2022 Coronation Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jun 16, 3:36pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:04pm Horse Racing 2 Comments 2730 Views

2022 Coronation Stakes Preview

The Group 1 Coronation Stakes is run on the Friday of Royal Ascot when it's the fillies who steal the show! Established in 1840, the race is open to three-year-old fillies only and is run over just shy of a mile (7f 213yds). Good form in the English 1,000 Guineas or Irish 1,000 Guineas as well as the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches in France could be a pointer in the race.

When you consider we have seen 14 winners of this race in the past 23 years come from winning the English or Irish 1000 Guineas that is something to take note of! Watch out for the French raiders, three of the last six renewals have gone the way of the French including 2019 when Watch Me won for Francis-Henri Graffard.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Mrs John Harrington trained Alpha Centauri ridden by Colm O'Donoghue who has set the fastest winning time in the Coronation Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.89 that was set when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey Oisin Murphy with Alcohol Free who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:43.13 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Alpha Centauri (1:35.89)
  • 2005 - Maids Causeway (1:36.59)
  • 2009 - Ghanaati (1:38.32)

How competitive is the Coronation Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Coronation Stakes, the over-round has been 120% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Coronation Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.90. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Coronation Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Coronation Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Coronation Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:43.13
Alcohol Free
3yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 11/2
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding
2020
1:42.21
Alpine Star
3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mrs John Harrington
2019
1:39.61
Watch Me
3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Pierre-Charles Boudot
F-H Graffard
2018
1:35.89
Alpha Centauri
3yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/4F
Colm O'Donoghue
Mrs John Harrington
2017
1:39.39
Winter
3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 4/9F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2016
1:40.56
Qemah
3yo 9-0 (11 of 13) 6/1
Gregory Benoist
J-C Rouget
2015
1:38.46
Ervedya
3yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 3/1
Christophe Soumillon
J-C Rouget
2014
1:40.73
Rizeena
3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 11/2
Ryan Moore
Clive Brittain
2013
1:39.75
Sky Lantern
3yo 9-0 (16 of 17) 9/2F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:42.95
Fallen For You
3yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 12/1
William Buick
John Gosden

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Coronation Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 10 winners with an additional 22 placings from 138 runners
  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 9 placings from 55 runners
  • FR: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 18 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Coronation Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Sophisticat (2002), Lillie Langtry (2010) & Winter (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Coronation Stakes are John Gosden (2 wins) & Mrs John Harrington (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Coronation Stakes, Mick Channon has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Coronation Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 29-3-9 -16.56 -11.81
John Gosden 16-2-7 +4.00 +2.85
Mrs John Harrington 2-2-2 +7.25 +4.46
Sir Michael Stoute 12-1-4 -10.43 -6.98
J S Bolger 6-1-3 +0.00 +1.80
Mark Johnston 5-1-2 -2.50 -1.90
Andrew Balding 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.30
Mick Channon 12-0-3 -12.00 -5.95
D K Weld 5-0-1 -5.00 -2.90
Richard Hannon 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.10

Coronation Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Rizeena (2014) & Winter (2017).

Here are some of the top Coronation Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 14-2-7 -6.06 -2.41
Frankie Dettori 13-1-2 -7.50 -7.29
William Buick 6-1-2 +7.00 +3.40
Kevin Manning 6-1-3 +0.00 +1.80
Oisin Murphy 4-1-2 +2.50 +1.20
Jamie Spencer 9-0-3 -9.00 -4.35
James Doyle 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00
Andrea Atzeni 4-0-1 -4.00 -1.90
Seamie Heffernan 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.00
Martin Dwyer 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,11,1,1,7,(1,8),(2,8),4,1,1,5,8,(1,7),9,2,6,1,1,2,3,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - 2+ Career wins
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in a Group race LTO
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Best in 3 of 1st
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Won with last 3 Starts
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest won over 6.5f+
  • 19 / 20 (53%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 19 / 20 (64%) - Won at least a Group 3
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - 4+ Career starts
  • 17 / 20 (73%) - Ran over 1m LTO
  • 15 / 20 (61%) - 1+ Starts with the jockey

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Coronation Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Coronation Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Coronation Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.32 is when runners had the Same jockey as on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-50.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 10 (2,8) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 9 (10,5) [9 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 9 (5,11) [12 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 7 (2) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Coronation Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Coronation Stakes:

  • Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Giants Causeway (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Coronation Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Watch Me in 2019 when winning for F-H Graffard at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Pierre-Charles Boudot. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Coronation Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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