You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Lonsdale Cup Preview
One for horses with plenty of stamina, the Lonsdale Cup is a Group 2 race that is run over two miles and fifty-six yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year.
Lonsdale Cup Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Lonsdale Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lonsdale Cup, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Lonsdale Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Lonsdale Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.82. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Lonsdale Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Millenary, trained by John Dunlop and ridden by T Quinn who set the fastest winning time in the Lonsdale Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 3:22.71 when winning the race in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Johnny Murtagh with Septimus who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:38.82 in the 2007 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- Millenary (3:22.71) in 2005
- First Charter (3:25.94) in 2004
- Stradivarius (3:27.06) in 2019
What the expert says...
Lonsdale Cup Past Winners
Here are the Lonsdale Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lonsdale Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:28.54 | Vauban (FR) 6yo 9-5 (4 of 9) 11/2 | William Buick W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 3:27.92 | Coltrane (IRE) 6yo 9-5 (5 of 7) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2022 3:28.20 | Quickthorn (GB) 5yo 9-5 (1 of 6) 9/4 | Tom Marquand Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2021 3:30.87 | Stradivarius (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (1 of 4) 4/6F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.57 | Enbihaar (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 15/8F | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 3:27.06 | Stradivarius (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (3 of 4) 4/9F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 3:29.69 | Stradivarius (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (7 of 9) 4/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 3:31.06 | Montaly (GB) 6yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 16/1 | P J McDonald Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 3:32.57 | Quest For More (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 9/2 | George Baker Roger Charlton (GB) |
| 2015 3:33.09 | Max Dynamite (FR) 5yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 8/1 | Frankie Dettori W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lonsdale Cup have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 26 placings from 134 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 21 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Lonsdale Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Stradivarius (2018 & 2019) and Enbihaar (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lonsdale Cup are Andrew Balding (2 wins) and W P Mullins (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 9-3-6 | -3.32 | -1.85 |
| Andrew Balding | 11-2-4 | +9.75 | +5.88 |
| W P Mullins | 10-2-4 | +5.50 | +4.83 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 8-1-4 | -3.00 | +0.35 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 6-1-4 | +2.00 | +1.60 |
| A P O'Brien | 5-1-2 | -2.80 | -1.08 |
| Hughie Morrison | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.59 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.81 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.44 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-3 | -1.33 | -0.44 |
Lonsdale Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Sergeant Cecil (2006), Opinion Poll (2010 & 2011), Max Dynamite (2015) and Stradivarius (2018, 2019 & 2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Lonsdale Cup is William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 11-7-8 | +15.72 | +7.98 |
| William Buick | 9-2-4 | +9.50 | +5.55 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-1-4 | -6.50 | -3.41 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-3 | -2.25 | +0.56 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | -2.12 | -2.82 |
| P J McDonald | 4-1-1 | +13.00 | +6.60 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.59 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +3.40 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| Luke Morris | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +1.70 |
2025 Lonsdale Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 9, 2, 1, 4, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 126 - 141lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 102+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 1m4f - 2m4f
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Last 3)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 18 / 20 (72%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Lonsdale Cup. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lonsdale Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.38 is when runners last place was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lonsdale Cup is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 145 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lonsdale Cup:
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Halling (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lonsdale Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Montaly in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lonsdale Cup. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25m which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Symphony Group Handicap | Jm Jungle (IRE) 4yo - 10/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | The Lion In Winter (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Los Angeles (IRE) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap | Extensio (IRE) 7yo - 14/1 | P F O'Donnell J M Sheridan |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Celandine (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Ed Walker Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 York Premier Yearling Stakes | Diligently (GB) 2yo - 22/1 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | K R Burke David Egan |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Content (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Scenic (FR) 4yo - 8/1 | Ed Walker Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap | Shadow Dance (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Vauban (FR) 6yo - 11/2 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Cool Hoof Luke (GB) 2yo - 8/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bradsell (GB) 4yo - 3/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tabletalk (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Tom Clover Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 33/1 | John & Sean Quinn Colin Keane |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Magical Zoe (IRE) 6yo - 11/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lonsdale Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Dante Festival)
- Churchill Tyres Handicap
- Duke of York Stakes
- Jorvik Stakes
- Musidora Stakes
- Dante Stakes
- Hambleton Stakes
- Lindum York Handicap
- Middleton Stakes
- Knights Solicitors Handicap
- Yorkshire Cup
