You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket Racecourse during the July Festival is the Bahrain Trophy, a Group 3 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old, the race is run over a distance of one mile and five furlongs and can be used as a stepping stone to the St Leger.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Information:
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Bahrain Trophy Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Bahrain Trophy Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Spanish Mission (2:39.96) in 2019
- Kite Wood (2:42.01) in 2009
- Tranquil Tiger (2:42.11) in 2007
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +5.60. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:39.96 was set by Spanish Mission in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by David Simcock and ridden by Jamie Spencer. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Shantaram won in a time of 2:53.07, booked to ride was William Buick by trainer John Gosden.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:42.30 | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 2:49.90 | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo 9-3 (5 of 4) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:47.35 | Castle Way (GB) 3yo 9-3 (6 of 6) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 2:43.17 | Deauville Legend (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 6) 11/2 | Daniel Muscutt James Ferguson (GB) |
| 2021 2:46.77 | Yibir (GB) 3yo 9-1 (3 of 5) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:44.92 | Al Aasy (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 3/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 2:39.96 | Spanish Mission (USA) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 13/2 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2018 2:44.78 | Wells Farhh Go (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 7/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2017 2:44.74 | Raheen House (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 7/2 | Jamie Spencer Brian Meehan (GB) |
| 2016 2:44.39 | Housesofparliament (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 24 placings from 125 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 11 runners
2025 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Replay
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Masked Marvel (2011), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013) and Mr Singh (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and A P O'Brien (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 11-4-4 | +1.35 | -1.85 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-3-4 | +3.50 | +0.65 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-2-5 | -1.12 | -0.47 |
| Andrew Balding | 11-1-2 | +6.00 | +1.60 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-2 | -2.50 | -2.52 |
| William Haggas | 7-1-2 | -3.00 | -2.31 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-2 | -2.00 | -1.49 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.90 |
| James Ferguson | 2-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.44 |
| Tim Easterby | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Donegal (2008), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013), Castle Way (2023) and Ancient Wisdom (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), Ryan Moore (2 wins) and Jamie Spencer (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 11-5-6 | +21.25 | +10.52 |
| Frankie Dettori | 8-3-5 | -0.02 | +0.12 |
| Ryan Moore | 18-2-6 | -10.12 | -8.72 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-2-2 | +5.00 | +1.00 |
| James Doyle | 9-1-3 | -6.50 | -0.95 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.74 |
| Joe Fanning | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.41 |
| David Allan | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -4.00 |
2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 3, 1, 1, (1, 2), 5, 5, (2, 3), 1, 8, 9, 5, 8, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Held an OR of 88+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not Cl3-5
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 7f - 1m3f (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (59%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 3 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Bahrain Trophy Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place in Non-Handicaps, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-36.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (2) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 12 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Epsom; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 13 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes; that stallion is Nathaniel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Donegal in 2008, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Scandinavia Ascot - 5th of 13 (16/1) | Queen's Vase |
| 2024 - Ancient Wisdom Epsom - 8th of 16 (6/1) | Epsom Derby |
| 2023 - Castle Way Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 7 (7/1) | Newmarket Stakes |
| 2022 - Deauville Legend Ascot - 2nd of 19 (14/1) | King George V Stakes |
| 2021 - Yibir Goodwood - 2nd of 6 (10/3) | British Stallion Studs EBF Cocked Hat Stakes |
| 2020 - Al Aasy Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 5 (8/11) | Betway Novice Stakes |
| 2019 - Spanish Mission Goodwood - 2nd of 7 (20/1) | British Stallion Studs EBF Cocked Hat Stakes |
| 2018 - Wells Farhh Go Ascot - 6th of 9 (10/1) | King Edward VII Stakes |
| 2017 - Raheen House Ascot - 4th of 12 (25/1) | King Edward VII Stakes |
| 2016 - Housesofparliament Ascot - 4th of 9 (16/1) | King Edward VII Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| July Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 18/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| bet365 Sprint Handicap | Prince Of India (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Marco Botti Marco Ghiani |
| Princess of Wales's Stakes | El Cordobes (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 Handicap | Kings Charter (IRE) 3yo - 9/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Venetian Sun (IRE) 2yo - 2/5 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap | Oneforthegutter (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Ian Williams Silvestre De Sousa |
| Falmouth Stakes | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo - 5/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bunbury Cup | More Thunder (IRE) 4yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| bet365 Mile Handicap | Fifth Column (IRE) 3yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Ryan Moore |
| Superlative Stakes | Saba Desert (GB) 2yo - 6/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Cup | No Half Measures (GB) 4yo - 66/1 | Richard Hughes Neil Callan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
