Lowther Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Analyse previous editions of the Lowther Stakes to find trends in age, experience and connections. This blog covers everything from trainer dominance to jockey success in this high-class sprint for juvenile fillies.
Lowther Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Lowther Stakes Preview

The Lowther Stakes features on the second day of the York Ebor Festival, which takes place in August of each year. This Group 2 is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a trip of six furlongs.

Established in 1946, it's a race in which the leading contenders are worth watching if they head to the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket. The 2018 winner, Fairyland, went on to land that race after winning this one.

Lowther Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Lowther Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lowther Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Lowther Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Lowther Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Tiggy Wiggy (1:08.90) in 2014
  2. Lady Of The Desert (1:09.34) in 2009
  3. Queen Kindly (1:09.84) in 2016

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lowther Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.25. Ahead of the 2025 Lowther Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:08.90 was set by Tiggy Wiggy in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Richard Hughes. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Silk Blossom won in a time of 1:14.82, booked to ride was Michael Hills by trainer B W Hills.

What the expert says...
The Cheveley Park Stakes is the obvious destination for the winner, between 2008 & 2024, fourteen of the winners headed there with three going on to success, those were Rosdhu Queen (2012), Tiggy Wiggy (2014) and Fairyland (2018).

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Lowther Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Lowther Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lowther Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:10.77
Celandine (GB)
2yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 13/2
Tom Marquand
Ed Walker (GB)
2023
1:10.89
Relief Rally (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (7 of 8) 2/1F
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2022
1:10.80
Swingalong (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (14 of 13) 25/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2021
1:10.46
Zain Claudette (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1
Ray Dawson
Ismail Mohammed (GB)
2020
1:10.71
Miss Amulet (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 15/2
James Doyle
K J Condon (IRE)
2019
1:10.74
Living In The Past (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 12/1
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2018
1:11.23
Fairyland (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:12.48
Threading (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/2
James Doyle
Mark Johnston (GB)
2016
1:09.84
Queen Kindly (GB)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 9/2
Jamie Spencer
Richard Fahey (GB)
2015
1:11.87
Besharah (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 11/4
Pat Cosgrave
William Haggas (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lowther Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 30 placings from 161 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 22 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners

2024 Lowther Stakes Replay


Lowther Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Rosdhu Queen (2012), Besharah (2015) and Relief Rally (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Lowther Stakes is K R Burke (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Lowther Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
William Haggas7-3-4+5.25+2.24
K R Burke11-2-3+28.00+14.00
A P O'Brien10-1-3-7.50-5.95
Richard Fahey7-1-2-1.50-2.05
Brian Meehan7-1-1-4.37-5.02
K J Condon3-1-2+5.50+5.50
Richard Hannon3-1-1-0.12-0.87
Ed Walker2-1-1+5.50+2.90
Ismail Mohammed2-1-1+5.00+2.60
Sir Mark Prescott Bt1-1-1+11.00+6.60

Lowther Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Jamie Spencer, James Doyle, and Tom Marquand having all won the race two times. Jamie Spencer's winners have been with Nahoodh (2007) and Queen Kindly (2016). James Doyle's winners have been with Threading (2017) and Miss Amulet (2020). Tom Marquand winners have been with Relief Rally (2023) and Celandine (2024).

Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Jamie Spencer10-2-6+4.00+3.90
James Doyle4-2-3+10.00+6.00
Tom Marquand3-2-3+7.50+4.79
Ryan Moore13-1-3-10.50-9.26
Daniel Tudhope7-1-2+6.00+3.30
Tom Queally4-1-1-0.50-1.50
Clifford Lee3-1-1+23.00+13.00
Ray Dawson2-1-1+5.00+2.60
Pat Cosgrave1-1-1+2.75+1.65
William Buick8-0-1-8.00-7.28

Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.04, is when runners had 3 career starts in Flat (Turf) races.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 4 (5,8) [9 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 7 (4,1) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 14 (12,6) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (8,4) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (12,14) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Lowther Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lowther Stakes:

  • Kodiac (4 Wins)
  • Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lowther Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Swingalong in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Clifford Lee. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Lowther Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Lowther Stakes

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Lowther Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Celandine
Goodwood - 4th of 15 (11/2)
Molecomb Stakes
2023 - Relief Rally
Newbury - 1st of 20 (1/1)
Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes
2022 - Swingalong
Ripon - 1st of 11 (7/4)
Longines Irish Champions Weekend 10-11 September EBF Fillies Novice Stakes
2021 - Zain Claudette
Ascot - 1st of 10 (15/2)
Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes
2020 - Miss Amulet
Naas - 1st of 7 (12/1)
ARQANA Irish EBF Marwell Stakes
2019 - Living In The Past
Ascot - 3rd of 9 (12/1)
Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes
2018 - Fairyland
Ascot - 3rd of 18 (5/2)
Albany Stakes
2017 - Threading
Goodwood - 1st of 15 (12/1)
Markel Insurance Maiden Fillies Stakes
2016 - Queen Kindly
Catterick - 1st of 5 (1/16)
British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies Novice Stakes
2015 - Besharah
Ascot - 1st of 6 (15/8)
Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lowther Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.

Wednesday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Symphony Group Handicap
Jm Jungle (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
John & Sean Quinn
Jason Hart
14:25 York
Acomb Stakes
The Lion In Winter (IRE)
2yo - 2/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:00 York
Great Voltigeur Stakes
Los Angeles (IRE)
3yo - 5/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:35 York
Juddmonte International Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
3yo - 5/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:10 York
Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap
Extensio (IRE)
7yo - 14/1
P F O'Donnell
J M Sheridan

Thursday at the Ebor Festival

The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Lowther Stakes
Celandine (GB)
2yo - 13/2
Ed Walker
Tom Marquand
14:25 York
Premier Yearling Stakes
Diligently (GB)
2yo - 22/1
Clive Cox
Rossa Ryan
15:00 York
Clipper Handicap
Thunder Run (IRE)
3yo - 6/1
K R Burke
David Egan
15:35 York
Yorkshire Oaks
Content (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:10 York
Galtres Stakes
Scenic (FR)
4yo - 8/1
Ed Walker
Oisin Murphy
17:20 York
Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap
Alfa Kellenic (GB)
3yo - 17/2
Craig Lidster
Tom Eaves

Friday at the Ebor Festival

The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap
Shadow Dance (GB)
4yo - 6/1
Roger Varian
James Doyle
14:25 York
Lonsdale Cup
Vauban (FR)
6yo - 11/2
W P Mullins
William Buick
15:00 York
Gimcrack Stakes
Cool Hoof Luke (GB)
2yo - 8/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
15:35 York
Nunthorpe Stakes
Bradsell (GB)
4yo - 3/1
Archie Watson
Hollie Doyle
17:20 York
Ebor Festival 3yo Heritage Handicap
Treasure Time (GB)
3yo - 13/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand

Saturday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Strensall Stakes
See The Fire (GB)
3yo - 3/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
14:25 York
Melrose Heritage Handicap
Tabletalk (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
Tom Clover
Rossa Ryan
15:00 York
City of York Stakes
Breege (GB)
4yo - 33/1
John & Sean Quinn
Colin Keane
15:35 York
Ebor Handicap
Magical Zoe (IRE)
6yo - 11/2
Henry De Bromhead
W J Lee
16:45 York
Roses Stakes
Tropical Storm (GB)
2yo - 5/2
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
17:20 York
Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap
Sir Busker (IRE)
8yo - 14/1
William Knight
Brandon Wilkie

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lowther Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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