Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Nell Gwyn Stakes Preview
The Nell Gwyn Stakes was introduced back in 1961 when the first-ever winner of the race was Verbena for Geoffrey Brooke and Doug Smith.
The race is a Group 3 run over seven furlongs at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket with the race being open to three-year-old fillies only.
Nell Gwyn Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Nell Gwyn Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nell Gwyn Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Richard Fahey trained Pretty Crystal ridden by Oisin Orr who set the fastest winning time in the Nell Gwyn Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.90 was set when winning the race in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon and jockey Sean Levey with Mammas Girl who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:28.70 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Pretty Crystal (1:22.90) in 2024
- Osaila (1:23.24) in 2015
- Speciosa (1:23.45) in 2006
Nell Gwyn Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nell Gwyn Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Nell Gwyn Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:22.90 | Pretty Crystal (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 10) 18/1 | Oisin Orr Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2023 1:28.70 | Mammas Girl (GB) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 15) 16/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:24.27 | Cachet (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 15/8F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:24.89 | Sacred (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 6/1 | Ryan Moore William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:25.77 | Qabala (USA) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 11) 100/30F | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:26.67 | Soliloquy (GB) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 4/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 1:24.42 | Daban (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 11) 12/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 1:28.35 | Nathra (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 5/4F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2015 1:23.24 | Osaila (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 4/1 | Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2014 1:26.93 | Sandiva (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 15) 7/2F | Frankie Dettori Richard Fahey (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nell Gwyn Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 38 placings from 216 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
Nell Gwyn Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Karens Caper (2005), Infallible (2008), Nathra (2016) and Daban (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Nell Gwyn Stakes are Richard Fahey (3 wins) and Richard Hannon (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Nell Gwyn Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 13-4-6 | +15.25 | +7.40 |
| Richard Fahey | 8-3-4 | +30.50 | +17.70 |
| Richard Hannon | 5-2-2 | +17.00 | +9.00 |
| Charlie Appleby | 9-1-4 | -4.00 | -2.96 |
| William Haggas | 8-1-2 | -1.00 | -1.90 |
| Roger Varian | 5-1-3 | -0.67 | +0.10 |
| George Boughey | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Pam Sly | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.40 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| A P O'Brien | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.28 |
Nell Gwyn Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Nell Gwyn Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Fantasia (2009), Sandiva (2014), Osaila (2015), Nathra (2016) and Daban (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Nell Gwyn Stakes is William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Nell Gwyn Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 14-5-6 | +12.55 | +4.49 |
| William Buick | 11-2-4 | -3.12 | -3.93 |
| Ryan Moore | 15-1-3 | -8.00 | -5.18 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.15 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +12.10 |
| Pat Dobbs | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +15.80 |
| Oisin Orr | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.80 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2-1-2 | +6.50 | +5.00 |
| David Egan | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +2.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 8-0-3 | -8.00 | -4.10 |
2025 Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 2, 4, 2, 1, 1, 8, 2, 11, 2, 1, 3, 1, 7, 7, 1, 3, 1, 10, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 3 starts (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 164 - 332 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl3/Cl6-7
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 120 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G1/Cl3/Cl6-7 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 75+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG/RO in colour
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in IRL/ITA/SCO/UAE (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 78+ (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (55%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Career)
- 17 / 20 (82%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nell Gwyn Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Nell Gwyn Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.26 is when runners finished in 1st on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (8,2) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (6,12) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 8 (6,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (8,1) [10 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 7 (6,5) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Nell Gwyn Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton (AW), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kempton (AW) last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nell Gwyn Stakes:
- Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nell Gwyn Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kingman (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Esentepe in 2012, winning for Richard Hannon Snr at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Pat Dobbs. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Howden Heritage Handicap
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap Stakes
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap Stakes
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nell Gwyn Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
