Palace House Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Explore the history of the Palace House Stakes, a race staged over 5f at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival. We detail trainer and jockey achievements from previous renewals while highlighting statistical patterns that have emerged to influence the race's likely outcome.
Palace House Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Palace House Stakes Preview

The Group 3 Palace House Stakes is scheduled to take place in either late April or early May at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival. Open to runners who are aged three or older, the race is run over a distance of five furlongs.

Having been established in 1961 and named after the royal residence of King Charles II in Newmarket, it was given its current Group 3 status in 1971.

Palace House Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket, then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Palace House Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024, when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Palace House Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Β£100 for every Β£120 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Palace House Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Palace House Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Palace House Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Sole Power (57.02) in 2013
  2. Rumstar (57.72) in 2025
  3. Amour Propre (57.73) in 2009

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Palace House Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +10.50. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Palace House Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Sole Power, trained by Edward Lynam and ridden by Johnny Murtagh, who set the fastest winning time in the Palace House Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 57.02 in 2013. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Paul Hanagan with Mayson who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:01.42 in the 2012 renewal.

What the expert says...
Quite a few of the Palace House Stakes winners had their prep run abroad; ten of the last fourteen winners raced abroad, five of those ran at Meydan, with the other five running in France, three of which ran in the Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Palace House Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Palace House Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Palace House Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
57.86
Night Raider (IRE)
5yo 9-9 (4 of 14) 9/1
James Doyle
K R Burke (GB)
2025
57.72
Rumstar (GB)
5yo 9-9 (1 of 11) 7/1
Rob Hornby
Jonathan Portman (GB)
2024
58.88
Seven Questions (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 8) 33/1
Callum Shepherd
George Scott (GB)
2023
1:00.42
Vadream (GB)
5yo 9-6 (15 of 14) 7/1
Kieran Shoemark
Charlie Fellowes (GB)
2022
58.53
Khaadem (IRE)
6yo 9-6 (1 of 12) 7/1
William Buick
Charles Hills (GB)
2021
58.59
Lazuli (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (6 of 9) 3/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
58.07
Far Above (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (13 of 12) 7/2
P J McDonald
James Tate (GB)
2019
58.67
Mabs Cross (GB)
5yo 9-10 (10 of 11) 6/1
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2018
58.44
Mabs Cross (GB)
4yo 9-3 (6 of 9) 9/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2017
58.18
Marsha (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (12 of 15) 8/1
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Palace House Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 38 placings from 240 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Palace House Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Palace House Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Bryan Smart, Edward Lynam, and Michael Dods having all won the race twice. Bryan Smart winners have been with Captain Gerrard (2008) and Tangerine Trees (2011). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2013 & 2014). Michael Dods winners have been with Mabs Cross (2018 & 2019). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Palace House Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording a win.

Here are some of the top Palace House Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Bryan Smart11-2-4+16.50+8.00
Edward Lynam5-2-3+2.75+1.40
Michael Dods4-2-3+8.50+6.40
Robert Cowell26-1-6-20.00-15.10
Clive Cox8-1-2+13.00+4.15
Charles Hills8-1-2+0.00-1.75
K R Burke7-1-2+3.00+0.15
Henry Candy6-1-1+2.00-1.50
Richard Fahey3-1-1+1.50-0.25
Charlie Appleby3-1-2+1.00+0.30

Palace House Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Palace House Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Tom Eaves, William Buick, and Paul Mulrennan having all won the race twice. Tom Eaves winners have been with Captain Gerrard (2008) and Tangerine Trees (2011). William Buick winners have been with Lazuli (2021) and Khaadem (2022). Paul Mulrennan's winners have been with Mabs Cross (2018 & 2019). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Palace House Stakes; Jamie Spencer has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Palace House Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Tom Eaves7-2-3+20.50+10.80
William Buick6-2-3+6.00+2.50
Paul Mulrennan4-2-2+8.50+4.30
Ryan Moore13-1-3-9.75-9.32
James Doyle9-1-3+1.00+0.30
Luke Morris6-1-2+3.00+1.30
Adam Kirby5-1-1+16.00+6.00
Martin Harley5-1-2+1.00+0.70
Kieran Shoemark3-1-2+5.00+4.10
Rob Hornby2-1-2+6.00+4.05

Palace House Stakes Trend Analysis

βœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.88, is when runners last win was 1 start ago.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 8 starts in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-34.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 4 (5,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 1 (9,6) [11 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 9 (2,1) [8 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 15 (16,1) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (5,10) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Palace House Stakes is Meydan; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Meydan last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Longchamp, Ascot and Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 207 runners, while female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 45 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Palace House Stakes:

  • Acclamation (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dutch Art (2 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • Kyllachy (2 Wins)
  • Oasis Dream (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Palace House Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Twilight Son (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Seven Questions in 2024, winning for George Scott at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Callum Shepherd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Palace House Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Palace House Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Palace House Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Night Raider
Longchamp - 15th of 17 (15/1)
Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp
2025 - Rumstar
Ascot - 1st of 6 (6/1)
BetMGM Rous Stakes
2024 - Seven Questions
Meydan - 7th of 10 (20/1)
Dubai Trophy Presented by DP World
2023 - Vadream
Newcastle (AW) - 6th of 11 (6/1)
All-Weather Sprint Championships
2022 - Khaadem
Meydan - 8th of 9 (11/2)
Blue Point Sprint Presented By Jebel Ali Port
2021 - Lazuli
Meydan - 3rd of 14 (5/6)
Dubai Dash Sponsored By Aura By Azizi
2020 - Far Above
Deauville - 1st of 9 (37/5)
Qatar Prix Kistena
2019 - Mabs Cross
Longchamp - 1st of 16 (12/1)
Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp
2018 - Mabs Cross
Bath - 2nd of 15 (4/1)
Lansdown Stakes
2017 - Marsha
Chantilly - 1st of 17 (16/1)
Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp

Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival

Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Palace House Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the Guineas Festival

The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a Group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Newmarket StakesAncient Egypt (IRE)
3yo - 16/1
Charlie Johnston
Rowan Scott
Jockey Club StakesSantorini Star (IRE)
5yo - 9/4
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
King Charles II StakesSaber Strike (IRE)
3yo - 11/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand

Saturday at the Guineas Festival

Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, where we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Rowley Handicap StakesDouble Rush (IRE)
4yo - 4/6
Andrew Balding
Shane Foley
Suffolk StakesErzindjan (IRE)
8yo - 17/2
T J Kent
Ray Dawson
Palace House StakesNight Raider (IRE)
5yo - 9/1
K R Burke
James Doyle
2000 GuineasBow Echo (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
George Boughey
Billy Loughnane

Sunday at the Guineas Festival

Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, and the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Pretty Polly StakesJennifer Jane (IRE)
3yo - 11/2
Charlie Johnston
Silvestre De Sousa
Dahlia StakesJancis (IRE)
5yo - 18/1
W McCreery
Sean Levey
1000 GuineasTrue Love (IRE)
3yo - 5/1
A P O'Brien
Wayne Lordan

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Palace House Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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