Ascot Gold Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 4368 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Ascot Gold Cup will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Ascot Gold Cup, a race run over 2m4f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot.

Ascot Gold Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Ascot Gold Cup Preview

First established back in 1807, the Ascot Gold Cup is a Group 1 horse race run over a marathon trip of just shy of two miles and four furlongs. The race was originally open to three-year-olds and older but was changed to four-year-olds and older which is it to the present day.

A couple of fun facts regarding the Ascot Gold Cup, the 1844 winner was unnamed at the point of winning the race, because Nicholas I of Russia was in attendance, and the horse was named 'The Emperor' in honour of the monarch.

In 1907 the Gold Cup was stolen, and at the same time as the American writer Mark Twain made a visit to the country, the morning headlines on the paper read 'Mark Twain Arrives' and 'Ascot Gold Cup Stolen' which Twain found amusing.

The legendary Yeats won this race four years on the bounce (2006-2009) which makes him the most successful runner in the race. Lester Piggott had an incredible record in the race, between 1957 & 1982, the jockey won the race no fewer than eleven times!

Ascot Gold Cup Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Ascot Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Gold Cup, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Ascot Gold Cup Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.74. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Ascot Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the D K Weld trained Rite Of Passage ridden by Pat Smullen who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Gold Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 4:16.92 was set when winning the race in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Saeed bin Suroor and jockey Frankie Dettori with Colour Vision who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:42.05 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2010 - Rite Of Passage (4:16.92)
  • 2005 - Westerner (4:19.49)
  • 2021 - Subjectivist (4:20.28)

Ascot Gold Cup Past Winners

Here are the Ascot Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
4:20.97
Courage Mon Ami (GB)
4yo 9-3 (9 of 12) 15/2
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
4:26.52
Kyprios (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
4:20.28
Subjectivist (GB)
4yo 9-1 (4 of 12) 13/2
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
4:32.60
Stradivarius (IRE)
6yo 9-2 (2 of 8) 4/5F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2019
4:30.88
Stradivarius (IRE)
5yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
4:21.08
Stradivarius (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 7/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2017
4:22.40
Big Orange (GB)
6yo 9-2 (7 of 14) 5/1
James Doyle
Michael Bell (GB)
2016
4:26.21
Order Of St George (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (10 of 17) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
4:22.61
Trip To Paris (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (13 of 12) 12/1
Graham Lee
Ed Dunlop (GB)
2014
4:21.09
Leading Light (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (14 of 13) 10/11F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Gold Cup have been based:

  • GB: 10 winners with an additional 22 placings from 159 runners
  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 11 placings from 51 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 6 placings from 20 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ascot Gold Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Yeats (2006, 2007, 2008 & 2009), Fame And Glory (2011), Leading Light (2014), Order Of St George (2016) and Kyprios (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Gold Cup are John Gosden (3 wins) and Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Ascot Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 24-8-11 -0.67 -4.00
John Gosden 9-3-3 -2.45 -3.87
Saeed bin Suroor 19-2-2 -6.00 -10.40
Mark Johnston 11-1-4 -3.50 -0.35
Sir Michael Stoute 8-1-4 -3.50 -2.70
D K Weld 4-1-3 +17.00 +10.25
Ed Dunlop 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.20
John & Thady Gosden 3-1-2 +5.50 +3.20
Michael Bell 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
Andrew Balding 9-0-2 -9.00 -7.03

Ascot Gold Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ascot Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Papineau (2004), Colour Vision (2012), Stradivarius (2018, 2019 & 2020) and Courage Mon Ami (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Gold Cup is Ryan Moore (3 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ascot Gold Cup, William Buick has ridden a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ascot Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 18-6-7 +10.05 +1.93
Ryan Moore 18-3-7 -8.96 -7.33
Jamie Spencer 9-1-2 -6.62 -5.47
Joe Fanning 6-1-3 +1.50 +3.15
James Doyle 6-1-2 +0.00 -0.80
Graham Lee 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.20
Olivier Peslier 2-1-1 +0.75 -0.12
William Buick 13-0-1 -13.00 -11.80
Jim Crowley 8-0-2 -8.00 +0.30
Silvestre De Sousa 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.15

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 7, 1, 1, 3, 1, 2, (1, 4), 1, 1, 4, 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (58%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 13/2 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 9 of market
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Made 3 - 24 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 41+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl3-5
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not on HY/GS/FM (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 3 - 14 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 60/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Is not GER/JPN/SAF/UAE/USA bred

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Gold Cup. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Ascot Gold Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.13 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-79.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 9 (12,11) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (7,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (5,6) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (8,9) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Gold Cup is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Sandown and Navan, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 221 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 21 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Gold Cup:

  • Sadlers Wells (4 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Montjeu (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kahyasi (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rite Of Passage in 2010, winning for D K Weld at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Pat Smullen. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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