Kensington Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 341 Horse Racing

We look at the Kensington Palace Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m at Ascot during Royal Ascot to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Kensington Palace Stakes.

Kensington Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Kensington Palace Stakes Preview

The newest race at Royal Ascot is the Kensington Palace Stakes which was introduced in 2021. This race is contested over a mile and is restricted to only fillies and mares who are aged four or older, it is run on the second day of Royal Ascot.

Kensington Palace Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Kensington Palace Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 3 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 123%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 3 renewals of the Kensington Palace Stakes, the over-round has been 128%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Kensington Palace Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 3 if you had followed the winner of the Kensington Palace Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 2 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Kensington Palace Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 3 renewals, a time of 1:39.36 was set by Rising Star in 2022, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Marco Botti and ridden by Neil Callan. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Villanova Queen won in a time of 1:41.79, booked to ride was Colin Keane on this Mrs John Harrington trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Kensington Palace Stakes over the last 3 renewals:

  • 2022 - Rising Star (1:39.36)
  • 2021 - Lola Showgirl (1:39.75)
  • 2023 - Villanova Queen (1:41.79)

Kensington Palace Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Kensington Palace Stakes past winners for the last 3 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Kensington Palace Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:41.79
Villanova Queen (IRE)
4yo 9-10 (8 of 19) 25/1
Colin Keane
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2022
1:39.36
Rising Star (GB)
4yo 9-1 (17 of 20) 40/1
Neil Callan
Marco Botti (GB)
2021
1:39.75
Lola Showgirl (IRE)
4yo 8-2 (10 of 18) 12/1
Laura Pearson (5lbs)
David Loughnane (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kensington Palace Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 2 winners with an additional 8 placings from 49 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Kensington Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics

Here are some of the top Kensington Palace Stakes trainer statistics over the last 3 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
David Loughnane 3-1-2 +10.00 +7.25
Marco Botti 1-1-1 +40.00 +25.00
Mrs John Harrington 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.63
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.62
Roger Varian 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.37
Ralph Beckett 3-0-2 -3.00 +0.38
George Margarson 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Saeed bin Suroor 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
George Boughey 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Ed Walker 2-0-1 -2.00 +3.50

Kensington Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Kensington Palace Stakes jockey statistics over the last 3 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Neil Callan 1-1-1 +40.00 +25.00
Colin Keane 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.63
Laura Pearson 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.50
William Buick 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.69
Daniel Tudhope 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Hollie Doyle 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Hayley Turner 2-0-1 -2.00 +1.25
Jack Mitchell 2-0-1 -2.00 +1.25
Richard Kingscote 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.25
David Egan 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.37

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 10, 20, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 3 / 3 (26%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2/Cl4
  • 3 / 3 (32%) - Ran over 7f - 7½f (LTO)
  • 3 / 3 (32%) - Break of 25 - 96 days (Last Win)
  • 3 / 3 (33%) - Off a break of 18 - 31 days
  • 3 / 3 (37%) - Furthest ran 1mf - 1m½f
  • 3 / 3 (40%) - Had 1 win (Season)
  • 3 / 3 (46%) - Carried 132 - 156lbs (LTO)
  • 3 / 3 (54%) - Highest Won is not G2/LST/Cl2/Cl5
  • 3 / 3 (56%) - In a field of 9 - 15 (LTO)
  • 3 / 3 (56%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl4/Cl6 (Debut)
  • 3 / 3 (56%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 5)
  • 3 / 3 (60%) - Achieved a TS of 66+ (Going)
  • 3 / 3 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
  • 3 / 3 (63%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1mf
  • 3 / 3 (65%) - Held an OR of 79+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kensington Palace Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kensington Palace Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Kensington Palace Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 2+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +62.00 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 season wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 8 (18,4,11) [19 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 17 (22,18,5) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 10 (2,4,15) [18 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Kensington Palace Stakes are Naas, Beverley and York, there has been a total number of 1 winner from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Kensington Palace Stakes, that stallion is Iffraaj who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 3 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rising Star in 2022, winning for Marco Botti at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Neil Callan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 3 renewals there has been a total of 0 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Kensington Palace Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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