You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Lonsdale Cup Preview
One for horses with plenty of stamina, the Lonsdale Cup is a Group 2 race that is run over two miles and fifty-six yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year.
Lonsdale Cup Information:
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Lonsdale Cup, but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Lonsdale Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lonsdale Cup, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Lonsdale Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Lonsdale Cup races over the last 20 renewals:
- Millenary (3:22.71) in 2005
- Stradivarius (3:27.06) in 2019
- Coltrane (3:27.92) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lonsdale Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +3.82. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Lonsdale Cup.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Millenary, trained by John Dunlop and ridden by T Quinn, who set the fastest winning time in the Lonsdale Cup. That runner won the race in a time of 3:22.71 in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Johnny Murtagh with Septimus who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 3:38.82 in the 2007 renewal.
Lonsdale Cup Past Winners
Here are the Lonsdale Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lonsdale Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 3:29.04 | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 6) 5/6F | William Buick John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2024 3:28.54 | Vauban (FR) 6yo 9-5 (4 of 9) 11/2 | William Buick W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 3:27.92 | Coltrane (IRE) 6yo 9-5 (5 of 7) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2022 3:28.20 | Quickthorn (GB) 5yo 9-5 (1 of 6) 9/4 | Tom Marquand Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2021 3:30.87 | Stradivarius (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (1 of 4) 4/6F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.57 | Enbihaar (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 15/8F | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 3:27.06 | Stradivarius (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (3 of 4) 4/9F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 3:29.69 | Stradivarius (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (7 of 9) 4/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 3:31.06 | Montaly (GB) 6yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 16/1 | P J McDonald Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 3:32.57 | Quest For More (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 9/2 | George Baker Roger Charlton (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lonsdale Cup have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 25 placings from 130 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
2025 Lonsdale Cup Replay
Lonsdale Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Stradivarius (2018 & 2019) and Enbihaar (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lonsdale Cup are Andrew Balding (2 wins), W P Mullins (2 wins) and John & Thady Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-6 | -2.32 | -0.85 |
| Andrew Balding | 11-2-4 | +9.75 | +5.88 |
| W P Mullins | 10-2-4 | +5.50 | +4.83 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 5-2-5 | -1.50 | -0.05 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 8-1-4 | -3.00 | +0.35 |
| A P O'Brien | 6-1-2 | -3.80 | -2.08 |
| Hughie Morrison | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.59 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.81 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.44 |
| Rod Millman | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.65 |
Lonsdale Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from Sergeant Cecil (2006), Opinion Poll (2010 & 2011), Max Dynamite (2015) and Stradivarius (2018, 2019 & 2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Lonsdale Cup is William Buick (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 10-7-8 | +16.72 | +8.98 |
| William Buick | 10-3-5 | +10.33 | +6.07 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-1-4 | -6.50 | -3.41 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-3 | -2.25 | +0.56 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | -2.12 | -2.82 |
| P J McDonald | 4-1-1 | +13.00 | +6.60 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.59 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +3.40 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| Luke Morris | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +1.70 |
2026 Lonsdale Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 9, 2, 1, 4, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 5, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 126 - 141lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 102+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Dam is not AUS/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest ran 1m4f - 2m4f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 8 - 40 races (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lonsdale Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lonsdale Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
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Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.21, is when the runner's last place was 1 start ago.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places on the going, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 4 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lonsdale Cup is Goodwood; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 141 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lonsdale Cup:
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Halling (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lonsdale Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Montaly in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Lonsdale Cup, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Lonsdale Cup
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Lonsdale Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Trawlerman Ascot - 1st of 8 (313/100) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2024 - Vauban Curragh - 3rd of 10 (11/8) | Comer Group International Curragh Cup |
| 2023 - Coltrane Goodwood - 3rd of 11 (3/1) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2022 - Quickthorn Longchamp - 1st of 6 (1/1) | Prix Maurice de Nieuil - Prix Radio FG |
| 2021 - Stradivarius Ascot - 4th of 12 (5/6) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2020 - Enbihaar Goodwood - 1st of 3 (1/2) | Lillie Langtry Stakes |
| 2019 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 8 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2018 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 7 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2017 - Montaly Sandown - 2nd of 6 (9/2) | Coral Marathon |
| 2016 - Quest For More Goodwood - 6th of 14 (7/1) | Goodwood Cup |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lonsdale Cup. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap | Trefor (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Charles Hills Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | Gewan (GB) 2yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding P J McDonald |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Pride Of Arras (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 4yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 16:10 York Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap | Santorini Star (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Royal Fixation (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Ed Walker William Buick |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Song Of The Clyde (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Bullet Point (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Minnie Hauk (IRE) 3yo - 8/15 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Charlottes Web (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Daniel Tudhope |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap | Royal Velvet (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Knight William Buick |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap | Asgards Captain (IRE) 5yo - 16/1 | Dylan Cunha J F Egan |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo - 5/6 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Lifeplan (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 7yo - 11/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap | Fifth Column (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | King Of Cities (IRE) 3yo - 11/1 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tarriance (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Revival Power (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Tim Easterby David Allan |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap | Dain Ma Nut In (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Daniel Tudhope |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lonsdale Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
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Andy Powell
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