John Smith's Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

History, data, and trends combine in our look at the John Smith's Cup, run over 1m2½f at York. Here, we reveal the winning profiles, connection records, and the statistical patterns that could help guide your selection this year.
John Smith's Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 John Smith's Cup Preview

Previously known as the Magnet Cup, the John Smith's Cup is a Class 2 handicap run at York in July of each year. The race is open to runners who are three years old or older and is run 1m2½f.

The race holds the record for the longest-running commercial sponsorship in British racing, having been sponsored by John Smith's Brewery since the race was first created in 1960.

John Smith's Cup Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the John Smith's Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012, when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the John Smith's Cup, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 John Smith's Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the John Smith's Cup Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run John Smith's Cup races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Charlie Tokyo (1:56.61) in 2007
  2. Sirvino (2:07.18) in 2009
  3. Educate (2:07.34) in 2016

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the John Smith's Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.25. Before placing your bet on the 2027 John Smith's Cup, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Flying Clarets from Richard Fahey under the guidance of Frederik Tylicki, won in a time of 2:17.61, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Charlie Tokyo, trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by Jamie Moriarty set the quickest time of 1:56.61 in the 2007 renewal.

What the expert says...
Three of the five winners between 2021 and 2025 went on to run in the Chesterfield Cup at Glorious Goodwood next time out; they finished 4th, 3rd & 2nd, so thereabouts. However, the two who took different routes (Rose of Lancaster & Bentinck Conditions Stakes) both went on to win.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

John Smith's Cup Past Winners

Here are the John Smith's Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the John Smith's Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
2:09.35
Raammee (GB)
4yo 9-2 (14 of 22) 5/1
Ray Dawson
Roger Varian (GB)
2025
2:10.10
Fox Legacy (GB)
4yo 9-4 (19 of 18) 10/1
P J McDonald
Andrew Balding (GB)
2024
2:09.66
Enfjaar (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (1 of 20) 15/2
Jack Mitchell
Roger Varian (GB)
2023
2:09.18
Pride Of America (FR)
6yo 9-5 (2 of 18) 18/1
Frederick Larson (3lbs)
Amy Murphy (GB)
2022
2:08.37
Anmaat (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (10 of 22) 5/1F
Kevin Stott
Owen Burrows (GB)
2021
2:11.82
Johnny Drama (IRE)
6yo 8-13 (1 of 20) 22/1
Joshua Bryan
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
2:09.48
Sinjaari (IRE)
4yo 8-11 (7 of 22) 11/1
Stevie Donohoe
William Haggas (GB)
2019
2:10.38
Pivoine (IRE)
5yo 9-8 (6 of 21) 14/1
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
2:09.50
Euchen Glen (GB)
5yo 9-3 (3 of 19) 20/1
Alistair Rawlinson
Jim Goldie (GB)
2017
2:10.16
Ballet Concerto (GB)
4yo 9-3 (11 of 20) 8/1
James Doyle
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the John Smith's Cup have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 60 placings from 376 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

John Smith's Cup Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the John Smith's Cup over the last 20 renewals, with William Haggas, Andrew Balding, and Roger Varian having all won the race three times. William Haggas's winners have been Green Destiny (2011), Danchai (2013) and Sinjaari (2020). Andrew Balding's winners have been with Pivoine (2019), Johnny Drama (2021) and Fox Legacy (2025). Roger Varian's winners have been with Farraaj (2014), Enfjaar (2024) and Raammee (2026). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the John Smith's Cup is Richard Fahey (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the John Smith's Cup. Saeed bin Suroor (0-19), David O'Meara (0-17) and Brian Ellison (0-12) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top John Smith's Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
William Haggas22-3-6+8.00+1.86
Andrew Balding14-3-6+35.00+24.50
Roger Varian13-3-6+8.50+5.19
Richard Fahey35-2-7-10.00-3.05
Jim Goldie16-1-2+5.00+4.25
Sir Michael Stoute9-1-5+0.00+1.63
David Barron5-1-3+12.00+11.75
Ismail Mohammed4-1-2+15.00+11.25
Peter Chapple-Hyam3-1-1+31.00+18.63
Rod Millman3-1-1+12.00+6.75

John Smith's Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the John Smith's Cup over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Danchai (2013) and Farraaj (2014). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the John Smith's Cup. Daniel Tudhope has ridden 12 runners in the race without recording any wins, whilst Paul Mulrennan has ridden 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top John Smith's Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Andrea Atzeni8-2-3+10.00+5.31
P J McDonald8-1-3+3.00+3.94
Kevin Stott5-1-2+1.00+0.51
Robert Havlin4-1-1+30.00+17.63
Rob Hornby4-1-1+11.00+5.75
Stevie Donohoe4-1-2+8.00+6.88
Alistair Rawlinson3-1-1+18.00+10.50
Jack Mitchell3-1-2+5.50+3.94
Ray Dawson3-1-3+3.00+13.01
James Doyle2-1-1+7.00+4.00

2027 John Smith's Cup Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the John Smith's Cup will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

John Smith's Cup Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +66.50, is when runners had 1 career place on the going.

❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a furthest trip run of 1m2f; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-66.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 14 (1,7,3) [22 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 19 (10,6,14) [18 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 1 (6,10,8) [20 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 2 (11,6,3) [18 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 10 (3,8,2) [22 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the John Smith's Cup is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Sandown; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 367 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 13 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the John Smith's Cup:

  • Authorized (2 Wins)
  • Lope De Vega (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the John Smith's Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Arcano (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Kings Warrior in 2012, winning for Peter Chapple-Hyam at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Robert Havlin. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 John Smith's Cup, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the John Smith's Cup

Many trainers target races as preparation for the John Smith's Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Raammee
Sandown - 2nd of 12 (4/1)
Read Meg Nicholls Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap
2025 - Fox Legacy
Ascot - 6th of 30 (7/1)
Royal Hunt Cup
2024 - Enfjaar
Chelmsford (AW) - 1st of 8 (6/4)
biologybyclare.com Handicap
2023 - Pride Of America
Longchamp - 7th of 8 (27/1)
La Coupe - Fondation Claude Pompidou
2022 - Anmaat
Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 26 (11/2)
Cambridgeshire Handicap
2021 - Johnny Drama
Lingfield (AW) - 5th of 5 (11/2)
Winter Derby
2020 - Sinjaari
Newmarket (Rowley) - 13th of 19 (8/1)
Old Rowley Cup
2019 - Pivoine
Ascot - 18th of 19 (33/1)
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
2018 - Euchen Glen
Newcastle (AW) - 2nd of 19 (7/1)
Northumberland Vase
2017 - Ballet Concerto
Ascot - 4th of 29 (20/1)
Royal Hunt Cup

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this John Smith's Cup Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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