2022 Lonsdale Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jul 20, 2:02pm Last Updated: Aug 22, 2:59pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 494 Views

2022 Lonsdale Cup Preview

One for horses with plenty of stamina, the Londsdale Cup is a Group 2 race that is run over two miles and fifty-six yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year. Watch out for runners coming from the Goodwood Cup as that race has produced plenty of winners of this race, nine of the last fifteen winners came from that race and also take note of those who do well in this race and go on to run in the Doncaster Cup.

We also have a dedicated York Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Septimus from A P O'Brien who under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh, won in a time of 3:38.82, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Millenary, trained by John Dunlop and ridden by T Quinn set the quickest time of 3:22.71 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Millenary (3:22.71)
  • 2002 - Boreas (3:23.08)
  • 2003 - Bollin Eric (3:23.25)

How competitive is the Lonsdale Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lonsdale Cup, the over-round has been 113% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Lonsdale Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.96. Ahead of the 2022 Lonsdale Cup why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Lonsdale Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Lonsdale Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Lonsdale Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The 2008 Ebor Festival was abandoned after wet weather left the course waterlogged and unfit for racing.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
3:30.87
Stradivarius
7yo 9-3 (1 of 4) 4/6F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden
2020
3:33.57
Enbihaar
5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 15/8F
Jim Crowley
John Gosden
2019
3:27.06
Stradivarius
5yo 9-6 (3 of 4) 4/9F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2018
3:29.69
Stradivarius
4yo 9-6 (7 of 9) 4/11F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2017
3:31.06
Montaly
6yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 16/1
P J McDonald
Andrew Balding
2016
3:32.57
Quest For More
6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 9/2
George Baker
Roger Charlton
2015
3:33.09
Max Dynamite
5yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 8/1
Frankie Dettori
W P Mullins
2014
3:31.52
Pale Mimosa
5yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 2/1F
Pat Smullen
D K Weld
2013
3:34.75
Ahzeemah
4yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 4/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor
2012
3:34.64
Times Up
6yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 11/1
William Buick
John Dunlop

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lonsdale Cup have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 26 placings from 138 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 18 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Lonsdale Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Stradivarius (2018), Stradivarius (2019) & Enbihaar (2020).

Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 10-3-6 -4.32 -2.85
W P Mullins 9-1-3 +0.00 +1.53
Sir Michael Stoute 9-1-7 -1.00 +2.99
Saeed bin Suroor 8-1-4 -3.00 +0.35
David Elsworth 6-1-2 -1.67 -1.30
Andrew Balding 5-1-2 +12.00 +8.50
Roger Charlton 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.81
Marcus Tregoning 3-1-1 +0.50 -0.44
A P O'Brien 3-1-2 -0.80 +0.92
Rod Millman 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.65

Lonsdale Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Sergeant Cecil (2006), Opinion Poll (2010), Opinion Poll (2011), Max Dynamite (2015), Stradivarius (2018), Stradivarius (2019) & Stradivarius (2021).

Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 12-7-7 +14.72 +6.17
Ryan Moore 8-1-4 -4.50 -1.41
William Buick 7-1-3 +5.00 +3.25
Jamie Spencer 7-1-1 +0.50 -1.94
Jim Crowley 4-1-1 -1.12 -1.82
P J McDonald 3-1-1 +14.00 +7.60
Silvestre De Sousa 3-1-2 +2.00 +3.40
Oisin Murphy 4-0-2 -4.00 -0.16
Luke Morris 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.10
James Doyle 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.10

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,6,1,3,2,1,1,2,3,1,9,2,1,4,4,2,1,1,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Never gone further than 2m4f
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Previously won on the ground
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Beaten no more than 10l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - 3+ Career wins on turf
  • 19 / 20 (92%) - Under 6 starts over the trip
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - Won in a 7+ Field (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Lonsdale Cup. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Lonsdale Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.87 is when runners had 1 win in the past year. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 1 () [4 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 () [4 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (9,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 4 (8,7) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Lonsdale Cup is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 147 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lonsdale Cup:

  • Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
  • Halling (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lonsdale Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Montaly in 2017 when winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 17th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 18th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Friday 19th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 20th August 2022

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