2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial Preview

Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Punchestown racecourse is the Punchestown Grand National Trial, as a trial for the Grand National this can be a stamina testing experience, it is run over a trip of three miles and four furlongs and because of the time of the year, the ground can be very testing.

Punchestown Grand National Trial Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Punchestown Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the W P Mullins trained Some Target ridden by Paul Townend who has set the fastest winning time in the Punchestown Grand National Trial, the runner won the race in a time of 7:24.50 that was set when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Oliver McKiernan and jockey Robbie Colgan with Spot The Boss who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 8:18.40 in the 2013 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Punchestown Grand National Trial over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2011 - Some Target (7:24.50)
  • 2010 - Inoma James (7:31.10)
  • 2019 - Dounikos (7:35.60)

How competitive is the Punchestown Grand National Trial market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 158%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Punchestown Grand National Trial, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Punchestown Grand National Trial next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.75. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Punchestown Grand National Trial Past Winners

Here are the Punchestown Grand National Trial past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Punchestown Grand National Trial as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
8:16.10
Death Duty (IRE)
11yo 11-4 6/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2021
8:09.40
The Big Dog (IRE)
8yo 10-11 5/2F
Mr J J Codd
Peter Fahey (IRE)
2020
8:08.30
Ifyoucatchmenow (IRE)
7yo 9-9 14/1
Conor McNamara (5lbs)
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
7:35.60
Dounikos (FR)
8yo 11-0 12/1
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2018
8:08.10
Folsom Blue (IRE)
11yo 10-11 5/1F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
7:42.40
Baie Des Iles (FR)
6yo 10-11 8/1
Ms K Walsh
Ross O'Sullivan (IRE)
2016
7:50.50
Bonny Kate (IRE)
6yo 10-1 4/1
Sean Flanagan
Noel Meade (IRE)
2015
7:42.50
Embracing Change (IRE)
10yo 10-6 7/2F
Phillip Enright
Robert Tyner (IRE)
2014
7:44.90
Folsom Blue (IRE)
7yo 10-1 7/1
B J Cooper
Conor O'Dwyer (IRE)
2013
8:18.40
Spot The Boss (IRE)
9yo 9-10 8/1
Robbie Colgan
Oliver McKiernan (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Punchestown Grand National Trial have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 51 placings from 307 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Punchestown Grand National Trial Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Punchestown Grand National Trial over the last 20 renewals with both Gordon Elliott & W P Mullins who have both won the race 3 times. Gordon Elliott winners have been with Folsom Blue (2018), Dounikos (2019) & Death Duty (2022). W P Mullins winners have been with Hedgehunter (2003), Some Target (2011) & Ifyoucatchmenow (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Punchestown Grand National Trial is Noel Meade (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Punchestown Grand National Trial trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Gordon Elliott 31-3-9 -5.00 +1.51
W P Mullins 20-3-10 +8.50 +9.05
Noel Meade 13-2-3 +7.00 +1.02
E J O'Grady 8-1-3 +1.00 +1.25
Robert Tyner 5-1-2 -0.50 -0.40
Thomas Mullins 3-1-1 +8.00 +4.25
Ross O'Sullivan 3-1-3 +6.00 +5.80
D J Barry 2-1-1 +15.00 +9.00
Conor O'Dwyer 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.38
Peter Fahey 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.56

Punchestown Grand National Trial Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Punchestown Grand National Trial over the last twenty renewals with both Davy Russell & Jack Kennedy who have both won the race 2 times. Davy Russell winners have been with Chelsea Harbour (2008) & Dounikos (2019). Jack Kennedy winners have been with Folsom Blue (2018) & Death Duty (2022).

Here are some of the top Punchestown Grand National Trial jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 10-2-5 +14.00 +10.88
Jack Kennedy 6-2-3 +7.00 +4.63
Phillip Enright 8-1-1 -3.50 -4.90
B J Cooper 7-1-2 +1.00 -0.12
Paul Townend 7-1-1 -1.50 -3.19
Sean Flanagan 6-1-4 -1.00 +1.77
Robbie Colgan 5-1-1 +4.00 +0.80
Conor Maxwell 2-1-1 +15.00 +9.00
Conor McNamara 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.75
Mr J J Codd 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.56

2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,PU,PU,1,7,4,2,8,UR,9,6,3,7,1,2,3,1,6,(3,5),1,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Run)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 2-6 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Fewer than 7 placings (Hcp)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 4-15 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in a field of 10+ (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 2-7 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest placed 2m5½f - 3m5f
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 2-7 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in a field of 9-28 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Hcp)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - Within first 10 of market
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Either a bay or grey
  • 18 / 20 (85%) - No older than a 10yo
  • 17 / 20 (73%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Punchestown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Punchestown Grand National Trial. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Punchestown Grand National Trial by adding a tip on the race here.

Punchestown Grand National Trial Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had recorded 3 career non-finishes, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-48.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Punchestown Grand National Trial is Gowran Park, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Gowran Park last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Fairyhouse, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Fairyhouse last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 273 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 35 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Punchestown Grand National Trial:

  • Old Vic (3 Wins)
  • Kings Ride (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Punchestown Grand National Trial despite multiple attempts:

  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 16 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Glacial Storm (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Saddlers Hall (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Gold Well (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Arctic Lord (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Kings Glen in 2006 when winning for Thomas Carberry at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P A Carberry. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Punchestown Grand National Trial remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.

You are not logged in.
__user_name_placeholder__ avatar Hi, username! Logout