Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 658 Horse Racing

We look at the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket during the July Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview

Each year at the Newmarket racecourse, scheduled to take place during the July Festival, is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only. The race will be run over a straight six furlongs where previous G1 & G2 winners will have to carry a 3lb penalty.

Established in 1947, the race was originally called and is still referred to as the Cherry Hinton Stakes and those who perform well in the race are worth putting in the tracker in view of the following season's 1,000 Guineas, Attraction won this race in 2004 and then went on to Guineas success in 2005!

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.98. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Raffle Prize, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:09.09 when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer David Elsworth and jockey Ryan Moore with Arabian Queen who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:15.14 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Raffle Prize (1:09.09) in 2019
  2. Clemmie (1:10.34) in 2017
  3. Sandrine (1:10.65) in 2021
What the expert says...
The Albany Stakes is the race to watch out for runners coming from, it has produced eleven of the last twenty winners including four of the last five and five of the eleven winners have completed the double and the last to do so was Sandrine in 2021.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes and the jockey is also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:11.11
Arabian Dusk (GB)
2yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 12/1
Harry Davies
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2023
1:13.66
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo 9-2 (3 of 4) 5/1
Kevin Stott
Dominic Ffrench Davis (GB)
2022
1:11.02
Mawj (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 4/1
Ray Dawson
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2021
1:10.65
Sandrine (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/5F
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:11.93
Dandalla (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 1/1F
Ben Curtis
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:09.09
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:11.51
Pretty Pollyanna (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
1:10.34
Clemmie (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:10.72
Roly Poly (USA)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:12.81
Illuminate (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 7/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 28 placings from 148 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 16 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Youresothrilling (2007), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien7-3-4+4.88+2.02
Brian Meehan7-1-3+6.00+4.45
Richard Hannon6-1-2-3.25-1.85
Saeed bin Suroor4-1-1+1.00-0.50
K R Burke4-1-1-2.00-2.37
Michael Bell2-1-1+19.00+11.00
Simon & Ed Crisford2-1-1+11.00+6.20
Dominic Ffrench Davis2-1-1+4.00+0.00
David Elsworth2-1-1+3.00+1.50
Andrew Balding2-1-1+1.20+0.32

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Arabian Queen (2014), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Sander Camillo (2006), Gamilati (2011) and Raffle Prize (2019).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore15-3-6-0.62-1.73
Frankie Dettori14-3-6+8.88+4.22
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-1+18.00+10.00
Tom Queally2-1-1+19.00+11.00
Harry Davies1-1-1+12.00+7.20
Kevin Stott1-1-1+5.00+0.00
Ray Dawson1-1-1+4.00+2.50
Neil Callan1-1-1+3.50+2.10
David Probert1-1-1+2.20+1.32
Ben Curtis1-1-1+1.00+0.63

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +43.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 5 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 1 (5,3) [11 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (10) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 14 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, that stallion Oasis Dream has produced 2 winners (2018,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lucky Kristale in 2013, winning for George Margarson at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Ancient Wisdom (FR)
3yo - 6/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Whistlejacket (IRE)
2yo - 11/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Sergeant Wilko (IRE)
3yo - 6/1
Kevin Ryan
Oisin Murphy
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Giavellotto (IRE)
5yo - 100/30
Marco Botti
Oisin Murphy

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Involvement (GB)
3yo - 100/30
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Arabian Dusk (GB)
2yo - 12/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Harry Davies
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Porta Fortuna (IRE)
3yo - 10/11
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
First Conquest (GB)
3yo - 12/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
Ancient Truth (IRE)
2yo - 4/6
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Aalto (FR)
4yo - 15/2
Ian Williams
Rossa Ryan
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Mill Stream (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Jane Chapple-Hyam
William Buick

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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