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2021 Royal Lodge Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 22, 10:46am Last Updated: Sep 27, 1:30pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 343 Views

2021 Royal Lodge Stakes Preview

Established in 1946 and scheduled to take place in late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Royal Lodge Stakes, this Group 2 race is open to two-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a straight mile where previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty. The race takes place on the final day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting on the same day as the feature Cambridgeshire Handicap.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A P O'Brien trained Royal Dornoch ridden by Wayne Lordan who has set the fastest winning time in the Royal Lodge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.13 which was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Jamie Spencer with Mutinyonthebounty who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:45.86 in the 2001 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Royal Dornoch (1:35.13)
  • 2012 - Steeler (1:35.67)
  • 2018 - Mohawk (1:36.12)

How competitive is the Royal Lodge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2009 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Royal Lodge Stakes, the over-round has been 113% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Royal Lodge Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.70. Whilst we wait for the 2021 Royal Lodge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Royal Lodge Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Royal Lodge Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Royal Lodge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: Prior to 2011, the race was run at Ascot with the exception of 2005 when it was run here at Newmarket.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2020
1:37.86
New Mandate
2yo 9-0 (3 of 5) 9/4F
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett
2019
1:35.13
Royal Dornoch
2yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 16/1
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien
2018
1:36.12
Mohawk
2yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 8/1
Donnacha O'Brien
A P O'Brien
2017
1:39.56
Roaring Lion
2yo 9-0 (6 of 5) 11/4
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden
2016
1:38.98
Best Of Days
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 6/5F
James Doyle
Hugo Palmer
2015
1:38.04
Foundation
2yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 5/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2014
1:37.10
Elm Park
2yo 9-0 (4 of 6) 11/4
Andrea Atzeni
Andrew Balding
2013
1:39.97
Berkshire
2yo 8-12 (3 of 5) 11/8F
Jim Crowley
Paul Cole
2012
1:35.67
Steeler
2yo 8-12 (5 of 8) 11/4
Kieren Fallon
Mark Johnston
2011
1:37.77
Daddy Long Legs
2yo 8-12 (2 of 6) 11/4
Colm ODonoghue
A P O'Brien

Royal Lodge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Mutinyonthebounty (2001), Admiralofthefleet (2006), Joshua Tree (2009), Daddy Long Legs (2011), Mohawk (2018) & Royal Dornoch (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Lodge Stakes are John Gosden (4 wins) & Mark Johnston (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Lodge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 29-6-16 +37.25 +27.59
John Gosden 10-4-4 +9.00 +3.10
Mark Johnston 12-2-3 +0.75 -2.88
Brian Meehan 6-1-1 +4.00 +0.40
Saeed bin Suroor 5-1-2 -3.33 -2.60
Andrew Balding 3-1-2 +0.75 +0.37
Paul Cole 3-1-1 -0.62 -1.14
Marcus Tregoning 2-1-2 +0.88 +1.03
Ralph Beckett 1-1-1 +2.25 +1.41
Hugo Palmer 1-1-1 +1.20 +0.72

Royal Lodge Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Royal Lodge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Perfectperformance (2004), Foundation (2015) & New Mandate (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Royal Lodge Stakes is Colm O'Donoghue (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Royal Lodge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 13-3-4 -5.83 -6.21
Colm O'Donoghue 2-2-2 +14.75 +8.92
Jamie Spencer 10-1-4 +7.00 +4.85
Martin Dwyer 3-1-1 -0.12 -0.87
Tom Queally 3-1-3 -1.70 +0.09
Wayne Lordan 2-1-2 +15.00 +12.00
Oisin Murphy 2-1-2 +1.75 +1.37
Andrea Atzeni 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.72
Jim Crowley 2-1-1 +0.38 -0.14
James Doyle 2-1-1 +0.20 -0.28

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,(2,6,8),3,1,1,4,5,(7,9),2,(4,7),1,5,5,(1,2),2,1,1,2,7,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Within first seven of market
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - 1-3 Wins on turf
  • 20 / 20 (93%) - Debut was over 6f+
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Finished first four (LTO)
  • 18 / 19 (83%) - Race worth £6,000+ (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Royal Lodge Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Royal Lodge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Royal Lodge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.46 is when runners had 1 career win in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Royal Lodge Stakes is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, theses are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Royal Lodge Stakes:

  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Montjeu (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Royal Dornoch in 2019 when winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2021 Royal Lodge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newmarket racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in May

Races in July

Races in September

Races in October

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