Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Irish Cesarewitch Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Curragh racecourse is the Irish Cesarewitch, the Irish version of the English Cesarewitch, this 'Premier Handicap' is open to runners aged three or older and is run over stamina testing two miles, because of the trip, plenty of national hunt trainers target the race and plenty find winners as you can see from the trainer statistics below.
Irish Cesarewitch Information:
- Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
- Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
- Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Curragh tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish Cesarewitch market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 135%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 168%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Cesarewitch, the over-round has been 148%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £148 which is bet.
Irish Cesarewitch Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.23. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Irish Cesarewitch.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Voleuse De Coeurs from D K Weld under the guidance of Leigh Roche, won in a time of 3:54.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Montefeltro, trained by Brian Ellison and ridden by Robert Tart set the quickest time of 3:25.80 in the 2013 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals:
- Montefeltro (3:25.80) in 2013
- Laws Of Spin (3:29.40) in 2016
- El Salvador (3:29.90) in 2014
Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
Here are the Irish Cesarewitch past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Irish Cesarewitch are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:35.63 | The Euphrates (GB) 3yo 9-2 (27 of 30) 7/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 3:53.35 | Magellan Strait (IRE) 4yo 8-11 (21 of 30) 150/1 | Hugh Horgan (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 3:38.97 | Waterville (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (18 of 30) 5/1F | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 3:38.30 | Line Out (IRE) 9yo 8-9 (0 of 30) 18/1 | Shane Foley John E Kiely (IRE) |
| 2020 3:52.60 | Cape Gentleman (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (0 of 21) 15/2 | Ronan Whelan Emmet Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 3:44.80 | Royal Illusion (IRE) 7yo 8-5 (0 of 18) 10/1 | J M Sheridan (7lbs) W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 3:35.20 | Brazos (USA) 4yo 8-12 (0 of 24) 16/1 | Shane Foley John Joseph Murphy (IRE) |
| 2017 3:51.80 | Lord Erskine (IRE) 4yo 8-5 (0 of 24) 25/1 | Conor Hoban H Rogers (IRE) |
| 2016 3:29.40 | Laws Of Spin (IRE) 3yo 8-6 (0 of 20) 7/1 | Chris Hayes W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 3:37.50 | Digeanta (IRE) 8yo 9-10 (0 of 20) 16/1 | W J Lee W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Cesarewitch have been based:
- IRE: 19 winners with an additional 57 placings from 456 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 22 runners
Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins and A P O'Brien who have both won the race four times. W P Mullins winners have been with Dani California (2009), Digeanta (2015), Laws Of Spin (2016) and Royal Illusion (2019). A P O'Brien winners have been Bright Horizon (2010), El Salvador (2014), Waterville (2022) and The Euphrates (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Cesarewitch are D K Weld (2 wins) and John E Kiely (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Irish Cesarewitch, A J Martin has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 49-4-12 | -5.50 | -5.06 |
| A P O'Brien | 19-4-6 | +32.50 | +18.45 |
| D K Weld | 25-2-7 | -3.00 | +1.25 |
| John E Kiely | 12-2-4 | +13.00 | +7.76 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 39-1-6 | +112.00 | +68.64 |
| Noel Meade | 20-1-8 | -15.67 | -5.03 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 10-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.50 |
| H Rogers | 6-1-1 | +20.00 | +10.63 |
| Brian Ellison | 6-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.00 |
| Emmet Mullins | 5-1-1 | +3.50 | -0.25 |
Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is Shane Foley who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Brazos (2018) and Line Out (2021). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Irish Cesarewitch, Declan McDonogh (0-17), N G McCullagh (0-14), Rory Cleary (0-13) and Colin Keane (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Foley | 16-2-4 | +20.00 | +11.75 |
| Chris Hayes | 16-1-3 | -8.00 | -6.87 |
| Wayne Lordan | 16-1-2 | -10.00 | -10.49 |
| W J Lee | 14-1-6 | +3.00 | +9.00 |
| Gary Carroll | 14-1-2 | -6.50 | -8.44 |
| Conor Hoban | 11-1-2 | +15.00 | +7.63 |
| Ronan Whelan | 11-1-2 | -2.50 | -3.50 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 10-1-3 | +3.00 | +3.00 |
| Leigh Roche | 7-1-1 | +0.00 | -2.25 |
| J M Sheridan | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
2025 Irish Cesarewitch Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 8, 3, 1, 23, 1, 1, 15, 18, 7, (7, 19), 13, (5, 8), 13, (DSQ, 14), 11, 1, 9, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Fewer than 4 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Ran over 7½f - 2m (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 23 - 422 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m1f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 14 - 166 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Fewer than 11 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 4 - 31 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 58+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 3 - 16 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 6 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Is not AUS/BRZ/FR/GER/ITY/JPN bred
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Cesarewitch by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish Cesarewitch Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +121.50 is when runners had 2 career wins in Flat (AW) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-87.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 27 (3,22,13) [30 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 21 (9,2,20) [30 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (3,32,2) [30 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [30 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 0 (0,0) [21 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Irish Cesarewitch are Curragh and Listowel, there has been a total number of 5 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 383 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 95 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Cesarewitch, that stallion Galileo has produced 2 winners (2014,2010).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Cesarewitch despite multiple attempts:
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Authorized (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Revoque (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Magellan Strait in 2023, winning for Joseph Patrick O'Brien at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Hugh Horgan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Irish Cesarewitch why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish Cesarewitch Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
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