Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 July Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse is the July Stakes, a Group 2 horse race that is open to two-year-old colts and geldings only with the race being run over a distance of six furlongs, the Duchess of Cambridge race that is run on the following day is the fillies equivalent of the race.
July Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the July Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the July Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
July Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the July Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +10.63. Before placing your bet on the 2025 July Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Arcano, trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Martin Dwyer who set the fastest winning time in the July Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:10.53 when winning the race in 2009. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon Snr and jockey Paul Hanagan with Alhebayeb who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:14.39 in the 2012 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run July Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Arcano (1:10.53) in 2009
- Lusail (1:10.57) in 2021
- Mehmas (1:10.92) in 2016
What the expert says...
Seven of the last nine winners ran at Royal Ascot last time out with four of those running in the Coventry, three of which finished runner-up in the Coventry before coming and winning the July Stakes.July Stakes Past Winners
Here are the July Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the July Stakes and the jockey are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:12.17 | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 11/10F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:11.11 | Jasour (GB) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 9) 16/1 | Jim Crowley Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2022 1:11.18 | Persian Force (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 7) 1/2F | Rossa Ryan Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.57 | Lusail (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 11) 15/2 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 1:12.42 | Tactical (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 5/2 | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.16 | Royal Lytham (FR) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 7) 11/1 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 1:11.63 | Advertise (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/10F | Frankie Dettori Martyn Meade (GB) |
| 2017 1:11.75 | Cardsharp (GB) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 12) 8/1 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 1:10.92 | Mehmas (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 11/4F | Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2015 1:11.19 | Shalaa (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 14/1 | Robert Havlin John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the July Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 31 placings from 166 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 14 runners
July Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the July Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Richard Hannon who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Ivawood (2014), Mehmas (2016), Lusail (2021) and Persian Force (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the July Stakes is A P O'Brien (3 wins).
Here are some of the top July Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 8-4-4 | +9.75 | +4.26 |
| A P O'Brien | 13-3-5 | +5.60 | +2.37 |
| Brian Meehan | 9-1-4 | -6.25 | +3.08 |
| Tom Dascombe | 6-1-3 | +1.00 | +4.20 |
| Andrew Balding | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.50 |
| Clive Cox | 3-1-2 | +14.00 | +9.10 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.40 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 3-1-2 | +0.75 | +0.52 |
| David Brown | 2-1-1 | +0.75 | +0.09 |
| Martyn Meade | 1-1-1 | +1.10 | +0.66 |
July Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the July Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Libranno (2010) and Whistlejacket (2024). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Mehmas (2016) and Advertise (2018).
Here are some of the top July Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 19-2-5 | -5.90 | -6.67 |
| Frankie Dettori | 10-2-3 | -4.15 | -4.77 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-3 | +1.00 | +2.38 |
| Richard Kingscote | 6-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.30 |
| William Buick | 6-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.50 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| Robert Havlin | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.88 |
| Pat Dobbs | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.50 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1-1-1 | +0.50 | +0.31 |
2025 July Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 7, 1, 3, 1, 3, 2, 4, 4, 1, (2, 4, 6), 1, 4, 1, 3, 4, (5, 10), 1, 6, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 11 - 66 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 2 races (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Off a break of 11 - 40 days
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 28/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the July Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the July Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
July Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.35 is when runners had 2 season starts. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 starts in the past 30 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (7,5) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (4) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (10,11) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 6 (9,8) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the July Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the July Stakes, that stallion Mehmas has produced 2 winners (2022,2021).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the July Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Jasour in 2023, winning for Clive Cox at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 July Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the July Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the July Festival
The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:25 Newmarket July Stakes | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Sprint Handicap | Sergeant Wilko (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Princess of Wales's Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at the July Festival
Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket bet365 Handicap | Involvement (GB) 3yo - 100/30 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Newmarket Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Arabian Dusk (GB) 2yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| 15:35 Newmarket Falmouth Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Sunday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:50 Newmarket bet365 Mile Handicap | First Conquest (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:25 Newmarket Superlative Stakes | Ancient Truth (IRE) 2yo - 4/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:00 Newmarket Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 4yo - 15/2 | Ian Williams Rossa Ryan |
| 16:35 Newmarket July Cup | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this July Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
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