2022 Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Apr 21, 3:42pm Last Updated: May 2, 5:39pm Horse Racing 1 Comment 3657 Views

2022 Qipco 1000 Guineas Preview

The 1000 Guineas is run on the day following the 2000 Guineas at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket in early May. This Group 1 race is open to three-year-old fillies only and is run over a straight mile with all fillies running off a weight of 9-0.

Those holding an official rating of 80+ can enter the race, those without a mark can enter if the handicapper deems their performances good enough. Like the 2000 Guineas, there is a £500k purse with just over £280k going to the winner of the race. This race is only one of two British Classics which is restricted to fillies only with the Epsom Oaks being the other.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner which holds the record over past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Speciosa from Pam Sly who under the guidance of Micky Fenton, won in a time of 1:40.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Ghanaati, trained by B W Hills and ridden by Richard Hills set the quickest time of 1:34.22 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2009 - Ghanaati (1:34.22)
  • 2015 - Legatissimo (1:34.60)
  • 2007 - Finsceal Beo (1:34.94)

How competitive is the Qipco 1000 Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2003 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Qipco 1000 Guineas, the over-round has been 123% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas next time out then you would have back a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.12. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Qipco 1000 Guineas see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes Past Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Qipco 1000 Guineas as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:36.37
Mother Earth
3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 10/1
Frankie Dettori
A P O'Brien
2020
1:35.80
Love
3yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 4/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2019
1:36.89
Hermosa
3yo 9-0 (4 of 15) 14/1
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien
2018
1:36.62
Billesdon Brook
3yo 9-0 (8 of 15) 66/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon
2017
1:35.66
Winter
3yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 9/1
Wayne Lordan
A P O'Brien
2016
1:36.53
Minding
3yo 9-0 (8 of 16) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2015
1:34.60
Legatissimo
3yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 13/2
Ryan Moore
David Wachman
2014
1:37.40
Miss France
3yo 9-0 (4 of 17) 7/1
Maxime Guyon
A Fabre
2013
1:36.38
Sky Lantern
3yo 9-0 (7 of 15) 9/1
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:40.45
Homecoming Queen
3yo 9-0 (2 of 17) 25/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Qipco 1000 Guineas have been based:

  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 13 placings from 71 runners
  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 25 placings from 234 runners
  • FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020) & Mother Earth (2021). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, Mick Channon has sent a total of 18 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst John Gosden has sent out 15 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 42-7-14 +40.10 +11.04
Saeed bin Suroor 15-1-3 +0.00 -6.00
Richard Hannon 9-1-3 +58.00 +34.70
Sir Michael Stoute 9-1-2 +4.00 -1.50
J S Bolger 9-1-5 -6.75 -1.72
Mark Johnston 7-1-1 -0.50 -3.25
Pam Sly 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
Mick Channon 18-0-0 -18.00 -18.00
John Gosden 15-0-3 -15.00 -13.00
Richard Fahey 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.30

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Qipco 1000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Homecoming Queen (2012), Legatissimo (2015), Minding (2016) & Love (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Qipco 1000 Guineas are Frankie Dettori (3 wins) & Wayne Lordan (2 wins). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Qipco 1000 Guineas, William Buick has had a total of 13 rides to the race without recording any wins whilst Jamie Spencer has had 11 rides without a winner.

Here are some of the top Qipco 1000 Guineas jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 14-4-7 +26.60 +12.84
Frankie Dettori 18-3-4 +25.00 +7.00
Wayne Lordan 6-2-2 +19.00 +9.80
Kevin Manning 8-1-5 -5.75 -0.72
Sean Levey 1-1-1 +66.00 +39.60
William Buick 13-0-0 -13.00 -13.00
Jamie Spencer 11-0-2 -11.00 -8.75
Paul Hanagan 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.30
James Doyle 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00
Jim Crowley 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,8,2,4,2,7,1,1,5,1,7,3,9,17,2,1,2,3,3,3,(4,5)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Last win in a 5-14 runner race
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Beat no further than 5.5l LTO
  • 19 / 20 (64%) - No Bigger than 25/1
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Placed in a Class 1 race
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 18 / 20 (48%) - Within first 7 of the market
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - At least 3 starts on turf
  • 18 / 19 (79%) - No bigger than 14/1 on debut
  • 18 / 19 (80%) - No bigger than 10/1 LTO

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Qipco 1000 Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.

Qipco 1000 Guineas Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +110.35 is when runners ran in a Class 3 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-87.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 2 (10,4) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 14 (5,6) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (8,6) [15 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 8 (5,4) [15 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 7 (9,1) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Maisons-Laffitte and Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Qipco 1000 Guineas:

  • Galileo (4 Wins)
  • Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
  • Kingmambo (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Qipco 1000 Guineas despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Barathea (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Selkirk (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Danehill (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Fastnet Rock (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Billesdon Brook in 2018 when winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Sean Levey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Qipco 1000 Guineas why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

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