You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Lonsdale Cup Preview
One for horses with plenty of stamina, the Lonsdale Cup is a Group 2 race that is run over two miles and fifty-six yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Lonsdale Cup will hold the title of 'Weatherbys Lonsdale Cup Stakes'.
Lonsdale Cup Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Lonsdale Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lonsdale Cup, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Lonsdale Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Lonsdale Cup Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Lonsdale Cup races over the last 20 renewals:
- Millenary (3:22.71) in 2005
- First Charter (3:25.94) in 2004
- Stradivarius (3:27.06) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lonsdale Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.82. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Millenary, trained by John Dunlop and ridden by T Quinn, who set the fastest winning time in the Lonsdale Cup. That runner won the race in a time of 3:22.71 in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Johnny Murtagh with Septimus who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 3:38.82 in the 2007 renewal.
Lonsdale Cup Past Winners
Here are the Lonsdale Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lonsdale Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:28.54 | Vauban (FR) 6yo 9-5 (4 of 9) 11/2 | William Buick W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 3:27.92 | Coltrane (IRE) 6yo 9-5 (5 of 7) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2022 3:28.20 | Quickthorn (GB) 5yo 9-5 (1 of 6) 9/4 | Tom Marquand Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2021 3:30.87 | Stradivarius (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (1 of 4) 4/6F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.57 | Enbihaar (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 15/8F | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 3:27.06 | Stradivarius (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (3 of 4) 4/9F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 3:29.69 | Stradivarius (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (7 of 9) 4/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 3:31.06 | Montaly (GB) 6yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 16/1 | P J McDonald Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 3:32.57 | Quest For More (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 9/2 | George Baker Roger Charlton (GB) |
| 2015 3:33.09 | Max Dynamite (FR) 5yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 8/1 | Frankie Dettori W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lonsdale Cup have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 26 placings from 134 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 21 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Lonsdale Cup Replay
Lonsdale Cup Trainer Statistics
Here are the Lonsdale Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 8-1-4 | -3.00 | +0.35 |
| A P O'Brien | 5-1-2 | -2.80 | -1.08 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-3 | -1.33 | -0.44 |
| Tom Clover | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +2.80 |
Lonsdale Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Times Up (2012) and Vauban (2024).
Here are the Lonsdale Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick (Trawlerman) | 9-2-4 | +9.50 | +5.55 |
| James Doyle (Al Nayyir) | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -1.35 |
| Wayne Lordan (Shackleton) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Robert Havlin (Sweet William) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Lonsdale Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 9, 2, 1, 4, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 126 - 141lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 102+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 1m4f - 2m4f
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Dam is not AUS/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lonsdale Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lonsdale Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Lonsdale Cup Trend Shortlist
York will host the 2025 renewal of the Lonsdale Cup, which will be run at 2:25 pm on Friday, 22nd August 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Sweet William (6/1)
- John & Thady Gosden (3-1-3 -1.33 / -0.44)
- Robert Havlin (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
Others: Trawlerman (14/15), Al Qareem (13/15), Shackleton (13/15), Al Nayyir (11/15) and Dubai Future (10/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:49 pm Wednesday 20th August 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Trawlerman won the Ascot Gold Cup last time out, and a total of 10 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -2.12.
Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.38, is when the runner's last place was 1 start ago.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-23.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lonsdale Cup is Goodwood; there have been a total of 12 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 145 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lonsdale Cup:
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Halling (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lonsdale Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Montaly in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Lonsdale Cup, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Lonsdale Cup
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Lonsdale Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Vauban Curragh - 3rd of 10 (11/8) | Comer Group International Curragh Cup |
| 2023 - Coltrane Goodwood - 3rd of 11 (3/1) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2022 - Quickthorn Longchamp - 1st of 6 (1/1) | Prix Maurice de Nieuil - Prix Radio FG |
| 2021 - Stradivarius Ascot - 4th of 12 (5/6) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2020 - Enbihaar Goodwood - 1st of 3 (1/2) | Lillie Langtry Stakes |
| 2019 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 8 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2018 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 7 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2017 - Montaly Sandown - 2nd of 6 (9/2) | Coral Marathon |
| 2016 - Quest For More Goodwood - 6th of 14 (7/1) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2015 - Max Dynamite Galway - 2nd of 20 (10/1) | Galway Hurdle |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lonsdale Cup. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap | Jm Jungle (IRE) 4yo - 10/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | The Lion In Winter (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Los Angeles (IRE) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap | Extensio (IRE) 7yo - 14/1 | P F O'Donnell J M Sheridan |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Celandine (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Ed Walker Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Diligently (GB) 2yo - 22/1 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | K R Burke David Egan |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Content (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Scenic (FR) 4yo - 8/1 | Ed Walker Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap | Alfa Kellenic (GB) 3yo - 17/2 | Craig Lidster Tom Eaves |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap | Shadow Dance (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Vauban (FR) 6yo - 11/2 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Cool Hoof Luke (GB) 2yo - 8/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bradsell (GB) 4yo - 3/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival 3yo Heritage Handicap | Treasure Time (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tabletalk (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Tom Clover Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 33/1 | John & Sean Quinn Colin Keane |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Magical Zoe (IRE) 6yo - 11/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap | Sir Busker (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | William Knight Brandon Wilkie |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lonsdale Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
