Coronation Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Coronation Stakes Preview

The Group 1 Coronation Stakes is run on the Friday of Royal Ascot when it's the fillies who steal the show! Established in 1840, the race is open to three-year-old fillies only and is run over just shy of a mile (7f 213yds). Good form in the English 1,000 Guineas or Irish 1,000 Guineas as well as the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches in France could be a pointer in the race.

When you consider we have seen 14 winners of this race in the past 23 years come from winning the English or Irish 1000 Guineas that is something to take note of! Watch out for the French raiders, three of the last six renewals have gone the way of the French including 2019 when Watch Me won for Francis-Henri Graffard.

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Coronation Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Coronation Stakes, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Coronation Stakes Trends:

2024 Coronation Stakes Trends
Coronation Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Coronation Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.10. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Coronation Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Mrs John Harrington trained Alpha Centauri ridden by Colm O'Donoghue who set the fastest winning time in the Coronation Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.89 was set when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey Oisin Murphy with Alcohol Free who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:43.13 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2018 - Alpha Centauri (1:35.89)
2005 - Maids Causeway (1:36.59)
2009 - Ghanaati (1:38.32)

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Coronation Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Coronation Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2023 1:41.69	Tahiyra (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 6) 8/13F	Chris Hayes D K Weld (IRE)
2022 1:39.20	Inspiral (GB) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 12) 15/8F	Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021 1:43.13	Alcohol Free (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 11/2	Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB)
2020 1:42.21	Alpine Star (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 9/2	Frankie Dettori Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2019 1:39.61	Watch Me (FR) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1	Pierre-Charles Boudot F-H Graffard (FR)
2018 1:35.89	Alpha Centauri (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/4F	Colm O'Donoghue Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2017 1:39.39	Winter (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 4/9F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016 1:40.56	Qemah (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 13) 6/1	Gregory Benoist J-C Rouget (FR)
2015 1:38.46	Ervedya (FR) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 3/1	Christophe Soumillon J-C Rouget (FR)
2014 1:40.73	Rizeena (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 11/2	Ryan Moore Clive Brittain (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Coronation Stakes have been based:

GB: 10 winners with an additional 19 placings from 131 runners
IRE: 6 winners with an additional 10 placings from 58 runners
FR: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 19 runners
USA: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners
GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Coronation Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of A P O'Brien, John Gosden, J-C Rouget and Mrs John Harrington having all won the race two times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Lillie Langtry (2010) and Winter (2017). John Gosden winners have been with Nannina (2006) and Fallen For You (2012). J-C Rouget winners have been Ervedya (2015) and Qemah (2016). Mrs John Harrington's winners have been Alpha Centauri (2018) and Alpine Star (2020). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Coronation Stakes, Mick Channon has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Sir Michael Stoute has sent out 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Coronation Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	28-2-8	-22.06	-15.11
John Gosden	15-2-6	+5.00	+2.65
J-C Rouget	5-2-3	+6.00	+3.65
Mrs John Harrington	4-2-3	+5.25	+4.06
J S Bolger	6-1-3	+0.00	+1.80
D K Weld	6-1-2	-4.38	-2.51
Mark Johnston	5-1-2	-2.50	-1.90
Andrew Balding	4-1-1	+2.50	+0.30
John & Thady Gosden	3-1-1	-0.12	-0.87
F-H Graffard	1-1-1	+20.00	+12.00

Coronation Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Coronation Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Rizeena (2014) and Winter (2017). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Alpine Star (2020) and Inspiral (2022).

Here are some of the top Coronation Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	16-2-7	-8.06	-4.41
Frankie Dettori	14-2-3	-5.62	-6.16
William Buick	7-1-3	+6.00	+3.80
Oisin Murphy	4-1-2	+2.50	+1.20
Gerald Mosse	3-1-2	+6.00	+4.20
Christophe Soumillon	3-1-3	+1.00	+1.90
Gregory Benoist	1-1-1	+6.00	+3.60
Chris Hayes	1-1-1	+0.62	+0.39
Jamie Spencer	9-0-3	-9.00	-4.35
James Doyle	8-0-0	-8.00	-8.00

2024 Coronation Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, (1, 8), (2, 8), 4, 1, 1, 5, 8, (1, 7), 9, 2, 6, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (63%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Career)
20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 7 of market
20 / 20 (72%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-3/Cl5
20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 20/1
20 / 20 (75%) - Had 2 - 7 wins (Non-Hcps)
20 / 20 (75%) - Not in a LST/Cl3/Cl5 (Last Win)
20 / 20 (76%) - Had 2 - 7 wins (Career)
20 / 20 (80%) - Carried 122 - 128lbs (Last Win)
20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
20 / 20 (80%) - Not in a LST/Cl2/Cl4-5 (LTO)
20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
20 / 20 (84%) - Furthest Won 6½f - 1m2½f
20 / 20 (85%) - Made 3 - 8 starts (1 Year)
20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 3 starts
20 / 20 (87%) - Made 3 - 9 starts (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Coronation Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Coronation Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Coronation Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.37 is when runners had the Same jockey as on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-47.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2023: Winner in 3 (2) [6 Runners]
2022: Winner in 5 (8,10) [12 Runners]
2021: Winner in 10 (2,8) [11 Runners]
2020: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
2019: Winner in 9 (10,5) [9 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Coronation Stakes are Curragh and Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Coronation Stakes:

Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
Galileo (2 Wins)
Giants Causeway (2 Wins)
Siyouni (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Coronation Stakes despite multiple attempts:

Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Cape Cross (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Watch Me in 2019, winning for F-H Graffard at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Pierre-Charles Boudot. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Coronation Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

14:30: Chesham Stakes
15:05: Jersey Stakes
15:40: Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
16:20: Hardwicke Stakes
17:00: Wokingham Stakes
17:35: Golden Gates Stakes
18:10: Queen Alexandra Stakes

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...