Dewhurst Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Future Champions Festival)

Updated: 1068 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Dewhurst Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Future Champions Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Dewhurst Stakes have set for this year.

Dewhurst Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Future Champions Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Dewhurst Stakes Preview

Established in 1875, the Dewhurst Stakes is scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, this Group 1 race is open to two-year-old colts and fillies only and is over a straight seven furlongs with the fillies receiving a 3lb allowance.

Dewhurst Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Dewhurst Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dewhurst Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Dewhurst Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.14. Ahead of the 2024 Dewhurst Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A P O'Brien trained U S Navy Flag ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Dewhurst Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.37 was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Roger Varian and jockey Andrea Atzeni with Belardo who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:27.31 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Dewhurst Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - U S Navy Flag (1:22.37)
  • 2022 - Chaldean (1:22.54)
  • 2008 - Intense Focus (1:23.33)

Dewhurst Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Dewhurst Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dewhurst Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:24.85
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 8/15F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:22.54
Chaldean (GB)
2yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 5/2F
Frankie Dettori
Andrew Balding (GB)
2021
1:24.82
Native Trail (GB)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 5/6F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:25.24
St Marks Basilica (FR)
2yo 9-1 (12 of 14) 10/1
Frankie Dettori
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
1:26.55
Pinatubo (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 1/3F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
1:24.35
Too Darn Hot (GB)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2017
1:22.37
U S Navy Flag (USA)
2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 5/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:23.80
Churchill (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (3 of 7) 8/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:25.34
Air Force Blue (USA)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 7) 4/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014
1:27.31
Belardo (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 10/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dewhurst Stakes have been based:

  • IRE: 12 winners with an additional 14 placings from 56 runners
  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 18 placings from 121 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Dewhurst Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Dewhurst Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Beethoven (2009), War Command (2013), Air Force Blue (2015), Churchill (2016), U S Navy Flag (2017), St Marks Basilica (2020) and City Of Troy (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dewhurst Stakes are J S Bolger (5 wins) and Charlie Appleby (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Dewhurst Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien39-7-19+18.84+27.66
J S Bolger12-5-6+36.18+23.55
Charlie Appleby6-2-2-2.84-3.30
John Gosden10-1-2-8.00-7.57
Andrew Balding7-1-1-3.50-4.44
Roger Varian3-1-2+8.00+5.65
Marcus Tregoning3-1-2+2.50+3.20
Brian Meehan9-0-2-9.00-6.00
Saeed bin Suroor7-0-0-7.00-7.00
Richard Hannon6-0-0-6.00-6.00

Dewhurst Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Dewhurst Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Beethoven (2009), Air Force Blue (2015), Churchill (2016), U S Navy Flag (2017) and City Of Troy (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Dewhurst Stakes are Frankie Dettori (3 wins) and William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Dewhurst Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore14-5-8+30.93+17.79
Frankie Dettori14-3-4+2.50-1.71
William Buick9-2-2-5.84-6.30
Andrea Atzeni3-1-1+8.00+4.25
Martin Dwyer3-1-1+2.50+0.70
Tom Queally1-1-1+0.67+0.42
Jim Crowley6-0-3-6.00-1.20
Seamie Heffernan5-0-1-5.00-3.10
Oisin Murphy5-0-1-5.00-3.62
Jamie Spencer4-0-2-4.00+0.25

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 2, 1, 1, 7, 10, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 9, 1, 1, 3, 1, (1, 3), 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (46%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (57%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (60%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2-5 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl4-5
  • 20 / 20 (68%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2-5
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-5
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Break of 14 - 91 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 3 - 12 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 54+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dewhurst Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Dewhurst Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +53.65 is when runners ran in Ireland when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5 in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (4,1) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (6,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (2,5) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (5,7) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Dewhurst Stakes is Curragh, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dewhurst Stakes:

  • Galileo (4 Wins)
  • War Front (3 Wins)
  • Giants Causeway (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Dewhurst Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • No Nay Never (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Beethoven in 2009, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Dewhurst Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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