You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Lowther Stakes Preview
The Lowther Stakes features on the second day of the York Ebor Festival, which takes place in August of each year. This Group 2 is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a trip of six furlongs.
Established in 1946, it's a race in which the leading contenders are worth watching if they head to the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket. The 2018 winner, Fairyland, went on to land that race after winning this one.
Lowther Stakes Information:
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Lowther Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Lowther Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lowther Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Lowther Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Lowther Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Tiggy Wiggy (1:08.90) in 2014
- Lady Of The Desert (1:09.34) in 2009
- Queen Kindly (1:09.84) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lowther Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.25. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Lowther Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Silk Blossom from B W Hills under the guidance of Michael Hills, won in a time of 1:14.82, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Tiggy Wiggy, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Richard Hughes set the quickest time of 1:08.90 in the 2014 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Lowther Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Lowther Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lowther Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:11.27 | Royal Fixation (GB) 2yo 9-2 (11 of 11) 5/2F | William Buick Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2024 1:10.77 | Celandine (GB) 2yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 13/2 | Tom Marquand Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2023 1:10.89 | Relief Rally (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 8) 2/1F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.80 | Swingalong (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (14 of 13) 25/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.46 | Zain Claudette (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1 | Ray Dawson Ismail Mohammed (GB) |
| 2020 1:10.71 | Miss Amulet (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 15/2 | James Doyle K J Condon (IRE) |
| 2019 1:10.74 | Living In The Past (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 12/1 | Daniel Tudhope K R Burke (GB) |
| 2018 1:11.23 | Fairyland (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:12.48 | Threading (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/2 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 1:09.84 | Queen Kindly (GB) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 9/2 | Jamie Spencer Richard Fahey (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lowther Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 31 placings from 167 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 21 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
2025 Lowther Stakes Replay
Lowther Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Rosdhu Queen (2012), Besharah (2015) and Relief Rally (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lowther Stakes are K R Burke (2 wins) and Ed Walker (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Lowther Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Haggas | 7-3-4 | +5.25 | +2.24 |
| K R Burke | 12-2-3 | +27.00 | +13.00 |
| Ed Walker | 3-2-2 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-1-3 | -6.50 | -4.95 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-1-2 | -1.50 | -2.05 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-1 | -4.37 | -5.02 |
| K J Condon | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +5.50 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Ismail Mohammed | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.60 |
Lowther Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Jamie Spencer, James Doyle, and Tom Marquand having all won the race two times. Jamie Spencer's winners have been with Nahoodh (2007) and Queen Kindly (2016). James Doyle's winners have been with Threading (2017) and Miss Amulet (2020). Tom Marquand winners have been with Relief Rally (2023) and Celandine (2024).
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Spencer | 9-2-5 | +5.00 | +4.15 |
| James Doyle | 4-2-3 | +10.00 | +6.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-2-3 | +6.50 | +3.79 |
| Ryan Moore | 13-1-4 | -10.50 | -8.51 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -5.50 | -5.78 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.30 |
| Clifford Lee | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.00 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.50 |
| Ray Dawson | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
2026 Lowther Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, DSQ, 6, 1, 4, 7, PU, (1, 7), 1, 2, 3, 9, 1, 2, 2, 2, 5, 1, 4, (1, 2)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 6 - 78 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Placed is not G1/Cl3
- 19 / 20 (81%) - Not in FRA/SCO/USA/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Highest Won is not Cl3
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/FS (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Not in a Handicap (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (50%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (54%) - Beaten no more -¾ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lowther Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lowther Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
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Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +51.13, is when runners had 3 career starts in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 11 (4,1) [11 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (5,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (4,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 14 (12,6) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (8,4) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lowther Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lowther Stakes:
- Kodiac (4 Wins)
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lowther Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Swingalong in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Clifford Lee. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Lowther Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Lowther Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Lowther Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Royal Fixation Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 6 (14/1) | Duchess of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2024 - Celandine Goodwood - 4th of 15 (11/2) | Molecomb Stakes |
| 2023 - Relief Rally Newbury - 1st of 20 (1/1) | Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes |
| 2022 - Swingalong Ripon - 1st of 11 (7/4) | Longines Irish Champions Weekend 10-11 September EBF Fillies Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Zain Claudette Ascot - 1st of 10 (15/2) | Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes |
| 2020 - Miss Amulet Naas - 1st of 7 (12/1) | ARQANA Irish EBF Marwell Stakes |
| 2019 - Living In The Past Ascot - 3rd of 9 (12/1) | Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes |
| 2018 - Fairyland Ascot - 3rd of 18 (5/2) | Albany Stakes |
| 2017 - Threading Goodwood - 1st of 15 (12/1) | Markel Insurance Maiden Fillies Stakes |
| 2016 - Queen Kindly Catterick - 1st of 5 (1/16) | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies Novice Stakes |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lowther Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap | Trefor (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Charles Hills Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | Gewan (GB) 2yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding P J McDonald |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Pride Of Arras (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 4yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 16:10 York Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap | Santorini Star (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Royal Fixation (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Ed Walker William Buick |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Song Of The Clyde (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Bullet Point (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Minnie Hauk (IRE) 3yo - 8/15 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Charlottes Web (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Daniel Tudhope |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap | Royal Velvet (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Knight William Buick |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap | Asgards Captain (IRE) 5yo - 16/1 | Dylan Cunha J F Egan |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo - 5/6 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Lifeplan (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 7yo - 11/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap | Fifth Column (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | King Of Cities (IRE) 3yo - 11/1 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tarriance (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Revival Power (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Tim Easterby David Allan |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap | Dain Ma Nut In (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Daniel Tudhope |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Lowther Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
