Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Prix Royal-Oak Preview
The Prix Royal Oak which is contested in October of each year at Longchamp is one of the French Classics and is their equivalent to the English St Leger. This Group 1 is contested over a distance of one mile, seven and a half furlongs (3,100m) and is open to runners aged three or older.
When the race was established in 1869 it was originally restricted to only three-year-olds until 1979 when older runners were permitted to enter, the race is named in honour of Royal Oak, a key stallion when it comes to breeding in France.
Prix Royal-Oak Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Longchamp then head over to the Longchamp tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in France section for links to these.
How competitive is the Prix Royal-Oak market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 154%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Prix Royal-Oak, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.
Prix Royal-Oak Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Prix Royal-Oak next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.35. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Prix Royal-Oak remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Sir Michael Stoute trained Allegretto ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Prix Royal-Oak, the runner won the race in a time of 3:15.50 was set when winning the race in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Martyn Meade and jockey Pierre-Charles Boudot with Technician who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:40.13 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Prix Royal-Oak over the last 20 renewals:
- 2007 - Allegretto (3:15.50)
- 2018 - Holdthasigreen (3:18.17)
- 2008 - Yeats (3:19.30)
Prix Royal-Oak Past Winners
Here are the Prix Royal-Oak past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Prix Royal-Oak as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 3:35.89 | Double Major (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 11) 33/10F | Maxime Guyon C Ferland (FR) |
| 2022 3:31.34 | Iresine (FR) 5yo 9-4 (9 of 10) 21/10F | Mlle Marie Velon J-P Gauvin (FR) |
| 2021 3:27.35 | Scope (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (2 of 12) 76/10 | Rob Hornby Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2020 3:38.68 | Subjectivist (GB) 3yo 8-10 (5 of 8) 6/1 | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2019 3:40.13 | Technician (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (8 of 6) 12/5 | Pierre-Charles Boudot Martyn Meade (GB) |
| 2018 3:18.17 | Holdthasigreen (FR) 6yo 9-4 (6 of 8) 59/10 | Tony Piccone B Audouin (FR) |
| 2017 3:25.40 | Ice Breeze (GB) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 9) 6/1 | Vincent Cheminaud P Bary (FR) |
| 2016 3:29.23 | Vazirabad (FR) 4yo 9-4 (15 of 15) 13/8F | Christophe Soumillon A De Royer-Dupre (FR) |
| 2015 3:27.61 | Vazirabad (FR) 3yo 8-10 (2 of 13) 15/8F | Christophe Soumillon A De Royer-Dupre (FR) |
| 2014 3:32.73 | Tac De Boistron (FR) 7yo 9-4 (3 of 13) 7/4F | Martin Harley Marco Botti (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix Royal-Oak have been based:
- FR: 12 winners with an additional 27 placings from 120 runners
- GB: 7 winners with an additional 10 placings from 59 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 16 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 16 runners
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SLO: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Prix Royal-Oak Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Prix Royal-Oak over the last 20 renewals with A De Royer-Dupre, E Lellouche, Sir Michael Stoute and Marco Botti having all won the race two times. A De Royer-Dupre winner has been with Vazirabad (2015 & 2016). E Lellouche winners have been with Westerner (2003 & 2004). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Allegretto (2007) and Ask (2009). Marco Botti winners have been with Tac De Boistron (2013 & 2014).
Here are some of the top Prix Royal-Oak trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A De Royer-Dupre | 18-2-7 | -12.49 | -9.85 |
| E Lellouche | 8-2-3 | -2.50 | -2.60 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 3-2-3 | +5.95 | +4.67 |
| Marco Botti | 2-2-2 | +5.75 | +3.45 |
| A Fabre | 10-1-5 | -3.00 | +0.16 |
| Mark Johnston | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.60 |
| B Audouin | 4-1-2 | +2.90 | +1.90 |
| A P O'Brien | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.30 |
| A Lyon | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| J-P Gauvin | 4-1-3 | -0.90 | +0.44 |
Prix Royal-Oak Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Prix Royal-Oak over the last 20 renewals with Christophe Soumillon, Maxime Guyon, Ryan Moore and Martin Harley having all won the race two times. Christophe Soumillon winners have been with Vazirabad (2015 & 2016). Maxime Guyon winners have been with Be Fabulous (2011) and Double Major (2023). Ryan Moore winners have been with Allegretto (2007) and Ask (2009). Martin Harley winners have been with Tac De Boistron (2013 & 2014).
Here are some of the top Prix Royal-Oak jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Soumillon | 15-2-8 | -9.49 | -4.70 |
| Maxime Guyon | 10-2-4 | +1.30 | -0.50 |
| Ryan Moore | 6-2-4 | +2.95 | +2.44 |
| Martin Harley | 2-2-2 | +5.75 | +3.45 |
| Stephane Pasquier | 9-1-3 | -7.60 | -5.09 |
| Olivier Peslier | 8-1-2 | -1.20 | -2.75 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 8-1-4 | -4.25 | -1.45 |
| Pierre-Charles Boudot | 7-1-4 | -3.60 | -0.96 |
| Dominique Boeuf | 6-1-1 | -1.90 | -3.14 |
| Tony Piccone | 5-1-2 | +1.90 | +0.54 |
2024 Prix Royal-Oak Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 4, 7, 8, 1, 1, 3, 5, (1, 8), 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 20 / 20 (44%) - No bigger than 9/1
- 20 / 20 (48%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Break of 17 - 179 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 113/10 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 2 - 9 placings (Season)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - In a field of 6 - 12 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 99+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 125 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 123 - 138lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Dam is not AUS/BRZ/USA bred
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix Royal-Oak. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix Royal-Oak by adding a tip on the race here.
Prix Royal-Oak Trend Analysis
The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-44.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 4 (1,9) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (4,3) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (8,1) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (8,4) [8 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 8 (1) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Prix Royal-Oak is Longchamp, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 155 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 61 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix Royal-Oak:
- Manduro (3 Wins)
- Danehill (2 Wins)
- Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)
- Take Risks (2 Wins)
- Teofilo (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix Royal-Oak despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Monsun (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Les Beaufs in 2012, winning for Mme V Seignoux at odds of 9/1 under the guidance of Julien Guillochon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Prix Royal-Oak why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Other Principal Races in France
Here are some other notable races throughout France which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
Races at Auteuil Racecourse
Races at Chantilly Racecourse
Races at Deauville Racecourse
Races at Longchamp Racecourse
- Grand Prix de Paris
- Poule d'Essai des Poulains
- Poule d'Essai des Pouliches
- Prix de la Foret
- Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp
- Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
- Prix de l'Opera
- Prix du Moulin de Longchamp
- Prix Ganay
- Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
- Prix Marcel Boussac
- Prix Vermeille
Races at Saint Cloud Racecourse
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