You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Falmouth Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Falmouth Stakes, a Group 1 race that is open to fillies and mares only that are aged three or older, with the race being run over a straight mile.
The race was established in 1911 when it was originally restricted to three-year-old runners only. The race is named after Evelyn Boscawen, who was the 6th Viscount Falmouth and best known for his breeding of racehorses, which included twice being a winning breeder of the Epsom Derby.
Falmouth Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Falmouth Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009, when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Falmouth Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Falmouth Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Falmouth Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Falmouth Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Alice Springs (1:34.42) in 2016
- Veracious (1:35.89) in 2019
- Snow Lantern (1:35.93) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Falmouth Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.60. Ahead of the 2027 Falmouth Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:34.42 was set by Alice Springs in 2016, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Giofra won in a time of 1:42.14 for trainer A De Royer-Dupre, who booked Christophe Soumillon in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Falmouth Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Falmouth Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Falmouth Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:37.38 | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo 9-9 (5 of 7) 85/40 | Colin Keane Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2025 1:37.89 | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo 9-9 (4 of 8) 5/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:37.68 | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 10/11F | Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:39.52 | Nashwa (GB) 4yo 9-9 (4 of 8) 4/1 | Hollie Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:36.03 | Prosperous Voyage (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 16/1 | Rob Hornby Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2021 1:35.93 | Snow Lantern (GB) 3yo 8-12 (13 of 13) 6/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.14 | Nazeef (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 9/2 | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.89 | Veracious (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.45 | Alpha Centauri (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 7) 4/9F | Colm O'Donoghue Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2017 1:36.01 | Roly Poly (USA) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Falmouth Stakes have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 21 placings from 106 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 29 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Falmouth Stakes Replay
Falmouth Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with John Gosden, A P O'Brien, and Sir Michael Stoute having all won the race twice. John Gosden's winners have been Elusive Kate (2013) and Nazeef (2020). A P O'Brien winners have been with Alice Springs (2016) and Roly Poly (2017). Sir Michael Stoute's winners have been with Integral (2014) and Veracious (2019).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 12-2-4 | -2.50 | -3.34 |
| A P O'Brien | 12-2-5 | -6.00 | -5.25 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 6-2-4 | +3.88 | +3.03 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 7-1-3 | -2.00 | -2.08 |
| Andrew Balding | 4-1-2 | -0.87 | -0.92 |
| Ralph Beckett | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +9.05 |
| David O'Meara | 3-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.31 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.85 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.37 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 3-1-1 | -1.09 | -1.43 |
Falmouth Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Integral (2014), Alice Springs (2016), Roly Poly (2017) and Porta Fortuna (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Falmouth Stakes is William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-4-9 | -4.21 | -2.40 |
| William Buick | 11-2-3 | -3.50 | -6.63 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-4 | +4.50 | +5.98 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -1.19 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.85 |
| Rob Hornby | 2-1-2 | +15.00 | +10.05 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
2027 Falmouth Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 3, 1, 5, 2, 9, 2, 1, 6, 6, 1, 1, 3, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1, 2, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Ran in 4 - 12 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Held an OR of 108+
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 120 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No more than +1yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Sex is Filly
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No older than a 4yo
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on GS/FM/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Falmouth Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Falmouth Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Falmouth Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Falmouth Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Falmouth Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +15.36, is when runners ran in England when last winning.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Mares; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-26.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 5 (3) [7 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 4 (1,6) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,8) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Falmouth Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 15 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Falmouth Stakes:
- Frankel (3 Wins)
- Mastercraftsman (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Falmouth Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Prosperous Voyage in 2022, winning for Ralph Beckett at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Rob Hornby. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Falmouth Stakes.
Route to the Falmouth Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Falmouth Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Blue Bolt Ascot - 1st of 15 (5/2) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2025 - Cinderellas Dream Ascot - 2nd of 7 (5/4) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2024 - Porta Fortuna Ascot - 1st of 9 (7/2) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2023 - Nashwa Newcastle (AW) - 2nd of 9 (8/11) | JenningsBet In Shiremoor Hoppings Fillies Stakes |
| 2022 - Prosperous Voyage Ascot - 10th of 12 (11/1) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2021 - Snow Lantern Ascot - 2nd of 11 (14/1) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2020 - Nazeef Ascot - 1st of 10 (10/3) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2019 - Veracious Ascot - 4th of 17 (8/1) | Duke of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2018 - Alpha Centauri Ascot - 1st of 12 (11/4) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2017 - Roly Poly Ascot - 2nd of 7 (12/1) | Coronation Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Falmouth Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Point Of Law (GB) 3yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
| July Stakes | Inner City Blues (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Festival Sprint Handicap | Jazl (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Jack Mitchell |
| Princess of Wales's Stakes | Rebels Romance (IRE) 8yo - 8/11 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| July Festival Handicap | Heraldry (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Senorita Bonita (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| Betway Trophy | Valedictory (GB) 4yo - 7/2 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Falmouth Stakes | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo - 85/40 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Handicap Stakes | St Anton (IRE) 3yo - 10/1 | Richard Hannon Pat Dobbs |
| Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | Ian Williams William Buick |
| Superlative Stakes | Al Hudaiba (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Cup | Comanche Brave (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Billy Loughnane |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Falmouth Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- 2000 Guineas
- Palace House Stakes
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- 1000 Guineas
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
