Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 564 Horse Racing

We look at the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket during the July Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview

Each year at the Newmarket racecourse, scheduled to take place during the July Festival, is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only. The race will be run over a straight six furlongs where previous G1 & G2 winners will have to carry a 3lb penalty.

Established in 1947, the race was originally called and is still referred to as the Cherry Hinton Stakes and those who perform well in the race are worth putting in the tracker in view of the following season's 1,000 Guineas, Attraction won this race in 2004 and then went on to Guineas success in 2005!

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.98. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.09 was set by Raffle Prize in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Frankie Dettori. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Arabian Queen won in a time of 1:15.14, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this David Elsworth trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Raffle Prize (1:09.09)
  • 2017 - Clemmie (1:10.34)
  • 2021 - Sandrine (1:10.65)

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:13.66
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo 9-2 (3 of 4) 5/1
Kevin Stott
Dominic Ffrench Davis (GB)
2022
1:11.02
Mawj (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 4/1
Ray Dawson
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2021
1:10.65
Sandrine (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/5F
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:11.93
Dandalla (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 1/1F
Ben Curtis
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:09.09
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:11.51
Pretty Pollyanna (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
1:10.34
Clemmie (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:10.72
Roly Poly (USA)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:12.81
Illuminate (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 7/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:15.14
Arabian Queen (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 5) 4/1
Ryan Moore
David Elsworth (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 29 placings from 150 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Youresothrilling (2007), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 6-3-3 +5.88 +2.33
Mick Channon 12-1-3 +3.00 +0.85
Mark Johnston 8-1-2 -2.50 -3.52
Brian Meehan 7-1-3 +6.00 +4.45
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 -1.00 -2.50
Richard Hannon 6-1-2 -3.25 -1.85
Michael Bell 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.00
Dominic Ffrench Davis 2-1-1 +4.00 +0.00
David Elsworth 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.50
Andrew Balding 2-1-1 +1.20 +0.32

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Frankie Dettori and Ryan Moore who have both won the race three times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Sander Camillo (2006), Gamilati (2011) and Raffle Prize (2019). Ryan Moore winners have been with Arabian Queen (2014), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 15-3-6 +7.88 +3.22
Ryan Moore 14-3-5 +0.38 -1.42
Silvestre De Sousa 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
Tom Queally 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.00
Kevin Stott 1-1-1 +5.00 +0.00
Ray Dawson 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
Neil Callan 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.10
David Probert 1-1-1 +2.20 +1.32
Ben Curtis 1-1-1 +1.00 +0.63
William Buick 7-0-1 -7.00 -5.33

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 2, 1, 3, 1, 2, 2, (1, 4), 6, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Not in a Cl2-3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 2 - 4 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Run is not Cl2/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 18/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/FM/STD (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 57+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 8 of market
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not at HAY/WDR (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (51%) - Achieved an RPR of 88+ (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Break of 12 - 86 days (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +45.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (10) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (3) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, that stallion Oasis Dream has produced 2 winners (2018,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lucky Kristale in 2013, winning for George Margarson at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!