Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Cesarewitch Preview
Newmarket's Cesarewitch Handicap carries Class 2 Heritage status for three years old and upwards, this marathon contest for stayers is run over two miles and two furlongs starting in Cambridgeshire and finishing in Suffolk!
Staged usually two weeks after the Cambridgeshire Handicap and is also run on Newmarket's Rowley Mile Course, the Cesarewitch is the second leg of the 'Autumn Double' for punters and with Lord North's win for favourite backers in this season's Cambridgeshire probably means there are plenty of punters holding potential 'Autumn Double' payouts!
There is plenty of history attached to this great staying handicap, inaugurated in 1839 in the same year as the Cambridgeshire and won by some top stayers including Vintage Crop (1992) who went on to be the first European-trained horse to win Australia's Melbourne Cup, Sergeant Cecil in 2005 and top dual-purpose horses down the years like Nomadic Way (1988), Top Cees (1999), Landing Light (2003) and Detroit City (2006).
A valuable pipe opener for many national hunt trainers looking to fine-tune their charges ready for a winter jumps campaign and since the millennium the likes of Martin Pipe, Nicky Henderson and Philip Hobbs have all won the Cesarewitch twice and others have added their name to the roll of honour include Tony Martin and Willie Mullins.
Cesarewitch Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Cesarewitch market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 134%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 150%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cesarewitch, the over-round has been 141%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £141 which is bet.
Cesarewitch Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Cesarewitch next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.70. Ahead of the 2025 Cesarewitch why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2010 renewal when Aaim To Prosper from Brian Meehan under the guidance of Louis-Philippe Beuzelin, won in a time of 3:59.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Withhold, trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by Silvestre De Sousa set the quickest time of 3:45.59 in the 2017 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals:
- Withhold (3:45.59) in 2017
- Never Can Tell I (3:48.04) in 2011
- Caracciola (3:48.30) in 2008
Cesarewitch Past Winners
Here are the Cesarewitch past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Cesarewitch are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The 2024 winner, Alphonse Le Grande was subsequently disqualified due to a whip number rule infringement and Manxman was promoted to winner.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:57.42 | Manxman (IRE) 4yo 8-2 (4 of 24) 7/1 | Sean D Bowen (3lbs) Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2023 3:52.64 | The Shunter (IRE) 10yo 9-1 (3 of 31) 14/1 | James Doyle Emmet Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 3:52.87 | Run For Oscar (IRE) 7yo 8-11 (9 of 21) 4/1 | David Egan C Byrnes (IRE) |
| 2021 3:48.43 | Buzz (FR) 7yo 8-13 (6 of 32) 8/1 | Oisin Murphy Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2020 3:55.15 | Great White Shark (FR) 6yo 8-6 (20 of 34) 9/2F | Jason Watson W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 3:58.64 | Stratum (GB) 6yo 9-7 (20 of 30) 25/1 | Jason Watson W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 3:48.96 | Low Sun (GB) 5yo 9-2 (13 of 33) 10/1 | Seamie Heffernan W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 3:45.59 | Withhold (GB) 4yo 8-8 (24 of 34) 5/1F | Silvestre De Sousa Roger Charlton (GB) |
| 2016 3:53.41 | Sweet Selection (GB) 4yo 8-8 (23 of 33) 7/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2015 3:56.02 | Grumeti (GB) 7yo 8-2 (15 of 34) 50/1 | Adam Beschizza Alan King (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Cesarewitch have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 46 placings from 537 runners
- IRE: 6 winners with an additional 14 placings from 94 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Low Sun (2018), Stratum (2019) and Great White Shark (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Cesarewitch are Nicky Henderson (2 wins), Philip Hobbs (2 wins) and Brian Meehan (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Cesarewitch, Ian Williams (0-29), David Pipe (0-20), Sir Mark Prescott Bt (0-20), Andrew Balding (0-19), Jim Goldie (0-15), Richard Fahey (0-14), Brian Ellison (0-14) and Ralph Beckett (0-12) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Cesarewitch trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 31-3-7 | +11.50 | +4.75 |
| Nicky Henderson | 13-2-4 | +47.00 | +31.63 |
| Philip Hobbs | 6-2-3 | +10.50 | +6.31 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-2-2 | +80.00 | +49.25 |
| Hughie Morrison | 27-1-5 | -19.00 | -8.11 |
| Alan King | 16-1-2 | +35.00 | +23.00 |
| A J Martin | 13-1-4 | +2.00 | +0.95 |
| Roger Charlton | 6-1-2 | +0.00 | +1.13 |
| David Simcock | 6-1-2 | -0.50 | -0.56 |
| Jamie Osborne | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.63 |
Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is Silvestre De Sousa who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Scatter Dice (2013), Sweet Selection (2016) and Withhold (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Cesarewitch is Jason Watson (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Cesarewitch, Ryan Moore (0-16), Jim Crowley (0-14), William Buick (0-14), Joe Fanning (0-13), Jimmy Quinn (0-12), Hayley Turner (0-11), Luke Morris (0-10) and J F Egan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Cesarewitch jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silvestre De Sousa | 8-3-4 | +73.00 | +45.51 |
| Jason Watson | 4-2-2 | +27.50 | +16.44 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-1-3 | +14.00 | +10.76 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 12-1-3 | -6.50 | -3.06 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-1-4 | -4.50 | -0.81 |
| Oisin Murphy | 9-1-3 | +0.00 | +3.63 |
| James Doyle | 7-1-3 | +8.00 | +7.75 |
| Tom Queally | 6-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.25 |
| David Egan | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.50 |
| Adam Beschizza | 3-1-1 | +48.00 | +29.25 |
2025 Cesarewitch Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 28, 1, (3, 24), 4, 1, 22, 18, 2, 8, 3, 15, (17, 23), 1, 7, 15, 1, 17, 5, 11, (9, 11)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Break of 29 - 728 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 82+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G1-3/LST/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 27 of the market
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 66/1
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in FRA/DEU/ITA/SCO/ZAF/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 7f - 2m (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 2 - 29 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 1m4f - 2m4f
- 19 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (58%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (Going)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Cesarewitch. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Cesarewitch by adding a tip on the race here.
Cesarewitch Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +43.00 is when runners had a highest class won of Class 2. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 1m6f last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-137.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (22,2,8) [24 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (22,15,8) [31 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (2,5,1) [21 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (25,27,2) [32 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 20 (5,26,4) [34 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Cesarewitch is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 571 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 62 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Cesarewitch:
- Champs Elysees (2 Wins)
- Val Royal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Cesarewitch despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 25 runners)
- Hernando (0 Wins from 12 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 12 runners)
- Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Mastercraftsman (0 Wins from 10 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Aaim To Prosper in 2012, winning for Brian Meehan at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Kieren Fallon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Cesarewitch.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Cesarewitch Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
