Kensington Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Investigate the Kensington Palace Stakes, focusing on trainer and jockey records. Review past winners to identify trends in this handicap for fillies and mares.
Kensington Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Kensington Palace Stakes Preview

The newest race at Royal Ascot is the Kensington Palace Stakes, which was introduced in 2021.

This race is contested over a mile and is restricted to only fillies and mares who are aged four or older, It is run on the second day of Royal Ascot.

Kensington Palace Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season, you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Kensington Palace Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 4 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 123%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 4 renewals of the Kensington Palace Stakes, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Kensington Palace Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kensington Palace Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Kensington Palace Stakes races over the last 4 renewals:

  1. Doha (1:38.24) in 2024
  2. Rising Star (1:39.36) in 2022
  3. Lola Showgirl (1:39.75) in 2021

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 4 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kensington Palace Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 4 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Kensington Palace Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 4 renewals, a time of 1:38.24 was set by Doha in 2024, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Ralph Beckett and ridden by Hector Crouch. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Villanova Queen won in a time of 1:41.79, booked to ride was Colin Keane by the trainer Mrs John Harrington.

What the expert says...
Only four previous renewals so not much to go on, fillies have won all four renewals so far with mares holding a 0-16 record and only filled 2 placings.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Kensington Palace Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Kensington Palace Stakes' past winners for the last 4 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kensington Palace Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024 (110k)
1:38.24
Doha (GB)
4yo 8-11 (21 of 24) 10/1
Hector Crouch
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2023 (100k)
1:41.79
Villanova Queen (IRE)
4yo 9-10 (8 of 19) 25/1
Colin Keane
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2022 (100k)
1:39.36
Rising Star (GB)
4yo 9-1 (17 of 20) 40/1
Neil Callan
Marco Botti (GB)
2021 (65k)
1:39.75
Lola Showgirl (IRE)
4yo 8-2 (10 of 18) 12/1
Laura Pearson (5lbs)
David Loughnane (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kensington Palace Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 3 winners with an additional 11 placings from 69 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 11 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Kensington Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics

Here are some of the top Kensington Palace Stakes trainer statistics over the last 4 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Ralph Beckett4-1-3+7.00+6.63
David Loughnane3-1-2+10.00+7.25
Mrs John Harrington2-1-1+24.00+14.63
Marco Botti1-1-1+40.00+25.00
Joseph Patrick O'Brien8-0-1-8.00-6.62
Roger Varian5-0-1-5.00-3.37
Ed Walker4-0-1-4.00+1.50
George Margarson4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Saeed bin Suroor4-0-0-4.00-4.00
George Boughey4-0-0-4.00-4.00

Kensington Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Kensington Palace Stakes jockey statistics over the last 4 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Neil Callan1-1-1+40.00+25.00
Colin Keane1-1-1+25.00+15.63
Laura Pearson1-1-1+12.00+7.50
Hector Crouch1-1-1+10.00+6.25
William Buick4-0-1-4.00-2.69
David Egan3-0-1-3.00-1.37
Daniel Tudhope3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Jamie Spencer3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Ryan Moore3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Hollie Doyle3-0-0-3.00-3.00

Kensington Palace Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 2+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +59.00, is when runners had 4 career starts on the going.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 1m last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-37.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 21 (20,5,16) [24 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 8 (18,4,11) [19 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 17 (22,18,5) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 10 (2,4,15) [18 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Kensington Palace Stakes are Haydock, Naas, Beverley and York; there have been a total of 1 winner from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Kensington Palace Stakes; that stallion is Iffraaj, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 4 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rising Star in 2022, winning for Marco Botti at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Neil Callan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 4 renewals, there have been 0 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Route to the Kensington Palace Stakes

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Kensington Palace Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Doha
Haydock - 2nd of 5 (8/13)
Betfred Macmillan Race Day Handicap
2023 - Villanova Queen
Naas - 8th of 11 (25/1)
Owenstown Stud Stakes
2022 - Rising Star
Beverley - 5th of 9 (8/1)
bet365 Handicap
2021 - Lola Showgirl
York - 1st of 15 (3/1)
Hudson Quarter York Palace Capital Handicap

Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Anne Stakes
Charyn (IRE)
4yo - 100/30
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa
15:05 Royal Ascot
Coventry Stakes
Rashabar (IRE)
2yo - 80/1
Brian Meehan
Billy Loughnane
15:40 Royal Ascot
King Charles III Stakes
Asfoora (AUS)
5yo - 5/1
Henry Dwyer
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
St James's Palace Stakes
Rosallion (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
Richard Hannon
Sean Levey
17:00 Royal Ascot
Ascot Stakes
Pledgeofallegiance (IRE)
4yo - 20/1
Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Luke Morris
17:35 Royal Ascot
Wolferton Stakes
Israr (GB)
5yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley
18:10 Royal Ascot
Copper Horse Stakes
Belloccio (FR)
6yo - 4/1
W P Mullins
William Buick

Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Mary Stakes
Leovanni (IRE)
2yo - 22/1
K R Burke
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
Queen's Vase
Illinois (IRE)
3yo - 7/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Running Lion (GB)
4yo - 6/1
John & Thady Gosden
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
4yo - 13/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Royal Hunt Cup
Wild Tiger (GB)
5yo - 11/2
Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy
17:35 Royal Ascot
Kensington Palace Stakes
Doha (GB)
4yo - 10/1
Ralph Beckett
Hector Crouch
18:10 Royal Ascot
Windsor Castle Stakes
Aint Nobody (IRE)
2yo - 5/1
Kevin Ryan
Jamie Spencer

Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Norfolk Stakes
Shareholder (USA)
2yo - 12/1
K R Burke
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
King George V Stakes
Going The Distance (IRE)
3yo - 9/1
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
15:40 Royal Ascot
Ribblesdale Stakes
Port Fairy (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Ascot Gold Cup
Kyprios (IRE)
6yo - 11/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Britannia Stakes
Mickley (IRE)
3yo - 15/2
Edward Bethell
Callum Rodriguez
17:35 Royal Ascot
Hampton Court Stakes
Jayarebe (FR)
3yo - 7/1
Brian Meehan
Sean Levey
18:10 Royal Ascot
Buckingham Palace Stakes
English Oak (GB)
4yo - 100/30
Ed Walker
James Doyle

Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Albany Stakes
Fairy Godmother (IRE)
2yo - 15/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Commonwealth Cup
Inisherin (GB)
3yo - 9/4
Kevin Ryan
Tom Eaves
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Crystal Black (IRE)
6yo - 11/1
Gerard Keane
Colin Keane
16:20 Royal Ascot
Coronation Stakes
Porta Fortuna (IRE)
3yo - 7/2
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Tom Marquand
17:00 Royal Ascot
Sandringham Stakes
Soprano (IRE)
3yo - 14/1
George Boughey
Billy Loughnane
17:35 Royal Ascot
King Edward VII Stakes
Calandagan (IRE)
3yo - 11/2
F-H Graffard
Stephane Pasquier
18:10 Royal Ascot
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Pilgrim (GB)
3yo - 18/1
David & Nicola Barron
Joe Fanning

Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Chesham Stakes
Bedtime Story (IRE)
2yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes
Isle Of Jura (GB)
4yo - 16/1
George Scott
Callum Shepherd
15:40 Royal Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Khaadem (IRE)
8yo - 14/1
Charles Hills
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
Jersey Stakes
Haatem (IRE)
3yo - 7/2
Richard Hannon
James Doyle
17:00 Royal Ascot
Wokingham Stakes
Unequal Love (GB)
4yo - 12/1
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
17:35 Royal Ascot
Golden Gates Stakes
Hand Of God (GB)
3yo - 9/4
Harry Charlton
William Buick
18:10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Uxmal (IRE)
5yo - 2/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Dylan Browne McMonagle

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kensington Palace Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster Competition Assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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