Middle Park Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

Updated: 958 Horse Racing

We look at the Middle Park Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket during the Cambridgeshire Meeting to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Middle Park Stakes.

Middle Park Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Middle Park Stakes Preview

Established in 1866, the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes is scheduled to take place in late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the race takes place on the final day of the Cambridgeshire meeting, the race prior to the big race itself. The race is open to two-year-old colts and is run over a straight six furlongs where all runners carry the same weight of 9-0.

Use your notebook to any smart performers in the race for future reference for the following years 2,000 Guineas as some leading contenders from this race have gone on to perform in the Guineas.

Middle Park Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.

How competitive is the Middle Park Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Middle Park Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Middle Park Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Middle Park Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.35. Ahead of the 2024 Middle Park Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A Fabre trained Earthlight ridden by Mickael Barzalona who set the fastest winning time in the Middle Park Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:09.31 was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer David Simcock and jockey William Buick with Dream Ahead who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:14.28 in the 2010 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Middle Park Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Earthlight (1:09.31)
  • 2008 - Bushranger (1:09.56)
  • 2020 - Supremacy (1:09.73)

Middle Park Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Middle Park Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Middle Park Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:10.76
Vandeek (GB)
2yo 9-2 (3 of 9) 5/4F
James Doyle
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2022
1:12.02
Blackbeard (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (2 of 8) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
1:11.32
Perfect Power (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 11/4F
Christophe Soumillon
Richard Fahey (GB)
2020
1:09.73
Supremacy (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 13/2
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2019
1:09.31
Earthlight (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 11/4F
Mickael Barzalona
A Fabre (FR)
2018
1:10.04
Ten Sovereigns (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 8/13F
Donnacha O'Brien
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:12.44
U S Navy Flag (USA)
2yo 9-0 (11 of 12) 10/1
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:12.13
The Last Lion (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 25/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2015
1:11.92
Shalaa (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 7) 1/2F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2014
1:13.01
Charming Thought (GB)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 22/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Middle Park Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 28 placings from 126 runners
  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 7 placings from 45 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Middle Park Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Middle Park Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Ad Valorem (2004), Crusade (2011), U S Navy Flag (2017), Ten Sovereigns (2018) and Blackbeard (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Middle Park Stakes are Kevin Ryan (2 wins) and Clive Cox (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Middle Park Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 30-5-10 +18.45 +8.74
Kevin Ryan 10-2-4 +4.00 +2.05
Clive Cox 5-2-3 +5.75 +4.35
John Gosden 6-1-3 -4.50 -3.02
Charlie Appleby 5-1-2 +18.00 +10.36
Richard Fahey 5-1-2 -1.25 +8.15
Peter Chapple-Hyam 5-1-2 -2.80 -2.25
A Fabre 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.65
Simon & Ed Crisford 1-1-1 +1.25 +0.75
David Simcock 1-1-1 +1.25 +0.75

Middle Park Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Middle Park Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Frankie Dettori, William Buick, Seamie Heffernan and Neil Callan having all won the race two times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Dutch Art (2006) and Shalaa (2015). William Buick's winners have been with Dream Ahead (2010) and Charming Thought (2014). Seamie Heffernan winners have been with Crusade (2011) and U S Navy Flag (2017). Neil Callan winners have been with Amadeus Wolf (2005) and Astaire (2013).

Here are some of the top Middle Park Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 11-2-4 -7.30 -5.89
William Buick 8-2-5 +17.25 +13.12
Seamie Heffernan 5-2-2 +32.00 +15.50
Neil Callan 4-2-3 +10.00 +7.05
Ryan Moore 13-1-4 -8.67 -7.33
Jamie Spencer 7-1-4 -1.50 +0.40
Adam Kirby 4-1-3 +3.50 +3.72
James Doyle 4-1-3 -1.75 +1.75
Joe Fanning 3-1-1 +23.00 +13.00
Mickael Barzalona 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.65

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 1, 8, 1, 4, 1, (5, 10), (1, 2), 8, 2, 1, 2, 5, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (48%) - Break of 12 - 58 days (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Ran over 6f - 6f (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl3/Cl5-6
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -3l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a Cl2-3/Cl5 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 8/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Middle Park Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Middle Park Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Middle Park Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +54.33 is when runners had 2 wins in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 3 (9,8) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (5,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (2,8) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (4,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (8,9) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Middle Park Stakes is Deauville, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Middle Park Stakes, that stallion No Nay Never has produced 2 winners (2022,2018).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Middle Park Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Crusade in 2011, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Seamie Heffernan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Middle Park Stakes.

Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Thursday 26th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Tattersall Stakes Alyanaabi (IRE)
2yo - 4/1
Owen Burrows
Jim Crowley
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Trawlerman (IRE)
5yo - 1/5
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap Divina Grace (IRE)
3yo - 18/1
Rae Guest
Callum Shepherd

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Friday 27th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Rosemary Stakes Coppice (GB)
3yo - 11/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Princess Royal Stakes Time Lock (GB)
4yo - 9/2
Harry & Roger Charlton
Ryan Moore
Rockfel Stakes Carlas Way (IRE)
2yo - 7/2
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Joel Stakes Mutasaabeq (GB)
5yo - 11/4
Charles Hills
Jim Crowley
Godolphin Stakes Tregony (GB)
5yo - 10/1
Clive Cox
Saffie Osborne

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Saturday 28th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Royal Lodge Stakes Ghostwriter (IRE)
2yo - 100/30
Clive Cox
Richard Kingscote
Cheveley Park Stakes Porta Fortuna (IRE)
2yo - 9/2
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Oisin Murphy
Middle Park Stakes Vandeek (GB)
2yo - 5/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Cambridgeshire Handicap Astro King (IRE)
6yo - 20/1
Daniel & Claire Kubler
Richard Kingscote
Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery Wild Goddess (GB)
2yo - 11/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap Catch The Paddy (IRE)
3yo - 16/1
Kevin Ryan
Ronan Whelan

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