Acomb Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 3 Acomb Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Acomb Stakes.

Acomb Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Acomb Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Acomb Stakes Preview

Run on the opening of the York Ebor Festival in August, the Acomb Stakes is a Group 3 flat race that is restricted to two-year-old runners only. The race is run over seven furlongs meaning the runners have to contend with a left-hand turn, fillies get a 3lb allowance whilst previous G1 or G2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty and previous G3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.

Acomb Stakes Content:

Our dedicated York Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Acomb Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Big Timer I from Ian Semple who under the guidance of Tom Eaves, won in a time of 1:27.28, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Dutch Connection, trained by Charles Hills and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:22.32 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Acomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Dutch Connection (1:22.32)
  • 2009 - Elusive Pimpernel (1:22.45)
  • 2013 - Too Fast (1:23.02)

How competitive is the Acomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Acomb Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Acomb Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.50. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Acomb Stakes.

Acomb Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Acomb Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Acomb Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:25.95
Chaldean (GB)
2yo 9-3 (9 of 9) 7/2
Ryan Moore
Andrew Balding (GB)
2021
1:23.56
Royal Patronage (FR)
2yo 9-1 (3 of 5) 25/1
Jason Hart
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
1:24.59
Gear Up (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
1:24.09
Valdermoro (USA)
2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 9/2
Tony Hamilton
Richard Fahey (GB)
2018
1:24.19
Phoenix Of Spain (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 9/2
Jamie Spencer
Charles Hills (GB)
2017
1:26.32
Wells Farhh Go (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 11) 10/1
David Allan
Tim Easterby (GB)
2016
1:23.46
Syphax (USA)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 7) 16/1
Jamie Spencer
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2015
1:24.20
Recorder (GB)
2yo 9-1 (2 of 10) 4/1F
Frankie Dettori
William Haggas (GB)
2014
1:22.32
Dutch Connection (GB)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 16/1
William Buick
Charles Hills (GB)
2013
1:23.02
Too Fast (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 11/1
James Doyle
Henry Candy (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Acomb Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 26 placings from 144 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 16 runners

Acomb Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Acomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Bourbonnais (2002), Elliots World (2004), Gear Up (2020) & Royal Patronage (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Acomb Stakes are Kevin Ryan (2 wins), Charles Hills (2 wins), William Haggas (2 wins) & Brian Meehan (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Acomb Stakes, A P O'Brien has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Acomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 17-4-6 +24.33 +12.07
Kevin Ryan 9-2-4 +25.00 +14.89
Charles Hills 5-2-2 +17.50 +9.30
William Haggas 4-2-2 +5.50 +2.50
Brian Meehan 4-2-2 +3.25 +1.28
Andrew Balding 5-1-2 -0.50 -0.71
Richard Fahey 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.70
Henry Candy 1-1-1 +11.00 +6.88
Tim Easterby 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
Roger Charlton 1-1-1 +1.88 +1.18

Acomb Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Acomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jamie Spencer who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Rule Of Law (2003), Syphax (2016) & Phoenix Of Spain (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Acomb Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins) & James Doyle (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Acomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jamie Spencer 3-3-3 +22.38 +13.88
Ryan Moore 10-2-4 -1.75 -1.38
James Doyle 7-2-3 +7.88 +4.36
Frankie Dettori 8-1-4 -3.00 -1.65
William Buick 6-1-2 +11.00 +5.21
Joe Fanning 5-1-1 -1.50 -2.44
Silvestre De Sousa 4-1-2 +6.00 +3.23
Tom Eaves 3-1-1 -0.75 -1.22
Jason Hart 2-1-1 +24.00 +14.63
David Allan 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00

2023 Acomb Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,2,7,1,2,3,4,1,1,2,3,(1,8),2,6,2,6,8,3,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Was not runner-up (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - A RPR no less than 66 (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 9-0 or more (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not drawn in stall 4
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in IRE/WAL (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in IRE/FR (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - A RPR no less than 60 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Ran over 6f+ (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Achieved a TS of 41+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - Ran in 4k-10k race (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - At least an 18 day break
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more 5l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Ideally a colt
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Made 1-3 starts (Turf)
  • 18 / 20 (68%) - Ideally ran over 7f+

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Acomb Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Acomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Acomb Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.96 is when runners had 1 career win over the trip. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners finished in 2nd on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 9 (7,1) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (1) [5 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (1,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (2,6) [9 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (7,3) [8 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Acomb Stakes are Newmarket (July) and York, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 155 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 5 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Acomb Stakes, that stallion is Dubawi who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Royal Patronage in 2021 when winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jason Hart. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Acomb Stakes.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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