You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 July Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse is the July Stakes, a Group 2 horse race that is open to two-year-old colts and geldings only, with the race being run over a distance of six furlongs. The Duchess of Cambridge race, which is run on the following day, is the fillies' equivalent of the race.
July Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the July Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2026, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the July Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 July Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the July Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run July Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Arcano (1:10.53) in 2009
- Lusail (1:10.57) in 2021
- Zavateri (1:10.80) in 2025
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the July Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +12.63. Whilst we wait for the 2027 July Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Arcano, trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Martin Dwyer, who set the fastest winning time in the July Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:10.53 in 2009. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon Snr and jockey Paul Hanagan with Alhebayeb who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:14.39 in the 2012 renewal.
July Stakes Past Winners
Here are the July Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the July Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:11.35 | Inner City Blues (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 3) 5/6F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2025 1:10.80 | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (4 of 6) 18/1 | Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB) |
| 2024 1:12.17 | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 11/10F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:11.11 | Jasour (GB) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 9) 16/1 | Jim Crowley Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2022 1:11.18 | Persian Force (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 7) 1/2F | Rossa Ryan Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.57 | Lusail (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 11) 15/2 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 1:12.42 | Tactical (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 5/2 | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.16 | Royal Lytham (FR) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 7) 11/1 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 1:11.63 | Advertise (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/10F | Frankie Dettori Martyn Meade (GB) |
| 2017 1:11.75 | Cardsharp (GB) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 12) 8/1 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the July Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 28 placings from 155 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 14 runners
2026 July Stakes Replay
July Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the July Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Richard Hannon, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Ivawood (2014), Mehmas (2016), Lusail (2021) and Persian Force (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the July Stakes is A P O'Brien (2 wins).
Here are some of the top July Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 8-4-4 | +9.75 | +4.26 |
| A P O'Brien | 13-2-4 | +1.10 | -0.73 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-3 | -4.25 | +4.18 |
| Tom Dascombe | 6-1-3 | +1.00 | +4.20 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-1-1 | -1.50 | -2.50 |
| Charlie Appleby | 5-1-1 | -3.17 | -4.00 |
| Clive Cox | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +9.10 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.40 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 2-1-2 | +17.00 | +11.56 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 2-1-2 | +1.75 | +1.52 |
July Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the July Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Ryan Moore and William Buick having won the race twice. Ryan Moore's winners have been with Libranno (2010) and Whistlejacket (2024). William Buick's winners have been with Tactical (2020) and Inner City Blues (2026).
Here are some of the top July Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-2-5 | -4.90 | -5.67 |
| William Buick | 8-2-2 | -2.67 | -4.50 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-3 | +1.00 | +2.38 |
| Richard Kingscote | 6-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.30 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| Charles Bishop | 2-1-2 | +17.00 | +11.56 |
| Robert Havlin | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.88 |
| Pat Dobbs | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.50 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1-1-1 | +0.50 | +0.31 |
2027 July Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, 3, 2, 4, 4, 1, (2, 4, 6), 1, 4, 1, 3, 4, (5, 10), 1, 6, 1, 5, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 18/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 11 - 66 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 11 - 40 days
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 28/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 2 races (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (72%) - Placed within last 1 start
- 18 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 85+ (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (66%) - Achieved an RPR of 85+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the July Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the July Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 July Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the July Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
July Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.08, is when the runner's last win was 1 start ago.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 starts in the past 30 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-21.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 3 [3 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 4 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (7,5) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the July Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 10 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the July Stakes; that stallion, Mehmas, has produced 2 winners (2022,2021).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the July Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Zavateri in 2025, winning for Eve Johnson Houghton at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of Charles Bishop. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 July Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the July Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the July Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Inner City Blues York - 1st of 7 (4/9) | Tomahawk Restaurants Supporting Macmillan EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2025 - Zavateri Salisbury - 1st of 9 (11/2) | Clive Cox Racing British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes |
| 2024 - Whistlejacket Ascot - 4th of 13 (10/11) | Norfolk Stakes |
| 2023 - Jasour Nottingham - 1st of 8 (8/11) | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2022 - Persian Force Ascot - 2nd of 17 (3/1) | Coventry Stakes |
| 2021 - Lusail Newmarket (July) - 1st of 12 (7/2) | Betstival Season At MansionBet British EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2020 - Tactical Ascot - 1st of 18 (7/2) | Windsor Castle Stakes |
| 2019 - Royal Lytham Ascot - 7th of 17 (16/1) | Coventry Stakes |
| 2018 - Advertise Ascot - 2nd of 23 (10/1) | Coventry Stakes |
| 2017 - Cardsharp Ascot - 3rd of 17 (8/1) | Norfolk Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Point Of Law (GB) 3yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
| July Stakes | Inner City Blues (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Festival Sprint Handicap | Jazl (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Jack Mitchell |
| Princess of Wales's Stakes | Rebels Romance (IRE) 8yo - 8/11 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| July Festival Handicap | Heraldry (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Senorita Bonita (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| Betway Trophy | Valedictory (GB) 4yo - 7/2 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Falmouth Stakes | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo - 85/40 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Handicap Stakes | St Anton (IRE) 3yo - 10/1 | Richard Hannon Pat Dobbs |
| Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | Ian Williams William Buick |
| Superlative Stakes | Al Hudaiba (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| July Cup | Comanche Brave (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Billy Loughnane |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this July Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- 2000 Guineas
- Palace House Stakes
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- 1000 Guineas
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
