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2027 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Preview
The Group 3 Earl of Sefton Stakes is the feature race on the last day of the Craven meeting at Newmarket. The race is open to four-year-olds or older and is run over a straight one mile, one furlong. The 1999 race was held at the July course over a slightly shorter trip.
Previously known as the Rubbing House Stakes, the race was first run in 1971 and two years later acquired the now-named Earl of Sefton Stakes. The late great Sir Henry Cecil notched up an impressive seven winners in this race between 1978 & 2008.
Earl Of Sefton Stakes Information:
- Earl Of Sefton Stakes Past Winners
- Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Earl Of Sefton Stakes Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Craven Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Earl Of Sefton Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2025, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 117%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Earl Of Sefton Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Manduro (1:47.26) in 2007
- Ottoman Fleet (1:47.51) in 2024
- Tazeez (1:47.83) in 2009
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.63. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Ottoman Fleet from Charlie Appleby under the guidance of William Buick, won in a time of 1:55.17, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Manduro, trained by A Fabre and ridden by Stephane Pasquier set the quickest time of 1:47.26 in the 2007 renewal.
Earl Of Sefton Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Earl Of Sefton Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Earl Of Sefton Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:49.92 | Damysus (GB) 4yo 9-5 (3 of 6) 7/4F | James Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2025 1:54.07 | Persica (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (5 of 5) 3/1 | Ryan Moore Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2024 1:47.51 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) 5yo 9-2 (8 of 9) 7/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:55.17 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 1:49.60 | Master Of The Seas (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (6 of 7) 5/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 1:52.05 | My Oberon (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 4) 7/1 | James Doyle William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:52.43 | Zabeel Prince (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 9/2F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:52.38 | Forest Ranger (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (3 of 8) 8/1 | Tony Hamilton Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2017 1:51.27 | Calderon (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (4 of 7) 10/1 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2016 1:53.67 | Mahsoob (GB) 5yo 8-13 (10 of 9) 100/30 | Paul Hanagan John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 27 placings from 146 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 2 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
2026 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Replay
Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from French Navy (2015), Master Of The Seas (2022) and Ottoman Fleet (2023 & 2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes are John Gosden (3 wins), Jane Chapple-Hyam (2 wins) and Richard Hannon (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Earl Of Sefton Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 13-4-7 | -1.50 | -1.82 |
| John Gosden | 6-3-5 | +12.58 | +7.91 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 8-2-3 | +1.00 | +0.18 |
| Richard Hannon | 4-2-3 | +11.00 | +7.33 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-1-3 | -5.50 | -3.10 |
| Roger Varian | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.30 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 4-1-2 | -1.25 | -0.13 |
| Richard Fahey | 3-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.95 |
| A Fabre | 2-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.84 |
| William Haggas | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +0.00 |
Earl Of Sefton Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Questioning (2012), French Navy (2015), Master Of The Seas (2022) and Ottoman Fleet (2023 & 2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes is James Doyle (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Earl Of Sefton Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 9-5-8 | +13.50 | +8.98 |
| James Doyle | 10-2-2 | +0.75 | -6.91 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-1-4 | -10.00 | -8.45 |
| Tom Queally | 8-1-4 | +1.00 | -0.05 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-1-3 | -0.50 | +0.73 |
| Adam Kirby | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Tony Hamilton | 2-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.95 |
| Neil Callan | 2-1-2 | +4.50 | +4.20 |
| Pat Dobbs | 1-1-1 | +10.00 | +6.25 |
| Stephane Pasquier | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.90 |
2027 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 1, 3, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 2, 2, 2, (1, 4, 9), 4, 1, 1, 1, (2, 4), 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran over 1m - 1m2f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Break of 165 - 621 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 122 - 134lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/SLW/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Furthest Placed 1m - 1m3f
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in DEU/IRL/ITA/QAT/ZAF/TUR/UAE (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 1 wins (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 123 - 135lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 1 wins (Season)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 3 - 16 placings (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Earl Of Sefton Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.33, is when runners finished in 1st on debut.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-19.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 5 (6) [5 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 8 (2,4) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Meydan; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Meydan last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 146 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 6 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Lope De Vega (2 Wins)
- Mull Of Kintyre (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes; that stallion is Galileo, who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Questioning in 2012, winning for John Gosden at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Earl Of Sefton Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Earl Of Sefton Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Earl Of Sefton Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Damysus Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (2/1) | Too Darn Hot Darley Stakes |
| 2025 - Persica Southwell (AW) - 3rd of 7 (19/2) | Winter Derby |
| 2024 - Ottoman Fleet Meydan - 8th of 14 (11/10) | Singspiel Stakes Presented by Longines |
| 2023 - Ottoman Fleet Meydan - 3rd of 12 (5/4) | Dubai Millennium Stakes |
| 2022 - Master Of The Seas Ascot - 7th of 10 (11/1) | Queen Elizabeth II Stakes |
| 2021 - My Oberon Redcar - 5th of 6 (11/8) | Guisborough Stakes |
| 2019 - Zabeel Prince Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 5 (10/3) | Joel Stakes |
| 2018 - Forest Ranger Newmarket (Rowley) - 8th of 9 (7/1) | Darley Club Stakes |
| 2017 - Calderon Newmarket (Rowley) - 7th of 16 (20/1) | Old Rowley Cup |
| 2016 - Mahsoob York - 5th of 9 (9/2) | Strensall Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Craven Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Craven Meeting, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners. There are four G3 races at the meeting, which we cover with blogs, on Tuesday, both the Earl of Sefton and the Nell Gwyn and then on Wednesday we have the Craven and Abernant.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Earl of Sefton Stakes Tuesday | Damysus (GB) 4yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
| Nell Gwyn Stakes Tuesday | Azleet (GB) 3yo - 50/1 | Stuart Williams Marco Ghiani |
| Abernant Stakes Wednesday | Run To Freedom (GB) 8yo - 28/1 | Henry Candy Rob Hornby |
| Craven Stakes Wednesday | Oxagon (FR) 3yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Earl Of Sefton Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- 2000 Guineas
- Palace House Stakes
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- 1000 Guineas
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap
- bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
