Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes Preview
The Nell Gwyn Stakes was introduced back in 1961 when the first-ever winner of the race was Verbena for Geoffrey Brooke and Doug Smith.
The race is a Group 3 run over seven furlongs at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket, with the race being open to three-year-old fillies only.
Nell Gwyn Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Craven Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Nell Gwyn Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nell Gwyn Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Nell Gwyn Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Pretty Crystal (1:22.90) in 2024
- Osaila (1:23.24) in 2015
- Speciosa (1:23.45) in 2006
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +9.00. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2025 renewal when Zanzoun from John & Thady Gosden under the guidance of Kieran Shoemark, won in a time of 1:29.22, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Pretty Crystal, trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by Oisin Orr set the quickest time of 1:22.90 in the 2024 renewal.
Nell Gwyn Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nell Gwyn Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nell Gwyn Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:29.22 | Zanzoun (GB) 3yo 9-2 (9 of 10) 9/1 | Kieran Shoemark John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2024 1:22.90 | Pretty Crystal (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 10) 18/1 | Oisin Orr Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2023 1:28.70 | Mammas Girl (GB) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 15) 16/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:24.27 | Cachet (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 15/8F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:24.89 | Sacred (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 6/1 | Ryan Moore William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:25.77 | Qabala (USA) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 11) 100/30F | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:26.67 | Soliloquy (GB) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 4/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 1:24.42 | Daban (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 11) 12/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 1:28.35 | Nathra (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 5/4F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2015 1:23.24 | Osaila (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 4/1 | Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nell Gwyn Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 39 placings from 214 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Nell Gwyn Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Karens Caper (2005), Infallible (2008), Nathra (2016) and Daban (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Nell Gwyn Stakes are Richard Fahey (3 wins) and Richard Hannon (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Nell Gwyn Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 12-4-6 | +16.25 | +8.40 |
| Richard Fahey | 8-3-4 | +30.50 | +17.70 |
| Richard Hannon | 5-2-2 | +17.00 | +9.00 |
| Charlie Appleby | 10-1-4 | -5.00 | -3.96 |
| William Haggas | 8-1-2 | -1.00 | -1.90 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 6-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.40 |
| Roger Varian | 6-1-3 | -1.67 | -0.90 |
| George Boughey | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Pam Sly | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.40 |
| A P O'Brien | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.28 |
Nell Gwyn Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Fantasia (2009), Sandiva (2014), Osaila (2015), Nathra (2016) and Daban (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Nell Gwyn Stakes is William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Nell Gwyn Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 13-5-6 | +13.55 | +5.49 |
| William Buick | 12-2-4 | -4.12 | -4.93 |
| Ryan Moore | 15-1-3 | -8.00 | -5.18 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +12.10 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.15 |
| Pat Dobbs | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +15.80 |
| Oisin Orr | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.80 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2-1-2 | +6.50 | +5.00 |
| David Egan | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +2.00 |
2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 4, 2, 1, 1, 8, 2, 11, 2, 1, 3, 1, 7, 7, 1, 3, 1, 10, 2, 7
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Won is not G1/LST/Cl3/Cl6-7
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl3/Cl6-7 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 3 races (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Break of 147 - 332 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 120 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 11 - 263 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 7 - 20 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in IRL/ITA/SCO/UAE (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 11 - 221 days
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG/RO in colour
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 121 - 128lbs (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 78+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (46%) - Within the first 5 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nell Gwyn Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Nell Gwyn Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.43, is when runners had a furthest trip placed of 1m.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 9 (5,10) [10 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 3 (8,2) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (6,12) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 8 (6,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (8,1) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Nell Gwyn Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton (AW), there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kempton (AW) last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nell Gwyn Stakes:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
- Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kingman (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Esentepe in 2012, winning for Richard Hannon Snr at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Pat Dobbs. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Nell Gwyn Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Nell Gwyn Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Nell Gwyn Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Zanzoun Southwell (AW) - 1st of 10 (5/4) | Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes |
| 2024 - Pretty Crystal Ayr - 4th of 9 (4/1) | Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Firth Of Clyde |
| 2023 - Mammas Girl Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 10 (3/1) | Discover Newmarket Fillies Restricted Novice Stakes |
| 2022 - Cachet Del Mar - 4th of 14 (219/10) | Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf |
| 2021 - Sacred Newmarket (Rowley) - 8th of 8 (11/2) | Cheveley Park Stakes |
| 2019 - Qabala Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 9 (7/2) | Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies Stakes |
| 2018 - Soliloquy Ascot - 1st of 7 (4/7) | Lavazza Fillies Novice Stakes |
| 2017 - Daban Kempton (AW) - 1st of 14 (9/2) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes |
| 2016 - Nathra Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 10 (4/1) | bet365 Fillies Mile |
| 2015 - Osaila Santa Anita - 3rd of 13 (6/1) | Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf |
Other Principal races during the Craven Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Nell Gwyn Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Craven Meeting with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners. There are four G3s at the meeting which we cover with blogs, on Tuesday both the Earl of Sefton and the Nell Gwyn and then on Wednesday we have the Craven and Abernant.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Earl of Sefton Stakes Tuesday | Persica (IRE) 4yo - 3/1 | Richard Hannon Ryan Moore |
| Nell Gwyn Stakes Tuesday | Zanzoun (GB) 3yo - 9/1 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| Abernant Stakes Wednesday | Sajir (IRE) 4yo - 2/1 | A Fabre Oisin Murphy |
| Craven Stakes Wednesday | Field Of Gold (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nell Gwyn Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
