Queen Mary Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 1475 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Queen Mary Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Ascot during the Royal Ascot with the race being run over a distance of 5f, see which trends the past winners of the Queen Mary Stakes have set for this year.

Queen Mary Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Queen Mary Stakes Preview

Named after Queen Mary and established in 1921, the Queen Mary Stakes is a Group 2 race open to two-year-old fillies only, it is run over a trip of five furlongs and takes place in June of each year at the Royal Ascot meeting.

It's a race where Sir Gordon Richards and Fred Darling have a great record, Darling won the race seven times between 1924-46, and Richards rode five of those winners to success.

Queen Mary Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Queen Mary Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 142%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queen Mary Stakes, the over-round has been 128%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Queen Mary Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Mary Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.13. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Queen Mary Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Gilded from Richard Hannon Snr under the guidance of Richard Hughes, won in a time of 1:03.06, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Flashy Wings, trained by Mick Channon and ridden by Ted Durcan set the quickest time of 58.18 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen Mary Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Flashy Wings (58.18)
  • 2014 - Anthem Alexander (59.15)
  • 2010 - Maqaasid (59.17)

Queen Mary Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Queen Mary Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queen Mary Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
59.96
Crimson Advocate (USA)
2yo 9-2 (28 of 26) 9/1
John R Velazquez
George Weaver (USA)
2022
59.34
Dramatised (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (17 of 21) 5/2F
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2021
1:00.01
Quick Suzy (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (22 of 21) 8/1
Gary Carroll
Gavin Cromwell (IRE)
2020
1:00.18
Campanelle (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 18) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2019
1:01.58
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (25 of 25) 18/1
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:00.65
Signora Cabello (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (16 of 22) 25/1
Oisin Murphy
John Quinn (GB)
2017
59.63
Heartache (GB)
2yo 9-0 (20 of 23) 5/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2016
1:00.14
Lady Aurelia (USA)
2yo 9-0 (14 of 17) 2/1F
Frankie Dettori
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2015
1:00.03
Acapulco (USA)
2yo 9-0 (20 of 20) 5/2F
Ryan Moore
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2014
59.15
Anthem Alexander (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (12 of 21) 9/4F
Pat Smullen
Edward Lynam (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Mary Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 28 placings from 313 runners
  • USA: 5 winners with an additional 5 placings from 21 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 6 placings from 48 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 12 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Queen Mary Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen Mary Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Wesley A Ward who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Jealous Again (2009), Acapulco (2015), Lady Aurelia (2016) and Campanelle (2020). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Queen Mary Stakes, Richard Fahey (0-13), Richard Hannon (0-11) and Kevin Ryan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Queen Mary Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Wesley A Ward 16-4-8 +3.50 -1.60
Mark Johnston 11-1-1 +8.00 -1.00
Mick Channon 11-1-1 -6.00 -8.00
Tom Dascombe 9-1-1 +12.00 +2.00
Clive Cox 9-1-2 -3.00 -5.00
K R Burke 8-1-2 -4.50 -5.25
John Quinn 5-1-1 +21.00 +8.50
John Gosden 3-1-1 +0.25 -0.87
G M Lyons 2-1-1 +19.00 +9.00
George Weaver 1-1-1 +9.00 +4.50

Queen Mary Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen Mary Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Lady Aurelia (2016), Raffle Prize (2019) and Campanelle (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Mary Stakes is John R Velazquez (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Queen Mary Stakes, Silvestre De Sousa has ridden a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queen Mary Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 15-3-5 +12.50 +2.45
John R Velazquez 4-2-4 +13.50 +7.40
Ryan Moore 18-1-3 -14.50 -14.75
Jamie Spencer 11-1-2 -4.50 -6.75
Oisin Murphy 8-1-2 +18.00 +6.00
Richard Kingscote 8-1-1 +13.00 +3.00
Adam Kirby 8-1-2 -2.00 -4.00
James Doyle 6-1-2 +1.00 -1.50
Daniel Tudhope 5-1-1 -1.50 -2.75
Gary Carroll 2-1-1 +7.00 +3.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2), (1, 2), 11, 2, 17, 4, 1, 2, 15, 14, 1, 1, 1, 2, 11, 3, 9, 2, 1, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (53%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (59%) - Within the first 11 of market
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - Not in a Cl5-6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Highest Run is not Cl5-6
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - First 3 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not off a 15-19 day break
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not a field of 7 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 67+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 1 start
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (48%) - Not in a G3/Cl5 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (49%) - Highest Won is not Cl5
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - Carried 115 - 127lbs (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queen Mary Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Queen Mary Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Queen Mary Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.00 is when runners had 2 season places. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 5 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-126.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 28 (18,17) [26 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 17 (7,16) [21 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 22 (20,15) [21 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (5,13) [18 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 25 (18,23) [25 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Queen Mary Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Mary Stakes, that stallion Scat Daddy has produced 2 winners (2016,2015).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Mary Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 14 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Royal Applause (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 8 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Signora Cabello in 2018, winning for John Quinn at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Oisin Murphy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Queen Mary Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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