Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

The Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is always an anticipated contest at Newmarket during the July Festival, run over a trip of 6f. In this guide, we take a closer look at the winning connections, past records, and the key trends that could help you pinpoint this year's Duchess of Cambridge Stakes winner.
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview

Each year at the Newmarket racecourse, scheduled to take place during the July Festival, is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, a Group 2 race that is restricted to two-year-old fillies and is run over a straight six furlongs.

Established in 1947, the race was originally called and is still referred to as the Cherry Hinton Stakes, and those who perform well in the race are worth putting in the tracker in view of the following season's 1,000 Guineas.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket, then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Duchess of Cambridge Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Raffle Prize (1:09.09) in 2019
  2. Clemmie (1:10.34) in 2017
  3. Sandrine (1:10.65) in 2021

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.12. Ahead of the 2027 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2014 renewal when Arabian Queen from David Elsworth under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 1:15.14, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Raffle Prize, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 1:09.09 in the 2019 renewal.

What the expert says...
The Albany Stakes is the race to watch for runners coming from, as it has produced eleven of the last twenty winners, including five of the last seven. Notably, five of the eleven winners have completed the double, with the last to do so being Venetian Sun in 2025.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
1:11.78
Senorita Bonita (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (1 of 8) 9/4
Oisin Murphy
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2025
1:11.58
Venetian Sun (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 2/5F
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2024
1:11.11
Arabian Dusk (GB)
2yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 12/1
Harry Davies
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2023
1:13.66
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo 9-2 (3 of 4) 5/1
Kevin Stott
Dominic Ffrench Davis (GB)
2022
1:11.02
Mawj (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 6) 4/1
Ray Dawson
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2021
1:10.65
Sandrine (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/5F
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:11.93
Dandalla (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 1/1F
Ben Curtis
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:09.09
Raffle Prize (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:11.51
Pretty Pollyanna (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 20/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
1:10.34
Clemmie (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 26 placings from 143 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 17 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Replay


Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Youresothrilling (2007), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes are K R Burke (2 wins) and Simon & Ed Crisford (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien7-3-4+4.88+2.02
K R Burke6-2-2-2.60-3.12
Simon & Ed Crisford3-2-2+13.25+7.55
Richard Hannon6-1-2-3.25-1.85
Saeed bin Suroor4-1-1+1.00-0.50
Michael Bell3-1-1+18.00+10.00
Andrew Balding3-1-1+0.20-0.68
George Margarson2-1-1+19.00+11.00
Dominic Ffrench Davis2-1-1+4.00+0.00
David Elsworth2-1-1+3.00+1.50

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Arabian Queen (2014), Roly Poly (2016) and Clemmie (2017).

Here are some of the top Duchess of Cambridge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore16-3-6-1.62-2.73
Oisin Murphy7-1-2-3.75-3.60
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-1+18.00+10.00
Clifford Lee3-1-1-1.60-1.75
Tom Queally2-1-1+19.00+11.00
Harry Davies1-1-1+12.00+7.20
Kevin Stott1-1-1+5.00+0.00
Ray Dawson1-1-1+4.00+2.50
Neil Callan1-1-1+3.50+2.10
David Probert1-1-1+2.20+1.32

2027 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +42.48, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out.

❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-22.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 1 (6,5) [8 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 5 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 1 (5,3) [11 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Curragh; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes; that stallion, Oasis Dream, has produced 2 winners (2018,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lucky Kristale in 2013, winning for George Margarson at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Route to the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Senorita Bonita
Ascot - 2nd of 27 (8/1)
Queen Mary Stakes
2025 - Venetian Sun
Ascot - 1st of 17 (7/1)
Albany Stakes
2024 - Arabian Dusk
Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 12 (11/4)
Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies Stakes
2023 - Persian Dreamer
Ascot - 4th of 17 (20/1)
Albany Stakes
2022 - Mawj
Ascot - 2nd of 16 (2/1)
Albany Stakes
2021 - Sandrine
Ascot - 1st of 15 (16/1)
Albany Stakes
2020 - Dandalla
Ascot - 1st of 13 (13/2)
Albany Stakes
2019 - Raffle Prize
Ascot - 1st of 25 (18/1)
Queen Mary Stakes
2018 - Pretty Pollyanna
Ascot - 5th of 18 (29/1)
Albany Stakes
2017 - Clemmie
Curragh - 1st of 8 (6/4)
Grangecon Stud Stakes

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the July Festival

The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Bahrain Trophy StakesPoint Of Law (GB)
3yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
James Doyle
July StakesInner City Blues (IRE)
2yo - 5/6
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July Festival Sprint HandicapJazl (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Jack Mitchell
Princess of Wales's StakesRebels Romance (IRE)
8yo - 8/11
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Friday at the July Festival

Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
July Festival HandicapHeraldry (GB)
3yo - 5/1
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Duchess of Cambridge StakesSenorita Bonita (IRE)
2yo - 9/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
Betway TrophyValedictory (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Falmouth StakesBlue Bolt (IRE)
4yo - 85/40
Andrew Balding
Colin Keane

Saturday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Newmarket Handicap StakesSt Anton (IRE)
3yo - 10/1
Richard Hannon
Pat Dobbs
Bunbury CupAalto (FR)
6yo - 4/1
Ian Williams
William Buick
Superlative StakesAl Hudaiba (GB)
2yo - 5/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July CupComanche Brave (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Billy Loughnane

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Duchess of Cambridge Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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