Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Royal Lodge Stakes Preview
Established in 1946 and scheduled to take place in late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Royal Lodge Stakes, this Group 2 race is open to two-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a straight mile where previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty. The race takes place on the final day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting on the same day as the feature Cambridgeshire Handicap.
Royal Lodge Stakes Information:
- Royal Lodge Stakes Past Winners
- Royal Lodge Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Royal Lodge Stakes Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
How competitive is the Royal Lodge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Lodge Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Royal Lodge Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Lodge Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.70. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Royal Lodge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A P O'Brien trained Royal Dornoch ridden by Wayne Lordan who set the fastest winning time in the Royal Lodge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.13 was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey David Probert with The Foxes who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:43.66 in the 2022 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- 2019 - Royal Dornoch (1:35.13)
- 2012 - Steeler (1:35.67)
- 2018 - Mohawk (1:36.12)
Royal Lodge Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Royal Lodge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Royal Lodge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 1:37.06 | Ghostwriter (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (8 of 9) 100/30 | Richard Kingscote Clive Cox (GB) |
2022 1:43.66 | The Foxes (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 4) 17/2 | David Probert Andrew Balding (GB) |
2021 1:38.06 | Royal Patronage (FR) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 7/2 | Jason Hart Mark Johnston (GB) |
2020 1:37.86 | New Mandate (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 5) 9/4F | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
2019 1:35.13 | Royal Dornoch (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 16/1 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2018 1:36.12 | Mohawk (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 8/1 | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2017 1:39.56 | Roaring Lion (USA) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 5) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy John Gosden (GB) |
2016 1:38.98 | Best Of Days (GB) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 6/5F | James Doyle Hugo Palmer (GB) |
2015 1:38.04 | Foundation (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 5/4F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
2014 1:37.10 | Elm Park (GB) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 6) 11/4 | Andrea Atzeni Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Royal Lodge Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 17 placings from 110 runners
- IRE: 5 winners with an additional 10 placings from 29 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Royal Lodge Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Admiralofthefleet (2006), Joshua Tree (2009), Daddy Long Legs (2011), Mohawk (2018) and Royal Dornoch (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Lodge Stakes are John Gosden (3 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Royal Lodge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
A P O'Brien | 26-5-14 | +23.25 | +19.94 |
John Gosden | 8-3-3 | +7.00 | +2.30 |
Andrew Balding | 6-2-3 | +7.25 | -1.63 |
Brian Meehan | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.40 |
Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-2 | -3.33 | -2.60 |
Clive Cox | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.00 |
Ralph Beckett | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.59 |
Hugo Palmer | 1-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.72 |
Charlie Appleby | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.23 |
Jane Chapple-Hyam | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.12 |
Royal Lodge Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Perfectperformance (2004), Foundation (2015) and New Mandate (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Royal Lodge Stakes, Ryan Moore has ridden a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Royal Lodge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Frankie Dettori | 11-3-4 | -3.83 | -4.21 |
Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | -0.25 | -0.63 |
Richard Kingscote | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.00 |
James Doyle | 3-1-1 | -0.80 | -1.28 |
Tom Queally | 3-1-3 | -1.70 | +0.09 |
Wayne Lordan | 2-1-2 | +15.00 | +12.00 |
Andrea Atzeni | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.72 |
Jim Crowley | 2-1-1 | +0.38 | -0.14 |
David Probert | 1-1-1 | +8.50 | +0.00 |
Royston Ffrench | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
2024 Royal Lodge Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, 5, (7, 9), 2, (4, 7), 1, 5, 5, (1, 2), 2, 1, 1, 2, 7, 2, 1, (2, 4), 3, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 39+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 85+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (90%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (65%) - Not in a Cl4 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (77%) - In at least a Cl2 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Race worth £6,000+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 83+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Carried no more than 129lbs (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (89%) - Carried no more than 126lbs
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Lodge Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Royal Lodge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Royal Lodge Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.16 is when runners had a furthest trip won of 7f. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 8 (1,9) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (1) [5 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 3 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Royal Lodge Stakes is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Lodge Stakes:
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Royal Dornoch in 2019, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Royal Lodge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Thursday 26th September 2024
Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
Tattersall Stakes | Alyanaabi (IRE) 2yo - 4/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Trawlerman (IRE) 5yo - 1/5 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap | Divina Grace (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Rae Guest Callum Shepherd |
Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Friday 27th September 2024
Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
Rosemary Stakes | Coppice (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
Princess Royal Stakes | Time Lock (GB) 4yo - 9/2 | Harry & Roger Charlton Ryan Moore |
Rockfel Stakes | Carlas Way (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | Simon & Ed Crisford James Doyle |
Joel Stakes | Mutasaabeq (GB) 5yo - 11/4 | Charles Hills Jim Crowley |
Godolphin Stakes | Tregony (GB) 5yo - 10/1 | Clive Cox Saffie Osborne |
Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Saturday 28th September 2024
Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
Royal Lodge Stakes | Ghostwriter (IRE) 2yo - 100/30 | Clive Cox Richard Kingscote |
Cheveley Park Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 2yo - 9/2 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
Middle Park Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 5/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford James Doyle |
Cambridgeshire Handicap | Astro King (IRE) 6yo - 20/1 | Daniel & Claire Kubler Richard Kingscote |
Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Wild Goddess (GB) 2yo - 11/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap | Catch The Paddy (IRE) 3yo - 16/1 | Kevin Ryan Ronan Whelan |
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