Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 5323 Horse Racing

We look at the Qipco 1000 Guineas ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview

The 1000 Guineas is run on the day following the 2000 Guineas at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket in early May. This Group 1 race is open to three-year-old fillies only and is run over a straight mile with all fillies running off a weight of 9-0.

Those holding an official rating of 80+ can enter the race, those without a mark can enter if the handicapper deems their performances good enough. Like the 2000 Guineas, there is a £500k purse with just over £280k going to the winner of the race. This race is only one of two British Classics which is restricted to fillies only with the Epsom Oaks being the other.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Qipco 1000 Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Qipco 1000 Guineas, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.22. Ahead of the 2024 Qipco 1000 Guineas why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Speciosa from Pam Sly under the guidance of Micky Fenton, won in a time of 1:40.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Ghanaati, trained by B W Hills and ridden by Richard Hills set the quickest time of 1:34.22 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2009 - Ghanaati (1:34.22)
  • 2015 - Legatissimo (1:34.60)
  • 2007 - Finsceal Beo (1:34.94)

Qipco 1000 Guineas Past Winners

Here are the Qipco 1000 Guineas past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Qipco 1000 Guineas as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:37.92
Mawj (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (17 of 20) 9/1
Oisin Murphy
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2022
1:36.55
Cachet (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 16/1
James Doyle
George Boughey (GB)
2021
1:36.37
Mother Earth (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 10/1
Frankie Dettori
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
1:35.80
Love (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 4/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
1:36.89
Hermosa (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 15) 14/1
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
1:36.62
Billesdon Brook (GB)
3yo 9-0 (8 of 15) 66/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2017
1:35.66
Winter (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 9/1
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:36.53
Minding (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (8 of 16) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:34.60
Legatissimo (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 13/2
Ryan Moore
David Wachman (IRE)
2014
1:37.40
Miss France (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 17) 7/1
Maxime Guyon
A Fabre (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Qipco 1000 Guineas have been based:

  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 16 placings from 72 runners
  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 24 placings from 230 runners
  • FR: 3 winners with an additional 0 placings from 12 runners
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Qipco 1000 Guineas Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020) and Mother Earth (2021). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, Mick Channon has sent a total of 18 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst John Gosden has sent out 14 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 39-7-15 +43.10 +14.94
Saeed bin Suroor 13-1-3 -3.00 -6.50
Richard Hannon 11-1-3 +56.00 +32.70
J S Bolger 9-1-5 -6.75 -1.72
Mark Johnston 7-1-1 -0.50 -3.25
A Fabre 2-1-1 +6.00 +2.50
George Boughey 1-1-1 +16.00 +9.60
Pam Sly 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
P Bary 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.65
Mick Channon 18-0-0 -18.00 -18.00

Qipco 1000 Guineas Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Homecoming Queen (2012), Legatissimo (2015), Minding (2016) and Love (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Qipco 1000 Guineas are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Wayne Lordan (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, William Buick has ridden a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-4-7 +24.60 +10.84
Frankie Dettori 18-2-4 +10.00 -0.10
Wayne Lordan 6-2-2 +19.00 +9.80
James Doyle 8-1-1 +9.00 +2.60
Oisin Murphy 5-1-1 +5.00 +0.50
Stephane Pasquier 5-1-1 +0.50 -1.75
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 4-1-1 -0.25 -1.35
Sean Levey 2-1-1 +65.00 +38.60
Maxime Guyon 1-1-1 +7.00 +3.50
William Buick 15-0-0 -15.00 -15.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 7, 1, 1, 5, 1, 7, 3, 9, 17, 2, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, (4, 5), 8, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Not on GF/FM/STD-SLW/FS (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Highest Won is not Cl2/Cl3/Cl5/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 5 - 14 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 5 - 14 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5/Cl6 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 66/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2/Cl3/Cl5/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 121 - 128lbs (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (60%) - Within the first 9 of market
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Won by at least 0¾l (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Qipco 1000 Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +101.35 is when runners ran in a Class 3 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-68.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 17 (15,7) [20 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (9,4) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (10,4) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 14 (5,6) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (8,6) [15 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Leopardstown and Maisons-Laffitte, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas:

  • Galileo (4 Wins)
  • Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Fastnet Rock (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Billesdon Brook in 2018, winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Sean Levey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Qipco 1000 Guineas.

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