You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Falmouth Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Falmouth Stakes, a Group 1 race that is open to fillies and mares only that are aged three or older. The race is run over a straight mile where three-year-old runners receive a nine-pound weight allowance, running off 8-12 vs the 9-7 carried by the older runners.
The race was established in 1911 when it was originally restricted to three-year-old runners only. The race is named after Evelyn Boscawen, who was the 6th Viscount Falmouth and best known for his breeding of racehorses, which included twice being a winning breeder of the Epsom Derby.
Falmouth Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Falmouth Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Falmouth Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Falmouth Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Falmouth Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Falmouth Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Alice Springs (1:34.42) in 2016
- Veracious (1:35.89) in 2019
- Snow Lantern (1:35.93) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Falmouth Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.60. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Falmouth Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Giofra from A De Royer-Dupre under the guidance of Christophe Soumillon, won in a time of 1:42.14, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Alice Springs, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:34.42 in the 2016 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Falmouth Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Falmouth Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Falmouth Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:37.89 | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo 9-9 (4 of 8) 5/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:37.68 | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 10/11F | Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:39.52 | Nashwa (GB) 4yo 9-9 (4 of 8) 4/1 | Hollie Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:36.03 | Prosperous Voyage (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 16/1 | Rob Hornby Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2021 1:35.93 | Snow Lantern (GB) 3yo 8-12 (13 of 13) 6/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.14 | Nazeef (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 9/2 | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.89 | Veracious (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.45 | Alpha Centauri (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 7) 4/9F | Colm O'Donoghue Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2017 1:36.01 | Roly Poly (USA) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:34.42 | Alice Springs (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (4 of 7) 5/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Falmouth Stakes have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 22 placings from 110 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 2 placings from 25 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Falmouth Stakes Replay
Falmouth Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with John Gosden, A P O'Brien, and Sir Michael Stoute having all won the race two times. John Gosden winners have been with Elusive Kate (2013) and Nazeef (2020). A P O'Brien winners have been with Alice Springs (2016) and Roly Poly (2017). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Integral (2014) and Veracious (2019).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 13-2-5 | -3.50 | -3.59 |
| A P O'Brien | 10-2-4 | -4.00 | -3.85 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 7-2-4 | +2.88 | +2.03 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 7-1-3 | -2.00 | -2.08 |
| Ralph Beckett | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +9.05 |
| David O'Meara | 3-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.31 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.85 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.37 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 2-1-1 | +9.00 | +6.00 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 2-1-1 | -0.09 | -0.43 |
Falmouth Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Integral (2014), Alice Springs (2016), Roly Poly (2017) and Porta Fortuna (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Falmouth Stakes is William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-4-8 | -4.21 | -3.00 |
| William Buick | 10-2-3 | -2.50 | -5.63 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-1-5 | +0.00 | +4.27 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-4 | +4.50 | +5.98 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -1.19 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Rob Hornby | 2-1-2 | +15.00 | +10.05 |
| Sean Levey | 2-1-2 | +5.00 | +4.85 |
2026 Falmouth Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 2, 9, 2, 1, 6, 6, 1, 1, 3, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Ran in 4 - 12 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Not on GS/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No more than +1yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 120 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Sex is Filly
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No older than a 4yo
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 4 - 10 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in DEU/IRL/SCO/SGP/UAE/USA (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (74%) - Held an OR of 108+
- 19 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 6 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Falmouth Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Falmouth Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Falmouth Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +94.91, is when runners were drawn in stall 4.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Mares, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-28.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 4 (1,6) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,8) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 13 (8,9) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Falmouth Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Falmouth Stakes:
- Frankel (3 Wins)
- Mastercraftsman (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Falmouth Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rajeem in 2006, winning for Clive Brittain at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Kerrin McEvoy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Falmouth Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Falmouth Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Falmouth Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Cinderellas Dream Ascot - 2nd of 7 (5/4) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2024 - Porta Fortuna Ascot - 1st of 9 (7/2) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2023 - Nashwa Newcastle (AW) - 2nd of 9 (8/11) | JenningsBet In Shiremoor Hoppings Fillies Stakes |
| 2022 - Prosperous Voyage Ascot - 10th of 12 (11/1) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2021 - Snow Lantern Ascot - 2nd of 11 (14/1) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2020 - Nazeef Ascot - 1st of 10 (10/3) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2019 - Veracious Ascot - 4th of 17 (8/1) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2018 - Alpha Centauri Ascot - 1st of 12 (11/4) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2017 - Roly Poly Ascot - 2nd of 7 (12/1) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2016 - Alice Springs Ascot - 3rd of 13 (8/1) | Coronation Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Falmouth Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| July Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 18/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| bet365 Sprint Handicap | Prince Of India (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Marco Botti Marco Ghiani |
| Princess of Wales's Stakes | El Cordobes (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 Handicap | Kings Charter (IRE) 3yo - 9/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Venetian Sun (IRE) 2yo - 2/5 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap | Oneforthegutter (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Ian Williams Silvestre De Sousa |
| Falmouth Stakes | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo - 5/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bunbury Cup | More Thunder (IRE) 4yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| bet365 Mile Handicap | Fifth Column (IRE) 3yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Ryan Moore |
| Superlative Stakes | Saba Desert (GB) 2yo - 6/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Cup | No Half Measures (GB) 4yo - 66/1 | Richard Hughes Neil Callan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Falmouth Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
