Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Dubai Gold Cup Preview
Established in 2012, the Dubai Gold Cup is scheduled to take place in March of each year during the Dubai World Cup Night at the Meydan racecourse, this Group 2 race which is run on turf is all about stamina on the flat being run over two miles and it is open to runners who are aged three or older.
Dubai Gold Cup Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Meydan then head over to the Meydan tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night section for links to these.
How competitive is the Dubai Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Dubai Gold Cup, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.
Dubai Gold Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Dubai Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.17. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2014 renewal when Certerach from M Halford under the guidance of Jamie Spencer, won in a time of 3:23.14, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Broome, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 3:16.83 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Dubai Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals:
- Broome (3:16.83) in 2023
- Tower Of London (3:17.29) in 2024
- Subjectivist (3:17.77) in 2021
Dubai Gold Cup Past Winners
Here are the Dubai Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dubai Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:17.29 | Tower Of London (IRE) 4yo 8-10 (14 of 15) 9/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 3:16.83 | Broome (IRE) 7yo 9-1 (1 of 15) 8/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 3:19.64 | Stay Foolish (JPN) 7yo 9-1 (4 of 13) 4/1 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2021 3:17.77 | Subjectivist (GB) 4yo 8-9 (10 of 11) 13/2 | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2019 3:19.00 | Cross Counter (GB) 4yo 8-9 (9 of 10) 7/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 3:17.92 | Vazirabad (FR) 6yo 9-1 (5 of 16) 6/4F | Christophe Soumillon A De Royer-Dupre (FR) |
| 2017 3:22.52 | Vazirabad (FR) 5yo 9-1 (3 of 14) 9/4F | Christophe Soumillon A De Royer-Dupre (FR) |
| 2016 3:19.56 | Vazirabad (FR) 4yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 5/4F | Christophe Soumillon A De Royer-Dupre (FR) |
| 2015 3:18.84 | Brown Panther (GB) 7yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 4/1F | Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe (GB) |
| 2014 3:23.14 | Certerach (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 33/1 | Jamie Spencer M Halford (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dubai Gold Cup have been based:
- GB: 3 winners with an additional 14 placings from 69 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 0 placings from 12 runners
- FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 10 runners
- JPN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- UAE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 18 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 8 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- BHR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Dubai Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Dubai Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals is A De Royer-Dupre who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Vazirabad (2016, 2017 & 2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Dubai Gold Cup is A P O'Brien (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Dubai Gold Cup, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 18 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Dubai Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A De Royer-Dupre | 3-3-3 | +5.00 | +2.85 |
| A P O'Brien | 4-2-2 | +8.25 | +4.15 |
| Charlie Appleby | 9-1-5 | -6.25 | -4.49 |
| M Halford | 3-1-1 | +31.00 | +17.80 |
| Yoshito Yahagi | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| Mark Johnston | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.90 |
| Tom Dascombe | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 18-0-4 | -18.00 | -13.73 |
| M F De Kock | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -3.60 |
| David Simcock | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -3.20 |
Dubai Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Dubai Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals is Christophe Soumillon who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Vazirabad (2016, 2017 & 2018). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Dubai Gold Cup is Ryan Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dubai Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Soumillon | 9-3-6 | -1.00 | +8.35 |
| Ryan Moore | 9-2-2 | +3.25 | -0.85 |
| William Buick | 8-1-4 | -5.25 | -4.21 |
| Jamie Spencer | 4-1-2 | +30.00 | +17.85 |
| Richard Kingscote | 3-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.40 |
| Joe Fanning | 2-1-2 | +5.50 | +4.50 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.00 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| James Doyle | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -2.40 |
2025 Dubai Gold Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (50%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (64%) - Highest Placed is not G2/LST/Cl2
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Run is G1
- 10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Career)
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m4½f (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Held an OR of 107+
- 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Beaten no more -7l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Break of 28 - 280 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Not in a G2-3/LST/Cl2 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Won within last 8 starts
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Had 5 - 18 placings (Career)
- 10 / 10 (89%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Meydan racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Dubai Gold Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dubai Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Dubai Gold Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.25 is when runners ran on Good ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts in higher class races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-44.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 14 (7,16) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (5,14) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (7,1) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 10 (9,7) [11 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 9 (6,2) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dubai Gold Cup is Meydan, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Meydan last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 131 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dubai Gold Cup:
- Manduro (3 Wins)
- Teofilo (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Dubai Gold Cup, that stallion is Dubawi who has failed to produce a winner from 17 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Certerach in 2014, winning for M Halford at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Dubai Gold Cup. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night
Remember to head over to the Meydan predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dubai Gold Cup and don't forget we also cover the following races at Dubai World Cup Night.
| Dubai World Cup Night Races | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Al Quoz Sprint | California Spangle (IRE) 6yo - 6/1 | A S Cruz Brenton Avdulla |
| Dubai Gold Cup | Tower Of London (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Dubai Golden Shaheen | Tuz (USA) 7yo - 10/1 | B Seemar Tadhg O'Shea |
| Dubai Sheema Classic | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo - 25/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Dubai Turf | Facteur Cheval (IRE) 5yo - 20/1 | J Reynier Maxime Guyon |
| Dubai World Cup | Laurel River (USA) 6yo - 17/2 | B Seemar Tadhg O'Shea |
| Godolphin Mile | Two Rivers Over (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Doug O'Neill Edwin A Maldonado |
| UAE Derby | Forever Young (JPN) 3yo - 8/11 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Dubai Gold Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
