Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 721 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, a race run over 1m5f at Newmarket during the July Festival.

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket Racecourse during the July Festival is the Bahrain Trophy, a Group 3 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old, the race is run over a distance of one mile and five furlongs and can be used as a stepping stone to the St Leger.

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Bahrain Trophy Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.60. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Bahrain Trophy Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Spanish Mission, trained by David Simcock and ridden by Jamie Spencer who set the fastest winning time in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:39.96 when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam and jockey Alan Munro with Mr Vegas who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:19.23 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Spanish Mission (2:39.96) in 2019
  2. Kite Wood (2:42.01) in 2009
  3. Tranquil Tiger (2:42.11) in 2007
What the expert says...
Royal Ascot runners coming here overall have a decent record for producing the winner of this race and the King Edward VII Stakes is a race which has excelled having produced five winners since 2006 including four on the bounce between 2015 & 2018.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Bahrain Trophy Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
2:47.35
Castle Way (GB)
3yo 9-3 (6 of 6) 9/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
2:43.17
Deauville Legend (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (3 of 6) 11/2
Daniel Muscutt
James Ferguson (GB)
2021
2:46.77
Yibir (GB)
3yo 9-1 (3 of 5) 6/4F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
2:44.92
Al Aasy (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 3/1
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2019
2:39.96
Spanish Mission (USA)
3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 13/2
Jamie Spencer
David Simcock (GB)
2018
2:44.78
Wells Farhh Go (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 7/1
David Allan
Tim Easterby (GB)
2017
2:44.74
Raheen House (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 7/2
Jamie Spencer
Brian Meehan (GB)
2016
2:44.39
Housesofparliament (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:42.99
Mr Singh (GB)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 11/10F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2014
2:46.29
Hartnell (GB)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 9/4
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 23 placings from 127 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 8 runners

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Yibir (2021) and Castle Way (2023).

Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby6-2-3+2.00+0.65
Andrew Balding9-1-2+8.00+2.60
A P O'Brien7-1-4-1.50-1.33
William Haggas6-1-2-2.00-2.31

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Donegal (2008), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013) and Castle Way (2023).

Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick10-4-5+19.75+10.52
Ryan Moore16-1-5-10.50-9.58
James Doyle8-1-3-5.50-0.95
Oisin Murphy3-0-0-3.00-3.00

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.29 is when runners had 1 career place on the going. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place in Non-Handicap, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (1) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (7) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (6,5) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 121 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 14 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes:

  • Galileo (4 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
  • Montjeu (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, that stallion is Nathaniel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Donegal in 2008, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2024 renewal of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes which will be run at 1:50 pm on Thursday 11th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Space Legend (9/4)
    • William Haggas (6-1-2 -2.00 / -2.31)
    • James Doyle (8-1-3 -5.50 / -0.95)
  • 14/15 Portland (6/1)
    • A P O'Brien (7-1-4 -1.50 / -1.33)
    • Ryan Moore (16-1-5 -10.50 / -9.58)
  • 14/15 Ancient Wisdom (5/4)
    • Charlie Appleby (6-2-3 +2.00 / +0.65)
    • William Buick (10-4-5 +19.75 / +10.52)
  • 13/15 Royal Supremacy (11/2)
    • Andrew Balding (9-1-2 +8.00 / +2.60)
    • Oisin Murphy (3-0-0 -3.00 / -3.00)
  • 12/15 Kinesiology (16/1)
    • Mrs John Harrington (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • Shane Foley (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:35 pm Tuesday 9th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the Bahrain Trophy Stakes trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 Bahrain Trophy Stakes based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 2 scorers at the time of posting (1:35 pm Tuesday 9th July 2024):

  • 🥇 Ancient Wisdom (5/4)
    • Charlie Appleby (6-2-3 +2.00 / +0.65)
    • William Buick (10-4-5 +19.75 / +10.52)
  • 🥈 Portland (6/1)
    • A P O'Brien (7-1-4 -1.50 / -1.33)
    • Ryan Moore (16-1-5 -10.50 / -9.58)

Others: Royal Supremacy, Space Legend and Kinesiology.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 9/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Jasour (GB)
2yo - 16/1
Clive Cox
Jim Crowley
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Quinault (GER)
3yo - 4/1
Stuart Williams
Connor Planas
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Israr (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
Charlie Johnston
Kevin Stott
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo - 5/1
Dominic Ffrench Davis
Kevin Stott
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Nashwa (GB)
4yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Hollie Doyle

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
Highbank (IRE)
3yo - 11/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo - 4/6
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Biggles (GB)
6yo - 5/1
Ralph Beckett
Ryan Moore
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Shaquille (GB)
3yo - 5/2
Julie Camacho
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!