• 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 1m1f - 2m2f (Debut)
• 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 14 - 47 days

2024 Punchestown Champion Novice Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

One of three Grade 1 races to feature on the opening day of the Punchestown Festival, the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase is open to runners who are aged five or older, those runners will have to jump a total of eighteen fences over this three miles and half a furlong (120yds) trip on their way to being crowned champion novice chaser.

When looking over the past 16 renewals, a time of 6:16.10 was set by Air Force One in 2008, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Charlie Mann and ridden by Noel Fehily. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Sir Des Champs won in a time of 6:57.30, booked to ride was Davy Russell on this W P Mullins trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Punchestown Champion Novice Chase over the last 16 renewals:

• 2008 - Air Force One (6:16.10)
• 2007 - Offshore Account (6:16.50)
• 2014 - Carlingford Lough (6:20.40)

How competitive is the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 16 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2013 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 16 renewals of the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase, the over-round has been 115% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 16 if you had followed the winner of the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -9.00.

Punchestown Champion Novice Chase Past Winners

Here are the past five winners of the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase:

Leading Trainers in the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase

• W P Mullins - 5 wins and 5 places from 26 runners (+5.54)
• Gordon Elliott - 3 wins and 2 places from 11 runners (+23.63)
• Noel Meade - 1 win and 1 place from 5 runners (-2.37)

The leading trainer in the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase over the last 16 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Kempes (2010), Sir Des Champs (2012), Valseur Lido (2015), Colreevy (2021) & Capodanno (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase is Gordon Elliott (3 wins).

Leading Jockeys in the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase

• Danny Mullins - 2 wins and 0 places from 3 rides (+20.00)
• Mark Walsh - 1 win and 2 places from 4 rides (-0.25)
• Donagh Meyler - 1 win and 0 places from 1 ride (+7.00)

The leading jockey in the Punchestown Champion Novice Chase over the last 16 renewals is Danny Mullins who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Mount Benbulben (2013) & Colreevy (2021).

Punchestown Champion Novice Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,F,2,4,7,BD,1,4,3,5,2,1,F,1,2,PU,F

• 16 / 16 (71%) - No bigger than 8/1 (LTO)
• 16 / 16 (75%) - Off a break of 15 - 47 days
• 16 / 16 (77%) - Break of 16 - 120 days (Last Place)
• 16 / 16 (78%) - Achieved a TS of 114+ (Last 5)
• 16 / 16 (83%) - Furthest ran 2m4½f - 3m5f
• 16 / 16 (83%) - Made 4 - 9 starts (1 Year)
• 16 / 16 (83%) - Not in a LST/Cl2/Cl4 (LTO)
• 16 / 16 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1
• 16 / 16 (85%) - Beaten no more -14l (Debut)
• 16 / 16 (85%) - No more than 1 fall (Career)
• 16 / 16 (85%) - No bigger than 6/1 (Last Win)
• 16 / 16 (87%) - Not in ENG/SCO/WAL (Debut)
• 16 / 16 (88%) - Made 5 - 16 starts (Non-Hcps)
• 16 / 16 (89%) - Carried 150 - 164lbs (LTO)
• 16 / 16 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 114+ (Career)

2024 Haier Bumper Preview, Trends & Analysis

A valuable bumper that features on the opening day of the Punchestown Festival, the Goffs Land Rover Bumper is open to runners who are aged either four or five with the race being run over a trip of two miles and half a furlong (100y).

**Just to note, the trends can be tricky in this race, 15 of the last 20 winners had never seen a racecourse before meaning the availability of trends is restricted.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:38.30 was set by Newmill in 2003, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Thomas Gerard O'Leary and ridden by Mr A Fitzgerald. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Commander Of Fleet won in a time of 4:18.40, booked to ride was Mr B O'Neill on this Gordon Elliott trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Haier Bumper over the last 20 renewals:

• 2003 - Newmill (3:38.30)
• 2008 - Quiscover Fontaine (3:41.10)
• 2006 - Glencove Marina (3:41.40)

How competitive is the Haier Bumper market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2004 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 186%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Haier Bumper, the over-round has been 145% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £145 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Haier Bumper next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.72.

Haier Bumper Past Winners

Here are the past five winners of the Haier Bumper:

Leading Trainers in the Haier Bumper

• W P Mullins - 6 wins and 3 places from 21 runners (+28.75)
• Gordon Elliott - 4 wins and 4 places from 21 runners (+26.00)
• Robert Tyner - 2 wins and 1 place from 12 runners (+24.00)

The leading trainer in the Haier Bumper over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Glencove Marina (2006), Quiscover Fontaine (2008), Moyle Park (2013), Very Much So (2014), Adamantly Chosen (2021) & Predators Gold (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Haier Bumper are Gordon Elliott (4 wins) & Robert Tyner (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Haier Bumper, Paul Nolan has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Leading Jockeys in the Haier Bumper

• Mr Derek O'Connor - 2 wins and 2 places from 15 rides (+2.00)
• Mr B O'Neill - 2 wins and 1 place from 13 rides (+16.00)
• Mr P W Mullins - 2 wins and 2 places from 13 rides (-5.25)

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Haier Bumper over the last 20 renewals with all of Mr Derek O'Connor, Mr B O'Neill & Mr P W Mullins having all won the race 2 times. Mr Derek O'Connor winners have been with Gonebeyondrecall (2007) & Vision Des Flos (2017). Mr B O'Neill winners have been with Coeur De Lion (2016) & Commander Of Fleet (2018). Mr P W Mullins winners have been with Moyle Park (2013) & Predators Gold (2023).

Haier Bumper Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,13,7,PU,1,12,1,4,(7,13),4,1,18,(1,7),2,3,15,19,20,8,4

• 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 33/1
• 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 16 of the market
• 20 / 20 (91%) - Not GB bred
• 20 / 20 (92%) - Is a Gelding
• 19 / 20 (94%) - Not wearing any equipment
• 18 / 20 (75%) - Dam either FR or IRE bred
• 18 / 20 (79%) - Not a 5lb claimer