OLBG App 5K+ Tips Search Members Logout Login Register

2022 Craven Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Apr 15, 3:08pm Last Updated: Apr 16, 1:00pm Horse Racing 3 Comments 1999 Views

2022 Craven Stakes Preview

The Craven Stakes is a Group 3 races which under today's conditions was first run back in 1878, the race itself has been going on since 1771. The race is open to three-year-old colts and geldings and is run over a straight mile.

The Craven Stakes can be a trial with the 2,000 Guineas which is also hosted here at Newmarket, Haafhd (2004) was the last runner to win both. Sir Michael Stoute has won this race an incredible eight times with his first winner back in 1985 and his latest in 2007. For racing tips on this race and all of the others at the Craven Meeting be sure to head over to the Newmarket Tips page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Martyn Meade trained Eminent ridden by Jim Crowley who has set the fastest winning time in the Craven Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.15 which was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Ed Walker and jockey George Baker with Stormy Antarctic who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:44.01 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Craven Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - Eminent (1:35.15)
  • 2013 - Toronado (1:35.19)
  • 2014 - Toormore (1:35.42)

How competitive is the Craven Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2012 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Craven Stakes, the over-round has been 113% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Craven Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.50. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Craven Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Craven Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Craven Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Craven Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:38.79
Master Of The Seas
3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
2019
1:37.89
Skardu
3yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 3/1
James Doyle
William Haggas
2018
1:38.15
Masar
3yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 7/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
2017
1:35.15
Eminent
3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 8/1
Jim Crowley
Martyn Meade
2016
1:44.01
Stormy Antarctic
3yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 9/2
George Baker
Ed Walker
2015
1:38.86
Kool Kompany
3yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 14/1
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon
2014
1:35.42
Toormore
3yo 9-3 (1 of 6) 1/1F
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon
2013
1:35.19
Toronado
3yo 9-1 (1 of 4) 8/11F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:37.44
Trumpet Major
3yo 9-1 (12 of 12) 9/2
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon Snr
2011
1:37.56
Native Khan
3yo 8-12 (1 of 6) 8/11F
Kieren Fallon
Ed Dunlop

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Craven Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 139 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 10 runners

Craven Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Craven Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Richard Hannon, Sir Michael Stoute & Charlie Appleby having all won the race 2 times. Richard Hannon winners have been with Toormore (2014) & Kool Kompany (2015). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with King Of Happiness (2002) & Adagio (2007). Charlie Appleby winners have been with Masar (2018) & Master Of The Seas (2021).

Here are some of the top Craven Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Hannon 8-2-2 +9.00 +3.38
Sir Michael Stoute 7-2-3 -1.50 -1.89
Charlie Appleby 5-2-3 +3.25 +1.74
Brian Meehan 4-1-2 -2.33 -1.48
Ed Dunlop 3-1-1 -1.27 -1.54
William Haggas 2-1-2 +2.00 +1.64
J S Bolger 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.20
Martyn Meade 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Ed Walker 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.81
A P O'Brien 8-0-2 -8.00 -3.86

Craven Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Craven Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Elusive Pimpernel (2010), Trumpet Major (2012) & Toormore (2014). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Craven Stakes is William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Craven Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 12-3-6 -2.59 +0.48
William Buick 6-2-3 +2.25 +0.94
Jamie Spencer 10-1-3 -8.33 -2.98
James Doyle 6-1-2 -2.00 -1.30
Jim Crowley 2-1-1 +7.00 +4.00
Kevin Manning 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.20
Frankie Dettori 8-0-4 -8.00 -1.05
Silvestre De Sousa 4-0-1 -4.00 -0.30
Martin Dwyer 3-0-1 -3.00 -1.90
Andrea Atzeni 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,1,(4,5),2,8,8,1,2,1,1,1,5,1,1,3,2,6,3,4,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Beaten no more 2.5l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had not placed that season
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 2 placings over trip
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had won on turf
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Last win was on turf
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 121-129lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Never off bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Is a colt
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - Not on AW, Firm or Heavy (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Fewer than 2 starts (Trip)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Making seasonal debut
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Field of 7-17 on debut

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Craven Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Craven Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Craven Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.50 is when runners ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Standard ground last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 3 (2,6)
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (5,2)
  • 2018: Winner in 3 (5)
  • 2017: Winner in 4 (5)
  • 2016: Winner in 3 (5)

The course which has produced the most winners of the Craven Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Craven Stakes, that stallion is Arakan who has produced 2 winners (2014,2012).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Kool Kompany in 2015 when winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Richard Hughes. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newmarket racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in May

Races in July

Races in September

Races in October

Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please Register / Login to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.