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2022 Ascot Gold Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jun 16, 3:12pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 11:56am Horse Racing 2 Comments 3057 Views

2022 Ascot Gold Cup Preview

First established back in 1807, the Ascot Gold Cup is a Group 1 horse race run over a marathon trip of just shy of two miles and four furlongs. The race was originally open to three-year-olds and older but was changed to four-year-olds and older to which is it to the present day.

A couple of fun facts regarding the Ascot Gold Cup, the 1844 winner was unnamed at the point of winning the race, because Nicholas I of Russia was in attendance, the horse was named 'The Emperor' in honour of the monarch.

In 1907 the Gold Cup was stolen, at the same time as American writer Mark Twain made a visit to the country, the morning headlines on the paper read 'Mark Twain Arrives' and 'Ascot Gold Cup Stolen' which Twain found amusing.

The legendary Yeats won this race four years on the bounce (2006-2009) which makes him the most successful runner in the race. Lester Piggott had an incredible record in the race, between 1957 & 1982, the jockey won the race no fewer than eleven times!

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:16.92 was set by Rite Of Passage in 2010, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by D K Weld and ridden by Pat Smullen. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Colour Vision won in a time of 4:42.05, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori on this Saeed bin Suroor trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2010 - Rite Of Passage (4:16.92)
  • 2005 - Westerner (4:19.49)
  • 2003 - Mr Dinos (4:20.15)

How competitive is the Ascot Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Gold Cup, the over-round has been 121% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Gold Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.24. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Ascot Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Ascot Gold Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Ascot Gold Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
4:20.28
Subjectivist
4yo 9-1 (4 of 12) 13/2
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston
2020
4:32.60
Stradivarius
6yo 9-2 (2 of 8) 4/5F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2019
4:30.88
Stradivarius
5yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2018
4:21.08
Stradivarius
4yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 7/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2017
4:22.40
Big Orange
6yo 9-2 (7 of 14) 5/1
James Doyle
Michael Bell
2016
4:26.21
Order Of St George
4yo 9-0 (10 of 17) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2015
4:22.61
Trip To Paris
4yo 9-0 (13 of 12) 12/1
Graham Lee
Ed Dunlop
2014
4:21.09
Leading Light
4yo 9-0 (14 of 13) 10/11F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien
2013
4:20.51
Estimate
4yo 8-11 (5 of 14) 7/2F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2012
4:42.05
Colour Vision
4yo 9-0 (5 of 9) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
Saeed bin Suroor

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Gold Cup have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 21 placings from 170 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 12 placings from 48 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 6 placings from 18 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ascot Gold Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Yeats (2006), Yeats (2007), Yeats (2008), Yeats (2009), Fame And Glory (2011), Leading Light (2014) & Order Of St George (2016). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Gold Cup are John Gosden (3 wins), Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins) & Mark Johnston (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Ascot Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 22-7-10 -1.30 -3.98
John Gosden 9-3-3 -2.45 -3.87
Saeed bin Suroor 24-2-3 -11.00 -14.25
Mark Johnston 12-2-5 +12.50 +9.25
Sir Michael Stoute 9-1-4 -4.50 -3.70
D K Weld 5-1-4 +16.00 +10.00
Ed Dunlop 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.20
Michael Bell 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
Andrew Balding 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.80
W P Mullins 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.00

Ascot Gold Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Papineau (2004), Colour Vision (2012), Stradivarius (2018), Stradivarius (2019) & Stradivarius (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Gold Cup is Ryan Moore (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ascot Gold Cup, William Buick has had a total of 11 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ascot Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 18-5-6 +1.55 -3.12
Ryan Moore 16-2-6 -9.59 -7.31
Jamie Spencer 11-1-2 -8.62 -7.47
James Doyle 6-1-2 +0.00 -0.80
Joe Fanning 5-1-2 +2.50 +3.20
Graham Lee 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.20
William Buick 11-0-1 -11.00 -9.80
Jim Crowley 8-0-2 -8.00 +0.30
Silvestre De Sousa 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.15
Martin Harley 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,5,6,1,3,1,1,1,5,1,7,1,1,3,1,2,(1,4),1,1,4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (59%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 19 / 20 (71%) - At least 4 career wins
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - No more than 2 season runs
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Previously won over 14f+
  • 18 / 20 (59%) - No bigger than 6/1 LTO
  • 18 / 20 (60%) - Best in 3 of 1st
  • 18 / 20 (68%) - Won at least a Group 3
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Aged between 4yo - 6yo
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Ran in a field of 6-11 LTO
  • 18 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 13f+ LTO
  • 17 / 20 (48%) - Won with last 2 Starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Gold Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ascot Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Ascot Gold Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +5.50 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-45.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 4 (5,6) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (8,9) [11 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (5,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 7 (13,5) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Gold Cup is Sandown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Leopardstown and Navan, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 232 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Gold Cup:

  • Sadlers Wells (4 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
  • Montjeu (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Halling (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kahyasi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • In The Wings (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Rite Of Passage in 2010 when winning for D K Weld at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Pat Smullen. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Ascot Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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