Craven Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Craven Meeting)

Updated: 2773 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Craven Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Craven Meeting with the race being run over a distance of 1m, see which trends the past winners of the Craven Stakes have set for this year.

Craven Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Craven Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Craven Stakes Preview

The Craven Stakes is a Group 3 race that under today's conditions was first run back in 1878, the race itself has been going on since 1771. The race is open to three-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a straight mile.

The Craven Stakes can be a trial with the 2,000 Guineas which is also hosted here at Newmarket, Haafhd (2004) was the last runner to win both. Sir Michael Stoute has won this race an incredible eight times with his first winner back in 1985 and his latest in 2007.

Craven Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Craven Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Craven Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Craven Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Craven Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.50. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Craven Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Stormy Antarctic from Ed Walker under the guidance of George Baker, won in a time of 1:44.01, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Eminent, trained by Martyn Meade and ridden by Jim Crowley set the quickest time of 1:35.15 in the 2017 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Craven Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - Eminent (1:35.15)
  • 2013 - Toronado (1:35.19)
  • 2014 - Toormore (1:35.42)

Craven Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Craven Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Craven Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:39.78
Indestructible (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (7 of 7) 8/1
Kevin Stott
K R Burke (GB)
2022
1:35.91
Native Trail (GB)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 1/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:38.79
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2019
1:37.89
Skardu (GB)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 3/1
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2018
1:38.15
Masar (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 7/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:35.15
Eminent (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 8/1
Jim Crowley
Martyn Meade (GB)
2016
1:44.01
Stormy Antarctic (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 9/2
George Baker
Ed Walker (GB)
2015
1:38.86
Kool Kompany (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 14/1
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:35.42
Toormore (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (1 of 6) 1/1F
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon (GB)
2013
1:35.19
Toronado (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (1 of 4) 8/11F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Craven Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 138 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners

Craven Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Craven Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Masar (2018), Master Of The Seas (2021) & Native Trail (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Craven Stakes is Richard Hannon (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Craven Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Charlie Appleby 7-3-4 +2.50 +0.90
Richard Hannon 8-2-2 +9.00 +3.38
Sir Michael Stoute 6-1-2 -3.75 -3.30
Brian Meehan 4-1-2 -2.33 -1.48
Martyn Meade 2-1-1 +7.00 +4.00
William Haggas 2-1-2 +2.00 +1.64
Ed Dunlop 2-1-1 -0.27 -0.54
J S Bolger 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.20
K R Burke 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Ed Walker 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81

Craven Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Craven Stakes over the last twenty renewals with both Ryan Moore & William Buick who have both won the race 3 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Elusive Pimpernel (2010), Trumpet Major (2012) & Toormore (2014). William Buick winners have been with Masar (2018), Master Of The Seas (2021) & Native Trail (2022).

Here are some of the top Craven Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 13-3-6 -3.59 -0.52
William Buick 8-3-4 +1.50 +0.10
Jamie Spencer 10-1-3 -8.33 -2.98
James Doyle 6-1-2 -2.00 -1.30
Jim Crowley 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00
Kevin Manning 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.20
Kevin Stott 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Kerrin McEvoy 1-1-1 +1.25 +0.75
Frankie Dettori 8-0-4 -8.00 -1.05
Silvestre De Sousa 4-0-1 -4.00 -0.30

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (4, 5), 2, 8, 8, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 3, 2, 6, 3, 4, 1, 1, 7

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Break of 48 - 249 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 85+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 58+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5/Cl6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 121 - 129lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not Cl3/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Craven Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Craven Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Craven Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.75 is when runners ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 131lbs when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 7 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (2,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (5,2) [8 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Craven Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Craven Stakes, that stallion Arakan has produced 2 winners (2014,2012).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Kool Kompany in 2015, winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Richard Hughes. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Craven Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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