You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Lowther Stakes Preview
The Lowther Stakes features on the second day of the York Ebor Festival which takes place in August of each year, this Group 2 is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a trip of six furlongs.
Established in 1946, it's a race in which the leading contenders are worth watching if they head to the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket, the 2018 winner Fairyland went on to land that race after winning this one.
Lowther Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated York tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Lowther Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lowther Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Lowther Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Lowther Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.25. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Lowther Stakes.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Tiggy Wiggy, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Richard Hughes who set the fastest winning time in the Lowther Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:08.90 when winning the race in 2014. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer B W Hills and jockey Michael Hills with Silk Blossom who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:14.82 in the 2006 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Tiggy Wiggy (1:08.90) in 2014
- Lady Of The Desert (1:09.34) in 2009
- Queen Kindly (1:09.84) in 2016
Lowther Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Lowther Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lowther Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:10.77 | Celandine (GB) 2yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 13/2 | Tom Marquand Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2023 1:10.89 | Relief Rally (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 8) 2/1F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.80 | Swingalong (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (14 of 13) 25/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.46 | Zain Claudette (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1 | Ray Dawson Ismail Mohammed (GB) |
| 2020 1:10.71 | Miss Amulet (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 15/2 | James Doyle K J Condon (IRE) |
| 2019 1:10.74 | Living In The Past (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 12/1 | Daniel Tudhope K R Burke (GB) |
| 2018 1:11.23 | Fairyland (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:12.48 | Threading (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/2 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 1:09.84 | Queen Kindly (GB) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 9/2 | Jamie Spencer Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2015 1:11.87 | Besharah (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 11/4 | Pat Cosgrave William Haggas (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lowther Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 30 placings from 161 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 22 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
Lowther Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Rosdhu Queen (2012), Besharah (2015) and Relief Rally (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Lowther Stakes is K R Burke (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Lowther Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Haggas | 7-3-4 | +5.25 | +2.24 |
| K R Burke | 11-2-3 | +28.00 | +14.00 |
| A P O'Brien | 10-1-3 | -7.50 | -5.95 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-1-2 | -1.50 | -2.05 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-1 | -4.37 | -5.02 |
| K J Condon | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +5.50 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Ed Walker | 2-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.90 |
| Ismail Mohammed | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.60 |
Lowther Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Jamie Spencer, James Doyle and Tom Marquand having all won the race two times. Jamie Spencer's winners have been Nahoodh (2007) and Queen Kindly (2016). James Doyle's winners have been with Threading (2017) and Miss Amulet (2020). Tom Marquand winners have been with Relief Rally (2023) and Celandine (2024).
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Spencer | 10-2-6 | +4.00 | +3.90 |
| James Doyle | 4-2-3 | +10.00 | +6.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 3-2-3 | +7.50 | +4.79 |
| Ryan Moore | 13-1-3 | -10.50 | -9.26 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.30 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.50 |
| Clifford Lee | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| William Buick | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -7.28 |
2025 Lowther Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, DSQ, 6, 1, 4, 7, PU, (1, 7), 1, 2, 3, 9, 1, 2, 2, 2, 5, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 6 - 78 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Placed is not G1/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 73+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - Not in FRA/SCO/USA/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Highest Won is not Cl3
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/FS (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 16 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Lowther Stakes. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lowther Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.04 is when runners had 3 career starts in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (5,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (4,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 14 (12,6) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (8,4) [10 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 8 (12,14) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lowther Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lowther Stakes:
- Kodiac (4 Wins)
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lowther Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Swingalong in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Clifford Lee. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Lowther Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lowther Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25m which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Symphony Group Handicap | Jm Jungle (IRE) 4yo - 10/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | The Lion In Winter (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Los Angeles (IRE) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap | Extensio (IRE) 7yo - 14/1 | P F O'Donnell J M Sheridan |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Celandine (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Ed Walker Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 York Premier Yearling Stakes | Diligently (GB) 2yo - 22/1 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | K R Burke David Egan |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Content (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Scenic (FR) 4yo - 8/1 | Ed Walker Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap | Shadow Dance (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Vauban (FR) 6yo - 11/2 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Cool Hoof Luke (GB) 2yo - 8/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bradsell (GB) 4yo - 3/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tabletalk (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Tom Clover Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 33/1 | John & Sean Quinn Colin Keane |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Magical Zoe (IRE) 6yo - 11/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lowther Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Dante Festival)
- Churchill Tyres Handicap
- Duke of York Stakes
- Jorvik Stakes
- Musidora Stakes
- Dante Stakes
- Hambleton Stakes
- Lindum York Handicap
- Middleton Stakes
- Knights Solicitors Handicap
- Yorkshire Cup
