2021 Princess Royal Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 22, 10:44am Last Updated: Sep 27, 1:28pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 302 Views

2021 Princess Royal Stakes Preview

The Princess Royal Stakes has undergone plenty of changes over the years, previously known as the 'Pride Stakes', the race had been run at Ascot but moved to Newmarket racecourse in 2008 and in 2017 was upgraded to a Group 3 status and currently features on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting in late September or early October. The race is open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a trip of one mile and four furlongs. Three-year-old runners receive a 7lb allowance from their older opponents (8-10 vs 9-3) whilst previous Group winners have to carry a penalty of 7lb (G1), 5lb (G2) and 3lbs (G3).

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Luca Cumani trained Mohedian Lady ridden by Kieren Fallon who has set the fastest winning time in the Princess Royal Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:26.07 which was set when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer James Given and jockey Tom Queally with Trick Or Treat who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:36.93 in the 2007 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Princess Royal Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2011 - Mohedian Lady (2:26.07)
  • 2014 - Queen Of Ice (2:27.55)
  • 2020 - Antonia De Vega (2:27.58)

How competitive is the Princess Royal Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2006 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Princess Royal Stakes, the over-round has been 115% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Princess Royal Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 14 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2021 Princess Royal Stakes.

Princess Royal Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Princess Royal Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Princess Royal Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: Race cancelled 2004, Formerly Harvest stakes. Switched to Newmarket 2011 having previously been run at Ascot.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2020
2:27.58
Antonia De Vega
4yo 9-3 (5 of 4) 16/5
Harry Bentley
Ralph Beckett
2019
2:29.68
Spirit Of Appin
4yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 9/1
Martin Dwyer
Brian Meehan
2018
2:33.28
Highgarden
3yo 8-10 (8 of 8) 12/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2017
2:33.73
Apphia
3yo 8-10 (1 of 9) 20/1
Josephine Gordon
Hugo Palmer
2016
2:29.81
Journey
4yo 9-8 (12 of 8) 11/8F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2015
2:30.46
Journey
3yo 8-12 (7 of 12) 4/1F
Robert Havlin
John Gosden
2014
2:27.55
Queen Of Ice
3yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 7/1
Richard Hughes
William Haggas
2013
2:30.85
Astonishing
3yo 8-9 (12 of 10) 11/4F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2012
2:28.50
Gallipot
3yo 8-9 (2 of 14) 7/2F
William Buick
John Gosden
2011
2:26.07
Mohedian Lady
3yo 8-9 (2 of 8) 3/1F
Kieren Fallon
Luca Cumani

Princess Royal Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Princess Royal Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Gallipot (2012), Journey (2015), Journey (2016) & Highgarden (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Princess Royal Stakes is Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Princess Royal Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 14-4-8 +10.88 +7.70
Sir Michael Stoute 16-2-5 -9.00 -5.33
William Haggas 6-1-2 +2.00 +1.05
Ralph Beckett 5-1-1 -0.80 -4.00
Ed Dunlop 5-1-2 -2.62 -1.07
Clive Cox 4-1-2 -0.50 -0.80
James Given 3-1-2 +12.00 +7.25
Mark Johnston 3-1-3 -1.27 +0.50
David Simcock 2-1-2 +19.00 +11.77
Brian Meehan 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.40

Princess Royal Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Princess Royal Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore & Frankie Dettori who have both won the race 3 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Mazuna (2004), Crystal Capella (2008) & Astonishing (2013). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Ouija Board (2005), Journey (2016) & Highgarden (2018). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Princess Royal Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Princess Royal Stakes, Jamie Spencer has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Princess Royal Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 13-3-5 +9.00 +4.90
Frankie Dettori 13-3-5 +4.76 +1.28
William Buick 8-2-4 +17.50 +10.55
Tom Queally 4-1-1 +11.00 +5.40
Martin Dwyer 3-1-2 +7.00 +4.75
Robert Havlin 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.70
Harry Bentley 2-1-1 +2.20 -1.00
Josephine Gordon 1-1-1 +20.00 +12.00
Jamie Spencer 11-0-4 -11.00 -4.28
James Doyle 6-0-4 -6.00 +0.10

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,1,(2,3),2,1,8,4,1,2,2,(1,3),1,1,4,1,1,7,4,3,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Within first 8 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (71%) - Ideally a Bay coloured horse
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - Held an OR of 92+
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 7 season runs
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Debut was on Flat (Turf)
  • 18 / 20 (69%) - Ran on GD or GF (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Debut was in 2yo race
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Beaten no more 8.25l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Princess Royal Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Princess Royal Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Princess Royal Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +43.56 is when runners had the same jockey as last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Princess Royal Stakes are York and Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, theses are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Princess Royal Stakes:

  • Cape Cross (4 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

Theses are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Princess Royal Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Singspiel (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Spirit Of Dubai in 2009 when winning for David Simcock at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newmarket racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in May

Races in July

Races in September

Races in October

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