Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Irish Cesarewitch Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Curragh racecourse is the Irish Cesarewitch, the Irish version of the English Cesarewitch, this 'Premier Handicap' is open to runners aged three or older and is run over stamina testing two miles, because of the trip, plenty of national hunt trainers target the race and plenty find winners as you can see from the trainer statistics below.
Irish Cesarewitch Information:
- Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
- Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
- Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Curragh tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish Cesarewitch market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 135%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 168%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Cesarewitch, the over-round has been 149%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £149 which is bet.
Irish Cesarewitch Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.23. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Voleuse De Coeurs from D K Weld under the guidance of Leigh Roche, won in a time of 3:54.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Montefeltro, trained by Brian Ellison and ridden by Robert Tart set the quickest time of 3:25.80 in the 2013 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals:
- Montefeltro (3:25.80) in 2013
- Essex (3:29.00) in 2004
- Laws Of Spin (3:29.40) in 2016
Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
Here are the Irish Cesarewitch past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Irish Cesarewitch are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 3:53.35 | Magellan Strait (IRE) 4yo 8-11 (21 of 30) 150/1 | Hugh Horgan (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
2022 3:38.97 | Waterville (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (18 of 30) 5/1F | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2021 3:38.30 | Line Out (IRE) 9yo 8-9 (0 of 30) 18/1 | Shane Foley John E Kiely (IRE) |
2020 3:52.60 | Cape Gentleman (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (0 of 21) 15/2 | Ronan Whelan Emmet Mullins (IRE) |
2019 3:44.80 | Royal Illusion (IRE) 7yo 8-5 (0 of 18) 10/1 | J M Sheridan (7lbs) W P Mullins (IRE) |
2018 3:35.20 | Brazos (USA) 4yo 8-12 (0 of 24) 16/1 | Shane Foley John Joseph Murphy (IRE) |
2017 3:51.80 | Lord Erskine (IRE) 4yo 8-5 (0 of 24) 25/1 | Conor Hoban H Rogers (IRE) |
2016 3:29.40 | Laws Of Spin (IRE) 3yo 8-6 (0 of 20) 7/1 | Chris Hayes W P Mullins (IRE) |
2015 3:37.50 | Digeanta (IRE) 8yo 9-10 (0 of 20) 16/1 | W J Lee W P Mullins (IRE) |
2014 3:29.90 | El Salvador (IRE) 5yo 9-5 (0 of 21) 25/1 | Donnacha O'Brien (7lbs) A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Cesarewitch have been based:
- IRE: 19 winners with an additional 57 placings from 450 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 18 runners
Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Dani California (2009), Digeanta (2015), Laws Of Spin (2016) and Royal Illusion (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Cesarewitch are A P O'Brien (3 wins), D K Weld (2 wins) and John E Kiely (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Irish Cesarewitch, A J Martin has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
W P Mullins | 45-4-12 | -1.50 | -1.06 |
A P O'Brien | 19-3-5 | +28.00 | +15.26 |
D K Weld | 25-2-7 | -3.00 | +1.25 |
John E Kiely | 12-2-4 | +13.00 | +7.76 |
Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 32-1-4 | +119.00 | +71.26 |
Noel Meade | 19-1-8 | -14.67 | -4.03 |
Mrs John Harrington | 9-1-1 | +4.00 | -0.50 |
H Rogers | 6-1-1 | +20.00 | +10.63 |
Brian Ellison | 5-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.00 |
Emmet Mullins | 5-1-1 | +3.50 | -0.25 |
Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is Shane Foley who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Brazos (2018) and Line Out (2021). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Irish Cesarewitch, Declan McDonogh (0-16), N G McCullagh (0-14) and Colin Keane (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Shane Foley | 15-2-4 | +21.00 | +12.75 |
Chris Hayes | 16-1-3 | -8.00 | -6.87 |
Wayne Lordan | 16-1-2 | -10.00 | -10.49 |
Rory Cleary | 14-1-4 | +3.00 | +3.00 |
W J Lee | 13-1-6 | +4.00 | +10.00 |
Gary Carroll | 13-1-2 | -5.50 | -7.44 |
Conor Hoban | 11-1-2 | +15.00 | +7.63 |
Ronan Whelan | 10-1-2 | -1.50 | -2.50 |
Seamie Heffernan | 9-1-3 | +4.00 | +4.00 |
Leigh Roche | 6-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.25 |
2024 Irish Cesarewitch Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 1, 8, 3, 1, 23, 1, 1, 15, 18, 7, (7, 19), 13, (5, 8), 13, (DSQ, 14), 11, 1, 9
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Fewer than 4 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Break of 23 - 422 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Ran over 7½f - 2m (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 14 - 166 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m1f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Fewer than 11 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 58+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 4 - 31 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 3 - 16 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/FM/SLW/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 6 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Is not AUS/BRZ/FR/GER/ITY/JPN bred
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -20l (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 17 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (47%) - Within the first 10 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Cesarewitch by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish Cesarewitch Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +114.50 is when runners had 2 career wins in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-89.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 21 (9,2,20) [30 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (3,32,2) [30 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [30 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 0 (0,0) [21 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [18 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Cesarewitch is Listowel, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Listowel last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Leopardstown and Curragh, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 372 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 96 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Cesarewitch, that stallion Galileo has produced 2 winners (2014,2010).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Cesarewitch despite multiple attempts:
- Authorized (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Revoque (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Definite Article (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Magellan Strait in 2023, winning for Joseph Patrick O'Brien at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Hugh Horgan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Irish Cesarewitch remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish Cesarewitch Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Other Principal races at Curragh racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Curragh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in March
Races in May (Irish Guineas Festival)
Races in June
Races in July
Races in August
Races in September
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