You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket Racecourse during the July Festival is the Bahrain Trophy, a Group 3 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old.
The race is run over a distance of one mile and five furlongs and, since 2009, has held Group 3 status. This can be used as a stepping stone to the St Leger.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Information:
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Bahrain Trophy Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Bahrain Trophy Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Spanish Mission (2:39.96) in 2019
- Kite Wood (2:42.01) in 2009
- Tranquil Tiger (2:42.11) in 2007
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -2.40. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Spanish Mission, trained by David Simcock and ridden by Jamie Spencer, who set the fastest winning time in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:39.96 in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John Gosden and jockey William Buick with Shantaram who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:53.07 in the 2012 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:45.11 | Point Of Law (GB) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 5) 5/2 | James Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2025 2:42.30 | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 2:49.90 | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo 9-3 (5 of 4) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:47.35 | Castle Way (GB) 3yo 9-3 (6 of 6) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 2:43.17 | Deauville Legend (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 6) 11/2 | Daniel Muscutt James Ferguson (GB) |
| 2021 2:46.77 | Yibir (GB) 3yo 9-1 (3 of 5) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:44.92 | Al Aasy (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 3/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 2:39.96 | Spanish Mission (USA) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 13/2 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2018 2:44.78 | Wells Farhh Go (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 7/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2017 2:44.74 | Raheen House (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 7/2 | Jamie Spencer Brian Meehan (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 24 placings from 124 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 12 runners
2026 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Replay
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Masked Marvel (2011), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013) and Mr Singh (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and A P O'Brien (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 11-4-4 | +1.35 | -1.85 |
| Charlie Appleby | 8-3-4 | +2.50 | -0.35 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-2-5 | -1.12 | -0.47 |
| Andrew Balding | 12-1-3 | +5.00 | +1.47 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-2 | -2.50 | -2.52 |
| William Haggas | 7-1-2 | -3.00 | -2.31 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-2 | -2.00 | -1.49 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.90 |
| James Ferguson | 2-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.44 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.56 |
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Donegal (2008), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013), Castle Way (2023) and Ancient Wisdom (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), James Doyle (2 wins) and Jamie Spencer (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 12-5-6 | +20.25 | +9.52 |
| Ryan Moore | 19-2-6 | -11.12 | -9.72 |
| James Doyle | 10-2-4 | -4.00 | +0.61 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-2-2 | +5.00 | +1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.74 |
| Joe Fanning | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.41 |
| David Allan | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.13 |
| Neil Callan | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, 1, (1, 2), 5, 5, (2, 3), 1, 8, 9, 5, 8, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, 1, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Carried 126 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 91+
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 123 - 134lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not Cl3-5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
- 19 / 20 (59%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (64%) - Held an OR of 89+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Bahrain Trophy Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place in Non-Handicap; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-35.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 3 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 12 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Epsom; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 13 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes; that stallion is Nathaniel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Donegal in 2008, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Bahrain Trophy Stakes, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Point Of Law Ascot - 4th of 11 (7/1) | Queen's Vase |
| 2025 - Scandinavia Ascot - 5th of 13 (16/1) | Queen's Vase |
| 2024 - Ancient Wisdom Epsom - 8th of 16 (6/1) | Epsom Derby |
| 2023 - Castle Way Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 7 (7/1) | Newmarket Stakes |
| 2022 - Deauville Legend Ascot - 2nd of 19 (14/1) | King George V Stakes |
| 2021 - Yibir Goodwood - 2nd of 6 (10/3) | British Stallion Studs EBF Cocked Hat Stakes |
| 2020 - Al Aasy Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 5 (8/11) | Betway Novice Stakes |
| 2019 - Spanish Mission Goodwood - 2nd of 7 (20/1) | British Stallion Studs EBF Cocked Hat Stakes |
| 2018 - Wells Farhh Go Ascot - 6th of 9 (10/1) | King Edward VII Stakes |
| 2017 - Raheen House Ascot - 4th of 12 (25/1) | King Edward VII Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Point Of Law (GB) 3yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
| July Stakes | Inner City Blues (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Festival Sprint Handicap | Jazl (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Jack Mitchell |
| Princess of Wales's Stakes | Rebels Romance (IRE) 8yo - 8/11 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| July Festival Handicap | Heraldry (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Senorita Bonita (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| Betway Trophy | Valedictory (GB) 4yo - 7/2 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Falmouth Stakes | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo - 85/40 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Handicap Stakes | St Anton (IRE) 3yo - 10/1 | Richard Hannon Pat Dobbs |
| Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | Ian Williams William Buick |
| Superlative Stakes | Al Hudaiba (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Cup | Comanche Brave (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Billy Loughnane |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- 2000 Guineas
- Palace House Stakes
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- 1000 Guineas
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
