Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Falmouth Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Falmouth Stakes, a Group 1 race that is open to fillies and mares only that are aged three or older. The race is run over a straight mile where three-year-old runners receive a nine-pound weight allowance, running off 8-12 vs the 9-7 carried by the older runners.
The race was established in 1911 when it was originally restricted to three-year-old runners only, the race is named after Evelyn Boscawen who was the 6th Viscount Falmouth and best known for his breeding of racehorses which included twice a winning breeder of the Epsom Derby.
Falmouth Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Falmouth Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Falmouth Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Falmouth Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Falmouth Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Falmouth Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.35. Ahead of the 2025 Falmouth Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Alice Springs, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Falmouth Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:34.42 when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A De Royer-Dupre and jockey Christophe Soumillon with Giofra who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:42.14 in the 2012 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Alice Springs (1:34.42) in 2016
- Veracious (1:35.89) in 2019
- Snow Lantern (1:35.93) in 2021
What the expert says...
Two races have been responsible for fourteen of the last twenty winners, both run at Royal Ascot and those are the Coronation Stakes (x9) and the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (x5). Overall, Royal Ascot has supplied eleven of the last twelve winners.Falmouth Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Falmouth Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Falmouth Stakes and the jockey are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:37.68 | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 10/11F | Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:39.52 | Nashwa (GB) 4yo 9-9 (4 of 8) 4/1 | Hollie Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:36.03 | Prosperous Voyage (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 5) 16/1 | Rob Hornby Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2021 1:35.93 | Snow Lantern (GB) 3yo 8-12 (13 of 13) 6/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.14 | Nazeef (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 9/2 | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.89 | Veracious (GB) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 6) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.45 | Alpha Centauri (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 7) 4/9F | Colm O'Donoghue Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2017 1:36.01 | Roly Poly (USA) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:34.42 | Alice Springs (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (4 of 7) 5/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:42.05 | Amazing Maria (IRE) 4yo 9-7 (4 of 7) 17/2 | James Doyle David O'Meara (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Falmouth Stakes have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 21 placings from 111 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 2 placings from 24 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Falmouth Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals with John Gosden, A P O'Brien and Sir Michael Stoute having all won the race two times. John Gosden winners have been with Elusive Kate (2013) and Nazeef (2020). A P O'Brien winners have been with Alice Springs (2016) and Roly Poly (2017). Sir Michael Stoute's winners have been with Integral (2014) and Veracious (2019).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 14-2-5 | -4.50 | -4.59 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-2-3 | -3.00 | -3.50 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 8-2-4 | +1.88 | +1.03 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.08 |
| James Fanshawe | 5-1-3 | -2.25 | -0.46 |
| Ralph Beckett | 4-1-2 | +13.00 | +8.05 |
| David O'Meara | 3-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.31 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.85 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 2-1-1 | +9.00 | +6.00 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 1-1-1 | +0.91 | +0.57 |
Falmouth Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Falmouth Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Integral (2014), Alice Springs (2016), Roly Poly (2017) and Porta Fortuna (2024).
Here are some of the top Falmouth Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 14-4-7 | -3.21 | -2.65 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-1-5 | +0.00 | +4.27 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -5.00 | -7.13 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-3 | +5.50 | +5.98 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.19 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Oisin Murphy | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2-1-1 | +49.00 | +30.25 |
| Rob Hornby | 2-1-2 | +15.00 | +10.05 |
2025 Falmouth Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 2, 9, 2, 1, 6, 6, 1, 1, 3, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 120 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 7 - 15 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in DEU/IRL/SCO/SGP/UAE/USA (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 4 - 10 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 4 - 16 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (74%) - Held an OR of 108+
- 19 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No more than +1yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No older than a 4yo
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Falmouth Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Falmouth Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Falmouth Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +71.19 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places in Non-Handicaps, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,8) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 13 (8,9) [13 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Falmouth Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 14 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Falmouth Stakes:
- Frankel (3 Wins)
- Mastercraftsman (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Falmouth Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Rajeem in 2006, winning for Clive Brittain at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Kerrin McEvoy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Falmouth Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Falmouth Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the July Festival
The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:25 Newmarket July Stakes | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Sprint Handicap | Sergeant Wilko (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Princess of Wales's Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at the July Festival
Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket bet365 Handicap | Involvement (GB) 3yo - 100/30 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Newmarket Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Arabian Dusk (GB) 2yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| 15:35 Newmarket Falmouth Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Sunday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:50 Newmarket bet365 Mile Handicap | First Conquest (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:25 Newmarket Superlative Stakes | Ancient Truth (IRE) 2yo - 4/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:00 Newmarket Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 4yo - 15/2 | Ian Williams Rossa Ryan |
| 16:35 Newmarket July Cup | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Falmouth Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
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