Pretty Polly Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 499 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Pretty Polly Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival with the race being run over a distance of 1m2f, see which trends the past winners of the Pretty Polly Stakes have set for this year.

Pretty Polly Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Pretty Polly Stakes Preview

Not to be confused with the Irish Pretty Polly Stakes which is run at the Curragh, this Pretty Polly Stakes is a listed race run at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival and is restricted to three-year-old fillies only and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs.

Keep an eye on any fillies who perform well in this race and then head to the Epsom Oaks, in 2014, Taghrooda won this race and then went on to win the Epsom Oaks too.

Pretty Polly Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Pretty Polly Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Pretty Polly Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Pretty Polly Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Pretty Polly Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +14.17. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Pretty Polly Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the John Gosden trained Run Wild ridden by Oisin Murphy who set the fastest winning time in the Pretty Polly Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:01.87 was set when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Mick Kinane with Riyalma who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:10.34 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Pretty Polly Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2020 - Run Wild (2:01.87)
  • 2009 - Take The Hint (2:01.93)
  • 2022 - With The Moonlight (2:02.57)

Pretty Polly Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Pretty Polly Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Pretty Polly Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:05.86
Running Lion (GB)
3yo 9-2 (1 of 9) 100/30
Oisin Murphy
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
2:02.57
With The Moonlight (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 3/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:05.19
Mystery Angel (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 13/2
Ben Curtis
George Boughey (GB)
2020
2:01.87
Run Wild (GER)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/2
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden (GB)
2019
2:05.23
Maqsad (FR)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 5/4F
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2018
2:04.26
Lah Ti Dar (GB)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:04.60
Horseplay (GB)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 11/2
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2016
2:05.40
Swiss Range (GB)
3yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 6/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2015
2:03.50
Jazzi Top (GB)
3yo 9-0 (10 of 9) 5/2
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2014
2:05.68
Taghrooda (GB)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 1/1F
Paul Hanagan
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Pretty Polly Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 147 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners

Pretty Polly Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Pretty Polly Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Take The Hint (2009), Taghrooda (2014), Jazzi Top (2015), Swiss Range (2016), Lah Ti Dar (2018) and Run Wild (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Pretty Polly Stakes is Ed Dunlop (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Pretty Polly Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 15-6-7 +10.00 +3.46
Ed Dunlop 4-2-2 +2.50 +0.76
Charlie Appleby 10-1-2 -6.00 -5.62
Ralph Beckett 7-1-6 +5.00 +7.24
Mark Johnston 5-1-1 -0.50 -1.90
William Haggas 5-1-3 -2.75 -1.62
Sir Michael Stoute 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.81
John & Thady Gosden 4-1-2 +0.33 +0.70
William Muir 3-1-1 +5.00 +2.38
Andrew Balding 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.44

Pretty Polly Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Pretty Polly Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Marie De Medici (2010), Jazzi Top (2015), Swiss Range (2016) and Lah Ti Dar (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Pretty Polly Stakes are Jim Crowley (2 wins), Paul Hanagan (2 wins) and Oisin Murphy (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Pretty Polly Stakes, Ryan Moore has ridden a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Pretty Polly Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 13-4-8 -0.50 +1.93
Jim Crowley 6-2-3 +8.25 +4.51
Paul Hanagan 3-2-2 +4.50 +2.44
Oisin Murphy 2-2-2 +8.83 +5.30
William Buick 10-1-2 -6.00 -5.62
Jamie Spencer 6-1-3 -2.50 -1.14
Mickael Barzalona 4-1-1 +3.00 +0.60
Martin Dwyer 3-1-1 +5.00 +2.38
Ben Curtis 1-1-1 +6.50 +3.90
David Probert 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 2, (1, 2), 3, (4, 6), 4, 4, 8, 6, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 7, 5, 3, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 11/1
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 75+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a G1/G2/G3/Cl6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 5 - 14 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -11l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m2f
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - In a field of 5 - 16 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Not in FRA/DEU/IRL/WAL (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (Last 3)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G3/Cl2/Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Pretty Polly Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Pretty Polly Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +15.18 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (5,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,2) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (5,4) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Pretty Polly Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton (AW), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kempton (AW) last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Pretty Polly Stakes, that stallion Cape Cross has produced 3 winners (2017,2008,2004).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Pretty Polly Stakes, that stallion is Teofilo who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Talent in 2013, winning for Ralph Beckett at odds of 11/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Pretty Polly Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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