2022 Royal Hunt Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: May 27, 12:59am Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:42pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 5558 Views

2022 Royal Hunt Cup Preview

The Royal Hunt Cup carries class 2 status and is scheduled to be run on Wednesday, the second day of the Royal Meeting. The handicap race is run over a straight one mile and is open to runners who are ahead three years old or older.

One of the most competitive handicap races of the season with 20+ runners spread across the track over Ascot's straight mile, it's no surprise the draw can be a key factor with only two of the first four home in the past seven years drawn in a single figure stall.

Where the likely pacesetters are drawn is equally important in deciphering where the race is likely to unfold and we will take a look at the pace angle in greater detail when we have the final declarations and confirmed draw on Monday of Royal Ascot week.

There is quite often a notable gamble on a runner which takes place on race day in the Royal Hunt Cup so keeping an eye on the betting market moves in the build-up may pinpoint this before gathering pace, they don't always win though!

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Portage from M Halford who under the guidance of James Doyle, won in a time of 1:43.01, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Invisible Man, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 1:37.16 in the 2010 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Royal Hunt Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2010 - Invisible Man (1:37.16)
  • 2005 - New Seeker (1:37.54)
  • 2017 - Zhui Feng (1:37.82)

How competitive is the Royal Hunt Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 146%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Hunt Cup, the over-round has been 137% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £137 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Hunt Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Royal Hunt Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Royal Hunt Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Royal Hunt Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:38.04
Real World
4yo 8-6 (4 of 30) 18/1
Marco Ghiani (3lbs)
Saeed bin Suroor
2020
1:38.32
Dark Vision
4yo 9-1 (11 of 23) 15/2
William Buick
Mark Johnston
2019
1:42.36
Afaak
5yo 9-3 (21 of 28) 20/1
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills
2018
1:39.42
Settle For Bay
4yo 9-1 (22 of 30) 16/1
W J Lee
David Marnane
2017
1:37.82
Zhui Feng
4yo 9-0 (26 of 29) 25/1
Martin Dwyer
Amanda Perrett
2016
1:43.01
Portage
4yo 9-5 (4 of 28) 10/1
James Doyle
M Halford
2015
1:40.30
Gm Hopkins
4yo 9-3 (11 of 30) 8/1
Ryan Moore
John Gosden
2014
1:37.88
Field Of Dream
7yo 9-1 (33 of 28) 20/1
Adam Kirby
Jamie Osborne
2013
1:38.68
Belgian Bill
5yo 8-11 (6 of 28) 33/1
James Doyle
George Baker
2012
1:38.24
Prince Of Johanne
6yo 9-3 (33 of 30) 16/1
John Fahy
Tom Tate

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Hunt Cup have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 59 placings from 534 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 26 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Royal Hunt Cup Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Royal Hunt Cup over the last 20 renewals with all of John Gosden, Saeed bin Suroor & James Fanshawe having all won the race 2 times. John Gosden winners have been with Royal Oath (2007) & Gm Hopkins (2015). Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with Invisible Man (2010) & Real World (2021). James Fanshawe winners have been with Macadamia (2003) & Cesare (2006). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Royal Hunt Cup, Andrew Balding (0-19), Richard Fahey (0-16), Richard Hannon (0-14), David O'Meara (0-12), William Haggas (0-11), Brian Meehan (0-10) & Mick Channon (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Royal Hunt Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 17-2-5 +2.00 +9.88
Saeed bin Suroor 10-2-3 +38.00 +23.75
James Fanshawe 8-2-5 +16.00 +13.50
Mark Johnston 14-1-3 -5.50 -3.06
Jamie Osborne 11-1-4 +10.00 +14.50
George Baker 9-1-1 +25.00 +12.63
Charles Hills 7-1-3 +14.00 +11.88
Clive Cox 6-1-1 +6.00 +1.88
Amanda Perrett 5-1-1 +21.00 +11.63
David Marnane 4-1-1 +13.00 +7.00

Royal Hunt Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Royal Hunt Cup over the last 20 renewals is James Doyle who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Belgian Bill (2013) & Portage (2016). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Royal Hunt Cup, Paul Hanagan has had a total of 12 rides to the race without recording any wins whilst Silvestre De Sousa has had 11 rides without a winner.

Here are some of the top Royal Hunt Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
James Doyle 9-2-3 +36.00 +21.51
Jamie Spencer 19-1-4 -4.00 +4.50
Ryan Moore 17-1-6 -8.00 -1.80
Frankie Dettori 16-1-2 +13.00 +5.50
William Buick 14-1-1 -5.50 -8.31
Martin Dwyer 11-1-1 +15.00 +5.63
Jim Crowley 11-1-2 +10.00 +4.25
Dane O'Neill 9-1-3 +0.00 +7.25
Adam Kirby 8-1-1 +13.00 +5.50
John Fahy 3-1-1 +14.00 +8.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,18,8,28,(2,12),13,13,5,1,21,2,8,(12,18,22),8,9,22,15,8,(5,19),11,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Last win in England or Ireland
  • 19 / 20 (67%) - Carrying between 120-131lbs
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Aged between 4yo - 6yo
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - 2-7 Career wins
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - No more than 3 handicap wins
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Never ran in a Group 1
  • 18 / 20 (85%) - 7-40 Career starts
  • 18 / 20 (87%) - Highest class win Listed - Cl4
  • 18 / 20 (90%) - Last win in a Listed - Class 4
  • 17 / 20 (71%) - Won with last 6 Starts
  • 16 / 20 (63%) - Within 4lbs of race weight ave
  • 16 / 20 (72%) - Drawn in double-figure stall

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Hunt Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Royal Hunt Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Royal Hunt Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +5.50 is when runners had 3 career wins. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-85.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 4 (27,30,33) [30 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 11 (5,23,12) [23 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 21 (18,32,25) [28 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 22 (17,13,19) [30 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 26 (22,18,11) [29 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Royal Hunt Cup is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 550 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Hunt Cup, that stallion is Oasis Dream who has produced 2 winners (2019,2014).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Royal Hunt Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 18 runners)
  • Danehill (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Medicean (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Royal Applause (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Spinning World (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Belgian Bill in 2013 when winning for George Baker at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of James Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Royal Hunt Cup.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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