Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 650 Horse Racing

We look at the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket during the July Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview

Each year at the Newmarket racecourse, scheduled to take place during the July Festival, is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only. The race will be run over a straight six furlongs where previous G1 & G2 winners will have to carry a 3lb penalty.

Established in 1947, the race was originally called and is still referred to as the Cherry Hinton Stakes and those who perform well in the race are worth putting in the tracker in view of the following season's 1,000 Guineas, Attraction won this race in 2004 and then went on to Guineas success in 2005!

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.98. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Raffle Prize, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:09.09 when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer David Elsworth and jockey Ryan Moore with Arabian Queen who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:15.14 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Raffle Prize (1:09.09) in 2019
  2. Clemmie (1:10.34) in 2017
  3. Sandrine (1:10.65) in 2021
What the expert says...
The Albany Stakes is the race to watch out for runners coming from, it has produced twelve of the last twenty winners including all of the last four, six of the twelve winners have completed the double and the last to do so was Sandrine in 2021.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:13.66
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo 9-2 (3 of 4) 5/1
Kevin Stott
Dominic Ffrench Davis (GB)
2022
1:11.02
Mawj (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 4/1
Ray Dawson
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2021
1:10.65
Sandrine (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/5F
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:11.93
Dandalla (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 1/1F
Ben Curtis
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:09.09
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:11.51
Pretty Pollyanna (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
1:10.34
Clemmie (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:10.72
Roly Poly (USA)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:12.81
Illuminate (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 7/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:15.14
Arabian Queen (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 5) 4/1
Ryan Moore
David Elsworth (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 29 placings from 150 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Youresothrilling (2007), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien6-3-3+5.88+2.33
K R Burke2-1-1+0.00-0.37
Ralph Beckett5-0-3-5.00-2.50
Charlie Appleby4-0-0-4.00-3.00
George Boughey1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Simon & Ed Crisford1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Arabian Queen (2014), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore14-3-5+0.38-1.42
William Buick7-0-1-7.00-5.33
James Doyle7-0-1-7.00-6.39
Oisin Murphy5-0-1-5.00-3.95
David Egan3-0-1-3.00-2.34
Rossa Ryan2-0-1-2.00-1.28
Daniel Tudhope1-0-1-1.00+3.00

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +45.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (10) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (3) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, that stallion Oasis Dream has produced 2 winners (2018,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lucky Kristale in 2013, winning for George Margarson at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2024 renewal of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes which will be run at 2:25 pm on Friday 12th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Heavens Gate (7/2)
    • A P O'Brien (6-3-3 +5.88 / +2.33)
    • Ryan Moore (14-3-5 +0.38 / -1.42)
  • 15/15 Tales Of The Heart (8/1)
    • Ralph Beckett (5-0-3 -5.00 / -2.50)
    • Rossa Ryan (2-0-1 -2.00 / -1.28)

Others: Arabian Dusk (14/15), Mountain Breeze (14/15), Maw Lam (13/15), Enchanting Empress (12/15), Mighty Eriu (12/15), Teej A (12/15), Bountiful (11/15), Fiery Lucy (9/15) and Liberalised (8/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:25 pm Wednesday 10th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (12:25 pm Wednesday 10th July 2024):

  • 🥇 Teej A (50/1)
    • K R Burke (2-1-1 +0.00 / -0.37)
    • Clifford Lee (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
  • 🥈 Heavens Gate (7/2)
    • A P O'Brien (6-3-3 +5.88 / +2.33)
    • Ryan Moore (14-3-5 +0.38 / -1.42)
  • 🥉 Mountain Breeze (4/1)
    • Charlie Appleby (4-0-0 -4.00 / -3.00)
    • William Buick (7-0-1 -7.00 / -5.33)

Others: Fiery Lucy, Bountiful, Tales Of The Heart, Mighty Eriu, Liberalised, Arabian Dusk, Enchanting Empress and Maw Lam.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 9/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Jasour (GB)
2yo - 16/1
Clive Cox
Jim Crowley
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Quinault (GER)
3yo - 4/1
Stuart Williams
Connor Planas
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Israr (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
Charlie Johnston
Kevin Stott
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo - 5/1
Dominic Ffrench Davis
Kevin Stott
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Nashwa (GB)
4yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Hollie Doyle

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
Highbank (IRE)
3yo - 11/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo - 4/6
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Biggles (GB)
6yo - 5/1
Ralph Beckett
Ryan Moore
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Shaquille (GB)
3yo - 5/2
Julie Camacho
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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