Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview
The 1000 Guineas is run on the day following the 2000 Guineas at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket in early May. This Group 1 race is open to three-year-old fillies only and is run over a straight mile with all fillies running off a weight of 9-0.
Those holding an official rating of 80+ can enter the race, those without a mark can enter if the handicapper deems their performances good enough. Like the 2000 Guineas, there is a £500k purse with just over £280k going to the winner of the race.
This race is only one of two British Classics which is restricted to fillies only with the Epsom Oaks being the other.
Qipco 1000 Guineas Information:
- Qipco 1000 Guineas Past Winners
- Qipco 1000 Guineas Trainer Statistics
- Qipco 1000 Guineas Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Qipco 1000 Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Qipco 1000 Guineas, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Qipco 1000 Guineas Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.52. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Qipco 1000 Guineas remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Speciosa from Pam Sly under the guidance of Micky Fenton, won in a time of 1:40.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Ghanaati, trained by B W Hills and ridden by Richard Hills set the quickest time of 1:34.22 in the 2009 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals:
- Ghanaati (1:34.22) in 2009
- Legatissimo (1:34.60) in 2015
- Finsceal Beo (1:34.94) in 2007
What the expert says...
Qipco 1000 Guineas Past Winners
Here are the Qipco 1000 Guineas past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Qipco 1000 Guineas as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:37.05 | Elmalka (GB) 3yo 9-2 (16 of 16) 28/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2023 1:37.92 | Mawj (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (17 of 20) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2022 1:36.55 | Cachet (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 16/1 | James Doyle George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:36.37 | Mother Earth (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 1:35.80 | Love (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 4/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:36.89 | Hermosa (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 15) 14/1 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 1:36.62 | Billesdon Brook (GB) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 15) 66/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2017 1:35.66 | Winter (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 9/1 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:36.53 | Minding (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 16) 11/10F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:34.60 | Legatissimo (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 13/2 | Ryan Moore David Wachman (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Qipco 1000 Guineas have been based:
- IRE: 9 winners with an additional 17 placings from 73 runners
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 22 placings from 228 runners
- FR: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Qipco 1000 Guineas Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020) and Mother Earth (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, John Gosden has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 39-7-15 | +43.10 | +14.94 |
| Richard Hannon | 12-1-3 | +55.00 | +31.70 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 10-1-2 | +0.00 | -4.00 |
| Roger Varian | 9-1-2 | +20.00 | +6.85 |
| J S Bolger | 9-1-5 | -6.75 | -1.72 |
| A Fabre | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.50 |
| George Boughey | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| Pam Sly | 1-1-1 | +10.00 | +6.00 |
| P Bary | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| John Gosden | 14-0-3 | -14.00 | -12.00 |
Qipco 1000 Guineas Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Homecoming Queen (2012), Legatissimo (2015), Minding (2016) and Love (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Qipco 1000 Guineas are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Wayne Lordan (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, William Buick has ridden a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Jamie Spencer has ridden 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 17-4-7 | +23.60 | +9.84 |
| Frankie Dettori | 17-2-4 | +11.00 | +0.90 |
| Wayne Lordan | 6-2-2 | +19.00 | +9.80 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-1 | +9.00 | +2.60 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-1 | +4.00 | -0.50 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 5-1-2 | +24.00 | +10.50 |
| Stephane Pasquier | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -1.75 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| Sean Levey | 2-1-1 | +65.00 | +38.60 |
| Maxime Guyon | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.50 |
2025 Qipco 1000 Guineas Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 7, 1, 1, 5, 1, 7, 3, 9, 17, 2, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, (4, 5), 8, 2, 8
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not on GF/FM/STD-SLW/FS (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Won is not Cl2-3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 5 - 14 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 5 - 14 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 66/1
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a G2/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (89%) - Carried no more than 126lbs
- 17 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
- 17 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
- 16 / 20 (48%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 16 / 20 (60%) - Achieved a TS of 90+ (Last 5)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Qipco 1000 Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.
Qipco 1000 Guineas Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +100.35 is when runners ran in a Class 3 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-62.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 16 (15,11) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 17 (15,7) [20 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (9,4) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (10,4) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 14 (5,6) [15 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Leopardstown and Maisons-Laffitte, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas despite multiple attempts:
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Shamardal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Billesdon Brook in 2018, winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Sean Levey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival
Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Qipco 1000 Guineas. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the Guineas Festival
The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Newmarket King Charles II Stakes | Boiling Point (IRE) 3yo - 11/8 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 15:00 Newmarket Newmarket Stakes | Caviar Heights (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:35 Newmarket Jockey Club Stakes | Outbox (GB) 9yo - 50/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at the Guineas Festival
Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Newmarket Rowley Handicap Stakes | Desert Cop (GB) 4yo - 22/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:20 Newmarket Suffolk Stakes | Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:55 Newmarket Palace House Stakes | Seven Questions (IRE) 3yo - 33/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:35 Newmarket Qipco 2000 Guineas | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 16/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Sunday at the Guineas Festival
Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Pretty Polly Stakes | Friendly Soul (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:25 Newmarket Dahlia Stakes | Stay Alert (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison David Egan |
| 15:40 Newmarket Qipco 1000 Guineas | Elmalka (GB) 3yo - 28/1 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap Stakes
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap Stakes
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
