Guisborough Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 530 Horse Racing

We look at the Guisborough Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at Redcar to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Guisborough Stakes.

Guisborough Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Guisborough Stakes Preview

Run in October of each year at the Redcar racecourse is the Guisborough Stakes is run on the same day as the Two-Year-Old Trophy with these two races being the highlight of the racing calendar at Redcar, this listed race is open to runners aged three or older and is run over seven-furlong, it has been ever-present on the Redcar calendar since 2003.

Guisborough Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Redcar tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Redcar Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Guisborough Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Guisborough Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Guisborough Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Guisborough Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Guisborough Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Ostilio from Simon & Ed Crisford under the guidance of Jack Mitchell, won in a time of 1:26.54, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Gonfilia, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Kerrin McEvoy set the quickest time of 1:21.04 in the 2004 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Guisborough Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Gonfilia (1:21.04)
  • 2021 - Azano (1:21.19)
  • 2005 - Council Member (1:21.32)

Guisborough Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Guisborough Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Guisborough Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:21.79
Vafortino (IRE)
5yo 9-2 (5 of 9) 9/2
David Allan
Kevin Philippart De Foy (GB)
2022
1:23.34
Im A Gambler (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 4/1
Franny Norton
Charlie & Mark Johnston (GB)
2021
1:21.19
Azano (GB)
5yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 18/1
Shane Gray
David O'Meara (GB)
2020
1:26.54
Ostilio (GB)
5yo 9-0 (7 of 6) 100/30
Jack Mitchell
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2019
1:25.70
Main Edition (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 6) 8/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
1:24.18
Tabarrak (IRE)
5yo 9-3 (6 of 11) 2/1F
Tom Marquand
Richard Hannon (GB)
2017
1:23.11
Jallota (GB)
6yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 11/4
Dane O'Neill
Charles Hills (GB)
2016
1:23.23
Latharnach (USA)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 5/2F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
1:23.10
Zarwaan (GB)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 8/1
Graham Lee
Ed Dunlop (GB)
2014
1:23.41
Muteela (GB)
3yo 8-10 (6 of 6) 9/4
Dane O'Neill
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Guisborough Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 31 placings from 167 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Guisborough Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Guisborough Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Gonfilia (2004), Council Member (2005) and Il Warrd (2008).

Here are some of the top Guisborough Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 17-3-5 -0.25 -4.45
David O'Meara 10-1-3 +9.00 +5.95
Richard Fahey 9-1-4 -1.00 +0.43
William Haggas 8-1-4 +7.00 +4.47
Roger Varian 5-1-5 -1.00 +1.03
Richard Hannon 5-1-2 -2.00 -0.92
Brian Ellison 3-1-1 +3.00 +1.00
Charles Hills 3-1-1 +0.75 -0.35
Charlie Appleby 3-1-2 +0.50 +0.43
Simon & Ed Crisford 2-1-2 +2.33 +1.73

Guisborough Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Guisborough Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Tom Eaves and Dane O'Neill who have both won the race two times. Tom Eaves winners have been with New Seeker (2006) and Appalachian Trail (2007). Dane O'Neill winners have been with Muteela (2014) and Jallota (2017).

Here are some of the top Guisborough Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Eaves 5-2-3 +22.00 +13.05
Dane O'Neill 4-2-2 +3.00 +1.06
David Allan 8-1-1 -2.50 -4.30
Neil Callan 5-1-2 -1.00 -1.00
Graham Lee 4-1-3 +5.00 +3.64
Franny Norton 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.60
Joe Fanning 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00
Jack Mitchell 3-1-3 +1.33 +1.61
Shane Gray 2-1-1 +17.00 +10.25
Dale Swift 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, 9, 3, (1, 10), 7, (5, 10), (2, 5), 6, 2, 3, 7, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 3, 3, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (63%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (66%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Ran over 6½f - 1m½f (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m1f
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 98+
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 4 - 20 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 123 - 139lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -1½l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 78+ (Last 5)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (54%) - Achieved a TS of 72+ (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Redcar racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Guisborough Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Guisborough Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Guisborough Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.33 is when runners had 1 career win over the trip. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 6f when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 5 (10,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (5,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 6 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (2) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Guisborough Stakes is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 141 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 32 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Guisborough Stakes, that stallion is Invincible Spirit who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Appalachian Trail in 2007, winning for Ian Semple at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Tom Eaves. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Guisborough Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Redcar racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Redcar racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in May

Races in October

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