Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Irish Derby Preview
Established in 1866, the Irish Derby is a Group 1 race run at the Curragh in Ireland, open to three-year-old colts and fillies the race is scheduled to take place in June each year. The race is run over one mile and four furlongs and each runner carries nine stones except for fillies who get a three-pound allowance.
The race is the Irish equivalent of the Epsom Derby and is usually run about three weeks after the English version. The English - Irish Derby double has been completed numerous times, a total of nineteen runners have now completed the double including Auguste Rodin in 2023.
Irish Derby Information:
We also have a dedicated Curragh tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Derby, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Irish Derby Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Derby next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.05. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.17 was set by Trading Leather in 2013, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by J S Bolger and ridden by Kevin Manning. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Camelot won in a time of 2:43.96, booked to ride was Joseph O'Brien by the trainer A P O'Brien.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish Derby over the last 20 renewals:
- Trading Leather (2:27.17) in 2013
- Los Angeles (2:28.15) in 2024
- Cape Blanco (2:28.68) in 2010
What the expert says...
Fifteen of the last nineteen winners of the Irish Derby came having run in the Epsom Derby last time out including all of the last four winners. Only four of those fifteen did the double with the last being Auguste Rodin in 2023.Irish Derby Past Winners
Here are the Irish Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Irish Derby and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:28.15 | Los Angeles (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 8) 13/8 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:33.24 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 9) 4/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:34.80 | Westover (GB) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 8) 11/8F | Colin Keane Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2021 2:33.85 | Hurricane Lane (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 11) 4/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:38.17 | Santiago (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 14) 2/1F | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:31.50 | Sovereign (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 33/1 | P B Beggy A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 2:32.62 | Latrobe (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 14/1 | Donnacha O'Brien Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 2:35.45 | Capri (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 6/1 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:38.05 | Harzand (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 4/6F | Pat Smullen D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2015 2:34.93 | Jack Hobbs (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 10/11F | William Buick John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Derby have been based:
- IRE: 16 winners with an additional 30 placings from 146 runners
- GB: 3 winners with an additional 7 placings from 34 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
Irish Derby Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Irish Derby over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race thirteen times with those thirteen winners coming from Dylan Thomas (2006), Soldier Of Fortune (2007), Frozen Fire (2008), Fame And Glory (2009), Cape Blanco (2010), Treasure Beach (2011), Camelot (2012), Australia (2014), Capri (2017), Sovereign (2019), Santiago (2020), Auguste Rodin (2023) and Los Angeles (2024).
Here are some of the top Irish Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 79-13-35 | +10.55 | +26.87 |
| J S Bolger | 14-1-2 | -7.00 | -5.60 |
| D K Weld | 11-1-2 | -9.33 | -8.70 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.40 |
| John Gosden | 4-1-2 | -2.09 | -1.65 |
| A Fabre | 4-1-2 | -2.20 | -1.47 |
| Charlie Appleby | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| Ralph Beckett | 1-1-1 | +1.38 | +0.83 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -1.70 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
Irish Derby Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish Derby over the last 20 renewals is Seamie Heffernan who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Soldier Of Fortune (2007), Frozen Fire (2008), Capri (2017) and Santiago (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Derby are Ryan Moore (2 wins) and William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Irish Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seamie Heffernan | 18-4-10 | +15.00 | +16.60 |
| Ryan Moore | 12-2-7 | -8.01 | -5.51 |
| William Buick | 5-2-2 | +1.91 | -0.05 |
| Colin Keane | 4-1-1 | -1.62 | -2.17 |
| Wayne Lordan | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -7.60 |
| Declan McDonogh | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | +0.50 |
| Ronan Whelan | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +1.30 |
| Chris Hayes | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -0.70 |
| Frankie Dettori | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.95 |
2025 Irish Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 3, 3, 1, 4, 4, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 10, (1, 4), 1, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (60%) - Achieved a TS of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 67/10 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 13/2 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 4 - 8 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Off a break of 8 - 29 days
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -7½l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 125 - 131lbs (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Derby. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Derby by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish Derby Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.01 is when runners ran at Epsom last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 starts in the past 30 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (8,6) [8 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (3,6) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (2,8) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (8,11) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 11 (2,10) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Derby is Epsom, there has been a total number of 15 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 185 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 3 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Derby:
- Galileo (6 Wins)
- Montjeu (4 Wins)
- Camelot (2 Wins)
- Frankel (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sovereign in 2019, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of P B Beggy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Irish Derby why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Other Principal races at Curragh racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Curragh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in March
Races in May (Irish Guineas Festival)
Races in July
Races in August
Races in September
Races in October
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