2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 2 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes.

2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview

Each year at the Newmarket racecourse, scheduled to take place during the July Festival, is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only. The race will be run over a straight six furlongs where previous G1 & G2 winners will have to carry a 3lb penalty.

Established in 1947, the race was originally called and is still referred to as the Cherry Hinton Stakes and those who perform well in the race are worth putting in the tracker in view of the following season's 1,000 Guineas, Attraction won this race in 2004 and then went on to Guineas success in 2005!

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Content:

Our dedicated Newmarket Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.09 was set by Raffle Prize in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Frankie Dettori. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Arabian Queen won in a time of 1:15.14, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this David Elsworth trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Raffle Prize (1:09.09)
  • 2017 - Clemmie (1:10.34)
  • 2021 - Sandrine (1:10.65)

How competitive is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.48. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:11.02
Mawj (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 4/1
Ray Dawson
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2021
1:10.65
Sandrine (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/5F
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:11.93
Dandalla (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 1/1F
Ben Curtis
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:09.09
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:11.51
Pretty Pollyanna (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
1:10.34
Clemmie (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:10.72
Roly Poly (USA)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:12.81
Illuminate (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 7/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:15.14
Arabian Queen (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 5) 4/1
Ryan Moore
David Elsworth (GB)
2013
1:10.76
Lucky Kristale (GB)
2yo 8-12 (2 of 8) 20/1
Tom Queally
George Margarson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 31 placings from 154 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Youresothrilling (2007), Roly Poly (2016) & Clemmie (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Mark Johnston (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 6-3-3 +5.88 +2.33
Mark Johnston 9-2-3 -1.93 -3.18
Mick Channon 13-1-3 +2.00 -0.15
Brian Meehan 7-1-3 +6.00 +4.45
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 -1.00 -2.50
Richard Hannon 6-1-2 -3.25 -1.85
Michael Bell 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
David Elsworth 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.50
Andrew Balding 2-1-1 +1.20 +0.32
K R Burke 2-1-1 +0.00 -0.37

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last twenty renewals with both Frankie Dettori & Ryan Moore who have both won the race 3 times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Sander Camillo (2006), Gamilati (2011) & Raffle Prize (2019). Ryan Moore winners have been with Arabian Queen (2014), Roly Poly (2016) & Clemmie (2017).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 16-3-7 +6.88 +3.27
Ryan Moore 14-3-5 +0.38 -1.42
Silvestre De Sousa 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
Tom Queally 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.00
Ray Dawson 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
Neil Callan 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.10
David Probert 1-1-1 +2.20 +1.32
Ben Curtis 1-1-1 +1.00 +0.63
James Doyle 7-0-1 -7.00 -6.39
Jamie Spencer 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00

2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,2,1,1,4,2,1,3,1,2,2,(1,4),6,1,5,2,1,1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a RPR of 82+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 2-4 Starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Never off bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 57+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest run not a Class 5
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not at HAY/WDR (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Either a Bay or Chestnut
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Carried 122lbs+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (92%) - Had placed on turf
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - Within first 6 of the market
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Had a career win
  • 19 / 20 (91%) - Ran within the past 23 days
  • 18 / 20 (65%) - Beaten no more 1¾l (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (69%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (Opening)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Finished first three (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (87%) - Debut was on turf

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.03 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 5 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (10) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (3) [7 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 9 (8,6) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, that stallion is Oasis Dream who has produced 2 winners (2018,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Lucky Kristale in 2013 when winning for George Margarson at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

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