Palace House Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 492 Horse Racing

We look at the Palace House Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 5f at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Palace House Stakes.

Palace House Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Palace House Stakes Preview

The Group 3 Palace House Stakes is scheduled to take place in either late April or early May at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival. Open to runners who are aged three or older the race is run over a distance of five furlongs. Having been established in 1961 and named after the royal residence of King Charles II in Newmarket, it was given its current Group 3 status in 1971.

Palace House Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Palace House Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Palace House Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Palace House Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Palace House Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +10.50. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Palace House Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Mayson from Richard Fahey under the guidance of Paul Hanagan, won in a time of 1:01.42, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Sole Power, trained by Edward Lynam and ridden by Johnny Murtagh set the quickest time of 57.02 in the 2013 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Palace House Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2013 - Sole Power (57.02)
  • 2009 - Amour Propre (57.73)
  • 2020 - Far Above (58.07)

Palace House Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Palace House Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Palace House Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:00.42
Vadream (GB)
5yo 9-6 (15 of 14) 7/1
Kieran Shoemark
Charlie Fellowes (GB)
2022
58.53
Khaadem (IRE)
6yo 9-6 (1 of 12) 7/1
William Buick
Charles Hills (GB)
2021
58.59
Lazuli (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (6 of 9) 3/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
58.07
Far Above (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (13 of 12) 7/2
P J McDonald
James Tate (GB)
2019
58.67
Mabs Cross (GB)
5yo 9-10 (10 of 11) 6/1
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2018
58.44
Mabs Cross (GB)
4yo 9-3 (6 of 9) 9/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2017
58.18
Marsha (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (12 of 15) 8/1
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)
2016
58.59
Profitable (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (20 of 21) 20/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2015
58.72
Goldream (GB)
6yo 9-2 (10 of 9) 5/1
Martin Harley
Robert Cowell (GB)
2014
58.74
Sole Power (GB)
7yo 9-2 (6 of 11) 9/4F
Ryan Moore
Edward Lynam (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Palace House Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 39 placings from 251 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 9 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Palace House Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Palace House Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Bryan Smart, Edward Lynam and Michael Dods having all won the race two times. Bryan Smart winners have been with Captain Gerrard (2008) and Tangerine Trees (2011). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2013 & 2014). Michael Dods winners have been with Mabs Cross (2018 & 2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Palace House Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Palace House Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Bryan Smart 11-2-4 +16.50 +8.00
Edward Lynam 5-2-3 +2.75 +1.40
Michael Dods 4-2-3 +8.50 +6.40
Robert Cowell 23-1-5 -17.00 -13.80
Charles Hills 7-1-2 +1.00 -0.75
Clive Cox 6-1-1 +15.00 +5.00
Henry Candy 5-1-1 +3.00 -0.50
Roger Charlton 4-1-3 +2.50 +2.00
Richard Fahey 3-1-1 +1.50 -0.25
James Tate 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10

Palace House Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Palace House Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Tom Eaves, William Buick and Paul Mulrennan having all won the race two times. Tom Eaves winners have been with Captain Gerrard (2008) and Tangerine Trees (2011). William Buick winners have been with Lazuli (2021) and Khaadem (2022). Paul Mulrennan winners have been with Mabs Cross (2018 & 2019). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Palace House Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Palace House Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Eaves 6-2-3 +21.50 +11.80
William Buick 5-2-3 +7.00 +3.50
Paul Mulrennan 4-2-2 +8.50 +4.30
Ryan Moore 12-1-4 -8.75 -6.72
Paul Hanagan 6-1-3 -1.50 -0.85
Adam Kirby 5-1-1 +16.00 +6.00
Martin Harley 5-1-2 +1.00 +0.70
Luke Morris 4-1-2 +5.00 +3.30
Kieran Shoemark 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Dane O'Neill 2-1-1 +6.00 +2.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 14, 1, 2, 3, 9, 13, 1, (1, 4), 1, 5, 3, 2, 5, 4, 7, 1, 5, 9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (74%) - In a field of 9 - 20 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Beaten no more -5½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Carried 121 - 129lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 4 - 39 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 9 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 13 of market
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Won within last 7 starts
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No older than a 7yo
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not Cl3-5
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 3 - 20 placings (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Palace House Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Palace House Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Palace House Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.63 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (Listed) when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 131lbs on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 15 (16,1) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (5,10) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 6 (5,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 13 (6,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (2,11) [11 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Palace House Stakes are Meydan and Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 225 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 38 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Palace House Stakes:

  • Acclamation (2 Wins)
  • Dutch Art (2 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • Kyllachy (2 Wins)
  • Oasis Dream (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Palace House Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dandy Man in 2006, winning for C Collins at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of N G McCullagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Palace House Stakes.

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